Search

Spatiotemporal vegetation changes serve as a key indicator of regional ecological environmental quality and provide crucial guidance for developing strategies for regional ecological protection and sustainable development. Currently, vegetation change studies in the Yangtze River Basin primarily rely on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). However, the NDVI is susceptible to atmospheric and soil conditions and exhibits saturation phenomena in areas with high vegetation coverage. In contrast, the kernel NDVI (kNDVI) demonstrates significant advantages in suppressing background noise and improving saturation thresholds through nonlinear kernel transformation, thereby enhancing sensitivity to vegetation changes. To elucidate the spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms of vegetation changes in the Yangtze River Basin, this study constructed a temporal kNDVI using MOD09GA data from 2000 to 2022. Considering sectional heterogeneity, rather than analyzing the entire region as a whole as in previous studies, this research examined spatiotemporal evolution characteristics by sections using four statistical metrics. Subsequently, Partial Least Squares Path Modeling (PLSPM) was innovatively introduced to quantitatively analyze the influence mechanisms of topographic, climatic, pedological, and socioeconomic factors. Compared to traditional correlation analysis and the geographical detector method, PLSPM, as a theoretically driven statistical method, can simultaneously process path relationships among multiple latent variables, effectively revealing the intensity and pathways of driving factors' influences, while providing more credible and interpretable explanations for kNDVI variation mechanisms. Results indicate that the overall kNDVI in the Yangtze River Basin exhibited an upward trend, with the midstream demonstrating the most significant improvement with minimal interannual fluctuations, the upstream displaying an east-increasing and west-stable spatial pattern, and the downstream demonstrating coexisting improvement and degradation characteristics, with these trends expected to persist. Driving mechanism analysis reveals that the upstream was predominantly influenced by the climatic factor, the midstream was dominated by terrain, and the downstream displayed terrain–soil coupling effects. Based on these findings, it is recommended that the upstream focus on enhancing vegetation adaptation management to climate change, the midstream need to coordinate the relationship between topography and human activities, and the downstream should concentrate on controlling the negative impacts of urban expansion on vegetation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

After the lifting of the COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, urban socio-economic development has been continuously recovering. Researchers' attention to urban vitality recovery has increased. However, few studies have paid attention to the recovery and driving of urban vitality in university fringe areas. This study aims to address this gap by exploring the driving mechanisms of urban vitality recovery in the university fringe areas using both linear and nonlinear models. The results reveal the following: (1) The recovery of urban vitality in university fringe areas follows a distinct pattern where central urban areas with greater openness recover more rapidly, while university fringe areas farther from the city center with stricter management experience slower recovery. (2) The fitting coefficients of the student enrollment, school area, the density of various POIs, and opening hours are 0.0020, −0.0105, −0.0053, and 0.0041 respectively. These variables exhibit a more pronounced linear relationship, and the significance level is quite high. Recovery effects also express significant spatial heterogeneity. (3) Both university opening hours and school area show a nonlinear positive relationship with the urban vitality recovery of university fringe areas, demonstrating a clear threshold effect. This relationship is characterized by slow growth at lower values, rapid acceleration once a critical threshold is reached, and eventual stabilization at higher values. This study offers targeted strategies for urban planning, fostering more responsive and adaptive urban governance that aligns with the evolving needs of urban development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Amidst severe ecological challenges and resource constraints, realizing the value of ecological products—such as timber, non-timber forest products, and ecosystem services like carbon sequestration and biodiversity conservation—has emerged as an innovative approach within the realm of paying for ecosystem services. This study examines 35 cases of ecological product value realization in China, using a comprehensive analytical framework encompassing policy support, market participation, and resource endowment utilization. Utilizing a qualitative comparative analysis method (cs-QCA), the study explores the driving mechanisms behind ecological product value realization. These findings indicate that policy guidance and planning are indispensable for realizing ecological product value. Additional factors, such as fiscal and financial support, leadership from pioneering enterprises, product innovation and promotion, and the utilization of both natural and human resources, play varying roles across different