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This paper proposes a tractable distributionally robust chance-constrained conservation voltage reduction (DRCC-CVR) method with enriched data-based ambiguity set in unbalanced three-phase distribution systems. The increasing penetration of distributed renewable energy not only brings clean power but also challenges the voltage regulation and energy-saving performance of CVR by introducing high uncertainties to distribution systems. In most cases, the conventional robust optimization methods for CVR only provide conservative solutions. To better consider the impacts of load and PV generation uncertainties on CVR implementation in distribution systems and provide less conservative solutions, this paper develops a data-based DRCC-CVR model with tractable reformulation and data enrichment method. Even though the uncertainties of load and photovoltaic (PV) can be captured by data, the availability of smart meters (SMs) and micro-phasor measurement units (PMUs) is restricted by cost budget. The limited data access may hinder the performance of the proposed DRCC-CVR. Thus, we further present a data enrichment method to statistically recover the high-resolution load and PV generation data from low-resolution data with Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) and Markov Chain (MC) models, which can be used to construct a data-based moment ambiguity set of uncertainty distributions for the proposed DRCC-CVR. Finally, the nonlinear power flow and voltage dependant load models and DRCC with moment-based ambiguity set are reformulated to be computationally tractable and tested on a real distribution feeder in Midwest U. S. to validate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method.

Conservation voltage reduction (CVR) has been widely implemented in distribution networks and helped utilities effectively reduce energy and peak load. However, the increasing penetration level of solar photovoltaic (PV) has affected voltage profiles and the performance of CVR. It remains an outstanding question how CVR and solar PV interact with each other. Understanding this interaction is important for utilities in implementing CVR and assessing its performance. This paper studies the impact of solar PV on CVR in a real distribution system in the Midwest U.S. using comprehensive simulations. We have considered various PV allocations and penetration levels, as well as different inverter control modes according to IEEE Std 1547-2018. Three metrics are used to quantify the impact of solar PV on CVR: voltages at the substation, voltage distribution across the network, and energy consumption reduction due to CVR. The results show that the allocations of solar PV have the most significant effect on the CVR performance, where a dispersed allocation of solar PV will help flatten voltage profile and achieve deeper voltage reductions at the substation, less energy consumption and line losses.

As the cost of the residential solar system decreases, rooftop photovoltaic (PV) has been widely integrated into distribution systems. Most rooftop PV systems are installed behind-the-meter (BTM), i.e., only the net demand is metered, while the native demand and PV generation are not separately recorded. Under this condition, the PV generation and native demand are invisible to utilities, which brings challenges for optimal distribution system operation and expansion. In this paper, we have come up with a novel two-layer approach to disaggregate the unknown PV generation and native demand from the known hourly net demand data recorded by smart meters: 1) At the aggregate level, the proposed approach separates the total PV generation and native demand time series from the total net demand time series for customers with PVs. 2) At the customer level, the separated aggregate-level PV generation is allocated to individual PVs. These two layers leverage the spatial correlations of native demand and PV generation, respectively. One primary advantage of our proposed approach is that it is more independent and practical compared to previous works because it does not require PV array parameters, meteorological data and previously recorded solar power exemplars. We have verified our proposed approach using real native demand and PV generation data.

Due to increasing penetration of volatile distributed photovoltaic (PV) resources, real-time monitoring of customers at the grid-edge has become a critical task. However, this requires solving the distribution system state estimation (DSSE) jointly for both primary and secondary levels of distribution grids, which is computationally complex and lacks scalability to large systems. To achieve near real-time solutions for DSSE, we present a novel hierarchical reinforcement learning-aided framework: at the first layer, a weighted least squares (WLS) algorithm solves the DSSE over primary medium-voltage feeders; at the second layer, deep actor-critic (A-C) modules are trained for each secondary transformer using measurement residuals to estimate the states of low-voltage circuits and capture the impact of PVs at the grid-edge. While the A-C parameter learning process takes place offline, the trained A-C modules are deployed online for fast secondary grid state estimation; this is the key factor in scalability and computational efficiency of the framework. To maintain monitoring accuracy, the two levels exchange boundary information with each other at the secondary nodes, including transformer voltages (first layer to second layer) and active/reactive total power injection (second layer to first layer). This interactive information passing strategy results in a closed-loop structure that is able to track optimal solutions at both layers in few iterations. Moreover, our model can handle the topology changes using the Jacobian matrices of the first layer. We have performed numerical experiments using real utility data and feeder models to verify the performance of the proposed framework.

