Ossenkoppele R, Salvadó G, Janelidze S, Binette AP, Bali D, Karlsson L, Palmqvist S, Mattsson-Carlgren N, Stomrud E, Therriault J, Rahmouni N, Rosa-Neto P, Coomans EM, van de Giessen E, van der Flier WM, Teunissen CE, Jonaitis EM, Johnson SC, Villeneuve S, Benzinger TLS, Schindler SE, Bateman RJ, Doecke JD, Doré V, Feizpour A, Masters CL, Rowe C, Wiste HJ, Petersen RC, Jack CR Jr, and Hansson O
Plasma p-tau217 and Tau-PET are strong prognostic biomarkers in Alzheimer's disease (AD), but their relative performance in predicting future cognitive decline among cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals is unclear. In this head-to-head comparison study including 9 cohorts and 1534 individuals, we found that plasma p-tau217 and medial temporal lobe Tau-PET signal showed similar associations with cognitive decline on a global cognitive composite test (R 2 PET =0.32 vs R 2 PLASMA =0.32, p difference =0.812) and with progression to mild cognitive impairment (Hazard ratio[HR] PET =1.56[1.43-1.70] vs HR PLASMA =1.63[1.50-1.77], p difference =0.627). Combined plasma and PET models were superior to the single biomarker models (R 2 =0.36, p<0.01). Furthermore, sequential selection using plasma p-tau217 and then Tau-PET reduced the number of participants required for a clinical trial by 94%, compared to a 75% reduction when using plasma p-tau217 alone. We conclude that plasma p-tau217 and Tau-PET showed similar performance for predicting future cognitive decline in CU individuals, and their sequential use (i.e., plasma p-tau217 followed by Tau-PET in a subset with high plasma p-tau217) is useful for screening in clinical trials in preclinical AD., Competing Interests: DECLARATION OF INTERESTS R.O. has received research support from Avid Radiopharmaceuticals, Janssen Research & Development, Roche, Quanterix and Optina Diagnostics. He has given lectures in symposia sponsored by GE Healthcare and serves on advisory boards for Asceneuron and Bristol Myers Squibb. SP has acquired research support (for the institution) from ki elements / ADDF and Avid. In the past 2 years, he has received consultancy/speaker fees from Bioartic, Biogen, Esai, Lilly, and Roche. Research programs of WF have been funded by ZonMW, NWO, EU-JPND, EU-IHI, Alzheimer Nederland, Hersenstichting CardioVascular Onderzoek Nederland, Health~Holland, Topsector Life Sciences & Health, stichting Dioraphte, Gieskes-Strijbis fonds, stichting Equilibrio, Edwin Bouw fonds, Pasman stichting, stichting Alzheimer & Neuropsychiatrie Foundation, Philips, Biogen MA Inc, Novartis-NL, Life-MI, AVID, Roche BV, Fujifilm, Eisai, Combinostics. WF holds the Pasman chair. WF is recipient of ABOARD, which is a public-private partnership receiving funding from ZonMW (#73305095007) and Health~Holland, Topsector Life Sciences & Health (PPP-allowance; #LSHM20106). WF is recipient of TAP-dementia (www.tap-dementia.nl), receiving funding from ZonMw (#10510032120003) in the context of Onderzoeksprogramma Dementie, part of the Dutch National Dementia Strategy. TAP-dementia receives co-financing from Avid Radiopharmaceuticals and Amprion. Gieskes-Strijbis fonds also contributes to TAP-dementia. WF has been an invited speaker at Biogen MA Inc, Danone, Eisai, WebMD Neurology (Medscape), NovoNordisk, Springer Healthcare, European Brain Council. WF is consultant to Oxford Health Policy Forum CIC, Roche, Biogen MA Inc, and Eisai. WF participated in advisory boards of Biogen MA Inc, Roche, and Eli Lilly. WF is member of the steering committee of EVOKE/EVOKE+ (NovoNordisk). All funding is paid to her institution. WF is member of the steering committee of PAVE, and Think Brain Health. WF was associate editor of Alzheimer, Research & Therapy in 2020/2021. WF is associate editor at Brain. EvdG has performed contract research for Heuron Inc. and Roche. EvdG has a consultancy agreement with IXICO and Life Molecular Imaging for reading PET scans. CET has research contracts with Acumen, ADx Neurosciences, AC-Immune, Alamar, Aribio, Axon Neurosciences, Beckman-Coulter, BioConnect, Bioorchestra, Brainstorm Therapeutics, Celgene, Cognition Therapeutics, EIP Pharma, Eisai, Eli Lilly, Fujirebio, Instant Nano Biosensors, Novo Nordisk, Olink, PeopleBio, Quanterix, Roche, Toyama, Vivoryon. She is editor in chief of Alzheimer Research and Therapy, and serves on editorial boards of Medidact Neurologie/Springer, and Neurology: Neuroimmunology & Neuroinflammation. She had consultancy/speaker contracts for Eli Lilly, Merck, Novo Nordisk, Olink and Roche. SES has served as a consultant to Eisai and Novo Nordisk and has received speaker fees from Eli Lilly and Medscape. She has analyzed biomarker data provided by C2N Diagnostics. JT has served as a consultant for the Neurotorium educational platform and for Alzheon. PR-N has served at scientific advisory boards and/or as a consultant for Roche, Novo Nordisk, Eisai, and Cerveau radiopharmaceuticals. CCR has received research grants from NHMRC, Enigma Australia, Biogen, Eisai and Abbvie. He is on the scientific advisory board for Enigma/Mellieur Technologies and has consulted for Prothena, Eisai, Roche, and Biogen Australia. RJB laboratory research funding from the National Institutes of Health, Alzheimer’s Association, BrightFocus Foundation, Rainwater Foundation, Association for Frontotemporal Degeneration FTD Biomarkers Initiative, Avid Radiopharmaceuticals, Janssen, Tau Consortium, Novartis, Centene Corporation, Association for Frontotemporal Degeneration, the Cure Alzheimer’s Fund, Coins for Alzheimer’s Research Trust Fund, The Foundation for Barnes-Jewish Hospital, Good Ventures Foundation, DIAN-TU Pharma Consortium, Tau SILK Consortium (AbbVie, Biogen, Eli Lilly, and an anonymous organization), the NfL Consortium (AbbVie, Biogen, Bristol Meyers Squibb, Hoffman La Roche), and the Tracy Family SILQ Center; having equity ownership interest in C2N Diagnostics and receiving income based on technology licensed by Washington University to C2N Diagnostics; and receiving income from C2N Diagnostics for serving on the scientific advisory board. OH has acquired research support (for the institution) from AVID Radiopharmaceuticals, Biogen, C2N Diagnostics, Eli Lilly, Eisai, Fujirebio, GE Healthcare, and Roche. In the past 2 years, he has received consultancy/speaker fees from AC Immune, Alzpath, BioArctic, Biogen, Bristol Meyer Squibb, Cerveau, Eisai, Eli Lilly, Fujirebio, Merck, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Roche, Sanofi and Siemens. SCJ has served in the past two years on advisory boards for Enigma Biomedical and ALZPath. The other authors report no competing interests.