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Background We studied whether machine learning could predict survival, risk of future acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and coronary angiographic (CAG) findings in patients with unstable angina (UA). We also studied whether high-sensitivity troponin levels within normal range can predict the presence of obstructive coronary lesions, risk of future ACS and death. Methods We used the SWEDEHEART registry to include patients admitted to the coronary care unit due to chest pain, with normal high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T or I (hs-cTnI, hs-cTnT), who underwent CAG and did not receive a final diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We studied CAG findings on segmental level, developed machine learning models predicting the risk of ACS or death within 1-year, and angiographic findings. The latter model predicted CAG resulting in interventions (any) or eliciting further assessments after CAG. Models for ACS and death included 130 candidate predictors and models for angiographic findings included 110 predictors. Results We included 9’314 patients; 1-year rate of death was 0.9% (n=78) and ACS was 2.7% (n=251). A total of 5455 (61.5%) of CAG resulted in no intervention and no further assessment afterwards, with 40% without significant stenosis. There was a strong association between hs-cTnI (within normal range) and severity of coronary atherosclerosis; e.g 32.4% in patients with hs-cTnI 26-35 ng/L had >50% stenosis in segment 6, as compared with 12.6% in those with hs-cTnI 0-5 ng/L. All segments displayed similar associations with troponin levels. Among 17 predictors for atherosclerosis, hs-cTnI was the strongest predictor of having >50% stenosis in the left anterior descending artery (LAD). Mortality increased at hs-cTnI levels above 10 ng/L for men, but not women. Age and sex adjusted hazard ratio for hs-cTnI 25-35 vs hs-TnI 0-5 was 5.73 (2.14-15.35) for 1-year mortality. No association was noted for hs-cTnT. The strongest predictors of 1-year mortality were C-reactive protein, body mass index, estimated glomerular filtration rate. Conclusion Troponin levels within normal range exhibit a strong association with obstructive CAD and survival.

The efficacy and safety of clopidogrel compared with ticagrelor as part of dual antiplatelet therapy in patients, and in older patients, with acute coronary syndrome is reviewed. PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, and HTA databases were searched (September 2, 2020) for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Pooled risk differences (clopidogrel minus ticagrelor) were estimated using random-effects meta-analyses, and certainty of evidence was assessed according to Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation. In all, 29 RCTs were identified. The risk difference for all-cause mortality was 0.6% (-0.03% to 1.3%), cardiovascular (CV) mortality: 0.6% (95% confidence interval: 0.01% to 1.1%), myocardial infarction (MI): 0.9% (0.4% to 1.3%), stent thrombosis: 0.7% (0.4 to 1.1%), clinically significant bleeding: -1.9% (-3.7% to -0.2%), major bleeding: -0.9% (-1.6% to -0.1%), and dyspnea: -5.8% (-7.7% to -3.8%). In older patients, there were no differences between the comparison groups regarding all-cause mortality, CV mortality, and MI, whereas the risk of clinically significant bleeding and major bleeding was lower in the clopidogrel group, -5.9% (-11 to -0.9%, 1 RCT) and -2.4% (-4.4% to -0.3%), respectively. Compared with ticagrelor, clopidogrel may result in little or no difference regarding all-cause mortality. Although not evident in older patients, it cannot be excluded that clopidogrel may be slightly less efficient in reducing the risk of CV mortality and MI, whereas ticagrelor is probably more efficacious in reducing the risk of stent thrombosis. Clopidogrel results in a reduced risk of dyspnea and clinically significant bleeding and in older people probably in a reduced risk of major bleeding.

Despite improvements in short-term survival for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) in the past two decades, long-term survival is still not well studied. Furthermore, the contribution of different variables on long-term survival have not been fully investigated.Examine the 1-year prognosis of patients discharged from hospital after an OHCA. Furthermore, identify factors predicting re-arrest and/or death during 1-year follow-up.All patients 18 years or older surviving an OHCA and discharged from the hospital were identified from the Swedish Register for Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation (SRCR). Data on diagnoses, medications and socioeconomic factors was gathered from other Swedish registers. A machine learning model was constructed with 886 variables and evaluated for its predictive capabilities. Variable importance was gathered from the model and new models with the most important variables were created.Out of the 5098 patients included, 902 (∼18%) suffered a recurrent cardiac arrest or death within a year. For the outcome death or re-arrest within 1 year from discharge the model achieved an ROC (receiver operating characteristics) AUC (area under the curve) of 0.73. A model with the 15 most important variables achieved an AUC of 0.69.Survivors of an OHCA have a high risk of suffering a re-arrest or death within 1 year from hospital discharge. A machine learning model with 15 different variables, among which age, socioeconomic factors and neurofunctional status at hospital discharge, achieved almost the same predictive capabilities with reasonable precision as the full model with 886 variables.