grouping paths to varying degrees. The study uncovers the following three typical driving mechanisms: government-led; government–market hybrid; and integrated type. The study reveals that each region should choose an appropriate path based on its unique conditions. This research significantly enhances the theoretical understanding of ecological product value realization and provides a scientific foundation for policy formulation and practical applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose: Soil organic carbon (SOC) in arable land directly affects the soil nutrient cycle and biological activity. However, it is unclear how environmental factors influence the processes and mechanisms of SOC distribution in arable soils across different topographies. Methods: Random forest (RF) and piecewise structural equation model (PiecewiseSEM) were used to study the effects of environmental factors in different terrain on SOC content. Results: Arable soils in mountainous areas exhibited a significantly higher SOC content of 14.35 ± 5.24 g·kg− 1 compared to that in plains (11.13 ± 4.50 g·kg− 1) and hilly regions (10.96 ± 4.77 g·kg− 1) (p < 0.05). Soil pH, soil water content (SWC), and solar radiation (SR) were identified as key factors influencing SOC distribution in all three topographies. Soil properties were the most critical factors directly contributing to SOC distribution in plains and hills, with standardized total effects of 0.30 and 0.33, respectively. The process of SOC distribution in mountainous arable land, however, was primarily determined by climate (0.28). Conclusion: The results showed differences in SOC content attributed to variations in the processes and levels of influence of climate, soil, and vegetation on SOC accumulation in the three terrains. Hot and humid climates promote direct increases in SOC content in mountainous areas. However, they face challenges in directly affecting SOC levels in plains and hills SOC, but they can still contribute to SOC accumulation in all terrains by fostering high vegetation cover and creating moist acidic soil environments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The urban agglomeration represents the predominant form of new urbanisation, yet the evolution of its internal spatial structure exhibits pronounced spatial and temporal heterogeneity. This study concentrates on the Bohai Rim urban agglomeration, one of three major urban agglomerations in China, which has received comparatively limited research attention but has also undergone substantial urbanisation. Therefore, we reassessed and explored the spatial-temporal evolution of the spatial structure of urban expansion using Exploratory Spatiotemporal Data Analysis (ESTDA), and summarized the driving mechanisms using Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR). Our study found that the urban land expansion intensity of Bohai Rim urban agglomeration presented the differences between megacities and large cities, coastal and inland cities and the regional disparities exhibited a gradual narrowing and balancing over time and space, with the high-expansion intensity zones undergoing alternation. The dynamics of the local spatial structure performed a clear positive correlation with the development level and a negative correlation with the exploitation time. The urban expansion intensity was influenced by various factors, including population, economic and other variables. Over time, the main drivers shifted from emphasis on economic quantity to quality, and from financial support to government policy. The objective of this study is to substantiate the impact of socio-economic factors on the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of urban expansion and to propose strategies for alleviating urban land pressure in the Bay Area urban agglomerations. This study enriches the research on the urban expansion mechanisms of different types of urban agglomerations and enhances a comprehensive understanding of the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of urban expansion within it. The findings can provide valuable theoretical support for urban planners in future urban development and construction and can also serve as exemplars for urbanisation in other urban agglomerations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ABSTRACT Promoting the integration of traditional and new infrastructure to establish a coordinated modern infrastructure system is crucial for promoting high‐quality economic development. Using provincial‐level panel data, this study employs the entropy method, coupling coordination degree model, and spatial econometric models to investigate spatial–temporal trends and driving mechanisms of the integrated development of traditional and new infrastructure in China from 2008 to 2020. The findings reveal that while the overall development level of China's traditional and new infrastructure has steadily improved, it remains relatively low. Second, the integrated development of traditional and new infrastructure remains in the middle‐ and low‐integration stages. Third, spatial analysis highlights a significant positive correlation in integrated development across regions, forming a semi‐enclosed spatial distribution pattern. Finally, urbanization, informatization, industrial structure, government management, and technological innovation are important mechanisms driving the integrated development of traditional and new infrastructure. Our research provides a foundation for policies aimed at advancing infrastructure integration and fostering regional economic coordination. