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The health of the planet and its people are at risk. The deterioration of the global commons—ie, the natural systems that support life on Earth—is exacerbating energy, food, and water insecurity, and increasing the risk of disease, disaster, displacement, and conflict. In this Commission, we quantify safe and just Earth-system boundaries (ESBs) and assess minimum access to natural resources required for human dignity and to enable escape from poverty. Collectively, these describe a safe and just corridor that is essential to ensuring sustainable and resilient human and planetary health and thriving in the Anthropocene. We then discuss the need for translation of ESBs across scales to inform science-based targets for action by key actors (and the challenges in doing so), and conclude by identifying the system transformations necessary to bring about a safe and just future. Our concept of the safe and just corridor advances research on planetary boundaries and the justice and Earth-system aspects of the Sustainable Development Goals. We define safe as ensuring the biophysical stability of the Earth system, and our justice principles include minimising harm, meeting minimum access needs, and redistributing resources and responsibilities to enhance human health and wellbeing. The ceiling of the safe and just corridor is defined by the more stringent of the safe and just ESBs to minimise significant harm and ensure Earth-system stability. The base of the corridor is defined by the impacts of minimum global access to food, water, energy, and infrastructure for the global population, in the domains of the variables for which we defined the ESBs. Living within the corridor is necessary, because exceeding the ESBs and not meeting basic needs threatens human health and life on Earth. However, simply staying within the corridor does not guarantee justice because within the corridor resources can also be inequitably distributed, aggravating human health and causing environmenta

Safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for surface water and groundwater (blue water) have been defined for sustainable water management in the Anthropocene. Here we assessed whether minimum human needs could be met with surface water from within individual river basins alone and, where this is not possible, quantified how much groundwater would be required. Approximately 2.6 billion people live in river basins where groundwater is needed because they are already outside the surface water ESB or have insufficient surface water to meet human needs and the ESB. Approximately 1.4 billion people live in river basins where demand-side transformations would be required as they either exceed the surface water ESB or face a decline in groundwater recharge and cannot meet minimum needs within the ESB. A further 1.5 billion people live in river basins outside the ESB, with insufficient surface water to meet minimum needs, requiring both supply- and demand-side transformations. These results highlight the challenges and opportunities of meeting even basic human access needs to water and protecting aquatic ecosystems.

Background: Addressing sexual trauma in the context of HIV care is essential to improve clinical outcomes and mental health among women in South Africa. Women living with HIV (WLH) report disproportionately high levels of sexual trauma and have higher rates of posttraumatic stress disorder. Adherence to antiretroviral therapy (ART) may be difficult for traumatized women, as sexual trauma compounds the stress associated with managing HIV and is often comorbid with other mental health disorders, further compromising care engagement and adherence. ART initiation represents a unique window of opportunity for intervention to enhance motivation, increase care engagement, and address the negative effects of trauma on avoidant coping behaviors. Mental health interventions delivered by non-specialists in low- and middle-income countries have potential to treat depression, trauma, and effects of intimate partner violence among WLH. This study will examine the effectiveness of Improving AIDS Care after Trauma (ImpACT +), a task-shared, trauma-focused coping intervention, to promote viral suppression among WLH initiating ART in a South African clinic setting. Methods: This study will be conducted in Khayelitsha, a peri-urban settlement situated near Cape Town, South Africa. Using a hybrid type 1 effectiveness-implementation design, we will randomize 350 WLH initiating ART to the ImpACT + experimental condition or the control condition (three weekly sessions of adapted problem-solving therapy) to examine the effectiveness of ImpACT + on viral suppression, ART adherence, and the degree to which mental health outcomes mediate intervention effects. ImpACT + participants will receive six once-a-week coping intervention sessions and six monthly maintenance sessions over the follow-up period. We will conduct mental health and bio-behavioral assessments at baseline, 4, 8, and 12 months, with care engagement data extracted from medical records. We will explore scalability using the C

