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In order to avoid the consequences of over- and under-treatment of endometrial hyperplasia, diagnostic accuracy and progression risk assessment must be improved. The aim of this study was to assess whether PAX2 or PTEN expression could predict progression-free survival in endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia (EIN) and endometrial endometrioid carcinoma (EEC). Immunohistochemistry for detection of PAX2 and PTEN was performed on 348 endometrial samples; 75 proliferative endometrium (PE), 36 EIN and 237 EEC. Cases classified as PTEN null (1 or more glands negatively stained) were more prevalent in EEC than in PE and EIN (64% EEC vs 11% PE/EIN). A progressive decrease in PAX2 expression was observed from PE to EIN to EEC. Long-term clinical follow-up (6–310 months, median: 126) was available for 62 PE cases, all 36 EIN cases and 178 EEC cases. No patients with PE demonstrated progression to EIN or EEC. Progression of disease was observed in 10 (28%) EIN patients. These patients had significantly lower PAX2 expression than those that regressed (P = 0.005). Progression-free survival analysis revealed that EIN patients with a high-risk PAX2 expression score (H-score ≤75) had a higher probability of progression of disease in comparison to those with a low-risk score (H-score >75). PAX2 expression was not prognostic in EEC nor was PTEN status of prognostic value in either EIN or EEC. PAX2 expression analysis by means of H-score has prognostic potential for the identification of high-risk progression cases in EIN but needs to be validated in a larger cohort.

Objectives: To analyze the prognostic value of microsatellite instability (MSI) in a population-based study of FIGO stage 1–4 endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinomas.Study Design: Survival analysis in 273 patients of MSI status and clinico-pathologic features. Using a highly sensitive pentaplex polymerase chain reaction to establish MSI status, cases were divided into microsatellite stable (MSS), MSI-low (MSI-L, 1 marker positive) and MSI-high (MSI-H, 2–5 markers positive).Results: After 61 months median follow-up (1-209), 34 (12.5%) of the patients developed metastases but only 6.4% of the FIGO 1. MSI (especially as MSI-H vs. MSS/MSI-Lcombined) was prognostic in FIGO 1 but not in FIGO 2–4. The 5 and 10 year recurrence-free survival rates were 98% and 95% in the MSS/MSI-L vs. 85% and 73% in the MSI-H patients (p=0.005).Conclusions: MSI-H status assessed by pentaplex polymerase chain reaction is an indicator of poor prognosis in FIGO 1, but not in FIGO 2–4 endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinomas.

The prognostic value of molecular biomarkers, microsatellite instability, DNA ploidy and morphometric mean shortest nuclear axis in endometrial cancer is conflicting, possibly due to the fact that different studies have used mixtures of histotypes, FIGO stages and different non-standardized non-automated methods. We have evaluated the prognostic value of classical prognostic factors, molecular biomarkers, microsatellite instability, DNA ploidy and morphometric mean shortest nuclear axis in a population-based cohort of FIGO stage I endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinomas. Curettings of 224 FIGO stage I endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinoma patients were reviewed. Clinical information, including follow-up, was obtained from the patients' charts. Microsatellite instability and morphometric mean shortest nuclear axis were obtained in whole tissue sections and molecular biomarkers using tissue microarrays. DNA ploidy was analyzed by image cytometry. Univariate (Kaplan-Meier method) and multivariate (Cox model) survival analysis was performed. With median follow-up of 66 months (1-209), 14 (6%) patients developed metastases. Age, microsatellite instability, molecular biomarkers (p16, p21, p27, p53 and survivin) and morphometric mean shortest nuclear axis had prognostic value. With multivariate analysis, combined survivin, p21 and microsatellite instability overshadowed all other variables. Patients in which any of these features had favorable values had an excellent prognosis, in contrast to those with either high survivin or low p21 (97 vs 78% survival, P

We tested the hypothesis that PTEN inactivation may stratify cancer progression risk among putative endometrial hyperplasias, classified prognostically by means of the morphometric D score (DS). The DS, calculated from 3 morphometric variables measured in routine hematoxylin-eosin-stained endometrial biopsy slides, is the most sensitive and specific method of endometrial cancer risk prediction currently available. Clinical outcomes of 103 women with endometrial hyperplasia on biopsy were tallied according to the DS. Seven (7/103; 7%) patients with carcinoma during follow-up were all distributed within the high-risk prognostic group (ie, DS1 = endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia [EIN]) (7/21; 33% progression). None of the 82 cases with a DS higher than 1 progressed. All cases that progressed were PTEN null, indicating that this genotype is capable of further stratifying cancer progression risk in hyperplasias irrespective of histological categorization. However, only 16% of the PTEN-null cases progressed. When PTEN expression pattern was combined with EIN, the prognostic power was greatly increased (specificity from 63% for PTEN and 85% for EIN to 93% when combined; positive predictive value from 16% and 33% to 50%). We conclude that loss of PTEN expression is the first biomarker in EIN that increases the accuracy of the prognostic DS to predict cancer progression risk. Unless endometrial hyperplasias are stratified by histological morphometric D-Score, PTEN has a low positive predictive value.