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The near-surface temperatures in the Arctic are increasing at more than twice the global average rate, a phenomenon known as Arctic amplification (AA). In recent years, numerous studies using ground-based and satellite observations, along with model simulations, have explored the potential mechanisms behind AA, offering a variety of observational evidence and theoretical explanations. Although the understanding of AA drivers has improved, significant uncertainties remain in quantifying the contributions of different influential factors. On the basis of the latest research, this article thoroughly examines the factors driving rapid warming in the Arctic, including local feedbacks, atmospheric circulation, ocean currents, and aerosols, and compares quantitative results across studies. The analysis highlights the complex interplay of multiple factors contributing to AA, with no clear consensus on the relative contributions of each driver. Finally, the article underscores key challenges in current research, emphasizing the need for more reliable observational data, a deeper understanding of AA mechanisms, improved model parameterizations, and the disentanglement of interactions among driving factors, all of which are essential for future investigations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

For sustainable conservation and management of wetlands, it is essential to quantify the evolution progress and driving mechanisms of wetlands. This study examined Baiyangdian Wetland as a research area, and remote images and statistical yearbooks were used as data sources. Dominant zones of wetland were defined based on spatial characteristics of land cover frequency. A transfer matrix and random forest were used to analyze the evolution process and driving mechanism of typical wetlands in the North China Plain. Based on the results, following conclusions were arrived: (1) There was significant spatial differentiation of land cover frequency characteristics in the Baiyangdian wetland, with the cultivated land-dominated zone, the aquatic vegetation-dominated zone, and the water body-dominated zone being the three core zones of wetland ecosystem evolution. (2) There was a frequent and significant change of the Baiyangdian wetland due to extreme climatic conditions. Between 1987 and 2017, the built-up land area and the water body area increased by 4.62 and 16.17 km2, respectively, while the aquatic vegetation area decreased by 20.70 km2. A combination of natural and human factors caused changes in the wetland's structure. (3) The driving mechanisms of ecosystem evolution in the Baiyangdian wetland were influenced significantly by space, time, and land cover types. Specifically, on a spatial scale, social factors were the predominant factors contributing to changes in water body and cultivated land in the cultivated land-dominant zone and the aquatic vegetation-dominant zone. In contrast, natural factors were the dominant factors leading to changes in aquatic vegetation. There was a greater contribution from social factors to the driving mechanism of changes in the water body, aquatic vegetation, and cultivated land in the water body-dominant zone than from natural factors. On a temporal scale, it was primarily influenced by natural factors in the early stages and socio-economic factors in the late stages, with the year 2002 serving as a turning point. The scale of land cover types can be seen primarily in the differences among the agricultural lands, aquatic vegetation, and water body. In particular, the Secondary Industry Out Value (SIOV) was highly sensitive to changes in the cultivated area. In addition, cumulative evaporation (EC) has been identified as the main factor responsible for the evolution of aquatic vegetation, which is closely related to the changes in water body. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This research employs multi-source data including big data, remote sensing raster data, and statistical vector data. Through the superposition of tourism activity points of interest with remotely sensed inversion raster data like human carbon emissions, net primary productivity, and kilometer-grid GDP, the carbon emissions, carbon sinks, and economic output of tourism attractions are obtained. Data envelopment analysis and econometric models are utilized to assess the "carbon emissions–carbon sinks–economic output" coupling efficiency relationship and driving mechanism under the framework of the tourism carbon neutrality process. This research takes Gannan Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau region, which has had a severe response to global climate change and is particularly deficient in statistical and monitoring data, as an example. It is found that in Gannan Prefecture, which is at the primary stage of tourism development, with a high degree of dependence on the location and regional economic development level, the challenge of decoupling carbon emissions from the economy is significant. The carbon neutrality process in natural tourism attractions is marginally superior to that in cultural tourism attractions. However, even among natural tourism attractions, the number of spots achieving high carbon sink efficiency is extremely limited. There remains considerable