73 results on '"Bellard C"'
Search Results
2. A spatial mismatch between invader impacts and research publications
- Author
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Bellard, C. and Jeschke, J.M.
- Published
- 2016
3. Global patterns in threats to vertebrates by biological invasions
- Author
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Bellard, C., Genovesi, P., and Jeschke, J. M.
- Published
- 2016
4. Holocene extinctions of a top predator-effects of time, habitat area and habitat subdivision
- Author
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Englund, G., Ohlund, G., Olajos, F., Finstad, A., Bellard, C., and Hugueny, Bernard
- Subjects
age ,extinction ,habitat area ,connectivity ,fragmentation ,fungi ,habitat ,humanities ,aquatic ecosystems - Abstract
Loss of habitat and changes in the spatial configuration of habitats are major drivers of species extinctions, but the responses to these drivers differ between organisms. To advance theory on how extinction risk from different types of habitat alteration relates to species-specific traits, there is a need for studies of the long-term extinction dynamic of individual species. The goal of this study was to quantify how habitat area and the spatial configuration of habitats affect extinction rate of an aquatic top predator, the northern pike Esox lucius L. We recorded the presence/absence of northern pike in 398 isolated habitat fragments, each one consisting of a number of interconnected lakes. Time since isolation of the habitat fragments, caused by cut-off from the main dispersal source in the Baltic Sea, varied between 0 and 10,000 years. Using survival regression, we analysed how pike population survival was affected by time since isolation, habitat size and habitat subdivision. The approach builds on the assumptions that pike colonized all fragments before isolation and that current absences result from extinctions. We verified these assumptions by testing (a) if pike was present in the region throughout the entire time period when the lakes formed and (b) if pike typically colonize lakes that are formed today. We also addressed the likelihood that unrecorded anthropogenic introductions could bias our estimates of extinction rate. Our results supported the interpretation that current patterns of presence/absence in our study system are shaped by extinctions. Further, we found that time since isolation and fragment area had strong effects on pike population survival. In contrast, spatial habitat subdivision (i.e. if a fragment contained few large lakes or many small lakes) and other environmental covariates describing climate and productivity were unrelated to pike survival. Over all, extinction rate was high in young fragments and decreased sharply with increasing fragment age. Our study demonstrates how the link between extinction rate and habitat size and spatial structure can be quantified. More similar studies may help us find generalizations that can guide management of habitat size and connectivity.
- Published
- 2020
5. What will the future bring for biological invasions on islands? An expert-based assessment
- Author
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Lenzner, B., Latombe, G., Capinha, C., Bellard, C., Courchamp, F., Diagne, C., Dullinger, S., Golivets, Maryna, Irl, S.D.H., Kühn, Ingolf, Leung, B., Liu, C., Moser, D., Roura‐Pascual, N., Seebens, H., Turbelin, A., Weigelt, P., Essl, F., Lenzner, B., Latombe, G., Capinha, C., Bellard, C., Courchamp, F., Diagne, C., Dullinger, S., Golivets, Maryna, Irl, S.D.H., Kühn, Ingolf, Leung, B., Liu, C., Moser, D., Roura‐Pascual, N., Seebens, H., Turbelin, A., Weigelt, P., and Essl, F.
- Abstract
Biological invasions are a major threat to global biodiversity with particularly strong implications for island biodiversity. Much research has been dedicated towards understanding historic and current changes in alien species distribution and impacts on islands and potential changes under future climate change. However, projections of how alien species richness and impacts on islands might develop in the future are still lacking. In the absence of reliable projections, expert-based assessments are a valuable tool to investigate the importance of different drivers and pathways and the distributions of potential impacts of future biological invasions. These insights can guide subsequent quantification efforts and inform invasive species management and policy. In this study, we performed a survey among 126 experts in invasion science ranging from scientists to managers and decision makers with a focus on island systems until the mid-21st century. The survey revealed that out of 15 drivers, six were considered important by almost all respondents (>90%). Of these, trade and transport was identified as most important at the introduction stage (99.2%) and land use/cover change as most important at the establishment (96.8%) and spread (95.2%) stage. Additionally, the experts considered that alien species were more likely to be introduced (93.7%) and spread (78.6%) as stowaways than through any other pathway. In general, respondents agreed that the impacts of alien species will increase on all types of islands, particularly on oceanic islands, followed by atolls and continental islands. Within islands, terrestrial ecosystems were assumed to be impacted more severely than marine ecosystems. Finally, the survey hints toward the potential for effective communication, scientific research and increased pro-active management of alien species on islands to reduce their future consequences. Given the major threat represented by invasive alien species on islands, these result
- Published
- 2020
6. Dataset: IslandID and Species; A global picture of biological invasion threat on islands NEE 2017
- Author
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Bellard, C, Rysman, J-F, Leroy, B, Claud, C, and Mace, G M
- Abstract
Data-set used in the analyses to build the network. First column represents the island ID, and second column the name of the species occurring in this island. Note that multiple species may occur on a given island.
- Published
- 2017
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7. Dataset: Island And Species Co-Occurences
- Author
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Bellard, C, Rysman, J-F, Leroy, B, Claud, C, and Mace, G M
- Abstract
Data-set used in the analyses to build the network. First column represents the island ID, and second column the name of the species occurring in this island. Note that multiple species may occur on a given island.
- Published
- 2017
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8. Trophic patterns and home‐range size of two generalist urban carnivores: a review
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Castañeda, I., primary, Bellard, C., additional, Jarić, I., additional, Pisanu, B., additional, Chapuis, J.‐L., additional, and Bonnaud, E., additional
- Published
- 2018
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9. Geomorfología y cambio ambiental en el entorno de los yacimientos púnicos de la llanura de Terralba (Golfo de Oristano, isla de Cerdeña, Italia).
- Author
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Ruiz, J.M., primary, Carmona, P., additional, Gómez-Bellard, C., additional, and van Dommelen, P., additional
- Published
- 2018
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10. Major drivers of invasion risks throughout the world
- Author
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Bellard, C., primary, Leroy, B., additional, Thuiller, W., additional, Rysman, J.‐F., additional, and Courchamp, F., additional
- Published
- 2016
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11. Trophic patterns and home‐range size of two generalist urban carnivores: a review.
- Author
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Chapuis, J.‐L., Castañeda, I., Pisanu, B., Bonnaud, E., Bellard, C., and Jarić, I.