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether a treat-to-target strategy based on methotrexate (MTX) and intra-articular (IA) betamethasone suppresses magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-determined measures of disease activity and reduces joint destruction in early rheumatoid arthritis (eRA) patients, and to investigate whether concomitant cyclosporin A (CyA) provides an additional effect.METHOD: In the 2-year randomized, double-blind, treat-to-target trial CIMESTRA, 160 patients with eRA (< 6 months) were randomized to MTX, intra-articular betamethasone and CyA, or placebo CyA. A total of 129 patients participated in the MRI substudy, and had contrast-enhanced MR images of the non-dominant hand at months 0, 6, 12, and 24. MR images were evaluated for osteitis, synovitis, tenosynovitis, bone erosion, and joint space narrowing (JSN), using validated scoring methods.RESULTS: Significant reductions were seen at 6 months in all inflammatory parameters [synovitis, mean change -1.6 (p < 0.001, Wilcoxon), tenosynovitis, -3.5 (p < 0.001), and osteitis, -1.3 (p < 0.05)] and at 12/24 months in synovitis and tenosynovitis [-1.6/-2.2 and -3.6/-3.8, respectively; all p < 0.001]. MRI signs of inflammation were not fully eliminated, and increases in erosion and JSN scores were observed at 6 months [0.4 (p < 0.01)/0.1 (p < 0.05)], 12 months [0.8 (p < 0.001)/0.3 (p < 0.01)], and 24 months [1.0 (p < 0.001)/0.4 (p < 0.001)]. Clinical measures decreased significantly (p < 0.001) at all time points. There were no consistent statistically significant differences between treatment groups.CONCLUSIONS: In this eRA treat-to-target trial, MTX and intra-articular glucocorticoids markedly reduced, but did not eliminate, MRI osteitis, synovitis, and tenosynovitis. Accordingly, minimal but statistically significant increases in bone erosion and JSN were observed. No additional effect of CyA was demonstrated.

OBJECTIVES: To determine to what extent shared epitopes, smoking, and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibodies are associated with disease activity and erosive disease in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) at disease onset.METHOD: RA patients not previously treated with disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) and with a disease duration of < 6 months (CIMESTRA study) were examined for shared epitopes, anti-CCP antibodies, immunoglobulin M rheumatoid factor (IgM-RF) and IgA-RF, radiographic erosive changes in hands and feet, and clinical disease activity.RESULTS: The study comprised 153 patients, of whom 104 (68%) were ever-smokers. The prevalence of patients with 0, 1, or 2 shared epitopes was 40 (48%), 71 (49%), and 33 (23%), respectively. Anti-CCP antibodies, IgM-RF, and IgA-RF were present in 89 (58%), 99 (65%), and 82 (54%) patients, respectively. Among smokers, erosive disease was associated with anti-CCP antibodies [odds ratio (OR) 3.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6-9.3], IgM-RF (OR 4.9, 95% CI 1.9-12), and IgA-RF (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.2-6.4) but absent with regard to shared epitopes. Among never-smokers, erosive disease was not associated with either shared epitopes or antibodies. All antibody levels measured were associated with smoking and shared epitopes.CONCLUSIONS: Shared epitopes and smoking were associated with the production of anti-CCP antibodies and rheumatoid factors of IgM and IgA isotypes, which again were associated with erosive disease at presentation only in smokers. As shared epitopes and smoking were not directly associated with erosive disease, smoking may enhance the development of erosive disease in RA at different levels or through separate pathways.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to measure, in early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients, the concentration of CC-chemokine ligand 19 (CCL19) in plasma and the cell-surface expression of CC-chemokine receptor 7 (CCR7) on circulating monocytes and CD4+ T lymphocytes and to analyse correlations with disease activity and 5-year radiographic progression.METHOD: In disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (DMARD)-naïve RA patients (disease duration < 6 months), we measured plasma CCL19 by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) (n = 160) and CCR7 cell-surface expression on monocytes and CD4+ T lymphocytes by flow cytometry (n = 40) at baseline and after 1 year of treatment with methotrexate (MTX) or methotrexate+cyclosporin A (MTX/CyA). Radiographic progression was scored by the van der Heijde-modified Total Sharp Score (TSS) from 0 to 5 years.RESULTS: Increased baseline CCL19 (median 85 pg/mL, range 31-1008 pg/mL, p = 0.01) decreased after 1 year (median 31 pg/mL, range 31-1030 pg/mL, p < 0.001) and 5 years (median 31 pg/mL, range 