Background Survival in left-sided valvular heart disease (VHD; aortic stenosis [AS], aortic regurgitation [AR], mitral stenosis [MS], mitral regurgitation [MR]) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is unknown. Methods We studied all cases of OHCA in the Swedish Registry for Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation. Association between VHD and survival was studied using logistic regression, gradient boosting and Cox regression. We studied time to cardiac arrest, comorbidities, survival, and cerebral performance category (CPC) score. Results We included 55,615 patients; 1948 with AS, 384 AR, 17 MS, and 704 with MR. Time from VHD diagnosis to cardiac arrest was 3.7 years in AS, 4.5 years in AR and 4.1 years in MR. ROSC occurred in 28% with AS, 33% with AR, 36% with MR and 35% without VHD. Survival at 30 days was 5.2%, 10.4%, 9.2%, 11.4% in AS, AR, MR and without VHD, respectively. There were no survivors in people with AS presenting with asystole or PEA. CPC scores did not differ in those with VHD compared with no VHD. Odds ratio (OR) for MR and AR showed no difference in survival, while AS displayed OR 0.58 (95% CI 0.46–0.72), vs no VHD. Conclusion AS is associated with halved survival in OHCA, while AR and MR do not affect survival. Survivors with AS have neurological outcomes comparable to patients without VHD.

Aims: Percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) improves outcomes in non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACSs). Octogenarians, however, were underrepresented in the pivotal trials. This study aimed to assess the effect of PCI in patients ≥80 years old. Methods and results: We used data from the SWEDEHEART registry for all hospital admissions at eight cardiac care centres within Västra Götaland County. Consecutive patients ≥80 years old admitted for NSTE-ACS between January 2000 and December 2011 were included. We performed instrumental variable analysis with propensity score. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality at 30 days and one year after index hospitalization. During the study period 5200 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria. In total, 586 (11.2%) patients underwent PCI, the remaining 4613 patients were treated conservatively. Total mortality at 30 days was 19.4% (1007 events) and 39.4% (1876 events) at one year. Thirty-day mortality was 20.7% in conservatively treated patients and 8.5% in the PCI group (adjusted odds ratio 0.34; 95% confidence interval 0.12–0.97, p = 0.044). One-year mortality was 42.1% in the conservatively treated group and 16.3% in the PCI group (adjusted odds ratio 0.97; 95% confidence interval 0.36–2.51, p = 0.847). Conclusions: PCI in octogenarians with NSTE-ACS was associated with a lower risk of mortality at 30 days. However, this survival benefit was not sustained during the entire study-period of one-year.

Background Several studies have compared CABG to PCI as revascularization treatment in patients with ischemic heart disease (IHD). However, it remains unclear which revascularization strategy carries survival benefits in the long-term. Methods We used data from the SWEDEHEART (Swedish Web-System for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-Based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies) registry for all hospital admissions at 13 cardiac care centers within Västra Götaland County in Sweden (∼20% of all SWEDEHEART data). The database contains >1000 clinical variables documenting the entire process of acute coronary hospital care. All patients hospitalized for stable angina or NSTE-ACS during the period 2000–2018 were included in the analysis. We used a propensity score-adjusted Cox proportional-hazards regression with hospitals as random-effect variables. We adjusted for patients' demographics, socio-economic status, traditional risk factors, comorbidities, the severity of coronary artery disease, left ventricular function, calendar year and medication at discharge. For sensitivity analysis, we used the instrumental variable estimator for the Cox proportional-hazards model (with treating hospital as a treatment-preference instrument) to simultaneously deal with the problems of unmeasured confounding and censoring of the outcome. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Results In total, 11,896 patients were included in the study. Of these, 3,129 (26.3%) were women. 20.4% had diabetes and 10.4% had a previous myocardial infarction. The mean age was 66.7±10.7, and 42.9% were >70 years old. 61.5% had three-vessel and/or left main disease. Median follow-up time was 5.7 years (range 1 day-18.2 years). Revascularization therapy after coronary angiography was PCI in 9449 (79.4%) and CABG in 2,447 (20.6%) patients. CABG patients were more likely to have diabetes, left main/multivessel disease and heart failure. The number of revascularized patients with PCI increased by 6.4% per calendar year (P0.05). Results from the sensitivity analysis support the conclusions from the primary model. Conclusions In hospitalized patients due to IHD, revascularization with CABG was associated with superior long-term survival compared to PCI. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Heart and Lung Foundation, ALF Västra Götaland, Swedish Scientific Council