- Subjects
FOX behavior ,CAT behavior ,CARNIVOROUS animals ,ANTHROPOGENIC effects on nature ,FOOD chains - Abstract
Foxes and cats are the most abundant medium‐sized urban carnivores. To date, however, there has been a lack of effort to synthesize data on the spatial and trophic resources used by these two carnivores, despite the importance of this information for assessing their similarity and roles in urban food webs. In this paper, we first synthesize all available information on the trophic patterns and home‐range size of these two predators based on a total of 91 studies. Second, we conduct statistical analyses to test the influence of environmental and biological variables such as regional differences, habitat characteristics, age, and sexual status on their home‐range size and diet patterns within urban habitats, and then evaluate the methods used to investigate these components. Our findings highlight the lack of studies that simultaneously monitor the diet and home‐range size of both predators within urban habitats. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to compare fox and cat home‐range size and diet. Foxes exhibited larger ranges than cats, while intact cats showed larger home ranges than desexed cats. Diet diversity obtained for both predators confirmed their trophic plasticity within urban habitats. Both predators consumed fewer mammals and invertebrates in highly disturbed habitats compared to medium ones. We also found that the procedure of data acquisition significantly influenced fox and cat home‐range sizes. In terms of diet, the type of recovered samples had a significant effect on the diet composition of both predators. To improve our understanding of the relative impact of these two urban carnivores on urban wildlife, we recommend simultaneously studying both species in future studies. Moreover, methodological standards for both diet and home‐range size studies are needed to allow comparisons. Foxes and cats are present in many urbanized areas, however, little is known about their trophic and spatial similarities. To fill this gap of knowledge, here we synthetized all available information about the trophic and spatial ecology of these two predators. Our findings highlight the lack of studies simultaneously monitor diet and home‐range size of both predators within urban habitats. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to compare fox and cat home‐range size and diet. Foxes exhibited larger ranges than cats, while intact cats showed larger home ranges than desexed cats. Diet diversity obtained for both predators confirmed their trophic plasticity within urban habitats. Both predators consumed fewer mammals and invertebrates in highly disturbed habitats than in medium ones. Future studies should simultaneously monitor these two predators to improve our understanding of their relative influence on urban wildlife. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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12. A spatial mismatch between invader impacts and research publications
- Author
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Bellard, C., primary and Jeschke, J.M., additional
- Published
- 2015
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13. Overcoming extinction: understanding processes of recovery of the Tibetan antelope
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Leclerc, C., primary, Bellard, C., additional, Luque, G. M., additional, and Courchamp, F., additional
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- 2015
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14. Combined impacts of global changes on biodiversity across the USA
- Author
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Bellard, C., primary, Leclerc, C., additional, and Courchamp, F., additional
- Published
- 2015
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15. Vulnerability to climate change and sea-level rise of the 35th biodiversity hotspot, the Forests of East Australia
- Author
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BELLARD, C., primary, LECLERC, C., additional, HOFFMANN, B. D., additional, and COURCHAMP, F., additional
- Published
- 2015
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16. Produzione agraria nella Sardegna punica fra cereali e vino
- Author
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van Dommelen, P., Gómez Bellard, C., Pérez Jordà, G., Milanese, M., Ruggeri, P., Vismara, C., and Zucca, R.
- Subjects
CC ,DE - Published
- 2010
17. A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets
- Author
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Geochemistry, Bio-, hydro-, and environmental geochemistry, Tittensor, D.P., Walpole, M., Hill, S.L.L., Boyce, D.G., Britten, G.L., Burgess, N.D., Butchart, S.H.M., Leadley, P.W., Regan, E.C., Alkemade, R., Baumung, R., Bellard, C., Bouwman, Alexander, Bowles-Newark, N.J., Chenery, A.M., Cheung, W.W.L., Christensen, V., Cooper, H.D., Crowther, A.R., Dixon, M.J.R., Galli, A., Gaveau, V., Gregory, R.D., Gutierrez, N.L., Hirsch, T.L., Höft, R., Januchowski-Hartley, S.R., Karmann, M., Krug, C.B., Leverington, F.J., Loh, J., Lojenga, R.K., Malsch, K., Marques, A., Morgan, D.H.W., Mumby, P.J., Newbold, T., Noonan-Mooney, K., Pagad, S.N., Parks, B.C., Pereira, H.M., Robertson, T., Rondinini, C., Santini, L., Scharlemann, J.P.W., Schindler, S., Sumaila, U.R., Teh, L.S.L., Van Kolck, J., Visconti, P., Ye, Y., Geochemistry, Bio-, hydro-, and environmental geochemistry, Tittensor, D.P., Walpole, M., Hill, S.L.L., Boyce, D.G., Britten, G.L., Burgess, N.D., Butchart, S.H.M., Leadley, P.W., Regan, E.C., Alkemade, R., Baumung, R., Bellard, C., Bouwman, Alexander, Bowles-Newark, N.J., Chenery, A.M., Cheung, W.W.L., Christensen, V., Cooper, H.D., Crowther, A.R., Dixon, M.J.R., Galli, A., Gaveau, V., Gregory, R.D., Gutierrez, N.L., Hirsch, T.L., Höft, R., Januchowski-Hartley, S.R., Karmann, M., Krug, C.B., Leverington, F.J., Loh, J., Lojenga, R.K., Malsch, K., Marques, A., Morgan, D.H.W., Mumby, P.J., Newbold, T., Noonan-Mooney, K., Pagad, S.N., Parks, B.C., Pereira, H.M., Robertson, T., Rondinini, C., Santini, L., Scharlemann, J.P.W., Schindler, S., Sumaila, U.R., Teh, L.S.L., Van Kolck, J., Visconti, P., and Ye, Y.
- Published
- 2014
18. Postglacial recolonization history of the European crabapple (Malus sylvestris Mill.), a wild contributor to the domesticated apple
- Author
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Cornille, A., primary, Giraud, T., additional, Bellard, C., additional, Tellier, A., additional, Le Cam, B., additional, Smulders, M. J. M., additional, Kleinschmit, J., additional, Roldan‐Ruiz, I., additional, and Gladieux, P., additional
- Published
- 2013
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19. Traitement de l’état de mal épileptique : appliquons les conférences de consensus !
- Author
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Foucart, G., primary, Aranda, A., additional, Palancade, R., additional, Bellard, C., additional, Valton, L., additional, and Ducassé, J.L., additional
- Published
- 2008
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20. Un Samu et un CAP sous un même toit: comment s'organise la réponse toxicologique urgente?
