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Tropical Instability Waves (TIWs) have been shown to modulate upper ocean mixing. However, previous studies on the modulation of TIW related mixing are based on small numbers of TIWs and have not considered temporal variability, which can lead to discrepancies in the findings. In this study, using a 12‐year simulation carried out with a comprehensive, global, high‐resolution ocean model, we present evidence of seasonally modulated shear instabilities at TIW fronts in the Atlantic Ocean that reach down to the thermocline depth, potentially inducing mixing below the mixed layer depth. We find that, regardless of whether TIWs are present earlier in the year, frontal instabilities and potential mixing primarily occur in boreal summer, coinciding with a vertical shear maximum between the mean zonal currents. We argue that in the Atlantic Ocean, vertical shear at TIW fronts does usually not suffice to cause frontal instabilities below the mixed layer depth. Instead, the background shear needs to be sufficiently large in addition to TIW shear, to overcome the stability. The background shear in turn varies seasonally and is strongly driven by the variability of the northern branch of the South Equatorial Current (nSEC). As such, the variability of the nSEC strongly contributes to the generation and modulation of instabilities at TIW fronts that reach below the mixed layer depth and have the potential to induce mixing. Our results highlight the importance of seasonal variability when studying TIW impacts and their effect on mixing. Plain Language Summary: Tropical Instability Waves (TIWs) create alternating warm and cold patterns at the ocean's surface, leading to sharp temperature fronts. Past studies have shown that mixing can occur along these fronts, but how this mixing changes over time hasn't been explored. Our research focuses on how instabilities below the surface at TIW fronts vary over time. Studying such instabilities helps to better understand the processes that can impact the regional climate. We analyzed over 10 years of data from a detailed ocean model and found that instabilities at TIW fronts in the Atlantic Ocean can extend down to 100 m and follow a clear seasonal cycle. These instabilities are most common in summer when the difference in zonal current speeds is greatest. We discovered that shear at TIW fronts alone isn't enough to cause these deep instabilities; the overall background shear also needs to be strong. This background shear changes with the seasons, mainly influenced by the northern branch of the South Equatorial Current (nSEC). Thus, the nSEC plays a crucial role in modulating instabilities at TIW fronts and potential ocean mixing. Key Points: Tropical instability waves exhibit shear instabilities at the front that reach the thermocline depth and follow a distinct seasonal cycleThe seasonality of frontal shear instabilities results from a superposition of shear from the instability wave and background current shearVariability in the northern South Equatorial Current dominates the modulation of shear instabilities at Tropical Instability Wave fronts [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The North Atlantic subpolar gyre (SPG) plays a crucial role in determining the regional ocean surface temperature (SST), which has profound implications on the surrounding continental and coastal climate. Here, we analyze the Max Planck Institute-Grand Ensemble global warming experiments and show that the SPG can evolve in two distinct phases under continuous global warming. In the first phase, as the global mean surface temperature approaches 2-K warming, the eastern SPG intensifies in combination with a weakening Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), accompanied by a cooling of subpolar North Atlantic SST, known as the warming hole. The associated oceanic fingerprint matches with the observations over the last 15 years, where an intensification and cooling of the eastern SPG is related to salinity reduction at the eastern side of the SPG. However, for further warming beyond 2 K, in spite of a continuous decline in the AMOC, a northward shift of the mean zonal wind extends the subtropical gyre northward with an associated disruption of the eastern SPG intensification, resulting in the cessation of the warming hole. Therefore, a shift from the initially dominating oceanic drivers to the atmospheric driver results into a two-phase evolution of the North Atlantic Ocean SPG circulation and the associated SST under continuous global warming. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A new release of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI‐ESM1.2) is presented. The development focused on correcting errors in and improving the physical processes representation, as well as improving the computational performance, versatility, and overall user friendliness. In addition to new radiation and aerosol parameterizations of the atmosphere, several relatively large, but partly compensating, coding errors in the model's cloud, convection, and turbulence parameterizations were corrected. The representation of land processes was refined by introducing a multilayer soil hydrology scheme, extending the land biogeochemistry to include the nitrogen cycle, replacing the soil and litter decomposition model and improving the representation of wildfires. The ocean biogeochemistry now represents cyanobacteria prognostically in order to capture the response of nitrogen fixation to changing climate conditions and further includes improved detritus settling and numerous other refinements. As something new, in addition to limiting drift and minimizing certain biases, the instrumental record warming was explicitly taken into account during the tuning process. To this end, a very high climate sensitivity of around 7 K caused by low‐level clouds in the tropics as found in an intermediate model version was addressed, as it was not deemed possible to match observed warming otherwise. As a result, the model has a climate sensitivity to a doubling of CO2 over preindustrial conditions of 2.77 K, maintaining the previously identified highly nonlinear global mean response to increasing CO2 forcing, which nonetheless can be represented by a simple two‐layer model. Key Points: An updated version of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Earth System Model (MPI‐ESM1.2) is presentedThe model includes both code corrections and parameterization improvementsDespite this, the model maintains an equilibrium climate sensitivity, which rises with warming [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A new release of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI‐ESM1.2) is presented. The development focused on correcting errors in and improving the physical processes representation, as well as improving the computational performance, versatility, and overall user friendliness. In addition to new radiation and aerosol parameterizations of the atmosphere, several relatively large, but partly compensating, coding errors in the model's cloud, convection, and turbulence parameterizations were corrected. The representation of land processes was refined by introducing a multilayer soil hydrology scheme, extending the land biogeochemistry to include the nitrogen cycle, replacing the soil and litter decomposition model and improving the representation of wildfires. The ocean biogeochemistry now represents cyanobacteria prognostically in order to capture the response of nitrogen fixation to changing climate conditions and further includes improved detritus settling and numerous other refinements. As something new, in addition to limiting drift and minimizing certain biases, the instrumental record warming was explicitly taken into account during the tuning process. To this end, a very high climate sensitivity of around 7 K caused by low‐level clouds in the tropics as found in an intermediate model version was addressed, as it was not deemed possible to match observed warming otherwise. As a result, the model has a climate sensitivity to a doubling of CO2 over preindustrial conditions of 2.77 K, maintaining the previously identified highly nonlinear global mean response to increasing CO2 forcing, which nonetheless can be represented by a simple two‐layer model. Key Points: An updated version of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Earth System Model (MPI‐ESM1.2) is presentedThe model includes both code corrections and parameterization improvementsDespite this, the model maintains an equilibrium climate sensitivity, which rises with warming [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]