Background Ticagrelor reduces ischaemic end points in acute coronary syndromes. However, outcomes of ticagrelor versus clopidogrel in real‐world patients with acute coronary syndromes treated with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) remain unclear. We sought to examine whether treatment with ticagrelor is superior to clopidogrel in unselected patients with acute coronary syndromes treated with PCI. Methods and Results We used data from SCAAR (Swedish Coronary Angiography and Angioplasty Registry) for PCI performed in Västra Götaland County, Sweden. The database contains information about all PCI performed at 5 hospitals (∼20% of all data in SCAAR). All procedures between January 2005 and January 2015 for unstable angina/non‒ST‐segment‒elevation myocardial infarction and ST‐segment‒elevation myocardial infarction were included. We used instrumental variable 2‐stage least squares regression to adjust for confounders. The primary combined end point was mortality or stent thrombosis at 30 days, secondary end points were mortality at 30 days and 1‐year, stent thrombosis at 30 days, in‐hospital bleeding, in‐hospital neurologic complications and long‐term mortality. A total of 15 097 patients were included in the study of which 2929 (19.4%) were treated with ticagrelor. Treatment with ticagrelor was not associated with a lower risk for the primary end point (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.20; 95% CI, 0.87–1.61; P =0.250). Estimated risk of death at 30 days (aOR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.88–1.64; P =0.287) and at 1‐year (aOR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.86–1.64; P =0.556) was not different between the groups. The risk of in‐hospital bleeding was higher with ticagrelor (aOR, 2.88; 95% CI, 1.53–5.44; P =0.001). Conclusions In this observational study, treatment with ticagrelor was not superior to clopidogrel in patients with acute coronary syndromes treated with PCI.

Ageing populations and higher ambitions continuously drive healthcare costs in Sweden and worldwide. During the last two decades, downsizing hospital bed capacity has been the strategy for cutting expenditure in the Swedish healthcare system. However, the lack of implementation of new and viable outpatient alternatives has led to a widespread overcrowding problem in Swedish hospitals and emergency departments. The present study was conducted as a survey in hospital wards at two emergency hospitals in southwestern Sweden. Study aims were to assess the causes of hospitalization and indications for continuing in-hospital care in hospitalized geriatric patients (80 years). The study shows that a very small number of patients are admitted barely because of social factors; however, there is a significant group where hospitalization is due to both social and medical factors. A large group of hospitalized patients over 80 year (37%) could receive their care outside the emergency hospital. About 30% of hospitalized patients are waiting for planning, and the majority of them waiting for social action and planning. Older patients with multiple diseases require healthcare but not hospitalization to the present extent. We should focus on developing additional forms of healthcare since avoidable hospitalization is a high cost for the society, but above all a risk for the individual.

Although clinically relevant atherosclerosis of the upper limb arteries is rarely seen, intimal hyperplasia of the arteries may reflect global atherosclerosis and increased intima-media thickness of the brachial artery has been linked to an increased risk of cardiovascular events and to early failure of the radiocephalic arteriovenous fistula. We speculated that patients with ESRD have thickening of both the radial intimal and medial layers compared to healthy subjects.Ultrasound biomicroscopy is a novel very high frequency (55 MHz) ultrasound technique that could accurately measure the intima and media thickness of the vessel wall. No previous study has measured intima and media thickness separately in patients with end-stage renal disease and hence, the aim of the current study was to investigate the radial arterial wall layers in patients with chronic renal failure.Thirty-one patients with end-stage renal disease and 41 healthy subjects underwent ultrasound biomicroscopy of the radial arteries. Blood pressures did not differ except for pulse pressures which were elevated among patients with end-stage renal disease (p0.01). Patients with end-stage renal disease showed 39% thicker intima and 18% greater media in the radial artery compared to healthy subjects (0.117+/-0.031 mm versus 0.084+/-0.02 mm for the IT, p0.01 and 0.205+/-0.062 mm versus 0.174+/-0.044 mm for the MT; p0.05).Both the intima and the media layers of the radial arteries are increased in patients with end-stage renal disease. Whether measurements of the radial arterial intima thickness may convey valuable information on the risk of future cardiovascular events and early arteriovenous fistula failure in end-stage renal disease remain to be elucidated in future studies.

