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OBJECTIVE Trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) is suggested as an independent gut microbiota–derived risk factor for cardiovascular and renal disease. We investigated associations between plasma TMAO concentrations and cardio-renal outcomes in a prospective study of individuals with type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Plasma TMAO was measured at baseline in 1,159 individuals with type 1 diabetes (58% male, mean ± SD age 46 ± 13 years). End points were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and renal events tracked from national registries. Associations between TMAO and end points were tested using Cox regression models. RESULTS After 15.0 (6.7–19.3) (median [interquartile range]) years of follow-up, we recorded all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (n = 363 and 120, respectively), combined CVD (n = 406), coronary outcome (myocardial infarction and coronary intervention) (n = 163), stroke (n = 115), hospitalization for heart failure (n = 81), and end-stage renal disease (n = 144). In univariate analyses, higher TMAO concentrations were associated with all end points (P ≤ 0.005). Except for stroke and heart failure, all end points remained significantly associated with higher TMAO concentrations after adjustment for conventional cardiovascular risk factors (P ≤ 0.003). After further adjustment for baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), results became insignificant for all end points. TMAO was inversely associated with baseline eGFR (R2 = 0.29; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS In individuals with type 1 diabetes, higher concentrations of plasma TMAO were associated with mortality, CVD events, and poor renal outcome, independent of conventional risk factors. However, the association became insignificant after further adjustment for baseline eGFR. This could reflect TMAO as a renal function marker or a risk factor for micro- and macrovascular complications mediated through impaired renal function.

BACKGROUND Clinical characteristics such as HbA1c , systolic blood pressure (SBP), albuminuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are important when treating type 1 diabetes. We investigated the variability in these measures as risk markers for micro- and macrovascular complications. METHODS This prospective study included 1062 individuals with type 1 diabetes. Visit-to-visit variability of HbA1c , SBP, albuminuria and eGFR was calculated as the SD of the residuals in individual linear regression models using all available measures in a specified period of 3 years (VV). Endpoints included were as follows: cardiovascular events (CVE) defined as myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or coronary or peripheral arterial intervention; end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) defined as eGFR

Background: Clinical characteristics such as HbA1c, systolic blood pressure (SBP), albuminuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are important when treating type 1 diabetes (T1D). We investigated the variability in these measures as risk markers for micro- and macrovascular complications. Methods: This prospective study included 1062 individuals with T1D. Visit-to-visit variability (VVV) of HbA1c, SBP, albuminuria, and eGFR was calculated as the SD of the residuals in individual linear regression models using all available measures in a specified period of 3 years (SVVV) as well as the entire follow-up (CVVV). Endpoints included: composite cardiovascular events (CVE) defined as myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, coronary arterial intervention, or peripheral arterial intervention; end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) defined as chronic kidney disease stage 5, chronic dialysis, or kidney transplantation; eGFR-decline ≥30%; and mortality. Adjustment included age, sex, cholesterol, HbA1c, SBP, body mass index, smoking, albuminuria, eGFR, and intercept and slope of respective regression models. Findings: SVVV and CVVV for every exposure associated significantly with each other (p

Background. Liraglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 agonist, is used for treatment of type 2 diabetes and has beneficial cardiovascular properties. However, treatment increases heart rate (HR) and possibly the risk of cardiovascular events in chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. We investigated potential associations between HR changes and clinical, laboratory and echocardiographic parameters and clinical events in liraglutide treated CHF patients. Methods. This was a sub-study of the LIVE study. CHF patients (N = 241) with a left ventricular ejection fraction ≤45% were randomised to 1.8 mg liraglutide daily or placebo for 24 weeks. Electrocardiograms (N = 117) and readouts from cardiac implanted electronic devices (N = 20) were analysed for HR and arrhythmias. Results. In patients with sinus rhythm (SR), liraglutide increased HR by 8 ± 9 bpm (pulse measurements), 9 ± 9 bpm (ECG measurements) and 9 ± 6 bpm (device readouts) versus placebo (all p

Aim: To assess the effect of liraglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist, on urinary sodium excretion as well as on circulating adrenomedullin and copeptin levels in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Materials and methods: In the LIVE study, patients (n = 241) with left ventricular ejection fraction ≤45% were randomized to liraglutide 1.8 mg daily or placebo for 24 weeks, and 30% had a concomitant diagnosis of T2D. Plasma levels of N-terminal brain-natriuretic-peptide (NT-proBNP) (a predefined secondary endpoint), midregional pro-atrial-natriuretic-peptide (MR-proANP), midregional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) and copeptin were measured at baseline and after 24 weeks in this substudy. The potential effect modification of T2D was assessed. Results: In the eligible subgroup of 231 patients with available biomarkers (115 randomized to liraglutide and 116 to placebo), MR-proANP decreased by 12% (P =.002) and NT-proBNP by 9% (P =.009) during liraglutide treatment compared with placebo at week 24. Interaction with T2D for the treatment effect of change in MR-proANP and NT-proBNP levels was P =.003 and P =.03, respectively. Consequently, in patients with T2D, liraglutide decreased MR-proANP by 27% (P

This article briefly discusses the epidemiology of heart failure and diabetes and summarizes the key findings from the recent cardiovascular outcome trials in patients with type 2 diabetes, with a focus on heart failure as an endpoint.

Background Altered regulation of extracellular matrix (ECM) composition by matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and tissue inhibitors of metalloproteinase (TIMPs) may contribute to arterial stiffening. We investigated associations between circulating MMP-1, -2, -3, -9, -10 and TIMP-1, and carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) and pulse pressure (PP), as markers of arterial stiffness in type 1 diabetic patients. Methods Individuals with type 1 diabetes from three different cohorts were included in this study: EURODIAB Prospective Complications study (n = 509), LEACE (n = 370) and PROFIL (n = 638). Linear regression analyses were used to investigate cross-sectional associations between circulating levels of MMP-1, -2, -3, -9, -10, and TIMP-1 and cfPWV (n = 614) as well as office PP (n = 1517). Data on 24-h brachial and 24-h central PP were available in 638 individuals from PROFIL. Analyses were adjusted for age, sex, duration of diabetes, HbA1c, mean arterial pressure (MAP), and eGFR, and additionally for other cardiovascular risk factors and presence of vascular complications. Results After adjustment for potential confounders and presence of vascular complications, circulating MMP-3 was associated with cfPWV [β per 1 SD higher lnMMP3 0.29 m/s (0.02; 0.55)]. In addition, brachial and central 24-h PP measurements in PROFIL were significantly associated with MMP-2 [(1.40 (0.47:2.33) and 1.43 (0.63:2.23)]. Pooled data analysis showed significant associations of circulating levels of MMP-1 and MMP-2 with office PP [β per 1 SD higher lnMMP-1 and lnMMP-2 = − 0.83 mmHg (95% CI − 1.50; − 0.16) and = 1.33 mmHg (0.55; 2.10), respectively]. Conclusions MMPs-1, -2, and -3 are independently associated with markers of arterial stiffening in patients with type 1 diabetes and may become therapeutic targets. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12933-017-0620-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

