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Rapid cropland reclamation is underway in Cold China in response to increases in food demand, while the lack analyses of time series cropping pattern mappings limits our understanding of the acute transformation process of cropland structure and associated environmental effects. The Cold China contains different agricultural systems (state and private farming), and such systems could lead to different cropping patterns. So far, such changes have not been revealed yet. Based on the Landsat images, this study tracked cropping information in five-year increments (1990–1995, 1995–2000, 2000–2005, 2005–2010, and 2010–2015) and predicted future patterns for the period of 2020–2050 under different agricultural systems using developed method for determining cropland patterns. The following results were obtained: The available time series of Landsat images in Cold China met the requirements for long-term cropping pattern studies, and the developed method exhibited high accuracy (over 91%) and obtained precise spatial information. A new satellite evidence was observed that cropping patterns significantly differed between the two farm types, with paddy field in state farming expanding at a faster rate (from 2.66 to 68.56%) than those in private farming (from 10.12 to 34.98%). More than 70% of paddy expansion was attributed to the transformation of upland crop in each period at the pixel level, which led to a greater loss of upland crop in state farming than private farming (9505.66 km2 vs. 2840.29 km2) during 1990–2015. Rapid cropland reclamation is projected to stagnate in 2020, while paddy expansion will continue until 2040 primarily in private farming in Cold China. This study provides new evidence for different land use change pattern mechanisms between different agricultural systems, and the results have significant implications for understanding and guiding agricultural system development.

Rapid cropland reformation is occurring in the cold region of China (hereafter referred to as Cold China), affecting national crop structure production. In addition, different agricultural systems, including state and private farms, exist in Cold China. To date, the different effects of cropland reformation on grain production in state and private farms are lacking. Focusing on this issue and using synergistic methodology, results revealed that the transformation from upland crops to paddy field was principal land change across Cold China from 1990 to 2015. This transformation increased grain production by 434.0 × 104 t, accounting for over 14.0% of the total grain production increase in Cold China (i.e., from 748.0 × 104 t in 1990–3785.1 × 104 t in 2015) in the study period, showing positive feedback on grain security. Between two agricultural systems, more intensive transformation area (10993.3 km2 vs. 4673.5 km2) and a larger contribution to grain production increase (11.1% vs. 3.2%) occurred on state compared with private farms. Crop structure also evolved differently in the two agricultural systems. Dominant crop changed from soybean (1990–2000) to rice paddy (2000–2015) on state farms but from soybean (1990–2005) to corn (2005–2015) on private farms, indicating state farms focused on human dietary supply and private farms mainly served industrial needs. This study showed cropland reformation in response to global food trade increased grain production in Cold China. State farms were more efficient in such reformation; more market-oriented policies should be designed to encourage the reformation on private farms. This study provided a new reference for other regions/countries' investigation on cropland and food structural security in different agricultural systems. [Display omitted] • The shift from upland crops to paddy field was principal land change in Cold China. • Positive effect on food sustainability was observed from upland crops to paddy field. • Different roles of state and private farms in grain production were revealed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The recent acute evolution of cropland structure in Cold China could lead to rapid rice paddy expansion, potentially altering land-surface thermal processes and influencing climate. To address the issue, this study investigated the changes in cropland type, land-surface temperature (LST) and heat fluxes in the agricultural region of Cold China during 2000–2015 based on time-series of land-use data and MODIS LST product, using the split-window algorithms (SWA) model and the pixel component arranging and component algorithm (PCACA). The investigation revealed large-scale land transformation from rain-fed farmland to paddy field in Cold China during 2000–2015. Compared to the rain-fed farmland, lower LST was observed in paddy field throughout crop growing seasons, with the highest LST threshold found in June (7.17 ± 1.05 °C) and the lowest value found in August (1.04 ± 0.35 °C). The cooling effect of paddy-field ranged from 0.59 ± 0.06 °C, 0.77 ± 0.07 °C, and 1.08 ± 0.08 °C for the low-, medium-, and high-density paddies, respectively. Compared to other months, stronger cooling effect was found in May and June. Further analysis showed the conversion of a rain-fed farmland to paddy field reduced the sensible heat flux and soil heat flux by 52.94 W/m2 and 15.26 W/m2, respectively, while increased the latent heat flux and net radiation by 115.66 W/m2 and 47.34 W/m2, respectively. The findings from this study indicated the changes in cropland structure and management regime (e.g., irrigation) could profoundly modify land-surface thermal processes and local/regional climate, interfering the signals from global warming. Therefore, instrumental climate data that collected from areas experienced large-scale conversion between rain-fed and paddy farmland should be carefully screened and corrected to prevent land-use induced biases. Unlabelled Image • Time threshold of land surface temperature discrepancies between rain-fed and paddy farmland was compared; • Cooling effect of paddy field in cold region of China was revealed; • Land environment changes were investigated during land evolution from rain-fed to paddy farmland. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rapid cropland reclamation is underway in Cold China in response to increases in food demand, while the lack analyses of time series cropping pattern mappings limits our understanding of the acute transformation process of cropland structure and associated environmental effects. The Cold China contains different agricultural systems (state and private farming), and such systems could lead to different cropping patterns. So far, such changes have not been revealed yet. Based on the Landsat images, this study tracked cropping information in five-year increments (1990–1995, 1995–2000, 2000–2005, 2005–2010, and 2010–2015) and predicted future patterns for the period of 2020–2050 under different agricultural systems using developed method for determining cropland patterns. The following results were obtained: The available time series of Landsat images in Cold China met the requirements for long-term cropping pattern studies, and the developed method exhibited high accuracy (over 91%) and obtained precise spatial information. A new satellite evidence was observed that cropping patterns significantly differed between the two farm types, with paddy field in state farming expanding at a faster rate (from 2.66 to 68.56%) than those in private farming (from 10.12 to 34.98%). More than 70% of paddy expansion was attributed to the transformation of upland crop in each period at the pixel level, which led to a greater loss of upland crop in state farming than private farming (9505.66 km2 vs. 2840.29 km2) during 1990–2015. Rapid cropland reclamation is projected to stagnate in 2020, while paddy expansion will continue until 2040 primarily in private farming in Cold China. This study provides new evidence for different land use change pattern mechanisms between different agricultural systems, and the results have significant implications for understanding and guiding agricultural system development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]