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Purpose: To determine the prognostic value of single items of the Barthel Index (BI) at discharge from rehabilitation, in predicting independence in personal activities of daily living (ADL) (BI score ≥95/100) at five years after stroke. Method: People with stroke were recruited consecutively from four European rehabilitation centres. BI was assessed on discharge and at five years after stroke. Stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent predictors of BI score ≥95/100 at five years after stroke. Thereupon, percentage chance of reaching BI ≥ 95/100 at five years after stroke was calculated. Results: Data were available for 153 patients. Independence in dressing (odds ratio (OR) = 5.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.85-14.76, p = 0.002) and bathing (OR = 8.10, 95% CI = 3.40-19.32, p < 0.0001) were independent predictors. Independence in both items resulted in 74.1% (57.6-85.8) chance of reaching BI ≥ 95/100 at five years after stroke. Dependence in both items resulted in 6.3% (5.1-7.9) chance. Independence in bathing, but dependence in dressing resulted in 35.4% (30.7-40.4) chance whereas the opposite resulted in 26.1% (20.7-32.3) chance. Conclusion: Simple assessment of dressing and bathing on discharge from rehabilitation enables therapeutic staff to predict prognosis for long-term independence in personal ADL. This method can be used for early identification of persons with stroke who need intensive follow-up. Implications for Rehabilitation (In)dependence for dressing and bathing at discharge from a rehabilitation centre are significant factors in the prediction of (in)dependence in personal ADL at five years after stroke. This predictive tool can be used for targeting inpatient stroke rehabilitation and early identification of those patients who need intensive follow-up.

Purpose: The aim was to document the prevalence and predictors of anxiety and depression 5 years after stroke, across four European centres. Method: A cohort of 220 stroke patients was assessed at 2, 4 and 6 months and 5 years after stroke. Patients were assessed on the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale and measures of motor function and independence in activities of daily living. Results: At 5 years, the prevalence of anxiety was 29% and depression 33%, with no significant differences between centres. The severity of anxiety and depression increased significantly between 6 months and 5 years. Higher anxiety at 6 months and centre were significantly associated with anxiety at 5 years, but not measures of functional recovery. Higher depression scores at 6 months, older age and centre, but not measures of functional recovery, were associated with depression at 5 years. Conclusions: Anxiety and depression were more frequent at 5 years after stroke than at 6 months. There were significant differences between four European centres in the severity of anxiety and depression. Although the main determinant of anxiety or depression scores at 5 years was the level of anxiety or depression at 6 months, this accounted for little of the variance. Centre was also a significant predictor of mood at 5 years. There needs to be greater recognition of the development of mood disorders late after stroke and evaluation of variation in management policies across centres. Implications for Rehabilitation Depression and anxiety persisted up to 5 years after stroke in about a third of patients. Variation in the rates of anxiety and depression between different European centres suggest management policies rather than stroke related factors may determine their persistence. The effect of variations in stroke management policies should be investigated. Patients' mood should be monitored over time in order to detect those with late onset mood disorders after stroke.

Objective: To determine 5-year mortality and its association with baseline characteristics and functional status 6 months post-stroke for patients who received inpatient rehabilitation. Design: A prospective rehabilitation-based cohort study. Subjects: A total of 532 consecutive stroke patients from 4 European rehabilitation centres. Methods: Predictors were recorded on admission. Barthel Index was assessed at 6 months (BI6mths) and patients were followed for 5 years post-stroke. Survival probability was computed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and compared across 3 BI6mths-classes (0-60, 65-90, 95-100) (log-rank test). Significant independent predictors were determined using multivariate Cox regression analysis (hazard ratio (HR)). Results: Five-year cumulative risk of death was 29.12% (95% confidence interval (CI): 22.86-35.38). Age (HR= 1.06, 95% CI: 1.04-1.09), cognitive impairment (HR= 1.77, 95% CI: 1.21-2.57), diabetes mellitus (HR= 1.68, 95% CI: 1.16-2.41) and atrial fibrillation (HR= 1.52, 95% CI: 1.08-2.14) were independent predictors of increased mortality. Hyperlipidaemia (HR=0.66, 95% CI: 0.46-0.94), and higher BI6mths (HR=0.98, 95% CI: 0.97-0.99) were independent predictors of decreased mortality. Five-year sur Conclusion: Nearly one-third of rehabilitation patients died during the first 5 years following stroke. Functional status at 6 months was a powerful predictor of long-term mortality. Maximum functional independence at 6 months post-stroke should be promoted through medical interventions and rehabilitation. Future studies are recommended to evaluate the direct effect of rehabilitation on long-term survival.