15 results on '"Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady"'
Search Results
2. Mapping refugee populations at high-resolution by unlocking humanitarian administrative data
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Darin, Edith, primary, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, additional, Galal, Hisham, additional, Jimenez, Rebeca Moreno, additional, Park, Hyunju, additional, Tatem, Andrew J., additional, and Qader, Sarchil, additional
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- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Using Geographic Information Systems and Spatial Modelling in Area-Wide Integrated Pest Management Programmes that Integrate the Sterile Insect Technique
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Bouyer, Jérémy, Cox, J. St. H., Guerrini, Laure, Lancelot, Renaud, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, and Vreysen, Marc J.B.
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U10 - Informatique, mathématiques et statistiques ,Télédétection ,fungi ,Lâcher d'insectes stériles ,Gestion intégrée des ravageurs ,H10 - Ravageurs des plantes ,Lutte biologique ,biological disease control [EN] ,S50 - Santé humaine ,Système d'information géographique ,L20 - Écologie animale ,U30 - Méthodes de recherche - Abstract
Geographic information systems (GIS) and spatial modelling are crucial for designing, implementing, and optimizing area-wide programmes of insect and/or disease control. This chapter provides a basic introduction to the science of GIS, Global Positioning System (GPS), satellite remote sensing (RS), and spatial modelling, and reviews the principal ways in which these technologies can be used to assist various stages of development of the sterile insect technique (SIT) as part of area-wide integrated pest management (AW-IPM) programmes — from the selection of project sites, and feasibility assessments and planning of pre-intervention surveys, to the monitoring and analysis of insect suppression programmes, and the release of sterile insects. Potential barriers to the successful deployment of GIS tools are also discussed.
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- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. A distribution model for Glossina brevipalpis and Glossina austeni in Southern Mozambique, Eswatini and South Africa for enhanced area-wide integrated pest management approaches
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de Beer, Chantel J., Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Ntshangase, Jerome, Moyaba, Percy, Taioe, Moeti O., Mulandane, Fernando C., Neves, Luis, Mdluli, Sihle, Guerrini, Laure, Bouyer, Jérémy, Vreysen, Marc J.B., Venter, Gert J., de Beer, Chantel J., Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Ntshangase, Jerome, Moyaba, Percy, Taioe, Moeti O., Mulandane, Fernando C., Neves, Luis, Mdluli, Sihle, Guerrini, Laure, Bouyer, Jérémy, Vreysen, Marc J.B., and Venter, Gert J.
- Abstract
Background: Glossina austeni and Glossina brevipalpis (Diptera: Glossinidae) are the sole cyclical vectors of African trypanosomes in South Africa, Eswatini and southern Mozambique. These populations represent the southernmost distribution of tsetse flies on the African continent. Accurate knowledge of infested areas is a prerequisite to develop and implement efficient and cost-effective control strategies, and distribution models may reduce large-scale, extensive entomological surveys that are time consuming and expensive. The objective was to develop a MaxEnt species distribution model and habitat suitability maps for the southern tsetse belt of South Africa, Eswatini and southern Mozambique. Methodology/Principal findings: The present study used existing entomological survey data of G. austeni and G. brevipalpis to develop a MaxEnt species distribution model and habitat suitability maps. Distribution models and a checkerboard analysis indicated an overlapping presence of the two species and the most suitable habitat for both species were protected areas and the coastal strip in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa and Maputo Province, Mozambique. The predicted presence extents, to a small degree, into communal farming areas adjacent to the protected areas and coastline, especially in the Matutuíne District of Mozambique. The quality of the MaxEnt model was assessed using an independent data set and indicated good performance with high predictive power (AUC > 0.80 for both species). Conclusions/Significance: The models indicated that cattle density, land surface temperature and protected areas, in relation with vegetation are the main factors contributing to the distribution of the two tsetse species in the area. Changes in the climate, agricultural practices and land-use have had a significant and rapid impact on tsetse abundance in the area. The model predicted low habitat suitability in the Gaza and Inhambane Provinces of Mozambique, i.e., the area north of the
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- 2021
5. Field performance of sterile male mosquitoes released from an uncrewed aerial vehicle
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Bouyer, Jérémy, Culbert, Nicole Jean, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Gomez Pacheco, M., Virginio, J., Pedrosa, M.C., Garziera, L., Macedo Pinto, A.T., Klaptocz, A., Germann, J., Wallner, Thomas, Salvador-Herranz, G., Argiles Herrero, R., Yamada, Hanano, Balestrino, Fabrizio, Vreysen, Marc J.B., Bouyer, Jérémy, Culbert, Nicole Jean, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Gomez Pacheco, M., Virginio, J., Pedrosa, M.C., Garziera, L., Macedo Pinto, A.T., Klaptocz, A., Germann, J., Wallner, Thomas, Salvador-Herranz, G., Argiles Herrero, R., Yamada, Hanano, Balestrino, Fabrizio, and Vreysen, Marc J.B.