Efficient outage location is critical to enhancing the resilience of power distribution systems. However, accurate outage location requires combining massive evidence received from diverse data sources, including smart meter (SM) last gasp signals, customer trouble calls, social media messages, weather data, vegetation information, and physical parameters of the network. This is a computationally complex task due to the high dimensionality of data in distribution grids. In this paper, we propose a multi-source data fusion approach to locate outage events in partially observable distribution systems using Bayesian networks (BNs). A novel aspect of the proposed approach is that it takes multi-source evidence and the complex structure of distribution systems into account using a probabilistic graphical method. Our method can radically reduce the computational complexity of outage location inference in high-dimensional spaces. The graphical structure of the proposed BN is established based on the network's topology and the causal relationship between random variables, such as the states of branches/customers and evidence. Utilizing this graphical model, accurate outage locations are obtained by leveraging a Gibbs sampling (GS) method, to infer the probabilities of de-energization for all branches. Compared with commonly-used exact inference methods that have exponential complexity in the size of the BN, GS quantifies the target conditional probability distributions in a timely manner. A case study of several real-world distribution systems is presented to validate the proposed method.

In modern distribution systems, load uncertainty can be fully captured by micro-PMUs, which can record high-resolution data; however, in practice, micro-PMUs are installed at limited locations in distribution networks due to budgetary constraints. In contrast, smart meters are widely deployed but can only measure relatively low-resolution energy consumption, which cannot sufficiently reflect the actual instantaneous load volatility within each sampling interval. In this paper, we have proposed a novel approach for enriching load data for service transformers that only have low-resolution smart meters. The key to our approach is to statistically recover the high-resolution load data, which is masked by the low-resolution data, using trained probabilistic models of service transformers that have both high and low-resolution data sources, i.e, micro-PMUs and smart meters. The overall framework consists of two steps: first, for the transformers with micro-PMUs, a Gaussian Process is leveraged to capture the relationship between the maximum/minimum load and average load within each low-resolution sampling interval of smart meters; a Markov chain model is employed to characterize the transition probability of known high-resolution load. Next, the trained models are used as teachers for the transformers with only smart meters to decompose known low-resolution load data into targeted high-resolution load data. The enriched data can recover instantaneous load uncertainty and significantly enhance distribution system observability and situational awareness. We have verified the proposed approach using real high- and low-resolution load data.

This paper proposes an asychronous distributed leader-follower control method to achieve conservation voltage reduction (CVR) in three-phase unbalanced distribution systems by optimally scheduling smart inverters of distributed energy resources (DERs). One feature of the proposed method is to consider integrated primary-secondary distribution networks and voltage dependent loads. To ease the computational complexity introduced by the large number of secondary networks, we partition a system into distributed leader-follower control zones based on the network connectivity. To address the non-convexity from the nonlinear power flow and load models, a feedback-based linear approximation using instantaneous power and voltage measurements is proposed. This enables the online implementation of the proposed method to achieve fast tracking of system variations led by DERs. Another feature of the proposed method is the asynchronous implementations of the leader-follower controllers, which makes it compatible with non-uniform update rates and robust against communication delays and failures. Numerical tests are performed on a real distribution feeder in Midwest U. S. to validate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method., Comment: Accepted by IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid

Customer-level rooftop photovoltaic (PV) has been widely integrated into distribution systems. In most cases, PVs are installed behind-the-meter (BTM), and only the net demand is recorded. Therefore, the native demand and PV generation are unknown to utilities. Separating native demand and solar generation from net demand is critical for improving grid-edge observability. In this paper, a novel approach is proposed for disaggregating customer-level BTM PV generation using low-resolution but widely available hourly smart meter data. The proposed approach exploits the strong correlation between monthly nocturnal and diurnal native demands and the high similarity among PV generation profiles. First, a joint probability density function (PDF) of monthly nocturnal and diurnal native demands is constructed for customers without PVs, using Gaussian mixture modeling (GMM). Deviation from the constructed PDF is utilized to probabilistically assess the monthly solar generation of customers with PVs. Then, to identify hourly BTM solar generation for these customers, their estimated monthly solar generation is decomposed into an hourly timescale; to do this, we have proposed a maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)-based technique that utilizes hourly typical solar exemplars. Leveraging the strong monthly native demand correlation and high PV generation similarity enhances our approach's robustness against the volatility of customers' hourly load and enables highly accurate disaggregation. The proposed approach has been verified using real native demand and PV generation data.

