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SETTING interest rates in Turkey is like skiing in pre-lift days. Going down is the easy part. Climbing back up is gruelling, and takes ages. The country's central bankers have […]

Political and economic outlook The UN classifies Timor-Leste as a least-developed country. As hydrocarbon production will end in 2024, the country will no longer be a petroleum producer in 2025-26. [...]

We estimate average consumer price inflation of 4.7% in 2024, with year-end inflation of 4%. The drivers of inflation, including surging energy prices, have abated in recent months, but challenges [...]

HEADLINES ABOUT inflation in America typically refer to the country's consumer-price index (CPI), the most widely used measure of changing prices. CPI inflation slowed in August to 2.5% year-on-year. But [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2022[sup.a] 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] Real GDP growth 4.1 -5.4 -19.4 15.9 Gross fixed investment growth 12.2 -3.4 -22.0 34.3 Unemployment rate (av) 24.4 31.0[sup.c] [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth 0.2 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.4 Industrial production growth -2.1 1.8 4.9 4.4 3.3 3.0 [...]

Inflation cooled as expected in August. The consumer price index rose 2.5% in August from a year ago. The data comes before the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision next week. (https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/investing/what-causes-inflation) [...]

Inflationary pressures in Macau will remain muted in 2024, and the upward trend in prices will be more prominent in 2025. The fact that most food and consumer goods are [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth -0.7 1.5 2.9 3.6 3.5 3.2 Industrial production growth -5.5 -1.5 4.5 4.3 3.3 2.9 [...]

We forecast that consumer price inflation will decelerate to 4.7% in 2024 and 4.3% in 2025 as global commodity prices and domestic demand moderate. The overall monsoon rainfall is expected [...]

We expect consumer price inflation to average 2.6% in 2024, on the back of falling commodity prices and government policies to curb increasing property and private transport prices. We forecast [...]

We forecast average consumer price inflation of 4.6% in 2024, with year-end inflation of 3.9%. The drivers of inflation, including surging energy prices, have abated in recent months, but challenges [...]

We expect inflation to remain within the SNB's 0-2% target range in 2024-28. Switzerland's lower inflation than the rest of Europe over the past two years is explained by smaller [...]

The Swiss National Bank (SNB, the central bank) has been ahead of most other developed market central banks, cutting its benchmark police rate by 25 basis points in both March [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth 2.1 2.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 Industrial production growth -3.0 -1.4 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.3 [...]

Consumer price inflation will remain low throughout the forecast period in comparison with the 2010s average of 3.3%. Weaknesses in private residential rents, which account for more than a third [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth 0.0 1.1 2.2 2.7 2.3 2.3 Industrial production growth -0.8 -2.3 2.8 3.5 2.8 2.7 [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2022[sup.a] 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] Real GDP growth 6.4 6.0 3.8 3.2 Industrial production growth -3.3 6.3 1.2 3.2 Consumer prices (av) 13.0 8.6 3.7 [...]

We expect inflation to be low in 2024, and have therefore revised our forecast down slightly, from 1.6% to 1.4%. Inflation will accelerate to 2.1% in 2025 on the back [...]

We expect headline inflation to average 10.7% in 2024, before moderating to 7.1% in 2025. Food inflation, which accounts for over 60% of the consumer price index, will remain elevated [...]

Consumer prices fell for three consecutive months from May 2024, owing to softening fuel prices and a lack of demand pressures in consumer-facing categories such as clothing and culture. A [...]

In June 2024 the Central Bank of Samoa (CBS) committed to a gradual increase in its official policy rate, which, at 0.23%, is currently below the pre-pandemic average. The CBS [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth 2.0 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.8 Industrial production growth -8.3 -4.9 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.8 [...]

We expect consumer price inflation to average 2.6% in 2024, on the back of falling commodity prices and government policies to curb increasing property and private transport prices. It will [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2022[sup.a] 2023[sup.b] 2024[sup.c] 2025[sup.c] Real GDP growth[sup.d] -1.7 -1.9[sup.a] -1.5 1.5 Gross agricultural production growth -4.5 -5.6[sup.a] 0.0 1.0 Consumer price inflation (av) 34.0 [...]