- Author
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Palancade, R., primary, Bellard, C., additional, Christophe, V., additional, Cabot, C., additional, and Ducassé, J.-L., additional
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- 2007
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21. Understanding biological invasions through the lens of environmental niches.
- Author
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Liu C, Bellard C, and Jeschke JM
- Abstract
Understanding successful invasions across taxa and systems in a unified framework is a central goal of biological conservation. While the environmental niche is a promising concept to improve our understanding of biological invasions, existing studies have not applied it to comprehensively examine all invasion stages. Here, we provide a framework that integrates the environmental niche and invasion process at both the species and the population level. By elucidating how species and populations perform in the niche space, we demonstrate how different dimensions of species niches can help in understanding inter- and intraspecific variations in the success and impact of non-native species, and identify knowledge gaps. The niche framework also offers flexibility in integrating other factors driving the success and impact of non-native species., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests There are no conflicts of interest to declare., (Copyright © 2025 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2025
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22. Exposure and Sensitivity of Terrestrial Vertebrates to Biological Invasions Worldwide.
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Marino C, Leroy B, Latombe G, and Bellard C
- Subjects
- Animals, Endangered Species, Conservation of Natural Resources, Animal Distribution, Introduced Species, Vertebrates physiology, Biodiversity
- Abstract
While biological invasions continue to threaten biodiversity, most of current assessments focus on the sole exposure to invasive alien species (IAS), without considering native species' response to the threat. Here, we address this gap by assessing vertebrates' vulnerability to biological invasions, combining measures of both (i) exposure to 304 identified IAS and (ii) realized sensitivity of 1600 native vertebrates to this threat. We used the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species to identify species threatened by IAS, their distribution, and the species' range characteristics of their associated IAS. We found that 38% of worldwide terrestrial lands are exposed to biological invasions, but exposure alone was insufficient to assess vulnerability since we further found that most of the world hosted native species sensitive to biological invasions. We delineated areas highly vulnerable to biological invasions, that is, combining areas of high exposure and high sensitivity to IAS, located in Australia and coastal states of North America with a high confidence level, but also-depending on the group-in Pacific islands, Southern America, Western Europe, Southern Africa, Eastern Asia, and New-Zealand with a medium confidence level. Assessing the completeness in exposure data, we revealed strong biases in the global description of the well-known invasion hotspots, with limited areas being assessed with a medium to high confidence level. The completeness of sensitivity was overall very high, for the three studied taxonomic groups. We also demonstrated that coldspots of vulnerability to biological invasions were areas of low confidence in terms of data completeness, which coincided with biodiversity hotspots. There is thus a critical need to address these knowledge shortfalls which jeopardize efficient conservation initiatives, regarding the threats to well-known vertebrate taxa., (© 2024 The Author(s). Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2024
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23. Global Distribution of Alien Mammals Under Climate Change.
- Author
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Biancolini D, Pacifici M, Falaschi M, Bellard C, Blackburn TM, Ficetola GF, and Rondinini C
- Subjects
- Animals, Biodiversity, Ecosystem, Models, Theoretical, Climate Change, Introduced Species, Mammals physiology, Animal Distribution
- Abstract
The recent thematic Assessment Report on Invasive Alien Species and their Control of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services reaffirmed biological invasions as a major threat to biodiversity. Anticipating biological invasions is crucial for avoiding their ecological and socio-economic impacts, particularly as climate change may provide new opportunities for the establishment and spread of alien species. However, no studies have combined assessments of suitability and dispersal to evaluate the invasion by key taxonomic groups, such as mammals. Using species distribution models, we estimated the potential effect of climate change on the future distributions of 205 alien mammal species by the year 2050 under three different climatic scenarios. We used species dispersal ability to differentiate between suitable areas that may be susceptible to natural dispersal from alien ranges (Spread Potential, SP) and those that may be vulnerable to alien establishment through human-assisted dispersal (Establishment Potential, EP) across 11 zoogeographic realms. Establishment Potential was generally boosted by climate change, showing a clear poleward shift across scenarios, whereas SP was negatively affected by climate change and limited by alien species insularity. These trends were consistent across all realms. Insular ecosystems, while being vulnerable to invasion, may act as geographical traps for alien mammals that lose climatic suitability. In addition, our analysis identified the alien species that are expected to spread or decline the most in each realm, primarily generalists with high invasive potential, as likely foci of future management efforts. In some areas, the possible reduction in suitability for alien mammals could offer opportunities for ecosystem restoration, particularly on islands. In others, increased suitability calls for adequate actions to prevent their arrival and spread. Our findings are potentially valuable in informing synergistic actions addressing both climate change and biological invasion together to safeguard native biodiversity worldwide., (© 2024 The Author(s). Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
- Published
- 2024
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24. Conservation priorities for functionally unique and specialized terrestrial vertebrates threatened by biological invasions.
- Author
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Marino C, Soares FC, and Bellard C
- Abstract
Invasive non-native species (INS) continue to pose a significant threat to biodiversity, including native population declines, which can ultimately disrupt ecosystem processes. Although there is growing evidence of the impacts of INS on functional diversity, most of the existing approaches to prioritization of species for conservation still focus on taxonomic diversity, neglecting the ecological role of species. We developed the functionally unique, specialized, and endangered by invasive non-native species (FUSE INS) score to fill this gap by combining functional irreplaceability (i.e., uniqueness and specialization) of species with their extinction risk due to INS. We calculated this score for 3642 terrestrial vertebrates exposed to INS by assessing how INS affected them based on the IUCN Red List and by evaluating their specialization and uniqueness in a multidimensional functional space. Thirty-eight percent of native species were both at high extinction risk because of INS and functionally unique and specialized, making them priority species for INS impact mitigation. Priority species of amphibians concentrated in Central America and Madagascar and of lizards in the Caribbean islands, northern Australia, New Zealand, and New Caledonia. Priority bird and mammal species were more widespread (birds, mostly in coastal areas, on Pacific islands, and in northern India and New Zealand; mammals, in southwestern Europe, Central Africa, East Africa, Southern Africa, Southeast Asia, and eastern Australia). Seventy-eight species were also highly irreplaceable but not yet threatened by INS, suggesting that preventive conservation measures may help protect these species. For the 50 birds of the highest priority, 64% required conservation actions to mitigate the INS threat. The FUSE INS score can be used to help prioritize indigenous species representing large amounts of functional diversity. Incorporating functional diversity into the conservation prioritization of species and associated areas is key to accurately reducing and mitigating the impacts of INS on native biodiversity., (© 2024 The Author(s). Conservation Biology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society for Conservation Biology.)