- Abstract
Genetic control methods of mosquito vectors of malaria, dengue, yellow fever, and Zika are becoming increasingly popular due to the limitations of other techniques such as the use of insecticides. The sterile insect technique is an effective genetic control method to manage insect populations. However, it is crucial to release sterile mosquitoes by air to ensure homogeneous coverage, especially in large areas. Here, we report a fully automated adult mosquito release system operated from an uncrewed aerial vehicle or drone. Our system, developed and tested in Brazil, enabled a homogeneous dispersal of sterile male Aedes aegypti while maintaining their quality, leading to a homogeneous sterile-to-wild male ratio due to their aggregation in the same sites. Our results indicate that the released sterile males were able to compete with the wild males in mating with the wild females; thus, the sterile males were able to induce sterility in the native female population. The use of drones to implement the sterile insect technique will lead to improvements in areal coverage and savings in operational costs due to the requirement of fewer release sites and field staff.
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- 2020
6. A pilot study to delimit tsetse target populations in Zimbabwe
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Chikowore, Gerald, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Chinwada, Peter, Zimba, Moses, Shereni, William, Roger, François, Bouyer, Jérémy, Guerrini, Laure, Chikowore, Gerald, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Chinwada, Peter, Zimba, Moses, Shereni, William, Roger, François, Bouyer, Jérémy, and Guerrini, Laure
- Abstract
Tsetse (Glossinidae) are cyclical vectors of human and animal trypanosomoses currently targeted by the African Union, under the Pan African Tsetse and Try-panosomiasis Eradication Campaign (PATTEC). Elaborate plans to guide inter-vention are a requirement if effective control of tsetse is to be achieved. A model to aid the planning of intervention programmes and assist a fuller understanding of tsetse distribution was applied in a pilot study covering 400 km2 in Masoka, Zimbabwe and targeted two savanna species, Glossina morsitans morsitans Westwood and Glossina pallidipes Austen. Current data were used to study habitat suitability of both species, based on climatic and environmental data derived from MODIS and SPOT 5 satellite images. Factors infl uencing distribu-tion were explored, using an Ecological Niche Factor Analysis (ENFA), whilst habitat suitability was predicted using a Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model at a spatial resolution of 250 m. Area Under the Curve (AUC), an indicator of model performance, was 0.89 for G. m. morsitans and 0.96 for G. pallidipes. The prob-ability that fl ies were really absent from grid cells where they were not captured during the study was then calculated, based on a probability model using a risk threshold of 0.05. Apart from grid cells where G. m. morsitans and G. pallidipes were captured in the study area, there was a high probability of presence in ad-ditional grid cells adding up to 128 km2 and 144 km2 respectively. The modelling process promised to be useful in optimising the outputs of presence/absence surveys, allowing the defi nition of tsetse infested areas with improved accuracy.
