1. Prediction of Terrestrial Heat Flow in Songliao Basin Based on Deep Neural Network.
- Author
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Bai, Lige, Li, Jing, Zeng, Zhaofa, and Tao, Deqiang
- Subjects
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TERRESTRIAL heat flow , *DEEP learning , *RENEWABLE energy sources , *GEOTHERMAL resources , *FORECASTING , *IMAGE processing - Abstract
Heat flow is a geothermal parameter for indicating the heat source distribution and evaluating geothermal reservoirs. Only 1,230 heat flow points are distributed unevenly in China, mainly concentrated in high‐temperature geothermal and southeast regions. The Songliao Basin is a potential geothermal field in China. Still, only 20 measurement points are known, making evaluating the geothermal genetic mechanism difficult. Sparse data interpolation using deep learning methods is highly accurate and widely used in fields such as image processing. In this work, we propose a deep neural network for predicting heat flow in the Songliao Basin. More than 4,000 global heat flows and 23 geological and geophysical parameters are used as reference constraints for training. The uncertainty error of the prediction is estimated based on the correlation and distance‐based generalized sensitivity analysis. The results show that the maximum heat flow is 85 mW/m2, the average is 67.1 mW/m2, and the error with the measured data is 10.64%. The previous geophysical and geological interpretation results indicate that the heat flow is higher in the west and lower in the east, with high anomalies in the central region, which may be related to the uplift of the deep mantle and the depression of the shallow low‐velocity sedimentary layer. Some high‐temperature melt bodies are in the deep layers, forming the current potential geothermal field. The measured data validates that the DNN is an effective method for predicting regional‐scale heat flow, providing reliable heat source information for evaluating geothermal resources. Plain Language Summary: Geothermal has received extensive global attention as a new renewable energy resource. Geothermal heat flow (GHF) is crucial among various indicators for assessing potential geothermal fields, with over 20,000 measurement points worldwide. However, due to the expensive cost of drilling measurements, the spatial distribution of heat flow points could be more balanced, posing challenges to geothermal exploration and investigation. Traditional heat flow prediction methods rely on interpolation based on sparse measurement points to estimate the regional heat flow distribution. However, spatial variations in the measurement points often affect the prediction results, leading to lower accuracy. Therefore, this study proposes a deep learning approach to establish the complex relationship between heat flow and geological/geophysical features, aiming to estimate the heat flow distribution in the target area. The proposed method has been successfully applied to heat flow prediction in the Songliao Basin, accompanied by an uncertainty analysis technique that provides confidence intervals for the prediction results. These findings offer direct evidence for the geothermal formation mechanisms and thermal evolution laws in the Songliao Basin. Key Points: We propose a deep neural network (DNN) method for predicting terrestrial heat flowCorrelation and Distance‐based Generalized Sensitivity Analysis (DGSA) methods are used to evaluate the uncertainty of DNN predicted heat flow resultsThe prediction of terrestrial heat flow in the Songliao Basin provides direct evidence for deep heat source channels and geothermal genesis mechanisms [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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