- Published
- 2024
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25. The anthropocene biogeography of alien birds on islands: Drivers of their functional and phylogenetic diversities.
- Author
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Marino C, Journiac L, Liu C, Jeschke JM, and Bellard C
- Subjects
- Animals, Phylogeography, Humans, Ecosystem, Anthropogenic Effects, Birds physiology, Islands, Biodiversity, Phylogeny, Introduced Species
- Abstract
A branch of island biogeography has emerged to explain alien species diversity in the light of the biogeographic and anthropogenic context, yet overlooking the functional and phylogenetic facets. Evaluating alien and native birds of 407 oceanic islands worldwide, we built structural equation models to assess the direct and indirect influence of biotic, geographic, and anthropogenic contexts on alien functional diversity (FD) and phylogenetic diversity (PD). We found that alien taxonomic richness was the main predictor of both diversities. Anthropogenic factors, including colonization pressure, associated with classic biogeographical variables also strongly influenced alien FD and PD. Specifically, habitat modification and human connectivity markedly drove alien FD, especially when controlled by taxonomic richness, whereas the human population size, gross domestic product, and native PD were crucial at explaining alien PD. Our findings suggest that humans not only shape taxonomic richness but also other facets of alien diversity in a complex way., (© 2024 The Author(s). Ecology Letters published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2024
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26. Major shifts in biogeographic regions of freshwater fishes as evidence of the Anthropocene epoch.
- Author
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Leroy B, Bellard C, Dias MS, Hugueny B, Jézéquel C, Leprieur F, Oberdorff T, Robuchon M, and Tedesco PA
- Subjects
- Animals, Humans, Asia, Eastern, Fossils, Geology, Phylogeny, Fresh Water, Fishes
- Abstract
Animals and plants worldwide are structured in global biogeographic regions, which were shaped by major geologic forces during Earth history. Recently, humans have changed the course of events by multiplying global pathways of introduction for nonindigenous species and propagating local species extirpations. Here, we report on how introductions and extirpations have changed the distributions of freshwater fishes worldwide and how it affected their natural biogeographic regions. We found major shifts in natural regions, with the emergence of an intercontinental region arising from the fusion of multiple faunas, which we named Pan-Anthropocenian Global North and East Asia (PAGNEA). The PAGNEA region is evocative of the Pangea supercontinent, as flows of introductions show that dispersal has become possible again across multiple continents, suggesting that human activities have superseded natural geological forces. Our results constitute evidence on the expected modification of biostratigraphic boundaries based on freshwater fish, which are abundant in the fossil record, thereby supporting the concept of the Anthropocene epoch.
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- 2023
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27. Patterns and drivers of climatic niche dynamics during biological invasions of island-endemic amphibians, reptiles, and birds.
- Author
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García-Rodríguez A, Lenzner B, Marino C, Liu C, Velasco JA, Bellard C, Jeschke JM, Seebens H, and Essl F
- Subjects
- Animals, Phylogeny, Amphibians, Reptiles, Birds, Introduced Species, Ecosystem
- Abstract
Shifts between native and alien climatic niches pose a major challenge for predicting biological invasions. This is particularly true for insular species because geophysical barriers could constrain the realization of their fundamental niches, which may lead to underestimates of their invasion potential. To investigate this idea, we estimated the frequency of shifts between native and alien climatic niches and the magnitude of climatic mismatches using 80,148 alien occurrences of 46 endemic insular amphibian, reptile, and bird species. Then, we assessed the influence of nine potential predictors on climatic mismatches across taxa, based on species' characteristics, native range physical characteristics, and alien range properties. We found that climatic mismatch is common during invasions of endemic insular birds and reptiles: 78.3% and 55.1% of their respective alien records occurred outside of the environmental space of species' native climatic niche. In comparison, climatic mismatch was evident for only 16.2% of the amphibian invasions analyzed. Several predictors significantly explained climatic mismatch, and these varied among taxonomic groups. For amphibians, only native range size was associated with climatic mismatch. For reptiles, the magnitude of climatic mismatch was higher for species with narrow native altitudinal ranges, occurring in topographically complex or less remote islands, as well as for species with larger distances between their native and alien ranges. For birds, climatic mismatch was significantly larger for invasions on continents with higher phylogenetic diversity of the recipient community, and when the invader was more evolutionarily distinct. Our findings highlight that apparently common niche shifts of insular species may jeopardize our ability to forecast their potential invasions using correlative methods based on climatic variables. Also, we show which factors provide additional insights on the actual invasion potential of insular endemic amphibians, reptiles, and birds., (© 2023 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
- Published
- 2023
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28. Reproducibility in ecology and evolution: Minimum standards for data and code.
- Author
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Jenkins GB, Beckerman AP, Bellard C, Benítez-López A, Ellison AM, Foote CG, Hufton AL, Lashley MA, Lortie CJ, Ma Z, Moore AJ, Narum SR, Nilsson J, O'Boyle B, Provete DB, Razgour O, Rieseberg L, Riginos C, Santini L, Sibbett B, and Peres-Neto PR
- Abstract
We call for journals to commit to requiring open data be archived in a format that will be simple and clear for readers to understand and use. If applied consistently, these requirements will allow contributors to be acknowledged for their work through citation of open data, and facilitate scientific progress., (© 2023 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
- Published
- 2023
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29. Economic costs of protecting islands from invasive alien species.
- Author
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Bodey TW, Angulo E, Bang A, Bellard C, Fantle-Lepczyk J, Lenzner B, Turbelin A, Watari Y, and Courchamp F
- Subjects
- Geography, Ecosystem, Introduced Species, Conservation of Natural Resources
- Abstract
Biological invasions represent a key threat to insular systems and have pronounced impacts across environments and economies. The ecological impacts have received substantial focus, but the socioeconomic impacts are poorly synthesized across spatial and temporal scales. We used the InvaCost database, the most comprehensive assessment of published economic costs of invasive species, to assess economic impacts on islands worldwide. We analyzed socioeconomic costs across differing expenditure types and examined temporal trends across islands that differ in their political geography-island nation states, overseas territories, and islands of continental countries. Over US$36 billion in total costs (including damages and management) has occurred on islands from 1965 to 2020 due to invasive species' impacts. Nation states incurred the greatest total and management costs, and islands of continental countries incurred costs of similar magnitude, both far higher than those in overseas territories. Damage-loss costs were significantly lower, but with qualitatively similar patterns across differing political geographies. The predominance of management spending differs from the pattern found for most countries examined and suggests important knowledge gaps in the extent of many damage-related socioeconomic impacts. Nation states spent the greatest proportion of their gross domestic products countering these costs, at least 1 order of magnitude higher than other locations. Most costs were borne by authorities and stakeholders, demonstrating the key role of governmental and nongovernmental bodies in addressing island invasions. Temporal trends revealed cost increases across all island types, potentially reflecting efforts to tackle invasive species at larger, more socially complex scales. Nevertheless, the already high total economic costs of island invasions substantiate the role of biosecurity in reducing and preventing invasive species arrivals to reduce strains on limited financial resources and avoid threats to sustainable development goals., (© 2022 The Authors. Conservation Biology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society for Conservation Biology.)