BACKGROUND: The glucagon-like peptide-1 analog liraglutide increases heart rate and may be associated with more cardiac events in chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. We studied whether this could be ascribed to effects on myocardial glucose uptake (MGU), myocardial blood flow (MBF) and MBF reserve (MFR).METHODS AND RESULTS: CHF patients with left ventricular ejection fraction ≤45% and without type 2 diabetes were randomized to liraglutide (N = 18) 1.8 mg once daily or placebo (N = 18) for 24 weeks in a double-blinded design. Changes in MGU during an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and changes in MBF and MFR from baseline to follow-up were measured quantitatively by (18)F-FDG and (15)O-H2O positron emission tomography. Compared with placebo, liraglutide reduced weight (P = 0.03), HbA1c (P = 0.03) and the 2-hour glucose value during the OGTT (P = 0.004). Despite this, changes in MGU (P = 0.98), MBF (P = 0.76) and MFR (P = 0.89) from baseline to follow-up did not differ between groups. Furthermore, there was no association between the level of insulin resistance at baseline and changes in MGU in patients treated with liraglutide.CONCLUSION: Liraglutide did not affect MGU, MBF, or MFR in non-diabetic CHF patients. Any potential increase in cardiac events in these patients seems not to involve changes in MGU, MBF, or MFR.TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial registry: http://www.ClinicalTrials.org . Identifier: NCT01472640. Url: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01472640?term=NCT01472640&rank=1.

BACKGROUND: Device therapy in addition to medical treatment improves prognosis in a subset of patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction. However, some patients remain symptomatic or their heart failure even progresses despite cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT). The aim of the study was to evaluate the proportion of patients who could benefit from optimization of medical therapy using sacubitril/valsartan, ivabradine, or both following CRT implantation.METHODS: We conducted a post hoc analysis of a single-centre, patient and outcome-assessor blinded, randomized-controlled trial, in which patients scheduled for CRT were randomized to empiric (n = 93) or imaging-guided left-ventricular lead placement (n = 89). All patients underwent clinical evaluation and blood sampling at baseline and 6 months following CRT implantation. The proportion of patients meeting the indication for sacubitril/valsartan (irrespective of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin 2 receptor blocker dosage) and/or ivabradine according to current guidelines was evaluated at baseline and after 6 months.RESULTS: Of 182 patients with an indication for CRT, 146 (80%) also had an indication for optimization of medical therapy at baseline by adding sacubitril/valsartan, ivabradine, or both. Of the 179 survivors at 6 months, 136 (76%) were still symptomatic after device implantation; of these, 51 (38%) patients had an indication for optimization of medical therapy: sacubitril/valsartan in 37 (27%), ivabradine in 7 (5%), and both drugs in 7 (5%) patients. Seven (18%) patients without indication at baseline developed an indication for medical optimization 6 months after CRT implantation.CONCLUSION: In the present study, 38% of those who remained symptomatic 6 months after CRT implantation were eligible for optimization of medical therapy with sacubitril/valsartan, ivabradine, or both. Patients with CRT may benefit from systematic follow-up including evaluation of medical treatment.

Aims Left ventricular filling pressure (preload) can be assessed by pulmonary capillary wedge pressure (PCWP) during pulmonary arterial catheterization (PAC). An emerging method [pulse indexed contour cardiac output (PICCO)] can estimate preload by global end-diastolic volume (GEDV) and congestion as extravascular lung water (EVLW) content. However, no reliable quantitative non-invasive methods are available. Hence, in a porcine model of pulmonary congestion, we evaluated EVLW and GEDV by positron emission tomography (PET). The method was applied in 35 heart failure (HF) patients and 9 healthy volunteers. Methods and results Eight pigs were studied. Pulmonary congestion was induced by a combination of beta-blockers, angiotensin-2 agonist and saline infusion. PAC, PICCO, computerized tomography, and 15O-H2O-PET were performed. EVLW increased from 521 ± 76 to 973 ± 325 mL (P Conclusion The present study demonstrates that 15O-H2O-PET can assess pulmonary congestion and preload quantitatively. Hence, prognostic information from 15O-H2O-PET examinations should be evaluated in clinical trials.

This article briefly discusses the epidemiology of heart failure and diabetes and summarizes the key findings from the recent cardiovascular outcome trials in patients with type 2 diabetes, with a focus on heart failure as an endpoint.

Remote ischemic conditioning (RIC) protects against acute ischemia-reperfusion injury and may also have beneficial effects in patients with stable cardiovascular disease. We investigated the effect of long-term RIC treatment in patients with chronic ischaemic heart failure (CIHF). In a parallel group study, 22 patients with compensated CIHF and 21 matched control subjects without heart failure or ischemic heart disease were evaluated by cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, cardiopulmonary exercise testing, skeletal muscle function testing, blood pressure measurement and blood sampling before and after 28 ± 4 days of once daily RIC treatment. RIC was conducted as four cycles of 5 min upper arm ischemia followed by 5 min of reperfusion. RIC did not affect left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) or global longitudinal strain (GLS) in patients with CIHF (p = 0.63 and p = 0.11) or matched controls (p = 0.32 and p = 0.20). RIC improved GLS in the subgroup of patients with CIHF and with NT-proBNP plasma levels above the geometric mean of 372 ng/l (p = 0.04). RIC did not affect peak workload or oxygen uptake in either patients with CIHF (p = 0.26 and p = 0.59) or matched controls (p = 0.61 and p = 0.10). However, RIC improved skeletal muscle power in both groups (p = 0.02 for both). In patients with CIHF, RIC lowered systolic blood pressure (p < 0.01) and reduced NT-proBNP plasma levels (p = 0.02). Our findings suggest that long-term RIC treatment does not improve LVEF but increases skeletal muscle function and reduces blood pressure and NT-proBNP in patients with compensated CIHF. This should be investigated in a randomized sham-controlled trial.