31-247 pg/mL, p < 0.001) to a level below the controls (n = 45) (median 60 pg/mL, range 31-152 pg/mL). Baseline plasma CCL19 levels [p = 0.011, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.0030-0.0176], anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibody status (p = 0.002, 95% CI 0.61-2.38), and TSS > 0 at baseline (p < 0.001, 95% CI 1.21-3.16) were independent predictors of 5-year radiographic progression evaluated by multiple logistic regression in contrast to never smoked, C-reactive protein (CRP), gender, age, number of tender (NTJ) and swollen joints (NSJ), and 28-joint Disease Activity Score (DAS28). Increased CCR7 expression on monocytes (p = 0.008) correlated to CRP (p = 0.006, r = 0.52) and normalized (n = 15) after 1 year (p = 0.02).CONCLUSIONS: In DMARD-naïve RA patients, CCL19 plasma level and CCR7 surface expression on monocytes were upregulated and normalized after 1 year of treatment. Increased bas

OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of radiographic progression in a 2-year randomized, double-blind clinical study (CIMESTRA) of patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: Early RA patients (N=130) were treated with methotrexate, intra-articular betamethasone and cyclosporine/placebo-cyclosporine. Baseline magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the wrist (wrist-only-group:N=130) or MRI of wrist and MCP-joints (wrist+MCP-group:N=89) (OMERACT RAMRIS), x-rays of hands, wrists and forefeet (Sharp/vdHeijde Score (TSS)), disease activity score (DAS28), anti-cyclic-citrullinated-peptide-antibodies (anti-CCP), HLA-DRB1-shared-epitope (SE) and smoking status were assessed. Multiple regression analysis was performed with delta-TSS (0-2 years) as dependent variable, and baseline DAS28, TSS, MRI bone oedema score, MRI synovitis score, MRI erosion score, anti-CCP, smoking, SE, age and gender as explanatory variables. RESULTS: Baseline values: median DAS28: 5.6 (range: 2.4-8.0); anti-CCP positive: 61%; radiographic erosions: 56%. At 2 years: DAS28: 2.0 (0.5-5.7), in DAS-remission: 56%, radiographic progression: 26% (wrist+MCP-group, similar for wrist-only-group). MRI bone oedema score was the only independent predictor of delta-TSS (wrist+MCP-group: coefficient=0.75 (95%CI: 0.56-0.97), p<0.00001; wrist-only-group: coefficient=0.56 (0.41-0.77), p<0.00001). Bone oedema score explained 41% of the variation in the progression of TSS (wrist+MCP-group), 25% in wrist-only-group, (Pearson's r=0.64 and r=0.50, respectively). The results were confirmed by sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: In a RCT aiming at remission in early RA patients, baseline RAMRIS MRI bone oedema score of MCP and wrist joints (and of wrist only) was the strongest independent predictor of radiographic progression in hands, wrists and forefeet after 2 years. MRI synovitis score, MRI erosion score, DAS28, anti-CCP, SE, smoking, age and gender were not independent risk factors Udgivelsesdato: 2008/4, OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of radiographic progression in a 2-year randomized, double-blind clinical study (CIMESTRA) of patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: Early RA patients (N=130) were treated with methotrexate, intra-articular betamethasone and cyclosporine/placebo-cyclosporine. Baseline magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) of the wrist (wrist-only-group:N=130) or MRI of wrist and MCP-joints (wrist+MCP-group:N=89) (OMERACT RAMRIS), x-rays of hands, wrists and forefeet (Sharp/vdHeijde Score (TSS)), disease activity score (DAS28), anti-cyclic-citrullinated-peptide-antibodies (anti-CCP), HLA-DRB1-shared-epitope (SE) and smoking status were assessed. Multiple regression analysis was performed with delta-TSS (0-2 years) as dependent variable, and baseline DAS28, TSS, MRI bone oedema score, MRI synovitis score, MRI erosion score, anti-CCP, smoking, SE, age and gender as explanatory variables. RESULTS: Baseline values: median DAS28: 5.6 (range: 2.4-8.0); anti-CCP positive: 61%; radiographic erosions: 56%. At 2 years: DAS28: 2.0 (0.5-5.7), in DAS-remission: 56%, radiographic progression: 26% (wrist+MCP-group, similar for wrist-only-group). MRI bone oedema score was the only independent predictor of delta-TSS (wrist+MCP-group: coefficient=0.75 (95%CI: 0.56-0.97), p<0.00001; wrist-only-group: coefficient=0.56 (0.41-0.77), p<0.00001). Bone oedema score explained 41% of the variation in the progression of TSS (wrist+MCP-group), 25% in wrist-only-group, (Pearson's r=0.64 and r=0.50, respectively). The results were confirmed by sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: In a RCT aiming at remission in early RA patients, baseline RAMRIS MRI bone oedema score of MCP and wrist joints (and of wrist only) was the strongest independent predictor of radiographic progression in hands, wrists and forefeet after 2 years. MRI synovitis score, MRI erosion score, DAS28, anti-CCP, SE, smoking, age and gender were not independent risk factors.