- Published
- 2023
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30. When origin, reproduction ability and diet define the role of birds in invasions.
- Author
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Marino C and Bellard C
- Subjects
- Animals, Introduced Species, Diet, Endangered Species, Reproduction, Ecosystem, Birds, Ecology
- Abstract
The ecological impacts of invasive alien species (IAS) are increasingly documented; however, they are usually studied through the lens of either the IAS or the affected species (IAS-threatened species). A clear understanding of how both protagonists of biological invasions are characterized is still lacking. We investigated the morphology, life history and ecology of birds involved in biological invasions. Evaluating the distribution of 450 IAS-threatened birds and 400 alien birds in a functional space, we found that both groups retained various strategies. Aliens had larger clutches and were more likely to be herbivores than IAS-threatened and worldwide birds, while IAS-threatened birds were more insular endemic from the Australia region than alien and worldwide birds. IAS-threatened species showed opposite strategies to aliens regarding traits related to diet, origin and reproduction. Further comparing traits associated with impact magnitude, we found that even if aliens were mostly herbivorous, those with high impact had more a generalist behaviour and an animal-based diet compared to aliens with low impact. By emphasizing differences relating to the distribution of bird groups in a functional space, we opened new opportunities to identify the role of birds in biological invasions.
- Published
- 2023
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31. Ranking threats to biodiversity and why it doesn't matter.
- Author
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Bellard C, Marino C, and Courchamp F
- Subjects
- Biodiversity
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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32. Profiling insular vertebrates prone to biological invasions: What makes them vulnerable?
- Author
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Marino C, Leclerc C, and Bellard C
- Subjects
- Amphibians, Animals, Biodiversity, Conservation of Natural Resources methods, Ecosystem, Vertebrates, Endangered Species, Extinction, Biological
- Abstract
Invasive alien species (IAS) are a major threat to insular vertebrates, although the ecological characteristics that make insular communities vulnerable to IAS are poorly understood. After describing the ecological strategies of 6015 insular amphibians, birds, lizards, and mammals, we assessed the functional and ecological features of vertebrates exposed to IAS. We found that at least 50% of insular amphibian functional richness was hosted by IAS-threatened amphibians and up to 29% for birds. Moreover, all IAS-threatened groups except birds harbored a higher functional richness than species groups threatened by other threats. Disentangling the ecological strategies threatened by IAS, compared to those associated with other threats, we showed that birds, lizards, and mammals were more likely to be terrestrial foragers and amphibians to have larval development. By contrast, large-bodied species and habitat specialists were universally threatened. By considering the functional aspect of threatened insular diversity, our work improves our understanding of global IAS impacts. This new dimension proves essential for undertaking relevant and effective conservation actions., (© 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
- Published
- 2022
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33. Looming extinctions due to invasive species: Irreversible loss of ecological strategy and evolutionary history.
- Author
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Bellard C, Bernery C, and Leclerc C
- Subjects
- Animals, Biodiversity, Biological Evolution, Humans, Phylogeny, Extinction, Biological, Introduced Species
- Abstract
Biological invasions are one of the main drivers of biodiversity decline worldwide. However, many associated extinctions are yet to occur, meaning that the ecological debt caused by invasive species could be considerable for biodiversity. We explore extinction scenarios due to invasive species and investigate whether paying off the current extinction debt will shift the global composition of mammals and birds in terms of ecological strategy and evolutionary history. Current studies mostly focus on the number of species potentially at risk due to invasions without taking into account species characteristics in terms of ecological or phylogenetic properties. We found that 11% of phylogenetic diversity worldwide is represented by invasive-threatened species. Furthermore, 14% of worldwide trait diversity is hosted by invasive-threatened mammals and 40% by invasive-threatened birds, with Neotropical and Oceanian realms being primary risk hotspots. Projected extinctions of invasive-threatened species result in a smaller reduction in ecological strategy space and evolutionary history than expected under randomized extinction scenarios. This can be explained by the strong pattern in the clustering of ecological profiles and families impacted by invasive alien species (IAS). However, our results confirm that IAS are likely to cause the selective loss of species with unique evolutionary and ecological profiles. Our results also suggest a global shift in species composition away from those with large body mass, which mostly feed in the lower foraging strata and have an herbivorous diet (mammals). Our findings demonstrate the potential impact of biological invasions on phylogenetic and trait dimensions of diversity, especially in the Oceanian realm. We therefore call for a more systematic integration of all facets of diversity when investigating the consequences of biological invasions in future studies. This would help to establish spatial prioritizations regarding IAS threats worldwide and anticipate the consequences of losing specific ecological profiles in the invaded community., (© 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
- Published
- 2021
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34. Invasion Culturomics and iEcology.
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Jarić I, Bellard C, Correia RA, Courchamp F, Douda K, Essl F, Jeschke JM, Kalinkat G, Kalous L, Lennox RJ, Novoa A, Proulx R, Pyšek P, Soriano-Redondo A, Souza AT, Vardi R, Veríssimo D, and Roll U
- Subjects
- Sequence Analysis, DNA, Biodiversity, Conservation of Natural Resources
- Published
- 2021
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35. Future climate change vulnerability of endemic island mammals.