scope for achieving carbon neutrality process through carbon sinks in the future. The location and vegetation conditions can exert a direct and positive influence on the improvement of carbon efficiency in tourist destinations. Establishing natural tourism attractions near cities is more conducive to facilitating carbon neutrality. This research highlights the advantages of remote sensing methods in specific sectors such as tourism where quality monitoring facilities and methods are lacking and provides a reference for evaluating the tourism carbon neutrality process and managing environmental sustainability on tourism attractions in similar regions and specific sectors worldwide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Investigating the experience and improvement measures for China's distinctive land supply participation in macro-control processes holds significance for full utilization of land policy. However, the spatial heterogeneity and its theoretical and comprehensive analysis of drivers are still poorly revealed. This paper uses spatial analysis methods and micro-scale big data on land transactions to depict the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of land supply, and analyses its driving mechanisms via an endogenous–exogenous factor framework and regression models. Land supply experienced fluctuating "growth–decline–growth" trends in 2001–2021, spatially showed a large cluster in the east, a small cluster in the center and scattering in the west, with the gravity center relocating southwest, and formed a multi-core, hierarchical, circular structure of high density in core cities, density in peripheral cities and sparseness in districts. Endogenously, total land resources and road accessibility facilitated land supply, while topographic relief and urban proximity showed inhibitory effects; land supply positively correlated with land finance dependence, officials' appraisal pressure, local government competition and officials' corruption but negatively related with fiscal tax revenues and fiscal transparency; construction land indicators directly determined land supply, while the intensity of use control restricted the conversion of arable land and weakened land supply. Exogenously, urbanization, industrialization, capital investment, technological innovation and marketization level promoted land supply, while the substitution of human capital reduced the demand for land; economic fluctuations showed non-significant relationships with land supply. Differentiated impacts of multiple factors on land supply pattern are emphasized and should be integrated into formulating land policy and optimizing land allocation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the rapid urbanization in China, traditional villages are undergoing simultaneous construction and destruction, making it crucial to scientifically balance the protection and development of these villages. The Loess Hilly Area of Northern Shaanxi, one of the most severely eroded regions in the world, was chosen as the study area. Socio-economic, land use, and natural ecological data from 152 traditional villages in this area were analyzed. First, an evaluation model was developed to assess the comprehensive level of protection and development in these villages. Next, a coupling coordination model and spatial autocorrelation model were employed to measure the coordination level and spatial distribution of protection and development. Finally, a coordination influence model was combined with a geographically weighted regression model to reveal the driving mechanisms promoting the coupling coordination between protection and development. The results indicate that (1) the protection and development levels of traditional villages in the study area exhibit contrasting patterns of "high in the east and low in the west" and "high in the west and low in the east", respectively; (2) nearly half of the regions show a low level of coordination between protection and development, with a few counties and districts in the east achieving better coordination; and (3) the spatial variation in the coupling of protection and development is influenced by regional economic capacity, social development, resource endowment, and policy inclination, with various factors influencing the coordination in different ways. This study helps to further elucidate the relationship between the protection and development of traditional villages and provides valuable references for the protection and development of traditional villages in other ecologically fragile areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Increasingly frequent land evolution in China seriously impacts the sustainable supply of ecosystem services as well as the economy's steady and sustainable growth. Driven by physiographic, socioeconomic, and transportation accessibility factors, China has experienced significant mutual changes among gra ssland, forest, unused land, and cropland over the past 20 years, particularly before 2010. Projections for 2030 and 2060 indicate an increase in cropland, accompanied by a degradation of forest and grassland. Future land changes will vary under different policy scenarios. Specifically, the source of urbanization land will shift from cropland to grassland if cropland is protected, whereas cropland areas will continue to decrease under the environmental preservation scenario. In the future, China should maintain agricultural