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Dengue transmission in Venezuela has become perennial and a major public health problem. The increase in frequency and magnitude of recent epidemics prompted a comprehensive community-based cross-sectional study of 2,014 individuals in high-incidence neighborhoods of Maracay, Venezuela. We found a high seroprevalence (77.4%), with 10% of people experiencing recent infections. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that poverty-related socioeconomic factors (place and duration of residence, crowding, household size, and living in a shack) and factors/constraints related to intradomiciliary potential mosquito breeding sites (storing water and used tires) were linked with a greater risk of acquiring a dengue infection. Our results also suggest that transmission occurs mainly at home. The combination of increasingly crowded living conditions, growing population density, precarious homes, and water storage issues caused by enduring problems in public services in Maracay are the most likely factors that determine the permanent dengue transmission and the failure of vector control programs.

In 2001, we began a prospective longitudinal study in a cohort of schoolchildren 5-13 years of age residing in Maracay, Venezuela, to determine the cumulative incidence of dengue virus (DENV) infections by virus serotype. This report presents serological data from 710 schoolchildren who were tested during the first 2 years of the study. Serological evaluations were conducted by plaque reduction neutralization test (PRNT). At study initiation, 51% of children had PRNT antibody titers against one (30.1% = 13.4% DENV-1, 14.2% DENV-2, 0.6% DENV-3, and 2% DENV-4) or multiple DENV serotypes (20.9%). By the end of the first year, 89 of 348 (25.6%) PRNT-negative children seroconverted, and 94 of 362 (26%) who were PRNT-positive in their baseline sera tested positive for additional serotypes, for an overall cumulative incidence of DENV infections of 25.8%. By serotype, the percentages found were 1.4% DENV-1, 1.4% DENV-2, 19% DENV-3, and 1.2% DENV-4. In the second year, 37 of 259 (14.3%) PRNT-negative children seroconverted, and 83 of 451 (18.4%) who had monotypic and multitypic PRNT patterns in their baseline sera exhibited additional serotype seroconversions, for an overall cumulative incidence of DENV infections of 16.9%. By serotype, the percentages found were 0.8% DENV-1, 1.5% DENV-2, 8.5% DENV-3, and 2.3% DENV-4. Overall, these results suggest a high cumulative incidence of DENV infections among 5-13-year-old school children in Maracay, Venezuela.