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Leclerc C, Courchamp F, and Bellard C
- Subjects
- Animals, Diet, Principal Component Analysis, Species Specificity, Climate Change, Islands, Mammals physiology
- Abstract
Despite their high vulnerability, insular ecosystems have been largely ignored in climate change assessments, and when they are investigated, studies tend to focus on exposure to threats instead of vulnerability. The present study examines climate change vulnerability of islands, focusing on endemic mammals and by 2050 (RCPs 6.0 and 8.5), using trait-based and quantitative-vulnerability frameworks that take into account exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. Our results suggest that all islands and archipelagos show a certain level of vulnerability to future climate change, that is typically more important in Pacific Ocean ones. Among the drivers of vulnerability to climate change, exposure was rarely the main one and did not explain the pattern of vulnerability. In addition, endemic mammals with long generation lengths and high dietary specializations are predicted to be the most vulnerable to climate change. Our findings highlight the importance of exploring islands vulnerability to identify the highest climate change impacts and to avoid the extinction of unique biodiversity.
- Published
- 2020
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36. Societal attention toward extinction threats: a comparison between climate change and biological invasions.
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Jarić I, Bellard C, Courchamp F, Kalinkat G, Meinard Y, Roberts DL, and Correia RA
- Subjects
- Animals, Climate Change, Conservation of Natural Resources, Endangered Species statistics & numerical data, Extinction, Biological, Introduced Species statistics & numerical data, Public Opinion
- Abstract
Public attention and interest in the fate of endangered species is a crucial prerequisite for effective conservation programs. Societal awareness and values will largely determine whether conservation initiatives receive necessary support and lead to adequate policy change. Using text data mining, we assessed general public attention in France, Germany and the United Kingdom toward climate change and biological invasions in relation to endangered amphibian, reptile, bird and mammal species. Our analysis revealed that public attention patterns differed among species groups and countries but was globally higher for climate change than for biological invasions. Both threats received better recognition in threatened than in non-threatened species, as well as in native species than in species from other countries and regions. We conclude that more efficient communication regarding the threat from biological invasions should be developed, and that conservation practitioners should take advantage of the existing attention toward climate change.
- Published
- 2020
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37. Holocene extinctions of a top predator-Effects of time, habitat area and habitat subdivision.
- Author
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Englund G, Öhlund G, Olajos F, Finstad A, Bellard C, and Hugueny B
- Subjects
- Animals, Climate, Esocidae, Lakes, Ecosystem, Extinction, Biological
- Abstract
Loss of habitat and changes in the spatial configuration of habitats are major drivers of species extinctions, but the responses to these drivers differ between organisms. To advance theory on how extinction risk from different types of habitat alteration relates to species-specific traits, there is a need for studies of the long-term extinction dynamic of individual species. The goal of this study was to quantify how habitat area and the spatial configuration of habitats affect extinction rate of an aquatic top predator, the northern pike Esox lucius L. We recorded the presence/absence of northern pike in 398 isolated habitat fragments, each one consisting of a number of interconnected lakes. Time since isolation of the habitat fragments, caused by cut-off from the main dispersal source in the Baltic Sea, varied between 0 and 10,000 years. Using survival regression, we analysed how pike population survival was affected by time since isolation, habitat size and habitat subdivision. The approach builds on the assumptions that pike colonized all fragments before isolation and that current absences result from extinctions. We verified these assumptions by testing (a) if pike was present in the region throughout the entire time period when the lakes formed and (b) if pike typically colonize lakes that are formed today. We also addressed the likelihood that unrecorded anthropogenic introductions could bias our estimates of extinction rate. Our results supported the interpretation that current patterns of presence/absence in our study system are shaped by extinctions. Further, we found that time since isolation and fragment area had strong effects on pike population survival. In contrast, spatial habitat subdivision (i.e. if a fragment contained few large lakes or many small lakes) and other environmental covariates describing climate and productivity were unrelated to pike survival. Over all, extinction rate was high in young fragments and decreased sharply with increasing fragment age. Our study demonstrates how the link between extinction rate and habitat size and spatial structure can be quantified. More similar studies may help us find generalizations that can guide management of habitat size and connectivity., (© 2020 British Ecological Society.)
- Published
- 2020
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38. Agriculture erases climate constraints on soil nematode communities across large spatial scales.
- Author
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Li X, Zhu H, Geisen S, Bellard C, Hu F, Li H, Chen X, and Liu M
- Subjects
- Agriculture, Animals, Biodiversity, China, Ecosystem, Phylogeny, Nematoda, Soil
- Abstract
Anthropogenic conversion of natural to agricultural land reduces aboveground biodiversity. Yet, the overall consequences of land-use changes on belowground biodiversity at large scales remain insufficiently explored. Furthermore, the effects of conversion on different organism groups are usually determined at the taxonomic level, while an integrated investigation that includes functional and phylogenetic levels is rare and absent for belowground organisms. Here, we studied the Earth's most abundant metazoa-nematodes-to examine the effects of conversion from natural to agricultural habitats on soil biodiversity across a large spatial scale. To this aim, we investigated the diversity and composition of nematode communities at the taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic level in 16 assemblage pairs (32 sites in total with 16 in each habitat type) in mainland China. While the overall alpha and beta diversity did not differ between natural and agricultural systems, all three alpha diversity facets decreased with latitude in natural habitats. Both alpha and beta diversity levels were driven by climatic differences in natural habitats, while none of the diversity levels changed in agricultural systems. This indicates that land conversion affects soil biodiversity in a geographically dependent manner and that agriculture could erase climatic constraints on soil biodiversity at such a scale. Additionally, the functional composition of nematode communities was more dissimilar in agricultural than in natural habitats, while the phylogenetic composition was more similar, indicating that changes among different biodiversity facets are asynchronous. Our study deepens the understanding of land-use effects on soil nematode diversity across large spatial scales. Moreover, the detected asynchrony of taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic diversity highlights the necessity to monitor multiple facets of soil biodiversity in ecological studies such as those investigating environmental changes., (© 2019 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
- Published
- 2020
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39. Biotic and abiotic drivers of species loss rate in isolated lakes.