- Published
- 2018
7. Impact of an integrated control campaign on tsetse populations in Burkina Faso
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Percoma, Lassane, Sow, Adama, Pagabeleguem, Soumaïla, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Serdebéogo, Oumarou, Ouedraogo, Mariam, Rayaissé, Jean-Baptiste, Bouyer, Jérémy, Belem, Adrien Marie Gaston, Sidibé, Issa, Percoma, Lassane, Sow, Adama, Pagabeleguem, Soumaïla, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Serdebéogo, Oumarou, Ouedraogo, Mariam, Rayaissé, Jean-Baptiste, Bouyer, Jérémy, Belem, Adrien Marie Gaston, and Sidibé, Issa
- Abstract
Background: Tsetse flies are the sole vectors of human and animal trypanosomosis. In Burkina Faso, a project aiming to create zones free of tsetse flies and trypanosomosis was executed from June 2006 to December 2013. After the determination of tsetse distribution in the intervention area from December 2007 to November 2008, the control campaign was launched in November 2009 and ended in December 2013. The goal was to eliminate tsetse flies from 40,000 km2 of area, through an integrated control campaign including insecticide targets, traps and cattle, sequential aerial treatment (SAT) and the mass treatment of livestock using trypanocides. The campaign involved assistance of the beneficiary communities at all the steps of the control strategy with insecticide impregnated targets. Methods: This study was carried out to assess the impact of the control project on tsetse apparent density per trap per day (ADT). To evaluate the effectiveness of tsetse control, 201 sites were selected based on the baseline survey results carried out from December 2007 to November 2008. These sites were monitored bi-monthly from January 2010 to November 2012. At the end-of-study in 2013 a generalized entomological survey was carried out in 401 infested sites found during the longitudinal survey done before the control. Barrier and tsetse persistence areas were treated by ground spraying and evaluated. Controls were also done before and after aerial spraying. Results: In the insecticide-impregnated target area, the control showed that ADT of tsetse flies declined from 10.73 (SD 13.27) to 0.43 (SD 2.51) fly/trap/day from the third month of campaign onwards (P < 0.0001) and remained low thereafter. At the end of the campaign in 2013, an 83% reduction of ADT was observed for Glossina palpalis gambiensis and a 92% reduction for G. tachinoides. Tsetse flies were captured only in 29% of the sites found infested in 2008. Conclusions: Tsetse flies could be suppressed efficiently but their eliminat
- Published
- 2018
8. Economie du contrôle des trypanosomoses africaines animales sous les changements climatiques
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Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady
- Subjects
Bétail ,Trypanosoma ,Glossina ,P40 - Météorologie et climatologie ,Gestion du risque ,Analyse coût avantage ,L73 - Maladies des animaux ,Facteur climatique ,Analyse du risque ,atténuation des effets du changement climatique ,Changement climatique ,Bovin ,U10 - Informatique, mathématiques et statistiques ,Éradication des maladies ,Contrôle de maladies ,Modèle de simulation ,Trypanosomose africaine ,Facteur du milieu ,Analyse économique ,E16 - Économie de la production ,L72 - Organismes nuisibles des animaux - Abstract
La trypanosomose africaine animale (TAA), transmise par la mouche tsé-tsé, est une maladie animale sensible au climat qui est un obstacle majeur au développement durable de l'élevage bovin et de l'agriculture en Afrique subsaharienne. Pour faire face à ce problème, l'Union africaine crée en 2000, la Pan-African Tsetse and Trypanosomosis Eradication Campaign (PATTEC) afin de mettre en oeuvre des vastes campagnes d'éradication de glossines à l'échelle du continent pour venir à bout de cette maladie. Dans le but d'optimiser ces campagnes, nous proposons dans cette thèse deux contributions. La première, est une meilleure analyse du risque de TAA et la seconde, est une amélioration des analyses économiques ex-ante de ces projets. Dans cette optique, nous avons développé une première analyse spatiale du risque trypanosomien induit par le climat et l'environnement afin de mieux guider la campagne d'éradication dans la zone des Niayes au Sénégal. Ce modèle, comparativement aux modèles existants, a permis une éradication rapide des glossines tout en utilisant moins de ressources. De plus, cette analyse de risque a été affinée au Burkina-Faso et au Ghana afin de prendre en compte la variabilité climatique saisonnière. Finalement, toujours dans le cadre du projet d'éradication des Niayes, et en s'appuyant sur les modèles de risques développés dans cette thèse, un modèle bio-économique qui intègre des projections climatiques et les résultats d'un atelier participatif avec des éleveurs a été développé. Il ressort de cette analyse économique que la prise en compte ou non des projections climatiques a une grande influence sur les bénéfices potentiels de l'éradication des glossines. Dans le projet des Niayes, le modèle montre que les bénéfices du programme auraient été surestimés même si le projet reste rentable. Cette analyse met aussi en relief un autre résultat important : dans les zones libérées du risque par le projet, les éleveurs innovent et remplacent leurs troupeaux d'animaux trypanotolérants par des troupeaux d'animaux plus productif mais trypanosensibles, tout en réduisant la taille des troupeaux. On peut donc conclure que dans le cadre du projet d'éradication des Niayes au Sénégal, réduire le risque de TAA permet d'atténuer les changements climatiques en limitant les gaz issus de l'élevage bovin et pourrait également leur permettre une meilleure adaptabilité aux changements anticipés, comme une réduction du disponible fourrager naturel.