policies based on cropland protection and the ecological restoration policy that places an emphasis on natural restoration. These findings provide a reference for achieving sustainable land development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract The oasis serves as the central component of the arid ecosystem and plays a crucial role in supporting human activities. However, the ecological environment in the oasis region is fragile, and even a minor alteration in land use (LU) can significantly impact the stability of the ecosystem. Therefore, it is imperative to undertake comprehensive research on the spatio–temporal patterns of LU change in the oasis, reveal its driving factors, and predict future development. This is crucial for devising scientifically and logically sound land management strategies, upholding the equilibrium between humans and land in arid areas, and attaining sustainable development of the regional ecology and economy. This study focuses on the Weigan–Kuqa River Delta Oasis in China as the research area, analyzes the changes in LU in the oasis from 2010 to 2022 using various methods such as transition matrix, dynamic degree, intensity analysis, and center of gravity shift. The study also investigates the factors influencing these changes using the optimal parameters–based geographical detector (OPGD). Additionally, it predicts the future trends in LU development under four different scenarios using the mixed–cell cellular automata (MCCA), and illustrates distribution characteristics by combining Moran’s I index and hotspot analysis. The results suggest that: (1) Between 2010 and 2022, the LU in the oasis changed rapidly, with consistent increase in the amount of construction land, arable land, and garden land, while the amount of forest-grassland and unused land decreased overall. (2) Population density played a leading role in the changes, but soil type also had a significant impact. Over the course of time, the influence of roads and transportation has progressively increased. (3) Compared with 2022, the acreage of arable land, garden land, and construction land increases under the four future scenarios: natural development scenario (NDS), economic development scenario (EDS), cropland development scenario (CDS), and ecological protection scenario (EPS). However, the acreage of forest–grassland and unused land decrease. From a spatial perspective, large towns, the downstream of alluvial fans, and the central oasis are key areas where the distribution of hot spots and sub–hot spots of each LU type varies significantly among the four scenarios. The EPS provides a certain level of protection for forest-grassland areas and water bodies, making it the most appropriate development model for oases. These findings have the potential to offer valuable academic guidance for oasis land resource management and are crucial for achieving coordinated development at regional level.

Urban, agricultural, and ecological spaces, collectively referred to as the "three types of space," are central elements in China's Territorial and Spatial Planning reforms. These spaces are crucial in bridging the National Main Functional Area Planning and regional coordinated development strategies at a higher level and in guiding land-use control at a lower level. The Pearl River Basin is one of China's most important economic development regions. This basin serves as a crucial region for the case study of evolution of the "three types of space." Understanding this evolution is critical for aligning regional land use with national strategic objectives and optimizing the coordinated development of these spatial elements. Using the National Main Functional Area Planning strategy as a starting point, this study applied a cross-conversion matrix and a multiscale geographically weighted regression model to analyze the evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms of the "three types of spaces" in the Pearl River Basin from 1990 to 2020. Three main results were obtained. First, over the past 30 years, urban space in the Pearl River Basin has expanded considerably, ecological space has slightly increased, but agricultural space has significantly decreased, with marked spatial differences in the evolution of the "three types of spaces" across the upper, middle, and lower reaches of the basin. Agricultural space has fully decreased across all reaches, converting to urban space in the lower reaches and reverting to ecological space in the upper and middle reaches. Second, within different national functional zones, urban space growth is most pronounced in urbanized areas, ecological space recovery is significant in ecological functional zones, and agricultural space has remarkably decreased in major agricultural production areas. Third, the driving factors for the different evolution directions of the "three types of spaces" in the Pearl River Basin vary. Industrial development has significantly driven the expansion of urban spaces, whereas ecological protection policies have effectively promoted the restoration of ecological spaces in key ecological areas. These findings effectively reveal the land-use evolution process in China's socioeconomic development regions over the past 40 years, highlight the risks and influencing factors of rapid urban space development and ecological space threats, and provide an important reference for optimizing land-use patterns in similar key regions of China.