- Author
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Bellard C, Englund G, and Hugueny B
- Subjects
- Animals, Climate Change, Extinction, Biological, Scandinavian and Nordic Countries, Biodiversity, Lakes
- Abstract
Today, anthropogenic impacts are causing a serious crisis for global biodiversity, with rates of extinction increasing at an unprecedented rate. Extinctions typically occur after a certain delay, and understanding the mechanisms causing delays is a key challenge for both fundamental and applied perspectives. Here, we make use of natural experiments, the isolation of lakes by land uplift in Northern Scandinavia, to examine how yearly extinction rates are affected by time since isolation and a range of abiotic and biotic factors. In this aim, we adapted a model of delayed species loss within isolated communities to test the effects of time since isolation, area, pH, depth and the presence/absence of piscivores on extinction rates. As expected, we found that small and/or young lakes experience a higher annual rate of extinctions per species than larger and/or older ones. Compared to previous studies that were conducted for either young (few thousand years ago) or very old (>10,000 years ago) isolates, we demonstrated over a large and continuous temporal scales (50-5,000 years), similar relationship between extinction rates and age. We also show that extinction rates are modified by local environmental factors such as a strong negative effect of increasing pH. Our results urge for the need to consider the time since critical environmental changes occurred when studying extinction rates. In a wider perspective, our study demonstrates the need to consider extinction debts when modelling future effects of climate change, land-use changes or biological invasions on biodiversity., (© 2019 The Authors. Journal of Animal Ecology © 2019 British Ecological Society.)
- Published
- 2019
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40. Insights from modeling studies on how climate change affects invasive alien species geography.
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Bellard C, Jeschke JM, Leroy B, and Mace GM
- Abstract
Climate change and biological invasions are threatening biodiversity and ecosystem services worldwide. It has now been widely acknowledged that climate change will affect biological invasions. A large number of studies have investigated predicted shifts and other changes in the geographic ranges of invasive alien species related to climate change using modeling approaches. Yet these studies have provided contradictory evidence, and no consensus has been reached. We conducted a systematic review of 423 modeling case studies included in 71 publications that have examined the predicted effects of climate change on those species. We differentiate the approaches used in these studies and synthesize their main results. Our results reaffirm the major role of climate change as a driver of invasive alien species distribution in the future. We found biases in the literature both regarding the taxa, toward plants and invertebrates, and the areas of the planet investigated. Despite these biases, we found for the plants and vertebrates studied that climate change will more frequently contribute to a decrease in species range size than an increase in the overall area occupied. This is largely due to oceans preventing terrestrial invaders from spreading poleward. In contrast, we found that the ranges of invertebrates and pathogens studied are more likely to increase following climate change. An important caveat to these findings is that researchers have rarely considered the effects of climate change on transport, introduction success, or the resulting impacts. We recommend closing these research gaps, and propose additional avenues for future investigations, as well as opportunities and challenges for managing invasions under climate change.
- Published
- 2018
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41. Insular threat associations within taxa worldwide.
- Author
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Leclerc C, Courchamp F, and Bellard C
- Subjects
- Animals, Environmental Policy, Introduced Species, Biodiversity, Conservation of Natural Resources
- Abstract
The global loss of biodiversity can be attributed to numerous threats. While pioneer studies have investigated their relative importance, the majority of those studies are restricted to specific geographic regions and/or taxonomic groups and only consider a small subset of threats, generally in isolation despite their frequent interaction. Here, we investigated 11 major threats responsible for species decline on islands worldwide. We applied an innovative method of network analyses to disentangle the associations of multiple threats on vertebrates, invertebrates, and plants in 15 insular regions. Biological invasions, wildlife exploitation, and cultivation, either alone or in association, were found to be the three most important drivers of species extinction and decline on islands. Specifically, wildlife exploitation and cultivation are largely associated with the decline of threatened plants and terrestrial vertebrates, whereas biological invasions mostly threaten invertebrates and freshwater fish. Furthermore, biodiversity in the Indian Ocean and near the Asian coasts is mostly affected by wildlife exploitation and cultivation compared to biological invasions in the Pacific and Atlantic insular regions. We highlighted specific associations of threats at different scales, showing that the analysis of each threat in isolation might be inadequate for developing effective conservation policies and managements.
- Published
- 2018
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42. A global picture of biological invasion threat on islands.
- Author
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Bellard C, Rysman JF, Leroy B, Claud C, and Mace GM
- Subjects
- Animals, Islands, Population Dynamics, Biodiversity, Conservation of Natural Resources, Endangered Species, Introduced Species, Vertebrates physiology
- Abstract
Biological invasions are among the main drivers of biodiversity losses. As threats from biological invasions increase, one of the most urgent tasks is to identify areas of high vulnerability. However, the lack of comprehensive information on the impacts of invasive alien species (IAS) is a problem especially on islands, where most of the recorded extinctions associated with IAS have occurred. Here we provide a global, network-oriented analysis of IAS on islands. Using network analysis, we structured 27,081 islands and 437 threatened vertebrates into 21 clusters, based on their profiles in term of invasiveness and shared vulnerabilities. These islands are mainly located in the Southern Hemisphere and many are in biodiversity hotspots. Some of the islands share similar characteristics regarding their connectivity that could be useful for understanding their response to invasive species. The major invaders found in these clusters of islands are feral cats, feral dogs, pigs and rats. Our analyses reveal those IAS that systematically act alone or in combination, and the pattern of shared IAS among threatened species, providing new information to implement effective eradication strategies. Combined with further local, contextual information this can contribute to global strategies to deal with IAS.
- Published
- 2017
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43. Invasion Biology: Specific Problems and Possible Solutions.
- Author
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Courchamp F, Fournier A, Bellard C, Bertelsmeier C, Bonnaud E, Jeschke JM, and Russell JC
- Subjects
- Introduced Species, Biodiversity
- Abstract
Biological invasions have been unambiguously shown to be one of the major global causes of biodiversity loss. Despite the magnitude of this threat and recent scientific advances, this field remains a regular target of criticism - from outright deniers of the threat to scientists questioning the utility of the discipline. This unique situation, combining internal strife and an unaware society, greatly hinders the progress of invasion biology. It is crucial to identify the specificities of this discipline that lead to such difficulties. We outline here 24 specificities and problems of this discipline and categorize them into four groups: understanding, alerting, supporting, and implementing the issues associated with invasive alien species, and we offer solutions to tackle these problems and push the field forward., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
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44. Massive yet grossly underestimated global costs of invasive insects.
- Author
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Bradshaw CJ, Leroy B, Bellard C, Roiz D, Albert C, Fournier A, Barbet-Massin M, Salles JM, Simard F, and Courchamp F
- Subjects
- Animals, Environment, Global Health, Health Care Costs, Health Expenditures, Humans, Insect Vectors, Introduced Species, Isoptera, Models, Economic, Public Policy, Conservation of Natural Resources, Insecta, Pest Control economics
- Abstract
Insects have presented human society with some of its greatest development challenges by spreading diseases, consuming crops and damaging infrastructure. Despite the massive human and financial toll of invasive insects, cost estimates of their impacts remain sporadic, spatially incomplete and of questionable quality. Here we compile a comprehensive database of economic costs of invasive insects. Taking all reported goods and service estimates, invasive insects cost a minimum of US$70.0 billion per year globally, while associated health costs exceed US$6.9 billion per year. Total costs rise as the number of estimate increases, although many of the worst costs have already been estimated (especially those related to human health). A lack of dedicated studies, especially for reproducible goods and service estimates, implies gross underestimation of global costs. Global warming as a consequence of climate change, rising human population densities and intensifying international trade will allow these costly insects to spread into new areas, but substantial savings could be achieved by increasing surveillance, containment and public awareness.
