1. A Confidence-Calibrated MOBA Game Winner Predictor
- Author
-
Kim, Dong-Hee, Lee, Changwoo, and Chung, Ki-Seok
- Subjects
Computer Science - Machine Learning ,Statistics - Machine Learning - Abstract
In this paper, we propose a confidence-calibration method for predicting the winner of a famous multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) game, League of Legends. In MOBA games, the dataset may contain a large amount of input-dependent noise; not all of such noise is observable. Hence, it is desirable to attempt a confidence-calibrated prediction. Unfortunately, most existing confidence calibration methods are pertaining to image and document classification tasks where consideration on uncertainty is not crucial. In this paper, we propose a novel calibration method that takes data uncertainty into consideration. The proposed method achieves an outstanding expected calibration error (ECE) (0.57%) mainly owing to data uncertainty consideration, compared to a conventional temperature scaling method of which ECE value is 1.11%., Comment: Submitted to IEEE Conference on Games(CoG) 2020
- Published
- 2020