We have used a novel ultra high-frequency (55MHz) ultrasound technique to non-invasively measure the radial arterial vessel wall and separate the intima-media (IMT) complex into measurements of intima and media thickness (IT and MT). Since no previous study has measured IT and MT separately in individuals with prehypertension and hypertension, the aim of the current study was to measure IT and MT thickness of the radial arteries among individuals with prehypertension, hypertension and healthy subjects.Individuals with prehypertension (n=32), hypertension (n=34) and healthy subjects (n=29) underwent ultra high-resolution ultrasound of the radial artery. Individuals with prehypertension showed a 14% increase in IT compared to healthy subjects (0.083+/-0.020mm versus 0.073+/-0.015mm; p0.05), whereas no difference was seen in MT. Individuals with hypertension showed a 12% increase of in IT compared to healthy subjects (0.082+/-0.018mm versus 0.073+/-0.015mm, p0.05), whereas no differences were seen regarding MT. Prehypertensive and hypertensive individuals did not differ regarding IT and MT.Both prehypertension and hypertension are associated with thickening of the intimal layer of the radial artery. The present data indicates that intima thickening appears early during the development of hypertension even when blood pressure is only slightly elevated.

Ultrabiomicroscopy is a novel high-frequency (55 MHz) ultrasound technique that could be used to non-invasively measure the vessel wall and separate the intima—media complex into measurements of intima and media thickness. Since no previous study has measured intima and media thickness separately in vivo in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD), the aim of the current study was to measure intima and intima—media thickness of the radial and the anterior tibial arteries among patients with CHD and healthy subjects (HS). Thirty-two patients with CHD and 46 HS underwent investigations with ultrabiomicroscopy measurements of the radial and anterior tibial arteries. Patients with CHD showed a 19% increase in intima thickness of the radial artery compared with HS (0.088 ± 0.024 mm versus 0.074 ± 0.015 mm; p < 0.015), whereas no difference was seen in media thickness. There were no differences in intima or media thickness within the anterior tibial arteries. In conclusion, CHD is associated with thickening of the intima of the radial artery whereas media thickness was unchanged compared with HS. Assessment of intima thickness by high-frequency ultrasound may provide a tool for non-invasive early detection of atherosclerosis.

Ventricular arrhythmias are uncommon after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), but the incidence and mortality are high in certain subsets of patients during the early recovery after surgery. Elevated temporal lability of myocardial repolarization has been associated with sudden cardiac death. The aim of the current study was to explore temporal variability of myocardial repolarization during both early and longtime follow-up after CABG.Patients (n = 61) who had undergone CABG and healthy subjects (HS, n = 33) were examined. Electrocardiogram and beat-to-beat blood pressure were recorded at 5 weeks and 5 months after surgery. The QT variability index (QTVI) was calculated as the log ratio between the temporal variabilities of the QT and RR intervals. The QTVI and QT variances were elevated by 40% and 44%, whereas RR variances were reduced by 40% among patients 5 weeks after CABG compared to HS (-0.90 +/- 0.59, 29 +/- 30, and 1223 +/- 1895 ms(2) vs -1.50 +/- 0.29, 15 +/- 16, and 2200 +/- 2877 ms(2) for HS; P.01 for all). The QTVI and QT variances decreased by 38% and 31% between 5 weeks and 5 months after CABG, whereas the RR variances increased by 51% (P.01 for all). The QTVI values remained elevated among patients compared to HS at 5 months after CABG (P.01), whereas QT and RR variances did not differ.Elevated temporal lability of myocardial repolarization prevails particularly during the early recovery phase after CABG and may reflect increased susceptibility to ventricular arrhythmia.

Background— Using new, very high-resolution ultrasound biomicroscopy, we examined the thickness of artificial layers of silicone and intima thickness (IT) of radial and anterior tibial arteries in healthy subjects and in patients with vascular disease. Methods and Results— Silicone layers of varying thicknesses and mesenteric artery specimens obtained from 18 patients undergoing colectomy were measured by both ultrasound biomicroscopy (55 MHz) and morphometry. There was high correlation ( r >0.9; P r =0.44 to 0.53; P P Conclusion— This study is the first to our knowledge in humans to show the feasibility of measuring IT of the radial and anterior tibial arteries using very high-resolution ultrasound. IT progresses with age, and the IT-to-lumen diameter ratio is largest in the arteries of the foot. Assessment of IT by ultrasound biomicroscopy may aid in detecting early peripheral vascular abnormalities.