Background Altered regulation of extracellular matrix remodeling by matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase (TIMP) may contribute to vascular complications in type 1 diabetes. We investigated associations between plasma MMP-1, -2, -3, -9, -10 and TIMP-1, and cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in type 1 diabetic patients. Methods We prospectively followed 337 type 1 diabetic patients [mean age 41.4 years (9.6), 39% female], 170 with and 167 without diabetic nephropathy, with median follow-up of 12.3 years. Survival analyses were applied to investigate differences in plasma MMP-1, -2, -3, -9, -10, and TIMP-1-levels in patients with and without a cardiovascular event and in those who died vs survivors. All analyses were adjusted for age, sex, duration of diabetes, HbA1c, nephropathy and for other conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Results After adjustment for potential confounders, higher MMP-2 plasma levels were significantly associated with higher incidence of cardiovascular events [HR 1.49 (95% CI 1.11; 1.99)], and higher plasma levels of MMP-1 [1.38 (1.07; 1.78)], MMP-2 [1.60 (1.19; 2.15)] and MMP-3 [1.39 (1.05; 1.85)] were associated with all-cause mortality. All associations were independent of low-grade inflammation and endothelial dysfunction as estimated by plasma markers. Associations between MMP-2 and cardiovascular events and between MMP-3 and mortality were attenuated after further adjustment for eGFR and changes in eGFR. Conclusions Higher levels of MMP-2 are associated with CVD and higher MMP-1, -2 and -3 with all-cause mortality. In addition, associations between MMP-2 and CVD, and MMP-3 and mortality were attenuated after adjustment for eGFR while both MMPs were associated with eGFR decline, indicating a possible mediating role of eGFR. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12933-017-0539-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

AIMS: To determine the effect of the glucagon-like peptide-1 analogue liraglutide on left ventricular function in chronic heart failure patients with and without type 2 diabetes.METHODS AND RESULTS: LIVE was an investigator-initiated, randomised, double-blinded, placebo-controlled multicentre trial. Patients (n = 241) with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF ≤45%) were recruited (February 2012 to August 2015). Patients were clinically stable and on optimal heart failure treatment. Intervention was liraglutide 1.8 mg once daily or matching placebo for 24 weeks. The LVEF was similar at baseline in the liraglutide and the placebo group (33.7 ± 7.6% vs. 35.4 ± 9.4%). Change in LVEF did not differ between the liraglutide and the placebo group; mean difference (95% confidence interval) was -0.8% (-2.1, 0.5; P = 0.24). Heart rate increased with liraglutide [mean difference: 7 b.p.m. (5, 9), P CONCLUSION: Liraglutide did not affect left ventricular systolic function compared with placebo in stable chronic heart failure patients with and without diabetes. Treatment with liraglutide was associated with an increase in heart rate and more serious cardiac adverse events, and this raises some concern with respect to the use of liraglutide in patients with chronic heart failure and reduced left ventricular function. More data on the safety of liraglutide in different subgroups of heart failure patients are needed.

BACKGROUND: In type 2 diabetes, a decrease in myocardial glucose uptake (MGU) may lower glucose oxidation and contribute to progression of chronic heart failure (CHF). However, it is unsettled whether CHF patients with prediabetes have abnormal MGU and myocardial blood flow (MBF) during normal physiological conditions.METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 35 patients with CHF and reduced left ventricular ejections fraction (34 ± 9%) without overt T2D (mean HbA1c: 40 ± 4 mmol/mol) using echocardiography and quantitative measurements of MGU by 18F-FDG-PET and perfusion by 15O-H2O-PET. An oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) was performed during the FDG-PET, which identified 17 patients with abnormal and 18 patients with normal glucometabolic response. Global MGU was higher in patients with normal OGTT response (0.31 ± 0.09 µmol/g/min) compared with patients with abnormal OGTT response (0.25 ± 0.09 µmol/g/min) (P = 0.05). MBF (P = 0.22) and myocardial flow reserve (MFR) (P = 0.83) were similar in the study groups. The reduced MGU in prediabetic patients was attributable to reduced MGU in viable myocardium with normal MFR (P < 0.001).CONCLUSION: CHF patients with prediabetes have reduced MGU in segments with preserved MFR as compared to CHF patients with normal glucose tolerance. Whether reversal of these myocardial abnormalities can improve outcome needs to be investigated in large-scale studies.

Background and aim The bone-related peptide osteoprotegerin has been linked to vascular calcification and peripheral vascular disease. We investigated the association between osteoprotegerin and development of foot complications in persons with type 1 diabetes. Materials and methods Prospective observational study of 573 persons with type 1 diabetes, 225 women; age [mean±SD] 42.3±10.3years. Plasma osteoprotegerin was measured by ELISA. Results Median (IQR) osteoprotegerin was 2.80(2.35–3.63)μg/L and follow-up time (median (range)) was 12.7(0.1–15.6)years. Endpoints included: new foot ulceration ( n =153), Charcot foot ( n =14), vascular surgery/amputation ( n =53), loss of foot pulse ( n =57), and peripheral neuropathy ( n =99). In unadjusted analyses, higher osteoprotegerin was associated with development of all endpoints ( p ≤0.026). Higher osteoprotegerin remained associated with development of foot ulcer, and the combination of vascular surgery/amputation, loss of foot pulse and neuropathy ( p ≤0.001) in a sex and age adjusted model. After further adjustment (nephropathy status, smoking, HbA 1c , systolic blood pressure, serum cholesterol, high sensitivity C-reactive protein, eGFR, and presence of neuropathy and/or claudication and/or foot ulcer at baseline), higher osteoprotegerin remained associated with development of foot ulcer (HR (95% CI) per doubling: 1.75 (1.04–2.97); p =0.037). Conclusion Higher osteoprotegerin levels were associated with development of foot ulcer, even after comprehensive adjustment.