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- 2016
9. A pilot study to delimit tsetse target populations in Zimbabwe
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Chikowore, Gerald, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Chinwada, Peter, Zimba, Moses, Shereni, William, Roger, François, Bouyer, Jérémy, Guerrini, Laure, Chikowore, Gerald, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Chinwada, Peter, Zimba, Moses, Shereni, William, Roger, François, Bouyer, Jérémy, and Guerrini, Laure
- Abstract
Background : Tsetse (Glossina sensu stricto) are cyclical vectors of human and animal trypanosomoses, that are presently targeted by the Pan African Tsetse and Trypanosomiasis Eradication Campaign (PATTEC) coordinated by the African Union. In order to achieve effective control of tsetse, there is need to produce elaborate plans to guide intervention programmes. A model intended to aid in the planning of intervention programmes and assist a fuller understanding of tsetse distribution was applied, in a pilot study in the Masoka area, Mid-Zambezi valley in Zimbabwe, and targeting two savannah species, Glossina morsitans morsitans and Glossina pallidipes. Methodology/Principal findings : The field study was conducted between March and December 2015 in 105 sites following a standardized grid sampling frame. Presence data were used to study habitat suitability of both species based on climatic and environmental data derived from MODIS and SPOT 5 satellite images. Factors influencing distribution were studied using an Ecological Niche Factor Analysis (ENFA) whilst habitat suitability was predicted using a Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model at a spatial resolution of 250 m. Area Under the Curve (AUC), an indicator of model performance, was 0.89 for G. m. morsitans and 0.96 for G. pallidipes. We then used the predicted suitable areas to calculate the probability that flies were really absent from the grid cells where they were not captured during the study based on a probability model using a risk threshold of 0.05. Apart from grid cells where G. m. morsitans and G. pallidipes were captured, there was a high probability of presence in an additional 128 km2 and 144 km2 respectively. Conclusions/Significance: The modelling process promised to be useful in optimizing the outputs of presence/absence surveys, allowing the definition of tsetse infested areas with improved accuracy. The methodology proposed here can be extended to all the tsetse infested parts of Zimbabwe and may also
- Published
- 2017
10. Influence of temperature and relative humidity on survival and fecundity of three tsetse strains
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Pagabeleguem, Soumaïla, Ravel, Sophie, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Vreysen, Marc J.B., Parker, Andrew Gordon, Takac, Peter, Huber, Karine, Sidibé, Issa, Gimonneau, Geoffrey, Bouyer, Jérémy, Pagabeleguem, Soumaïla, Ravel, Sophie, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Vreysen, Marc J.B., Parker, Andrew Gordon, Takac, Peter, Huber, Karine, Sidibé, Issa, Gimonneau, Geoffrey, and Bouyer, Jérémy
- Abstract
Background: Tsetse flies occur in much of sub-Saharan Africa where they are vectors of trypanosomes that cause human and animal African trypanosomosis. The sterile insect technique (SIT) is currently used to eliminate tsetse fly populations in an area-wide integrated pest management (AW-IPM) context in Senegal and Ethiopia. Three Glossina palpalis gambiensis strains [originating from Burkina Faso (BKF), Senegal (SEN) and an introgressed strain (SENbkf)] were established and are now available for use in future AW-IPM programmes against trypanosomes in West Africa. For each strain, knowledge of the environmental survival thresholds is essential to determine which of these strains is best suited to a particular environment or ecosystem, and can therefore be used effectively in SIT programmes. Methods: In this paper, we investigated the survival and fecundity of three G. p. gambiensis strains maintained under various conditions: 25 °C and 40, 50, 60, and 75 % relative humidity (rH), 30 °C and 60 % rH and 35 °C and 60 % rH. Results: The survival of the three strains was dependent on temperature only, and it was unaffected by changing humidity within the tested range. The BKF strain survived temperatures above its optimum better than the SEN strain. The SENbkf showed intermediate resistance to high temperatures. A temperature of about 32 °C was the limit for survival for all strains. A rH ranging from 40 to 76 % had no effect on fecundity at 25–26 °C. Conclusions: We discuss the implications of these results on tsetse SIT-based control programmes.