Endometrial hyperplasia (EH) is a common disease. An estimated 180,000–200,000 new cases occur annually in the Western world; approx 39,200 new cases and 6600 deaths were expected in the United States in 2002 (1). About 8–20% of all EH is associated with subsequent endometrial cancer of the endometrioid type. Major problems in treating EH include poor diagnostic reproducibility and inaccurate prediction of cancer progression. This has resulted in enormous overtreatment. The World Health Organization (WHO)’s 1994 histologic classification is widely used but is not reproducible, does not adequately predict the risk of cancer progression, and lacks a molecular and cell biology basis. Computerized morphometric analysis has identified a multivariate combination of architectural and nuclear features, called the DS, which is reproducible, fits with therapeutic options, and accurately predicts cancer outcome. Cases with DS ≥1 have a negligible progression risk (0.3%), contrasting with a 37% progression risk for those with DS < 1 found in a large multicenter study with more than 18 yr of follow-up. Moreover, molecular-genetic studies have found a {tly|464-1} strong correlation between clonality and DS; monoclonal cases nearly always have DS < 0; cases with DS ≥ 1 are mostly polyclonal. This has resulted in a new classification, endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia (EIN), which does not mimic subjective WHO hyperplasia diagnoses but rather uses new criteria for prognostic prediction of cancer endpoints. Moreover, high-risk EIN-DS lesions often show clonal inactivation of the phosphatase and tensin homologue (PTEN) tumor-supressor gene by immunohistochemistry. Based on EIN-DS, patients can now be reproducibly assigned with high accuracy to high- and low-risk categories, permitting appropriate management. EIN-DS application is easy, can be done on standard histologic sections, and has reasonable cost. EIN-DS thus can be assessed in any pathology laboratory, but sections can also be sent to reference laboratories for measurement if necessary.

The purpose of this study was to assess the value of the 2003 World Health Organization (WHO) and endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia (EIN) classifications, D-score, and molecular biomarkers in endometrial hyperplasia (EH) for cancer progression.We conducted a review of 307 endometrial hyperplasias for WHO and EIN classifications and an analysis of biomarkers, D-score, and cancer progression-free survival.The WHO, EIN, D-score, and many biomarkers were prognostic; 7.2% of the samples progressed to cancer. The WHO and EIN classifications correlated weakly with CK5/6 and p16. The D-score was strongest prognostically. When1, it had the lowest false-negative progression rate of all features analyzed. COX2 negativity was the only other independent multivariate cancer progression predictor in endometrial hyperplasia, but only in cases with D-score1. Eight of 13 cases (61%), with a combined D-score of1 and negative COX2 progressed, which contrasted with 3 of 139 of all other cases (2.8%) (P.0001; hazard ratio, 53.0). The biomarkers did not strengthen the prognostic value of the WHO or EIN classification.Combined D-score1 and COX2 negativity strongly predict cancer progression in endometrial hyperplasias.

Objective To analyze the prognostic value of molecular biomarkers in curettages of endometrioid endometrial cancer pathologic FIGO stages 1 and 2. Study Design Population-based survival analysis in 258 patients of classical prognostic features and molecular biomarkers of cell cycle regulation, (anti)apoptosis, proliferation, squamous differentiation, and PTEN/Akt pathway. Results With 74 months median follow-up (range, 1-209), 24 (9.3%) patients had metastases develop. Pathologic FIGO stage 2B (6% of all cases) and age > 68 years had independent multivariate prognostic value. Many molecular biomarkers were prognostic, particularly cell-cycle regulators p16, p21, p27, p53, p63, and the antiapoptosis marker survivin (which mostly stains mitoses). The strong prognostic value of a multivariate model with survivin, p21, and p53 overshadowed all other prognosticators in pathologic FIGO 1 and 2A. Conclusion In pathologic FIGO stage 1 and 2A endometrioid endometrial cancer curettages, combined biomarkers survivin, p21, and p53 expression patterns are prognostically stronger than classical feature combinations.