This paper proposes a novel two-layer Volt/VAR control (VVC) framework to regulate the voltage profiles across an unbalanced active distribution system, which achieves both the efficient open-loop optimization and accurate closed-loop tracking. In the upper layer, the conventional voltage regulation devices with discrete and slow-response characteristics are optimally scheduled to regulate voltage profiles in an hourly timescale while improving economic operations based on the receding horizon optimization (RHO) in a centralized manner. A generalized linearized branch flow model (G-LBFM) is developed to incorporate tap changers into branches, which significantly reduces the computational complexity compared to the original mixed-integer non-convex case. In the lower layer, we develop an integral-like control algorithm rather than resorting to the droop-based rules for real-time reactive power dispatch of distributed energy resources (DERs) to achieve accurate voltage tracking and mitigate fast voltage fluctuations in a decentralized (purely local) fashion. Further, a sufficient stability condition of the integral rule is presented to guarantee the closed-loop stability. Case studies are carried out on the unbalanced IEEE 123-Node Test Feeder to validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

In this paper, we present a novel data-driven approach to detect outage events in partially observable distribution systems by capturing the changes in smart meters' (SMs) data distribution. To achieve this, first, a breadth-first search (BFS)-based mechanism is proposed to decompose the network into a set of zones that maximize outage location information in partially observable systems. Then, using SM data in each zone, a generative adversarial network (GAN) is designed to implicitly extract the temporal-spatial behavior in normal conditions in an unsupervised fashion. After training, an anomaly scoring technique is leveraged to determine if real-time measurements indicate an outage event in the zone. Finally, to infer the location of the outage events in a multi-zone network, a zone coordination process is proposed to take into account the interdependencies of intersecting zones. We have provided analytical guarantees of performance for our algorithm using the concept of entropy, which is leveraged to quantify outage location information in multi-zone grids. The proposed method has been tested and verified on distribution feeder models with real SM data.

It is speculated that higher penetration of inverter-based distributed photo-voltaic (PV) power generators can increase the risk of tripping events due to voltage fluctuations. To quantify this risk utilities need to solve the interactive equations of tripping events for networked PVs in real-time. However, these equations are non-differentiable, nonlinear, and exponentially complex, and thus, cannot be used as a tractable basis for solar curtailment prediction and mitigation. Furthermore, load/PV power values might not be available in real-time due to limited grid observability, which further complicates tripping event prediction. To address these challenges, we have employed Chebyshev's inequality to obtain an alternative probabilistic model for quantifying the risk of tripping for networked PVs. The proposed model enables operators to estimate the probability of interdependent inverter tripping events using only PV/load statistics and in a scalable manner. Furthermore, by integrating this probabilistic model into an optimization framework, countermeasures are designed to mitigate massive interdependent tripping events. Since the proposed model is parameterized using only the statistical characteristics of nodal active/reactive powers, it is especially beneficial in practical systems, which have limited real-time observability. Numerical experiments have been performed employing real data and feeder models to verify the performance of the proposed technique.

Rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) power generator is a widely used distributed energy resource (DER) in distribution systems. Currently, the majority of PVs are installed behind-the-meter (BTM), where only customers' net demand is recorded by smart meters. Disaggregating BTM PV generation from net demand is critical to utilities for enhancing grid-edge observability. In this paper, a data-driven approach is proposed for BTM PV generation disaggregation using solar and demand exemplars. First, a data clustering procedure is developed to construct a library of candidate load/solar exemplars. To handle the volatility of BTM resources, a novel game-theoretic learning process is proposed to adaptively generate optimal composite exemplars using the constructed library of candidate exemplars, through repeated evaluation of disaggregation residuals. Finally, the composite native demand and solar exemplars are employed to disaggregate solar generation from net demand using a semi-supervised source separator. The proposed methodology has been verified using real smart meter data and feeder models.

In this paper, we provide a time-series distribution test system. This test system is a fully observable distribution grid in Midwest U.S. with smart meters (SM) installed at all end users. Our goal is to share a real U.S. distribution grid model without modification. This grid model is comprehensive and representative since it consists of both overhead lines and underground cables, and it has standard distribution grid components such as capacitor banks, line switches, substation transformers with load tap changer and secondary distribution transformers. An important uniqueness of this grid model is it has one-year smart meter measurements at all nodes, thus bridging the gap between existing test feeders and quasi-static time-series based distribution system analysis.