Abstract Urbanization and industrialization have driven rapid socio-economic development, leading to a significant population shift from rural areas to cities. This demographic transition has resulted in substantial changes in rural settlements, presenting considerable challenges for rural revitalization. Given the spatial differentiation, it is crucial to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of rural settlements under various development scenarios and at multiple scales within a county. Such analysis is essential for rational planning and sustainable development. This study analyzes the spatial and temporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of rural settlements in Xunwu County, Jiangxi Province, China, using land use dynamics, hot and cold spot analysis, and center of gravity migration models. The Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Model (MGWR) is employed to explore their transformation driving mechanisms. The results show that during 2010–2020 in the study area, the total change rate of rural settlements was 39.82%, with a dynamic degree of 2.87%. The average centroid of the settlements is located in Wenfeng Township, gradually migrating southeastward by 3.7 km. Cold spots are shrinking northward, while hotspots are gathering in Chengjiang Town. Socio-economic conditions dominate the evolution of rural clusters in this region, showing obvious spatial heterogeneity. This is followed by locational conditions that are weakening in influence, while the impact of natural geographical conditions exists in the northeast region. The research findings offer a scientifically rigorous and well-founded analysis of the evolution and driving mechanisms of rural settlements. This analysis provides a solid theoretical basis for policy planning in urban-rural integrated development and supports the sustainable growth of rural communities.

The oasis serves as the central component of the arid ecosystem and plays a crucial role in supporting human activities. However, the ecological environment in the oasis region is fragile, and even a minor alteration in land use (LU) can significantly impact the stability of the ecosystem. Therefore, it is imperative to undertake comprehensive research on the spatio–temporal patterns of LU change in the oasis, reveal its driving factors, and predict future development. This is crucial for devising scientifically and logically sound land management strategies, upholding the equilibrium between humans and land in arid areas, and attaining sustainable development of the regional ecology and economy. This study focuses on the Weigan–Kuqa River Delta Oasis in China as the research area, analyzes the changes in LU in the oasis from 2010 to 2022 using various methods such as transition matrix, dynamic degree, intensity analysis, and center of gravity shift. The study also investigates the factors influencing these changes using the optimal parameters–based geographical detector (OPGD). Additionally, it predicts the future trends in LU development under four different scenarios using the mixed–cell cellular automata (MCCA), and illustrates distribution characteristics by combining Moran’s I index and hotspot analysis. The results suggest that: (1) Between 2010 and 2022, the LU in the oasis changed rapidly, with consistent increase in the amount of construction land, arable land, and garden land, while the amount of forest-grassland and unused land decreased overall. (2) Population density played a leading role in the changes, but soil type also had a significant impact. Over the course of time, the influence of roads and transportation has progressively increased. (3) Compared with 2022, the acreage of arable land, garden land, and construction land increases under the four future scenarios: natural development scenario (NDS), economic development scenario (EDS), cropland development scenario (CDS), and ecological protection scenario (EPS). However, the acreage of forest–grassland and unused land decrease. From a spatial perspective, large towns, the downstream of alluvial fans, and the central oasis are key areas where the distribution of hot spots and sub–hot spots of each LU type varies significantly among the four scenarios. The EPS provides a certain level of protection for forest-grassland areas and water bodies, making it the most appropriate development model for oases. These findings have the potential to offer valuable academic guidance for oasis land resource management and are crucial for achieving coordinated development at regional level. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Enhancing the sustainability of public-private partnerships (PPPs) is pivotal for enabling the sustainable development of infrastructure worldwide. However, there has been inadequate research systematically identifying the underlying dynamics of the project sustainability of PPPs. Drawing upon the system thinking, we develop a conceptual framework by integrating the life-cycle and stakeholder perspectives to fill the above-mentioned void. Based on stakeholders' decision-making and action process, the driving factors have been identified to ensure PPP sustainability and categorized into: (1) public sector's capability; (2) public sector's input; (3) private entity's capability; (4) private entity' input; and (5) partnership. Then, a system dynamics model is constructed to examine the validity of the conceptual framework through the scenario-based analysis. The contribution of this research is threefold: (1) an integrated framework for clarifying the driving mechanisms of PPP sustainability; (2) an extended systematic perspective sustaining the projects; and (3) implications for practising sustainable management and relevant decision-making. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Tropical Geography is the property of Tropical Geography Editorial Office and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

