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The benefits of HLA-A, B, and DR matching of cadaveric kidney grafts and recipients remain controversial when viewed from the perspective of social equity and graft survival.We estimated graft survival using proportional-hazards techniques, adjusting for patient and donor characteristics, for a series of 30,564 Medicare patients receiving a first cadaveric kidney transplant between 1984 and 1990. The effects of minimal achievable HLA mismatches and maximal matching on graft survival were estimated by simulated allocation of a sample of organs to a sample of 20,000 candidates for transplantation.The adjusted one-year graft survival was 84.3 percent for grafts with no mismatches and 77.0 percent for grafts with four mismatches. National rationing of donor organs to achieve minimal mismatching and maximal matching could potentially decrease the average number of HLA mismatches from 3.6 to 1.2, with a corresponding increase in the number of matches. As a consequence, projected five-year graft survival could potentially increase from 58.5 percent to 62.9 percent. This would be associated with a decrease in the proportion of kidneys allocated to black recipients from 22.2 to 15.0 percent.Under ideal circumstances, a policy of maximal matching of cadaveric renal transplants would increase five-year graft survival by a comparatively small 4.4 percentage points, but the actual benefit is likely to be smaller.

There is an ongoing discussion in the renal community about how to monitor the treatment of hemodialysis patients in the United States. Comparison of the US patient experience to that of other countries with populations of similar heath status is one way to assess treatment. Another technique involves examining the level of dialysis therapy US patients receive. This paper reviews recent studies which found that the United States has higher mortality than both Japan and Europe and provides additional information as to why those comparisons might be underestimating the mortality differences. We also examine the data on the level of dialysis US patients receive, both as a prescription and as delivered care. We conclude that US patients receive less hemodialysis therapy than their European and Japanese counterparts, and that in general US patients are not receiving the level of dialysis they were prescribed. These factors are correlated with an increased mortality among US hemodialysis patients.