1. Long-term weight change in adulthood and incident diabetes mellitus: MY Health Up Study
- Author
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Yuji Miyoshi, Satoshi Toyokawa, Chie Kaneto, Yasuo Suyama, and Yasuki Kobayashi
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,Gerontology ,Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism ,Weight Gain ,Body Mass Index ,Endocrinology ,Risk Factors ,Diabetes mellitus ,Internal Medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Obesity ,Proportional Hazards Models ,Proportional hazards model ,business.industry ,Hazard ratio ,Weight change ,General Medicine ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Confidence interval ,Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2 ,Female ,medicine.symptom ,business ,Weight gain ,Body mass index ,Demography - Abstract
To investigate whether long-term weight/BMI change in adulthood has a significant impact on the incidence of diabetes, independent of attained weight status.A number of 13,700 participants (2962 men and 10,738 women) aged 36 to 55 years were followed for up to 5 years using data from annual health checkups. Incident cases of diabetes were identified from self-reports or single fasting plasma glucose measurements (≥7.0 mmol/l). Weight/BMI change was calculated from participants' weight/BMI values at age 20 years and weight/BMI values at a given point during follow-up and used as a time-dependent variable in age-stratified multivariate Cox proportional hazards models.During the 5 year follow-up, 408 participants (137 men and 271 women) developed diabetes. Even after adjusting for BMI during follow-up and other possible confounders, weight/BMI gain since age 20 years was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing diabetes. The hazard ratios were: 2.30 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.31-4.04) for those who gained 6.0 to10.0 kg and 3.09 (95% CI: 1.79-5.34) for those who gained ≥10.0 kg [reference:2.0 kg change]; and 2.61 (95% CI: 1.58-4.31) for those who gained 3.0 to5.0 kg/m(2) and 3.70 (95% CI: 2.22-6.16) for those who gained ≥5.0 kg/m(2) [reference:1.0 kg/m(2) change].The results indicate that long-term weight/BMI gain in adulthood is a significant predictor for the development of diabetes, independent of attained weight status. Because weight gain within the normal weight range could increase the risk of diabetes, non-obese people should also be warned against possible weight gain.
- Published
- 2013
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