US stocks rose Friday, though were down slightly for the week. Investors were able to claw back most of the losses from the big Monday sell-off. Investors are eyeing key [...]

Food prices are a major determinant of inflation in Tajikistan, as food products account for a large share of the consumer price basket. We forecast annual average inflation of 4.8% [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth 0.2 2.9 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.6 Industrial production growth -2.1 2.3 3.6 3.8 3.3 2.9 [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth -0.7 1.5 2.8 3.4 3.4 3.5 Industrial production growth -5.5 0.8 2.5 4.1 3.1 3.2 [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth 0.0 1.1 2.2 2.7 2.3 2.3 Industrial production growth -0.8 0.5 1.2 2.2 2.5 2.5 [...]

We forecast that consumer price inflation will decelerate to 4.7% in 2024 and 4.3% in 2025 as global commodity prices and domestic demand moderate. Food prices will pose an upside [...]

We forecast average consumer price inflation of 4.2% in 2024 as the drivers of inflation, including surging energy prices, start falling out of the year-on-year calculations. The pace of inflation [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth 2.1 2.9 3.5 3.3 3.3 3.3 Industrial production growth -3.0 2.7 3.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 [...]

Consumer price inflation will remain low throughout the forecast period in comparison with the 2010s average of 3.3%. Weaknesses in private residential rents, which account for more than a third [...]

The Swiss National Bank (SNB, the central bank) has been ahead of most other developed market central banks, cutting its benchmark police rate by 25 basis points in both March [...]

We expect inflation to remain within the SNB's 0-2% target range in 2024-28. Switzerland's lower inflation than the rest of Europe over the past two years is explained by smaller [...]

Inflation has softened more quickly than we had expected. The year-on-year increase in the consumer price index fell to 5.1% in June 2024, compared to 10.6% a year earlier, driven [...]

Inflation by the EU harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) measure will decelerate to an average of 2.4% in 2024, from 5.6% in 2023. Inflation slowed to its lowest level [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] 2026[sup.b] 2027[sup.b] 2028[sup.b] Real GDP growth 0.0 1.8 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.1 Industrial production (% change pa) -4.3 0.5 1.7 3.8 [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2022[sup.a] 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] Real GDP growth 2.4 2.0[sup.c] 3.2 4.0 Consumer price inflation (av) 52.4 51.6 20.6 17.8 Consumer price inflation (year-end) 54.6 [...]

We forecast that consumer price inflation will average around 29% in 2024-similar to the estimated rate in 2023 (30%)-as widespread conflict erodes access to goods and steep currency depreciation pushes [...]

Consumer price inflation will moderate in 2024-25, after being pushed up to unusually high levels in 2022-23 by the impact on global commodity markets of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and [...]

TLDR Bitcoin price predictions range from $100,000 to $330,000 by the end of the current bull cycle Institutional investors and “whales” are accumulating Bitcoin during price dips Several factors could [...]

Forecast summary (% unless otherwise indicated) 2022[sup.a] 2023[sup.a] 2024[sup.b] 2025[sup.b] Real GDP growth 6.4 4.5 3.5 3.2 Gross fixed investment growth -2.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 Consumer price inflation (av) 3.6 [...]

US stocks jumped to record highs ahead of key economic data releases this week. Investors are awaiting the June CPI and PPI reports to gauge inflation trends and the Fed's [...]

In March 2024 the Swiss National Bank (SNB, the central bank) surprised markets by cutting its benchmark policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.5%, making it the first developed [...]

We expect inflation to remain within the SNB's 0-2% target range in 2024-28. Switzerland's lower inflation than the rest of Europe over the past two years is explained by smaller [...]

We expect consumer price inflation to average 2.9% in 2024, on the back of falling commodity prices from pandemic-period highs and government policies to curb increasing property and private transport [...]

We expect consumer price inflation to stabilise at 2.4% on average in 2024, after substantial volatility over the past few years. After peaking at 10.3% in mid-2022, owing to high [...]

Consumer price inflation will remain low throughout the forecast period, reflecting an easing of global commodity prices that will offset the impact on import prices of a gradual weakening of [...]