Aims/hypothesis This study aimed to investigate the associations of plasma levels of the pro-inflammatory cytokine high-mobility group box 1 (HMGB1) with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in patients with type 1 diabetes. Methods We prospectively followed 165 individuals with diabetic nephropathy and 168 individuals with persistent normoalbuminuria who were free of CVD at study entry and in whom levels of HMGB1 and other cardiovascular risk factors were measured at baseline. Results During the course of follow-up (median, 12.3 years [interquartile range, 7.8–12.5]), 80 patients died, 82 suffered a fatal (n = 46) and/or non-fatal (n = 53) CVD event. After adjustment for age, sex, case–control status and other risk factors, patients with higher levels of loge HMGB1 had a higher incidence of fatal and non-fatal CVD and all-cause mortality: HR 1.55 (95% CI 0.94, 2.48) and HR 1.86 (95% CI 1.18, 2.93), respectively. Further adjustments for differences in markers of low-grade inflammation, endothelial and renal dysfunction and arterial stiffness did not attenuate these associations because plasma levels of HMGB1 were not independently associated with these variables. Conclusions/interpretation In patients with type 1 diabetes, higher levels of plasma HMGB1 are independently associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality and, to a lesser extent, with a higher incidence of CVD. Larger studies are needed to ascertain more definitely the role of HMGB1 in the development of vascular complications in diabetes. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00125-012-2622-1) contains peer-reviewed but unedited supplementary material, which is available to authorised users.

Diabet. Med. 29, 990–994 (2012) Abstract Aims To evaluate whether pulse pressure alone or with placental growth factor as estimates of arterial stiffness and endothelial dysfunction, predicts mortality, cardiovascular disease and progression to end-stage renal disease in patients with Type 1 diabetes. Methods Prospective, observational study, median (range) follow-up 8 (0–13) years, 900 patients with Type 1 diabetes, 458 with diabetic nephropathy, mean ± SD age 44 ± 11 years. Results During follow-up, we recorded 178 (20%) all-cause deaths, 109 (12%) cardiovascular deaths, 213 (24%) cardiovascular events and 73 (16%) progressed to end-stage renal disease. Elevated pulse pressure predicted all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular events [Hazard Ratio (HR) (95% CI) per 10 mmHg increase]: HR 1.2 (1.1–1.3), 1.3 (1.2–1.5) and 1.2 (1.1–1.3), P

Diabet. Med. 29, 337–344 (2012) Abstract Aims Placental growth factor is a vascular endothelial growth factor involved in angiogenesis, vascular inflammation and plaque formation. Soluble Fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 is a decoy receptor for placental growth factor, reducing its activity. The aim of this study is to evaluate the predictive value of placental growth factor and soluble Fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 in relation to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and decline in kidney function in Type 1 diabetes. Methods This was a prospective, observational follow-up study with 8 (0–13) years [median (range)] of follow-up, including patients with Type 1 diabetes, of whom 458 had diabetic nephropathy [278 men; age 42 ± 11 years (mean ± sd), diabetes duration 28 ± 9 years, glomerular filtration rate 76 ± 33 ml min−1 1.73 m−2] and 442 had long-standing normoalbuminuria (234 men; age 45 ± 12 years, diabetes duration 28 ± 10 years). Results Placental growth factor and soluble Fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 levels measured at baseline were higher in patients with diabetic nephropathy compared with patients with long-standing normoalbuminuria [median (range)] 15 (4–131) vs. 11 (7–64) ng/l, (P

OBJECTIVE To investigate the associations of plasma levels of advanced glycation end products (AGEs) with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in type 1 diabetes and the extent to which any such associations could be explained by endothelial and renal dysfunction, low-grade inflammation, and arterial stiffness. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We prospectively followed 169 individuals with diabetic nephropathy and 170 individuals with persistent normoalbuminuria who were free of CVD at study entry and in whom levels of Nε-(carboxymethyl)lysine, Nε-(carboxyethyl)lysine, pentosidine and other biomarkers were measured at baseline. The median follow-up duration was 12.3 (interquartile range 7.6–12.5) years. RESULTS During the course of follow-up, 82 individuals (24.2%) died; 85 (25.1%) suffered a fatal (n = 48) and/or nonfatal (n = 53) CVD event. The incidence of fatal and nonfatal CVD and of all-cause mortality increased with higher baseline levels of AGEs independently of traditional CVD risk factors: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.30 (95% CI = 1.03–1.66) and HR = 1.27 (1.00–1.62), respectively. These associations were not attenuated after further adjustments for markers of renal or endothelial dysfunction, low-grade inflammation, or arterial stiffness. CONCLUSIONS Higher levels of AGEs are associated with incident fatal and nonfatal CVD as well as all-cause mortality in individuals with type 1 diabetes, independently of other risk factors and of several potential AGEs-related pathophysiological mechanisms. Thus, AGEs may explain, in part, the increased cardiovascular disease and mortality attributable to type 1 diabetes and constitute a specific target for treatment in these patients.

Soluble CD40 ligand (sCD40L) derived from platelets mediates atherothrombosis, leading to proinflammatory and proatherosclerotic responses. We investigated the predictive value of plasma sCD40L for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and morbidity, progression towards end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and rate of decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in patients with type 1 diabetes (T1DM) and nephropathy. The study was a prospective, observational follow-up study of 443 T1DM patients with diabetic nephropathy (274 men; age 42.1 ± 10.5 years [mean ± SD], duration of diabetes 28.3 ± 8.9 years, GFR 76 ± 33 ml/min/1.73 m2) and a control group of 421 patients with longstanding type 1 diabetes and persistent normoalbuminuria (232 men; age 45.4 ± 11.5 years, duration of diabetes 27.7 ± 10.1 years) at baseline. sCD40L was measured by ELISA. Plasma sCD40L levels were higher in patients with diabetic nephropathy compared to normoalbuminuric patients (median (range) 1.54 (0.02-13.38) vs. 1.30 (0.04-20.65) µg/L, respectively p = 0.004). The patients were followed for 8.1 (0.0-12.9) years (median (range)). Among normoalbuminuric patients, sCD40L levels did not predict all-cause mortality (p = 0.33) or combined fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease (CVD) (p = 0.27). Similarly, among patients with diabetic nephropathy, the covariate adjusted sCD40L levels did not predict all-cause mortality (p = 0.86) or risk of fatal and non-fatal CVD (p = 0.08). Furthermore, high levels of sCD40L did not predict development of ESRD (p = 0.85) nor rate of decline in GFR (p = 0.69). Plasma sCD40L is elevated in T1DM nephropathy but is not a predictor of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and morbidity or deterioration of kidney function