- Published
- 2016
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- View/download PDF
45. Alien species as a driver of recent extinctions.
- Author
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Bellard C, Cassey P, and Blackburn TM
- Subjects
- Animals, Conservation of Natural Resources, Biodiversity, Extinction, Biological, Introduced Species, Plants, Vertebrates
- Abstract
We assessed the prevalence of alien species as a driver of recent extinctions in five major taxa (plants, amphibians, reptiles, birds and mammals), using data from the IUCN Red List. Our results show that alien species are the second most common threat associated with species that have gone completely extinct from these taxa since AD 1500. Aliens are the most common threat associated with extinctions in three of the five taxa analysed, and for vertebrate extinctions overall., (© 2016 The Author(s).)
- Published
- 2016
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46. Adapting island conservation to climate change. Response to Andréfouët et al.
- Author
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Bellard C, Russell J, Hoffmann BD, Leclerc C, and Courchamp F
- Subjects
- Animals, Biodiversity, Climate Change, Conservation of Natural Resources methods, Conservation of Natural Resources trends, Islands
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. A mid-term analysis of progress toward international biodiversity targets.
- Author
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Tittensor DP, Walpole M, Hill SL, Boyce DG, Britten GL, Burgess ND, Butchart SH, Leadley PW, Regan EC, Alkemade R, Baumung R, Bellard C, Bouwman L, Bowles-Newark NJ, Chenery AM, Cheung WW, Christensen V, Cooper HD, Crowther AR, Dixon MJ, Galli A, Gaveau V, Gregory RD, Gutierrez NL, Hirsch TL, Höft R, Januchowski-Hartley SR, Karmann M, Krug CB, Leverington FJ, Loh J, Lojenga RK, Malsch K, Marques A, Morgan DH, Mumby PJ, Newbold T, Noonan-Mooney K, Pagad SN, Parks BC, Pereira HM, Robertson T, Rondinini C, Santini L, Scharlemann JP, Schindler S, Sumaila UR, Teh LS, van Kolck J, Visconti P, and Ye Y
- Subjects
- Biodiversity, Conservation of Natural Resources, Extinction, Biological
- Abstract
In 2010, the international community, under the auspices of the Convention on Biological Diversity, agreed on 20 biodiversity-related "Aichi Targets" to be achieved within a decade. We provide a comprehensive mid-term assessment of progress toward these global targets using 55 indicator data sets. We projected indicator trends to 2020 using an adaptive statistical framework that incorporated the specific properties of individual time series. On current trajectories, results suggest that despite accelerating policy and management responses to the biodiversity crisis, the impacts of these efforts are unlikely to be reflected in improved trends in the state of biodiversity by 2020. We highlight areas of societal endeavor requiring additional efforts to achieve the Aichi Targets, and provide a baseline against which to assess future progress., (Copyright © 2014, American Association for the Advancement of Science.)
- Published
- 2014
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48. Climate change, sea-level rise, and conservation: keeping island biodiversity afloat.
- Author
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Courchamp F, Hoffmann BD, Russell JC, Leclerc C, and Bellard C
- Subjects
- Animals, Biodiversity, Climate Change, Conservation of Natural Resources methods, Conservation of Natural Resources trends, Islands
- Abstract
Island conservation programs have been spectacularly successful over the past five decades, yet they generally do not account for impacts of climate change. Here, we argue that the full spectrum of climate change, especially sea-level rise and loss of suitable climatic conditions, should be rapidly integrated into island biodiversity research and management., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
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49. Will climate change promote future invasions?
- Author
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Bellard C, Thuiller W, Leroy B, Genovesi P, Bakkenes M, and Courchamp F
- Subjects
- Animal Distribution, Animals, Biodiversity, Invertebrates, Models, Theoretical, Plant Dispersal, Seasons, Vertebrates, Climate Change, Conservation of Natural Resources, Environment, Introduced Species, Models, Biological
- Abstract
Biological invasion is increasingly recognized as one of the greatest threats to biodiversity. Using ensemble forecasts from species distribution models to project future suitable areas of the 100 of the world's worst invasive species defined by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature, we show that both climate and land use changes will likely cause drastic species range shifts. Looking at potential spatial aggregation of invasive species, we identify three future hotspots of invasion in Europe, northeastern North America, and Oceania. We also emphasize that some regions could lose a significant number of invasive alien species, creating opportunities for ecosystem restoration. From the list of 100, scenarios of potential range distributions show a consistent shrinking for invasive amphibians and birds, while for aquatic and terrestrial invertebrates distributions are projected to substantially increase in most cases. Given the harmful impacts these invasive species currently have on ecosystems, these species will likely dramatically influence the future of biodiversity., (© 2013 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
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50. Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity.
- Author
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Bellard C, Bertelsmeier C, Leadley P, Thuiller W, and Courchamp F
- Subjects
- Conservation of Natural Resources, Ecosystem, Population Dynamics, Biodiversity, Climate Change, Models, Theoretical
- Abstract
Many studies in recent years have investigated the effects of climate change on the future of biodiversity. In this review, we first examine the different possible effects of climate change that can operate at individual, population, species, community, ecosystem and biome scales, notably showing that species can respond to climate change challenges by shifting their climatic niche along three non-exclusive axes: time (e.g. phenology), space (e.g. range) and self (e.g. physiology). Then, we present the principal specificities and caveats of the most common approaches used to estimate future biodiversity at global and sub-continental scales and we synthesise their results. Finally, we highlight several challenges for future research both in theoretical and applied realms. Overall, our review shows that current estimates are very variable, depending on the method, taxonomic group, biodiversity loss metrics, spatial scales and time periods considered. Yet, the majority of models indicate alarming consequences for biodiversity, with the worst-case scenarios leading to extinction rates that would qualify as the sixth mass extinction in the history of the earth., (© 2012 Blackwell Publishing Ltd/CNRS.)
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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