BACKGROUND Recent guidelines for the management of arterial hypertension have proposed that, to prevent cardiovascular disease, lifestyle modifications are required even in the case of high-normal blood pressure (HNBP). OBJECTIVE To assess myocardial repolarization and spontaneous cardiac baroreflex sensitivity (BRS) in newly diagnosed and never-treated individuals. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS We studied healthy individuals with HNBP according to the 2003 European Society of Hypertension-ESC guidelines and, for comparison, patients with renovascular hypertension (RVH) and healthy individuals with normal blood pressure (NBP). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Electrocardiogram and beat-to-beat blood pressure were recorded and spontaneous cardiac baroreflex sensitivity and the temporal QT interval variability index (QTVI) were calculated. RESULTS Individuals with HNBP had increased QTVI values compared with those with NBP (-1.23 +/- 0.37 compared with -1.52 +/- 0.26; P < 0.05), whereas patients with RVH had additionally increased QTVI values that were greater than those in healthy individuals with NBP or HNBP (-0.81 +/- 0.75; P < 0.05 compared with both groups). BRS was reduced in both groups of individuals with increased blood pressures compared with NBP (8.2 +/- 4.1 ms/mmHg for individuals with HNBP, 6.1 +/- 4.3 ms/mmHg for patients with RVH and 10.8 +/- 3.5 ms/mmHg for NBP; P < 0.05 for both). CONCLUSION In otherwise healthy individuals, even a moderate blood pressure increase is associated with increased myocardial repolarization lability and reduced baroreflex sensitivity (BRS). Patients with RVH have an additionally increased QTVI, with values similar to those reported in congestive heart failure. Future studies are needed to establish the value of QTVI and BRS measurements among individuals with HNBP in predicting the risk of progression to hypertension and end-organ damage.

BACKGROUND: The "nondipping" pattern (NDP) of blood pressure, characterized by the absence of the reduction in blood pressure (BP) that typically takes place during the night time, has been associated with elevated cardiovascular morbidity, including stroke, myocardial infarction, and sudden cardiac-related death. In various cardiovascular diseases, reduced vagal control of cardiac function and elevated lability of cardiac repolarization have been associated with increased risk for ventricular arrhythmia and sudden death. The aim of this study was to assess temporal QT variability, arterial baroreflex sensitivity (BRS), and baroreflex effectiveness index (BEI) in two groups of otherwise healthy subjects, one group consisting of those with a normal BP pattern and the other with a nondipping BP pattern. METHODS: Ninety-five healthy subjects underwent 24-h ambulatory BP (AMBP) monitoring. A minimum of 10% reduction in BP during the night relative to daytime levels is considered normal (as found in "dippers"). These individuals were classified as "dippers" (n = 59) and individuals without 10% reduction in BP during night were classified as "nondippers" (n = 36). Electrocardiogram (ECG) readings and beat-to-beat BP were recorded at 1,000 Hz with the subjects at rest in the supine posture for 20 min. BRS, BEI, and QT variability index (QTVI) were calculated. RESULTS: There were no differences between the study groups with respect to age, gender, and average BP. Nondippers showed an increase in QTVI (-1.28 +/- 0.48 in nondippers vs. -1.52 +/- 0.29 in dippers, P < 0.05) and a decrease in BEI (0.34 +/- 0.17 in nondippers vs. 0.43 +/- 0.17 in dippers, P < 0.05), whereas BRS did not differ between the groups. CONCLUSION: A nondipping BP pattern in healthy subjects is associated with elevated myocardial repolarization lability and impaired baroreflex function, suggesting dysfunction of the autonomic nervous system.

Patients treated for major depressive disorder are at increased risk for sudden cardiac death. Impaired arterial baroreflex function has been associated with ventricular arrhythmias. Our hypothesis was that arterial baroreflex dysfunction prevails in major depressive disorder and that electroconvulsive therapy in conjunction to medical therapy would improve both depressive symptoms and baroreflex function. Thirty-three patients with major depressive disorder who were treated in hospital were studied before and after electroconvulsive treatment. Eighteen patients underwent follow-up investigations 6 months after discharge. ECG and beat-to-beat blood pressures were recorded continuously. Arterial baroreflex sensitivity (BRS) and effectiveness index were calculated. Twenty healthy subjects were examined for comparison. Heart rate and systolic blood pressures were elevated (P

Although uncommon, the incidence of ventricular arrhythmia is high in certain subsets of patients after coronary artery bypass grafting. Arterial baroreflex dysfunction has been linked to increased risk of ventricular arrhythmia and sudden cardiac death. The aim of the current study was to explore arterial baroreflex function during the early recovery phase and up to five months after surgery. Electrocardiogram and beat-to-beat blood pressures were registered in patients (n=92) undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting five weeks and five months after surgery. Healthy subjects (n=31) were examined for comparison. The arterial baroreflex sensitivity and the baroreflex effectiveness index were calculated. The baroreflex sensitivity and the baroreflex effectiveness index were reduced by 36% and 64%, respectively (P