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This study introduces a novel estimation method for the entries and structure of a matrix $A$ in the linear factor model $\mathbf{X} = A\textbf{Z} + \textbf{E}$. This is applied to an observable vector $\mathbf{X} \in \mathbb{R}^d$ with $\textbf{Z} \in \mathbb{R}^K$, a vector composed of independently regularly varying random variables, and lighter tail noise $\textbf{E} \in \mathbb{R}^d$. The spectral measure of the regularly varying random vector $\mathbf{X}$ is subsequently discrete and completely characterised by the matrix $A$. It follows that the behaviour of its maxima can be modelled by a max-stable random vector with discrete spectral measure. Every max-stable random vector with discrete spectral measure can be written as a linear factor model. Each row of the matrix $A$ is supposed to be both scaled and sparse. Additionally, the value of $K$ is not known a priori. The problem of identifying the matrix $A$ from its matrix of pairwise extremal correlation is addressed. In the presence of pure variables, which are elements of $\mathbf{X}$ linked, through $A$, to a single latent factor, the matrix $A$ can be reconstructed from the extremal correlation matrix. Our proofs of identifiability are constructive and pave the way for our innovative estimation for determining the number of factors $K$ and the matrix $A$ from $n$ weakly dependent observations on $\mathbf{X}$. We apply the suggested method to weekly maxima rainfall and wildfires to illustrate its applicability., Comment: 43 pages, 6 figures

The task of simplifying the complex spatio-temporal variables associated with climate modeling is of utmost importance and comes with significant challenges. In this research, our primary objective is to tailor clustering techniques to handle compound extreme events within gridded climate data across Europe. Specifically, we intend to identify subregions that display asymptotic independence concerning compound precipitation and wind speed extremes. To achieve this, we utilise daily precipitation sums and daily maximum wind speed data derived from the ERA5 reanalysis dataset spanning from 1979 to 2022. Our approach hinges on a tuning parameter and the application of a divergence measure to spotlight disparities in extremal dependence structures without relying on specific parametric assumptions. We propose a data-driven approach to determine the tuning parameter. This enables us to generate clusters that are spatially concentrated, which can provide more insightful information about the regional distribution of compound precipitation and wind speed extremes. In the process, we aim to elucidate the respective roles of extreme precipitation and wind speed in the resulting clusters. The proposed method is able to extract valuable information about extreme compound events while also significantly reducing the size of the dataset within reasonable computational timeframes., Comment: 34 pages, 15 figures

We propose a new class of models for variable clustering called Asymptotic Independent block (AI-block) models, which defines population-level clusters based on the independence of the maxima of a multivariate stationary mixing random process among clusters. This class of models is identifiable, meaning that there exists a maximal element with a partial order between partitions, allowing for statistical inference. We also present an algorithm depending on a tuning parameter that recovers the clusters of variables without specifying the number of clusters \emph{a priori}. Our work provides some theoretical insights into the consistency of our algorithm, demonstrating that under certain conditions it can effectively identify clusters in the data with a computational complexity that is polynomial in the dimension. A data-driven selection method for the tuning parameter is also proposed. To further illustrate the significance of our work, we applied our method to neuroscience and environmental real-datasets. These applications highlight the potential and versatility of the proposed approach., Comment: 47 pages, 6 figures

The package \textsf{clayton} is designed to be intuitive, user-friendly, and efficient. It offers a wide range of copula models, including Archimedean, Elliptical, and Extreme. The package is implemented in pure \textsf{Python}, making it easy to install and use. In addition, we provide detailed documentation and examples to help users get started quickly. We also conduct a performance comparison with existing \textsf{R} packages, demonstrating the efficiency of our implementation. The \textsf{clayton} package is a valuable tool for researchers and practitioners working with copulas in \textsf{Python}., Comment: 25 pages, 6 figures, 6 tables. Computo, January 2023

The modeling of dependence between maxima is an important subject in several applications in risk analysis. To this aim, the extreme value copula function, characterised via the madogram, can be used as a margin-free description of the dependence structure. From a practical point of view, the family of extreme value distributions is very rich and arise naturally as the limiting distribution of properly normalised component-wise maxima. In this paper, we investigate the nonparametric estimation of the madogram where data are completely missing at random. We provide the functional central limit theorem for the considered multivariate madrogram correctly normalized, towards a tight Gaussian process for which the covariance function depends on the probabilities of missing. Explicit formula for the asymptotic variance is also given. Our results are illustrated in a finite sample setting with a simulation study., Comment: 29 pages, 4 figures