OBJECTIVE To investigate the associations of plasma levels of soluble receptor for advanced glycation end products (sRAGE) with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in type 1 diabetes and the extent to which any such associations could be explained by endothelial and renal dysfunction, low-grade inflammation, arterial stiffness, and advanced glycation end products (AGEs). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We prospectively followed 169 individuals with diabetic nephropathy and 170 individuals with persistent normoalbuminuria who were free of CVD at study entry and in whom levels of sRAGE and other biomarkers were measured at baseline. The median follow-up duration was 12.3 years (7.6–12.5). RESULTS The incidence of fatal and nonfatal CVD and all-cause mortality increased with higher baseline levels of log-transformed sRAGE (Ln-sRAGE) independently of other CVD risk factors: hazard ratio (HR) 1.90 (95% CI 1.13–3.21) and 2.12 (1.26–3.57) per 1-unit increase in Ln-sRAGE, respectively. Adjustments for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRMDRD), but not or to a smaller extent for markers of endothelial dysfunction, low-grade inflammation, arterial stiffness, and AGEs, attenuated these associations to HR 1.59 (95% CI 0.91–2.77) for fatal and nonfatal CVD events and to 1.90 (1.09–3.31) for all-cause mortality. In addition, in patients with nephropathy, the rate of decline of GFR was 1.38 ml/min/1.73 m2 per year greater per 1-unit increase of Ln-sRAGE at baseline (P = 0.036). CONCLUSIONS Higher levels of sRAGE are associated with incident fatal and nonfatal CVD and all-cause mortality in individuals with type 1 diabetes. sRAGE-associated renal dysfunction may partially explain this association.

Hyperglycaemia increases oxidative stress and may thereby increase the risk of diabetic complications, including diabetic nephropathy. Cells are protected from oxidative damage by, for example, the manganese superoxide dismutase enzyme (MnSOD), but the functional polymorphism V16A affects the localisation of MnSOD and therefore its ability to scavenge superoxide radicals. In a Danish cohort of type 1 diabetes patients, we sought to confirm previous findings of association between the V allele and the risk of diabetic nephropathy and to investigate the influence of this polymorphism on the development of cardiovascular disease.Type 1 diabetes patients attending the Steno Diabetes Center, Gentofte, Denmark, between 1993 and 2001 were enrolled in this study. A total of 441 cases with diabetic nephropathy (albumin excretionor =300 mg/24 h) and 314 controls with persistent normoalbuminuria (30 mg/24 h), despite diabetes of durationor =20 years, were identified. The median duration of diabetes was 35 years (range 12-73 years).We confirmed the significant association between carrier status of the V allele and diabetic nephropathy. The association was independent of age at diabetes onset, HbA(1c), sex, smoking and diabetes duration (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.4). The VV and AV genotypes considered together also predicted the risk of cardiovascular disease, independently of age at follow-up, HbA(1c), sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol and nephropathy status. The hazard ratio was 1.6 (95% CI 1.0-2.5).The MnSOD V16A polymorphism is involved in the development of nephropathy caused by type 1 diabetes and seems to predict cardiovascular disease during follow-up.

Background. Autoregulation of GFR, i.e. maintenance of relative constancy of GFR despite variations in mean arterial pressure (MAP) > 80 mmHg, is impaired in diabetic kidney disease; furthermore, some antihypertensive drugs may jeopardize autoregulation. The aim of our study was to establish if spironolactone affects the ability to autoregulate GFR. Methods. Sixteen hypertensive type 1 diabetic patients with persistent normoalbuminuria (presumed normal autoregulation) completed this randomized, double-masked, crossover trial. After a 4-week wash-out period, patients received spironolactone 25 mg o.d. and matched placebo for 4 weeks in random order. After each treatment period, the ability to autoregulate GFR was determined by measuring GFR (Cr-51-EDTA clearance) before (basal) and after acute blood pressure reduction by intravenous injection of clonidine. Results. During placebo, the mean (SE) basal GFR was 115 (5) ml/min/1.73 m(2) and the BP was 146 (4)/81 (2) mmHg corresponding to a MAP of 103 (2) mmHg. Spironolactone did not significantly reduce GFR or BP. Injection of clonidine induced a significant reduction in the MAP of 17 (2) and 19 (1) mmHg during placebo and spironolactone treatment, respectively, and an overall reduction in GFR of 11 and 15 ml/min/1.73 m(2) (both comparisons NS between treatment periods). Signs of impaired autoregulation were present in nine patients during placebo and in nine patients during spironolactone treatment. Relative changes in GFR on placebo treatment correlated with diabetes duration (R = 0.67, P < 0.01) but were not related to duration of hypertension, baseline BP, GFR, HbA1c or to changes in BP. Conclusion. Spironolactone did not change the overall ability to autoregulate GFR in 16 hypertensive type I diabetic patients with normoalbuminuria. Our data are suggestive that the ability to autoregulate GFR is gradually impaired with increasing diabetes duration, a phenomenon not previously described in normoalbuminuric patients.

The Pro12Ala polymorphism in the peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor-γ2 gene is suggested to associate with diabetic nephropathy and cardiovascular disease in type 2 diabetes. The aim of this study was to investigate the polymorphism in relation to diabetic nephropathy, end-stage renal disease (ESRD), mortality and cardiovascular (CVD) events in type 1 diabetic patients. This prospective observational follow-up study included 415 type 1 diabetic patients with overt diabetic nephropathy (252 men; age 42.2 ± 10.4 years [mean ± SD], duration of diabetes 28.3 ± 8.8 years, GFR 66 ± 8.8 ml/min) and 428 patients with longstanding type 1 diabetes and persistent normoalbuminuria (230 men; age 45.4 ± 11.6 years, duration of diabetes 27.8 ± 10.1 years). Follow-up: 8.1 (0.0–12.8) years (median [range]). There where no significant differences between cases and controls in genotype ( p = 0.51) or allele frequencies ( p = 0.25). Cox regression analysis revealed a covariate-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality in patients with the Ala/Ala genotype of 2.44 (1.23–4.84). The Pro12Ala polymorphism did not predict CVD events. However, the Ala/Ala genotype predicts ESRD (covariate-adjusted HR 2.60 (1.11–6.07)). Furthermore, Carriers of the Ala-allele had a higher rate of decline in GFR ( p = 0.040). In conclusion, the Pro12Ala polymorphism is not associated with type 1 diabetic nephropathy. The Ala-allele is associated with enhanced decline in GFR and predicts ESRD and all-cause mortality in patients with nephropathy.

