Search

Socioeconomic growth and population increase are driving a constant global demand for energy. Renewable energy is emerging as a leading solution to minimise the use of fossil fuels. However, renewable resources are characterised by significant intermittency and unpredictability, which impact their energy production and integration into the power grid. Forecasting models are increasingly being developed to address these challenges and have become crucial as renewable energy sources are integrated in energy systems. In this paper, a comparative analysis of forecasting methods for renewable energy production is developed, focusing on photovoltaic and wind power. A review of state-of-the-art techniques is conducted to synthesise and categorise different forecasting models, taking into account climatic variables, optimisation algorithms, pre-processing techniques, and various forecasting horizons. By integrating diverse techniques such as optimisation algorithms and pre-processing methods and carefully selecting the forecast horizon, it is possible to highlight the accuracy and stability of forecasts. Overall, the ongoing development and refinement of forecasting methods are crucial to achieve a sustainable and reliable energy future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Several sectors, such as agriculture and renewable energy systems, rely heavily on weather variables that are characterized by intermittent patterns. Many studies use regression and deep learning methods for weather forecasting to deal with this variability. This research employs regression models to estimate missing historical data and three different time horizons, incorporating long short-term memory (LSTM) to forecast short- to medium-term weather conditions at Quinta de Santa Bárbara in the Douro region. Additionally, a genetic algorithm (GA) is used to optimize the LSTM hyperparameters. The results obtained show that the proposed optimized LSTM effectively reduced the evaluation metrics across different time horizons. The obtained results underscore the importance of accurate weather forecasting in making important decisions in various sectors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Wind power is becoming an important source of electrical energy production. In an onshore wind farm (WF), the electrical energy is collected at a substation from different wind turbines through electrical cables deployed over ground ditches. This work considers the WF layout design assuming that the substation location and all wind turbine locations are given, and a set of electrical cable types is available. The WF layout problem, taking into account its lifetime and technical constraints, involves selecting the cables to interconnect all wind turbines to the substation and the supporting ditches to minimize the initial investment cost plus the cost of the electrical energy that is lost on the cables over the lifetime of the WF. It is assumed that each ditch can deploy multiple cables, turning this problem into a more complex variant of previously addressed WF layout problems. This variant turns the problem best fitting to the real case and leads to substantial gains in the total cost of the solutions. The problem is defined as an integer linear programming model, which is then strengthened with different sets of valid inequalities. The models are tested with four WFs with up to 115 wind turbines. The computational experiments show that the optimal solutions can be computed with the proposed models for almost all cases. The largest WF was not solved to optimality, but the final relative gaps are small. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This work addresses the wind farm (WF) optimization layout considering several substations. It is given a set of wind turbines jointly with a set of substations, and the goal is to obtain the optimal design to minimize the infrastructure cost and the cost of electrical energy losses during the wind farm lifetime. The turbine set is partitioned into subsets to assign to each substation. The cable type and the connections to collect wind turbine-produced energy, forwarding to the corresponding substation, are selected in each subset. The technique proposed uses a genetic algorithm (GA) and an integer linear programming (ILP) model simultaneously. The GA creates a partition in the turbine set and assigns each of the obtained subsets to a substation to optimize a fitness function that corresponds to the minimum total cost of the WF layout. The fitness function evaluation requires solving an ILP model for each substation to determine the optimal cable connection layout. This methodology is applied to four onshore WFs. The obtained results show that the solution performance of the proposed approach reaches up to 0.17 % of economic savings when compared to the clustering with ILP approach (an exact approach). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study aims at solving a harvesting scheduling optimization problem with constraints on the clearcut area with additional constraints on clearcut proximity. The objective function is defined as the net present value generated by harvesting discounted by a penalty for each clearcut. This problem arises to reduce the negative environmental impact of excessive harvesting. We propose the connected‐bucket model, the so‐called bucket model with additional constraints on bucket connectivity and two definitions of stand adjacency, and a Dantzig–Wolfe decomposition. The decomposed model is solved by branch‐and‐price and the connected‐bucket model by a general‐purpose mixed integer programming solver (CPLEX). We compare the quality of the solutions obtained with both approaches for real instances. The branch‐and‐price approach found better solutions for the majority of the instances. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The last two decades have witnessed a new paradigm in terms of electrical energy production. The production of electricity from renewable sources has come to play a leading role, thus allowing us not only to face the global increase in energy consumption, but also to achieve the objectives of decarbonising the economies of several countries. In this scenario, where onshore wind energy is practically exhausted, several countries are betting on constructing offshore wind farms. Since all the costs involved are higher when compared to onshore, optimising the efficiency of this type of infrastructure as much as possible is essential. The main aim of this paper was to develop an optimisation model to find the best wind turbine locations for offshore wind farms and to obtain the wind farm layout to maximise the profit, avoiding cable crossings, taking into account the wake effect and power losses. The ideal positioning of wind turbines is important for maximising the production of electrical energy. Furthermore, a techno-economic analysis was performed to calculate the main economic indicators, namely the net present value, the internal rate of return, and the payback period, to support the decision-making. The results showed that the developed model found the best solution that maximised the profits of the wind farm during its lifetime. It also showed that the location of the offshore substation played a key role in achieving these goals. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change will increase the frequency of drought, heat waves, and wildfires. We intended to analyse how fire recurrence and/or induced water stress can affect seed germination and root cell division in Pinus pinaster Aiton. Seeds from stands with no prior fire history and from post-fire regeneration (in areas burnt once, twice, and thrice) in northern Portugal were germinated in distilled water (control) and polyethylene glycol (PEG) to simulate water stress for four weeks, followed by a recovery period. Roots were analysed cytogenetically. The germination index of the Pinus pinaster seeds was not statistically influenced by the induction of osmotic stress, nor by the fire recurrence of the stands. The mean germination time (MGT) was 10–29 days and 1–36 days for the stress and recovery periods, respectively, and increased with PEG concentration. The 20% PEG treatment inhibited root growth after germination. The 10% PEG treatment induced a high frequency of cytogenetic anomalies, mostly in the sites which experienced fire exposure. While fire recurrence did not affect the germination rate, it seemed to reduce the water stress response, negatively impacting cell division and impair root growth. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Understanding the role of the climate on the wine production is one of the major concerns of this sector since the environment usually determines the output of this industry. There are only a few previous studies that attempted to compile these environmental effects as an index, usually considering the temperature and the precipitation as their core variables. The present study suggests a new climate index which is based on descriptive statistics. Our index tries to mimic the target region characteristics and avoid the past studies premise of imposing previously conceived restrictions such as a fixed optimal climate. We then used yearly production and daily temperature data (1950-2016) from the Portuguese Minho wine region to test our proposed index and compare it with Ribéreau-Gayon and Peynaud (RGP, Ribéreau-Gayon et al., 2003) and Growing Degree-Days (GDD, Winkler et al., 1974) indexes. Our results showed that the newly proposed index may outperform the explanatory power of the other indexes and, in addition, may output interesting and unknown characteristics such as the different ideal temperatures regarding the studied region.