Fast and accurate load parameters identification has great impact on the power systems operation and stability analysis. This paper proposes a novel transfer reinforcement learning based method to identify composite ZIP and induction motor (IM) load models. An imitation learning process is firstly introduced to improve the exploitation and exploration process. The transfer learning process is then employed to overcome the challenge of time consuming optimization when dealing with new tasks. An Associative memory is designed to realize demension reduction and knowledge learning and transfer between different optimization tasks. Agents can exploit the optimal knowledge from source tasks to accelerate search rate and improve solution accuracy. The greedy rule is adopted to balance global search and local search. Convergency analysis shows that the proposed method can converge to the global optimal solution with probability 1. The performance of the proposed ITQ appraoch have been validated on 68-bus system. Simulation results in multi-test cases verify that the proposed method has superior convergence rate and stability.

Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) enables utilities to obtain granular energy consumption data, which offers a unique opportunity to design customer segmentation strategies based on their impact on various operational metrics in distribution grids. However, performing utility-scale segmentation for unobservable customers with only monthly billing information, remains a challenging problem. To address this challenge, we propose a new metric, the coincident monthly peak contribution (CMPC), that quantifies the contribution of individual customers to system peak demand. Furthermore, a novel multi-state machine learning-based segmentation method is developed that estimates CMPC for customers without smart meters (SMs): first, a clustering technique is used to build a databank containing typical daily load patterns in different seasons using the SM data of observable customers. Next, to associate unobservable customers with the discovered typical load profiles, a classification approach is leveraged to compute the likelihood of daily consumption patterns for different unobservable households. In the third stage, a weighted clusterwise regression (WCR) model is utilized to estimate the CMPC of unobservable customers using their monthly billing data and the outcomes of the classification module. The proposed segmentation methodology has been tested and verified using real utility data.

Cold load pick-up (CLPU) has been a critical concern to utilities. Researchers and industry practitioners have underlined the impact of CLPU on distribution system design and service restoration. The recent large-scale deployment of smart meters has provided the industry with a huge amount of data that is highly granular, both temporally and spatially. In this paper, a data-driven framework is proposed for assessing CLPU demand of residential customers using smart meter data. The proposed framework consists of two interconnected layers: 1) At the feeder level, a nonlinear auto-regression model is applied to estimate the diversified demand during the system restoration and calculate the CLPU demand ratio. 2) At the customer level, Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) and probabilistic reasoning are used to quantify the CLPU demand increase. The proposed methodology has been verified using real smart meter data and outage cases.

This paper presents a novel data-driven method that determines the daily consumption patterns of customers without smart meters (SMs) to enhance the observability of distribution systems. Using the proposed method, the daily consumption of unobserved customers is extracted from their monthly billing data based on three machine learning models: first, a spectral clustering (SC) algorithm is used to infer the typical daily load profiles of customers with SMs. Each typical daily load behavior represents a distinct class of customer behavior. In the second module, a multi-timescale learning (MTSL) model is trained to estimate the hourly consumption using monthly energy data for the customers of each class. The third stage leverages a recursive Bayesian learning (RBL) method and branch current state estimation (BCSE) residuals to estimate the daily load profiles of unobserved customers without SMs. The proposed data-driven method has been tested and verified using real utility data.

In this paper, we present an efficient computational framework with the purpose of generating weighted pseudo-measurements to improve the quality of Distribution System State Estimation (DSSE) and provide observability with Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) against unobservable customers and missing data. The proposed technique is based on a game-theoretic expansion of Relevance Vector Machines (RVM). This platform is able to estimate the customer power consumption data and quantify its uncertainty while reducing the prohibitive computational burden of model training for large AMI datasets. To achieve this objective, the large training set is decomposed and distributed among multiple parallel learning entities. The resulting estimations from the parallel RVMs are then combined using a game-theoretic model based on the idea of repeated games with vector payoff. It is observed that through this approach and by exploiting the seasonal changes in customers' behavior the accuracy of pseudo-measurements can be considerably improved, while introducing robustness against bad training data samples. The proposed pseudo-measurement generation model is integrated into a DSSE using a closed-loop information system, which takes advantage of a Branch Current State Estimator (BCSE) data to further improve the performance of the designed machine learning framework. This method has been tested on a practical distribution feeder model with smart meter data for verification.

This paper presents a review of the literature on State Estimation (SE) in power systems. While covering some works related to SE in transmission systems, the main focus of this paper is Distribution System State Estimation (DSSE). The paper discusses a few critical topics of DSSE, including mathematical problem formulation, application of pseudo-measurements, metering instrument placement, network topology issues, impacts of renewable penetration, and cyber-security. Both conventional and modern data-driven and probabilistic techniques have been reviewed. This paper can provide researchers and utility engineers with insights into the technical achievements, barriers, and future research directions of DSSE.