OBJECTIVE—To investigate whether circulating asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) levels are predictive of cardiovascular events, decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and all-cause mortality in type 1 diabetic patients. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS—We performed a prospective observational follow-up study including 397 type 1 diabetic patients with overt diabetic nephropathy (243 men aged 42.1 ± 10.5 years, GFR 76 ± 34 ml/min per 1.73 m2) and a control group of 175 patients with longstanding type 1 diabetes and persistent normoalbuminuria (104 men aged 42.7 ± 9.7 years, duration of diabetes 27.7 ± 8.3 years). Patients were followed for a median 11.3 years (range 0.0–12.9) with yearly measurements of GFR (51Cr-EDTA plasma clearance) in patients with diabetic nephropathy. Endpoints were fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular disease (CVD), decline in GFR, ESRD, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS—Among patients with diabetic nephropathy, 37 patients (19.4%) with ADMA levels below the median, compared with 79 patients (43.4%) above the median, suffered a major cardiovascular event during the follow-up period (P < 0.001). This effect persisted after adjustment for conventional CVD risk factors including baseline GFR (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] for elevated ADMA 2.05 [95% CI 1.31–3.20], P = 0.002). Furthermore, elevated ADMA levels predicted an increased rate of decline in GFR, development of ESRD, and all-cause mortality (P < 0.001). After adjustment for well-known progression promoters, including baseline GFR, the HR (adjusted) was 1.85 (95% CI 0.99–3.46, P = 0.055) for ESRD comparing upper and lower median ADMA levels. CONCLUSIONS—Plasma ADMA levels predict fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events in patients with type 1 diabetic nephropathy. Furthermore, increased ADMA levels tend to contribute to increased risk of progressive diabetic kidney disease.

CONTEXT: Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is characterized by an increased risk of macro-vascular complications. Pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) generated N- and C-terminal fragments of insulin-like growth factor binding protein-4 (NT-IGFBP-4/CT-IGFBP-4) have been suggested as cardiac biomarkers.OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prognostic value of IGFBP-4 fragments in a cohort of T1D patients.DESIGN AND PATIENTS: We prospectively followed 178 T1D patients with diabetic nephropathy and 152 T1D patients with normoalbuminuria for 12.6 (0.2-12.9) years.MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Levels of IGF-I, IGF-II, IGFBP-1-4, NT- and CT-IGFBP-4, and PAPP-A at baseline.RESULTS: During follow-up, 15 patients with normoalbuminuria and 71 patients with nephropathy died. Of these deaths, eight and 45 were due to fatal cardiovascular events, respectively. Using receiver operating characteristic curve analyses, patients were divided into subgroups using cut-off values of 261 μ g/L NT-IGFBP-4, 81 μ g/L CT-IGFBP-4 or 10 mIU/L PAPP-A. All-cause mortality was significantly higher in patients with NT-IGFBP-4 levels (55% vs. 16%, pCONCLUSION: High IGFBP-4 fragment levels were associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality rates in T1D patients with and without diabetic nephropathy.

INTRODUCTION: Heart failure is one of the most common cardiovascular complications of diabetes and the most disabling and deadly complication too. Many antidiabetic agents have been associated with increased morbidity and mortality in a subset of patients with chronic heart failure (CHF); thus, new treatment modalities are warranted. Interestingly, a beneficial effect of the incretin hormone, GLP-1, on cardiac function has been suggested in patients with diabetes and patients without diabetes. Liraglutide (Victoza) is a GLP-1 analogue developed for the treatment of type 2 diabetes (T2D); however, its impact on cardiac function has not previously been investigated in patients with CHF. This prompted us to investigate whether liraglutide treatment for 24 weeks improves left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in patients with CHF with and without T2D compared with placebo treatment.METHODS AND ANALYSIS: An investigator-initiated, multicentre, randomised, double-blind, parallel, placebo-controlled intervention trial. In total, 240 patients with CHF (with and without T2D) with LVEF≤45% will be randomised to either subcutaneous injection of liraglutide 1.8 mg or matching placebo once daily for 24 weeks. The effect of liraglutide on left ventricular function will be evaluated by advanced echocardiography, including three-dimensional contrast echocardiography.ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study will be performed and monitored according to the Good Clinical Practice-International Conference on Harmonisation (GCP-ICH) regulations and conducted according to the principles of the Helsinki Declaration. The Danish Medicines Agency, the local Research Ethics Committee and the Danish Data Protection Agency have approved the study.TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01472640.

Urinary adiponectin (u-adiponectin) excretion has been suggested to reflect early glomerular damage. Inspired by this, we studied the levels of u-adiponectin in type 1 diabetic patients with different levels of urinary albumin excretion (UAE).U-adiponectin was analysed by ELISA in type 1 diabetic patients: Fifty-eight with normoalbuminuria (30mg albumin/24h), 43 with persistent microalbuminuria (30-300mg/24h) and 44 with persistent macroalbuminuria (300mg/24h). For comparison, a control group of 55 healthy individuals was included.U-adiponectin increased with increasing levels of UAE (p0.01). U-adiponectin median (interquartile range): Normoalbuminuria 0.38 (0.14-1.31), microalbuminuria 1.12 (0.20-2.68), macroalbuminuria 9.20 (1.10-23.35) and controls 0.09 (0.06-0.24) μg/g creatinine. Levels were unrelated to sex, age, cholesterol, diastolic BP and BMI. U-adiponectin was weakly associated with increasing systolic BP and HbA1c (r(2)0.1, p0.05), but strongly related to increasing UAE (r(2)=0.57, p0.001) and decreasing eGFR (r(2)=0.26, p0.001). The relationship between UAE and u-adiponectin was significant in all groups and independent of eGFR, BMI, BP and HbA1c. Furthermore, u-adiponectin was associated with markers of tubular damage (p0.01).U-adiponectin rises with increasing levels of UAE in patients with type 1 diabetes. This is in accordance with the hypothesis that loss of adiponectin may reflect glomerular and/or tubular damage.