OBJECTIVE: Since estrogen receptors (ER-alpha/ER-beta) were identified in human chondrocytes, animal and experimental studies have demonstrated the importance of continued estrogen production for the integrity of articular cartilage. However, human epidemiological support of the hypothesis has been inconclusive. The present cross-sectional study investigated the relationship between reduced bone mineral density (BMD), as a surrogate parameter of endogenous estrogen status assessed by digital x-ray radiogrammetry, and reduced minimum hip joint space width (JSW). DESIGN: Standardized hand radiographs of the Copenhagen Osteoarthritis Study cohort of 3,913 adults (1,470 male/2,443 female) with a mean age of 60 years (range, 18-92) were analyzed using X-Posure digital software, version 2.0 (Sectra-Pronosco). The system is operator independent. From 1,200 individual measurements per radiograph, mean BMD was calculated. Minimum hip JSW was assessed on standardized pelvic radiographs. RESULTS: Digital x-ray radiogrammetry BMD decreased in both men and women after the age of 45 years, progressively more so in women. Although minimum hip JSW in men remained relatively unaltered throughout life, a marked decline in female minimum hip JSW after age 45 years was observed. We found moderate but highly significant relationships between reduced BMD and reduced hip JSW in women (P < 0.0001), adjusted for age and dysplastic joint incongruity. CONCLUSION: We believe that the present study supports the hypothetical relationship between reduced estrogen levels and hip JSW reduction in women. Udgivelsesdato: null-null, OBJECTIVE: Since estrogen receptors (ER-alpha/ER-beta) were identified in human chondrocytes, animal and experimental studies have demonstrated the importance of continued estrogen production for the integrity of articular cartilage. However, human epidemiological support of the hypothesis has been inconclusive. The present cross-sectional study investigated the relationship between reduced bone mineral density (BMD), as a surrogate parameter of endogenous estrogen status assessed by digital x-ray radiogrammetry, and reduced minimum hip joint space width (JSW). DESIGN: Standardized hand radiographs of the Copenhagen Osteoarthritis Study cohort of 3,913 adults (1,470 male/2,443 female) with a mean age of 60 years (range, 18-92) were analyzed using X-Posure digital software, version 2.0 (Sectra-Pronosco). The system is operator independent. From 1,200 individual measurements per radiograph, mean BMD was calculated. Minimum hip JSW was assessed on standardized pelvic radiographs. RESULTS: Digital x-ray radiogrammetry BMD decreased in both men and women after the age of 45 years, progressively more so in women. Although minimum hip JSW in men remained relatively unaltered throughout life, a marked decline in female minimum hip JSW after age 45 years was observed. We found moderate but highly significant relationships between reduced BMD and reduced hip JSW in women (P < 0.0001), adjusted for age and dysplastic joint incongruity. CONCLUSION: We believe that the present study supports the hypothetical relationship between reduced estrogen levels and hip JSW reduction in women.