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- 2016
11. Range expansion of the Bluetongue vector, Culicoides imicola, in continental France likely due to rare wind-transport events
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Jacquet, Stéphanie, Huber, Karine, Pagès, Nonito, Talavera, Sandra, Burgin, Laura E., Carpenter, Simon, Sanders, Christopher, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Djerbal, Mouloud, Goffredo, Maria, Lhor, Youssef, Lucientes, Javier, Miranda-Chueca, Miguel Angel, Pereira da Fonseca, Isabel, Ramilo, David, Setier-Rio, Marie-Laure, Bouyer, Jérémy, Chevillon, Christine, Balenghien, Thomas, Guis, Hélène, Garros, Claire, Jacquet, Stéphanie, Huber, Karine, Pagès, Nonito, Talavera, Sandra, Burgin, Laura E., Carpenter, Simon, Sanders, Christopher, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Djerbal, Mouloud, Goffredo, Maria, Lhor, Youssef, Lucientes, Javier, Miranda-Chueca, Miguel Angel, Pereira da Fonseca, Isabel, Ramilo, David, Setier-Rio, Marie-Laure, Bouyer, Jérémy, Chevillon, Christine, Balenghien, Thomas, Guis, Hélène, and Garros, Claire
- Abstract
The role of the northward expansion of Culicoides imicola Kieffer in recent and unprecedented outbreaks of Culicoides-borne arboviruses in southern Europe has been a significant point of contention. We combined entomological surveys, movement simulations of air-borne particles, and population genetics to reconstruct the chain of events that led to a newly colonized French area nestled at the northern foot of the Pyrenees. Simulating the movement of air-borne particles evidenced frequent wind-transport events allowing, within at most 36 hours, the immigration of midges from north-eastern Spain and Balearic Islands, and, as rare events, their immigration from Corsica. Completing the puzzle, population genetic analyses discriminated Corsica as the origin of the new population and identified two successive colonization events within west-Mediterranean basin. Our findings are of considerable importance when trying to understand the invasion of new territories by expanding species.
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- 2016
12. Mapping landscape friction to locate isolated tsetse populations candidate for elimination
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Bouyer, Jérémy, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Cecchi, Giuliano, Ravel, Sophie, Guerrini, Laure, Solano, Philippe, Vreysen, Marc J.B., De Meeus, Thierry, Lancelot, Renaud, Bouyer, Jérémy, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Cecchi, Giuliano, Ravel, Sophie, Guerrini, Laure, Solano, Philippe, Vreysen, Marc J.B., De Meeus, Thierry, and Lancelot, Renaud
- Abstract
Tsetse flies are the cyclical vectors of deadly human and animal trypanosomes in sub-Saharan Africa. Tsetse control is a key component for the integrated management of both plagues, but local eradication successes have been limited to less than 2% of the infested area. This is attributed to either resurgence of residual populations that were omitted from the eradication campaign or reinvasion from neighboring infested areas. Here we focused on Glossina palpalis gambiensis, a riverine tsetse species representing the main vector of trypanosomoses in West Africa. We mapped landscape resistance to tsetse genetic flow, hereafter referred to as friction, to identify natural barriers that isolate tsetse populations. For this purpose, we fitted a statistical model of the genetic distance between 37 tsetse populations sampled in the region, using a set of remotely sensed environmental data as predictors. The least-cost path between these populations was then estimated using the predicted friction map. The method enabled us to avoid the subjectivity inherent in the expert-based weighting of environmental parameters. Finally, we identified potentially isolated clusters of G. p. gambiensis habitat based on a species distribution model and ranked them according to their predicted genetic distance to the main tsetse population. The methodology presented here will inform the choice on the most appropriate intervention strategies to be implemented against tsetse flies in different parts of Africa. It can also be used to control other pests and to support conservation of endangered species. (Résumé d'auteur)
- Published
- 2015
13. Impact of habitat fragmentation on tsetse populations and trypanosomosis risk in Eastern Zambia
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Mweempwa, Cornelius, Marcotty, Tanguy, De Pus, Claudia, Penzhorn, Barend Louis, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Bouyer, Jérémy, De Deken, Reginald, Mweempwa, Cornelius, Marcotty, Tanguy, De Pus, Claudia, Penzhorn, Barend Louis, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Bouyer, Jérémy, and De Deken, Reginald
- Abstract