OBJECTIVE Growth deferentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is involved in inflammation and apoptosis. Expression is induced in the heart in response to ischemia and in atherosclerotic plaques. The aim of this study was to investigate GDF-15 levels in relation to all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and morbidity, decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR), and progression toward end-stage renal disease (ESRD). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS The study was a prospective observational follow-up study including 451 type 1 diabetic patients with diabetic nephropathy (274 men, aged 42.1 ± 0.5 years [means ± SD], diabetes duration 28.3 ± 8.9 years, GFR 76 ± 33 ml/min/1.73 m2) and a control group of 440 patients with longstanding type 1 diabetes and persistent normoalbuminuria (232 men, aged 45.4 ± 11.5 years, duration of diabetes 27.7 ± 10.1 years). The patients were followed for 8.1 (0.0–12.9) years (median [range]). RESULTS Among normoalbuminuric patients, GDF-15 above the median predicted an adjusted (age, systolic blood pressure [sBP], and estimated GFR) increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 3.6 [95% CI 1.3–10.3]; P = 0.014). Among patients with diabetic nephropathy, higher (fourth quartile) versus lower (first quartile) GDF-15 levels predict all-cause mortality (covariate-adjusted [sex, age, smoking, blood pressure, A1C, cholesterol, GFR, N-terminal prohormone B-type natriuretic peptide, antihypertensive treatment, and previous cardiovascular events]; HR 4.86 [95% CI 1.37–17.30]) as well as fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events (adjusted HR 5.59 [1.23–25.43] and 3.55 [1.08–11.64], respectively). In addition, higher GDF-15 levels predict faster decline in GFR (P < 0.001) but not development of ESRD. CONCLUSIONS Higher levels of GDF-15 are a predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in patients with diabetic nephropathy. Furthermore, higher levels of GDF-15 are associated with faster deterioration of kidney function.

It has been suggested that genetic susceptibility plays an important role in the pathogenesis of diabetic nephropathy. A large-scale genotyping analysis of gene-based single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes identified the gene encoding acetyl-coenzyme A carboxylase beta (ACACB) as a candidate for a susceptibility to diabetic nephropathy; the landmark SNP was found in the intron 18 of ACACB (rs2268388: intron 18 +4139 C > T, p = 1.4×10−6, odds ratio = 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.33–1.96). The association of this SNP with diabetic nephropathy was examined in 9 independent studies (4 from Japan including the original study, one Singaporean, one Korean, and two European) with type 2 diabetes. One case-control study involving European patients with type 1 diabetes was included. The frequency of the T allele for SNP rs2268388 was consistently higher among patients with type 2 diabetes and proteinuria. A meta-analysis revealed that rs2268388 was significantly associated with proteinuria in Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes (p = 5.35×10−8, odds ratio = 1.61, 95% Cl: 1.35–1.91). Rs2268388 was also associated with type 2 diabetes–associated end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in European Americans (p = 6×10−4, odds ratio = 1.61, 95% Cl: 1.22–2.13). Significant association was not detected between this SNP and nephropathy in those with type 1 diabetes. A subsequent in vitro functional analysis revealed that a 29-bp DNA fragment, including rs2268388, had significant enhancer activity in cultured human renal proximal tubular epithelial cells. Fragments corresponding to the disease susceptibility allele (T) had higher enhancer activity than those of the major allele. These results suggest that ACACB is a strong candidate for conferring susceptibility for proteinuria in patients with type 2 diabetes., Author Summary Although cumulative epidemiological findings have suggested that genetic susceptibility plays an important role in the pathogenesis of diabetic nephropathy, no gene conferring susceptibility to diabetic nephropathy has been definitively identified. In a large-scale association study of 1,312 Japanese subjects with type 2 diabetes using SNPs from a Japanese SNP database, we show that the T-allele of ACACB rs2268388 is associated with diabetic nephropathy. We also show that the association is consistently observed in patients with type 2 diabetes and proteinuria across different ethnic groups, including populations of European descent. Because a DNA fragment corresponding to the disease susceptibility allele is shown to have higher enhancer activity, we hypothesize that the increase in the expression and/or activity of the encoded acetyl-coenzyme A carboxylase beta contributes to the development and progression of diabetic nephropathy. Our present analysis provides novel insight into the pathogenesis of diabetic nephropathy. This finding is important because diabetic nephropathy is a leading cause of end-stage renal disease and affects life expectancy in subjects with type 2 diabetes.

Type 1 diabetic patients with diabetic nephropathy have increased mortality and morbidity compared with normoalbuminuric patients. Telomere length in proliferative cells is inversely related to the total number of cell divisions, and therefore to biological age. We aimed to evaluate differences in telomere length in patients with type 1 diabetes with or without diabetic nephropathy; we also evaluated the prognostic value of telomere length.In a prospective follow-up study, 157 type 1 diabetic patients with diabetic nephropathy and a control group of 116 patients with type 1 diabetes and normoalbuminuria were followed for 11.1 years (range 0.2-12.9). Telomere length was measured from DNA samples extracted from white blood cells at baseline.The mean telomere length did not differ between patients with or without diabetic nephropathy, and was similar in men and women, but was inversely correlated with age and systolic blood pressure, p0.05. When dividing patients into tertiles after telomere length, 36 (37%) patients died in the tertile with the shortest telomere length, 24 (28%) died in the middle tertile, and 15 (17%) of patients in the tertile with the longest telomere length died, log rank test p = 0.017. After adjustment for traditional risk factors, telomere length was still predictive of all-cause mortality.In patients with type 1 diabetes we found no differences in telomere length between patients with or without diabetic nephropathy. We also found that telomere length was associated with all-cause mortality; however, confirmative studies are needed to verify our findings.

Nitric oxide (NO) is important in the maintenance of vascular tone and regulation of blood pressure. NO may also play a role in the development of both nephropathy and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with diabetes. The susceptibility to nephropathy and CVD depends to some extent on genetic factors, therefore polymorphisms in the gene coding for endothelial NO-synthase, NOS3, can affect the risk of developing these diseases. Type 1 diabetes patients attending the Steno Diabetes Center, Denmark, between 1993 and 2001 were enrolled in this study. A total of 458 cases with diabetic nephropathy (albumin excretion300 mg/24h) and 319 controls with persistent normoalbuminuria (30 mg/24h), despiteor =20 years of diabetes duration at follow-up were identified. Patients were followed until death or end of the study. Associations between seven NOS3-gene polymorphisms and nephropathy, progression of nephropathy and CVD were studied. There was significant association between the rs743507 TT-genotype and diabetic nephropathy. When including age at diabetes onset, diabetes duration at follow-up, baseline Hb(A1c), sex and ever smoking in the analysis the OR was 1.43 (95% CI=1.03-2.00), P=0.035. In analyses of CVD development using Cox-regression the rs1799983 GG-genotype was a significant protective factor in normoalbuminuric patients, HR=0.32 (0.12-0.82), P=0.018, but not in patients with macroalbuminuria (covariates were; age at follow-up, baseline Hb(A1c), baseline systolic blood pressure, baseline cholesterol, sex and ever smoking). Our conclusion is that the NOS3-gene may be involved in the development of diabetic nephropathy in patients with type 1 diabetes and can be predictive of CVD during follow-up.

Udgivelsesdato: 2008-Sep Adiponectin levels are increased in patients with type I diabetes especially in the presence of microangiopathy. Here we determined the predictive value of serum adiponectin levels and 8 adiponectin gene polymorphisms for mortality, cardiovascular events and end-stage renal disease in type I diabetic patients. This prospective, observational follow-up study of type I diabetics consisted of 438 patients with overt diabetic nephropathy that were compared to 440 type I patients with normal albumin excretion. These two groups were followed an average of 8 years and generally matched for gender, age and duration of diabetes. Cox regression analysis of 373 patients showed a covariate-adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause mortality of 1.46 for a change of one standard deviation in log10 of serum adiponectin. There was no association with cardiovascular events; however, serum adiponectin levels predicted end stage renal disease in a covariate-adjusted analysis. Two of eight gene polymorphisms, found in the 878 patients, were associated with increased serum adiponectin levels but none of the polymorphisms were associated with a renal or cardiovascular outcome. These studies show that high serum adiponectin levels predict mortality and progression to end stage renal disease in type I diabetic patients.

Udgivelsesdato: 2008-Nov AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The bone-related peptide osteoprotegerin is produced by vascular cells and is involved in the process of vascular calcification. The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive value of plasma levels of osteoprotegerin in relation to mortality, cardiovascular events and deterioration in kidney function in patients with type 1 diabetes. METHODS: This prospective observational follow-up study included 397 type 1 diabetic patients with overt diabetic nephropathy (243 men; age [mean+/-SD] 42.1 +/- 10.6 years, duration of diabetes 28.3 +/- 9.9 years, GFR 67 +/- 28 ml min(-1) 1.73 m(2)) and a group of 176 patients with longstanding type 1 diabetes and persistent normoalbuminuria (105 men; age 42.6 +/- 9.7 years, duration of diabetes 27.6 +/- 8.3 years). RESULTS: The median (range) follow-up period was 11.3 (0.0-12.9) years. Among patients with diabetic nephropathy, individuals with high osteoprotegerin levels (fourth quartile) had significantly higher all-cause mortality than patients with low levels (first quartile) (covariate-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 3.00 [1.24-7.27]). High osteoprotegerin levels also predicted cardiovascular mortality (covariate-adjusted HR 4.88 [1.57-15.14]). Furthermore, patients with high osteoprotegerin levels had significantly higher risk of progression to end-stage renal disease than patients with low levels (covariate-adjusted HR 4.32 [1.45-12.87]). In addition, patients with high levels of plasma osteoprotegerin had an elevated rate of decline in GFR. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: High levels of osteoprotegerin predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with diabetic nephropathy. Furthermore, high levels of osteoprotegerin predict deterioration of kidney function towards end-stage renal disease.

Background. Circulating N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels are elevated in patients with diabetic nephropathy and independently predict excess cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Therefore, we investigated the association between two polymorphisms –381T/C and 1551G/A of the BNP gene, plasma NT-proBNP levels and mortality prognosis in 380 type 1 diabetic patients with and without diabetic nephropathy. Methods. In a prospective observational follow-up study, 197 type 1 diabetic patients with diabetic nephropathy {121 men, age [mean (SD)] 41 � 9.5 years, duration of diabetes 28 � 8.0 years, glomerular filtration rate 67 � 28 ml/min/1.73 m 2 }, and a matched control group of 183 patients with longstanding type 1 diabetes and persistent normoalbuminuria (111 men, age 43 � 10.0 years, duration of diabetes 27 � 8.3 years) were followed for 12.6 (0.0–12.9) years. Plasma NT-proBNP concentration was determined by immunoassay at baseline. The BNP genotypes were determined by TaqMan chemistry based assays. Results. The two polymorphisms were in almost complete linkage disequilibrium (r 2 ¼ 0.883) and thus only the results of the –381T/C promoter polymorphism are shown. There was no significant difference between cases and controls in either genotype distributions (cases TT 32%, TC 53%, CC 15%; controls TT 28%, TC 52%, CC 20%) or allele frequencies (cases T/C 0.58/0.42; controls T/C 0.54/0.46) for the –381T/C polymorphism. Among the 164 normoalbuminuric patients without antihypertensive treatment and previous major cardiovascular disease (CVD), the –381T/C polymorphism was associated with circulating levels of NT-proBNP [median (interquartile range) 21 (5–32), 34 (12–67) and 32 (12–58) ng/l for TT, TC and CC, respectively (P ¼ 0.041)] persisting after adjustment for covariates (P ¼ 0.018). During followup, the –381T/C polymorphism did not predict allcause or cardiovascular mortality among type 1 diabetic patients with or without diabetic nephropathy. Conclusions. The BNP –381T/C and 1551G/A polymorphisms are associated with circulating levels of NT-proBNP but not with prevalent overt diabetic nephropathy. These polymorphisms do not predict all-cause or cardiovascular mortality in Caucasian type 1 diabetic patients with or without diabetic nephropathy.