Background Fragmentation of tsetse habitat in eastern Zambia is largely due to encroachments by subsistence farmers into new areas in search of new agricultural land. The impact of habitat fragmentation on tsetse populations is not clearly understood. This study was aimed at establishing the impact of habitat fragmentation on physiological and demographic parameters of tsetse flies in order to enhance the understanding of the relationship between fragmentation and African animal trypanosomosis (AAT) risk. Methods A longitudinal study was conducted to establish the age structure, abundance, proportion of females and trypanosome infection rate of Glossina morsitans morsitans Westwood (Diptera: Glossinidae) in areas of varying degrees of habitat fragmentation in Eastern Zambia. Black screen fly rounds were used to sample tsetse populations monthly for 1 year. Logistic regression was used to analyse age, proportion of females and infection rate data. Results Flies got significantly older as fragmentation increased (p < 0.004). The proportion of old flies, i.e. above ovarian category four, increased significantly (P < 0.001) from 25.9 % (CI 21.4–31.1) at the least fragmented site (Lusandwa) to 74.2 % (CI 56.8–86.3) at the highly fragmented site (Chisulo). In the most fragmented area (Kasamanda), tsetse flies had almost disappeared. In the highly fragmented area a significantly higher trypanosome infection rate in tsetse (P < 0.001) than in areas with lower fragmentation was observed. Consequently a comparatively high trypanosomosis incidence rate in livestock was observed there despite lower tsetse density (p < 0.001). The overall proportion of captured female flies increased significantly (P < 0.005) as fragmentation reduced. The proportion increased from 0.135 (CI 0.10–0.18) to 0.285 (CI 0.26–0.31) at the highly and least fragmented sites, respectively. Conclusions Habitat fragmentation creates conditions to which tsetse populations respond physiologically and demograp
- Published
- 2015
14. A Spatio-temporal model of African animal trypanosomosis risk
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Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Percoma, Lassane, Sow, Adama, Adam, Yahaya, Mahama, Charles I., Sidibé, Issa, Dayo, Guiguigbaza Kossigan, Thevenon, Sophie, Fonta, William M., Sanfo, Safiétou, Djiteye, Aligui, Salou, Ernest Wendemanegde, Djohan, Vincent, Cecchi, Giuliano, Bouyer, Jérémy, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, Percoma, Lassane, Sow, Adama, Adam, Yahaya, Mahama, Charles I., Sidibé, Issa, Dayo, Guiguigbaza Kossigan, Thevenon, Sophie, Fonta, William M., Sanfo, Safiétou, Djiteye, Aligui, Salou, Ernest Wendemanegde, Djohan, Vincent, Cecchi, Giuliano, and Bouyer, Jérémy
- Abstract
Background African animal trypanosomosis (AAT) is a major constraint to sustainable development of cattle farming in sub-Saharan Africa. The habitat of the tsetse fly vector is increasingly fragmented owing to demographic pressure and shifts in climate, which leads to heterogeneous risk of cyclical transmission both in space and time. In Burkina Faso and Ghana, the most important vectors are riverine species, namely Glossina palpalis gambiensis and G. tachinoides, which are more resilient to human-induced changes than the savannah and forest species. Although many authors studied the distribution of AAT risk both in space and time, spatio-temporal models allowing predictions of it are lacking. Methodology/Principal Findings We used datasets generated by various projects, including two baseline surveys conducted in Burkina Faso and Ghana within PATTEC (Pan African Tsetse and Trypanosomosis Eradication Campaign) national initiatives. We computed the entomological inoculation rate (EIR) or tsetse challenge using a range of environmental data. The tsetse apparent density and their infection rate were separately estimated and subsequently combined to derive the EIR using a “one layer-one model” approach. The estimated EIR was then projected into suitable habitat. This risk index was finally validated against data on bovine trypanosomosis. It allowed a good prediction of the parasitological status (r2 = 67%), showed a positive correlation but less predictive power with serological status (r2 = 22%) aggregated at the village level but was not related to the illness status (r2 = 2%). Conclusions/Significance The presented spatio-temporal model provides a fine-scale picture of the dynamics of AAT risk in sub-humid areas of West Africa. The estimated EIR was high in the proximity of rivers during the dry season and more widespread during the rainy season. The present analysis is a first step in a broader framework for an efficient risk management of climate-sensitive vector-b
- Published
- 2015
15. Impact of habitat fragmentation on tsetse populations and trypanosomosis risk in Eastern Zambia
- Author
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Mweempwa, Cornelius, primary, Marcotty, Tanguy, additional, De Pus, Claudia, additional, Penzhorn, Barend Louis, additional, Dicko, Ahmadou Hamady, additional, Bouyer, Jérémy, additional, and De Deken, Reginald, additional
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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