The formation of China's territory has a long historical process. Prior research has highlighted the diverse historical development patterns across different regions. To delve deeper into the distinctiveness among regions and their nuanced disparities, the research centers on the settlements within Xinyi County, situated in the mountainous terrain of western Guangdong Province, China. The current study employs the research method of "Backward Observation" by conducting a literature review and utilizing ArcGIS for spatial analysis to investigate the spatial distribution and evolution process of regional settlements in western Guangdong. The results suggest a predominant involvement of the state in propelling the advancement of the indigenous community within Xinyi County, a progression primarily fulfilled by the conclusion of the late Qing and initial Republican eras, guided by the persistent localization and gentrification of migrating populations. Xinyi's advancement pattern and speed exhibited notable distinctions from neighboring areas within Guangdong Province. This investigation additionally delves into G. William Skinner's inquiries regarding the exceptional attributes and evolutionary patterns of localities, aligning with the South China School's viewpoint on the varied nature of regional advancement procedures and cadences. This research on Xinyi's historical evolution is importance in coordinating the preservation and advancement of historical towns, addressing urban-rural development disparities, and formulating future development strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Urbanization and industrialization have driven rapid socio-economic development, leading to a significant population shift from rural areas to cities. This demographic transition has resulted in substantial changes in rural settlements, presenting considerable challenges for rural revitalization. Given the spatial differentiation, it is crucial to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of rural settlements under various development scenarios and at multiple scales within a county. Such analysis is essential for rational planning and sustainable development. This study analyzes the spatial and temporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of rural settlements in Xunwu County, Jiangxi Province, China, using land use dynamics, hot and cold spot analysis, and center of gravity migration models. The Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Model (MGWR) is employed to explore their transformation driving mechanisms. The results show that during 2010–2020 in the study area, the total change rate of rural settlements was 39.82%, with a dynamic degree of 2.87%. The average centroid of the settlements is located in Wenfeng Township, gradually migrating southeastward by 3.7 km. Cold spots are shrinking northward, while hotspots are gathering in Chengjiang Town. Socio-economic conditions dominate the evolution of rural clusters in this region, showing obvious spatial heterogeneity. This is followed by locational conditions that are weakening in influence, while the impact of natural geographical conditions exists in the northeast region. The research findings offer a scientifically rigorous and well-founded analysis of the evolution and driving mechanisms of rural settlements. This analysis provides a solid theoretical basis for policy planning in urban-rural integrated development and supports the sustainable growth of rural communities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Identifying ecosystem service functions, clarifying the spatiotemporal trade-offs and synergies of terrestrial ecosystem services and their driving mechanisms, and exploring differentiated ecological functional zoning are crucial steps in achieving healthy regional ecosystem management, and are conducive to developing diversified ecological restoration strategies, establishing a robust cross-regional collaborative management mechanism, implementing differentiated ecological management strategies, and contributing to the construction of a Beautiful China. This paper, based on the InVEST model, Pearson correlation, GeoDetector, and Spatiotemporal Geographically Weighted Regression models, constructs a spatial quantification model of the trade-offs and synergies among five key ecosystem service functions -- habitat quality, soil retention, water conservation, food supply, and carbon sequestration -- of China's terrestrial ecosystems from 2000 to 2020. It explores the influencing factors of terrestrial ecosystem services in China and their spatiotemporal heterogeneity, thereby investigating the future strategies for ecological functional zoning and management of China's national land space. The results indicate that: (1) during 2000-2020, China's food supply and soil conservation have increased. However, the habitat quality, water conservation, and carbon sequestration have decreased. (2) Significant spatial and temporal heterogeneities exist in the key ecosystem services of China's terrestrial ecosystems. (3) Natural, economic, and social factors all impact China's terrestrial key ecosystem services. Among them, slope, annual average precipitation, land development intensity, and vegetation coverage are the main influencing factors, and different factors exhibit significant spatial heterogeneity. (4) Significant trade-offs/synergy effects among critical terrestrial ecosystem services exist in China. (5) China's national territory is divided into four ecological protection functional zones: ecological restoration areas, ecological control areas, resilient development areas, and ecological conservation areas, and explores differentiated zoning optimization control paths. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Since China's reform and opening up in 1978, the reclamation and abandonment of cropland in Xinjiang have become significant features of the land use change in the arid land of Northwest China. However, the spatiotemporal changes and driving mechanisms of cropland reclamation and abandonment over long time periods are still unclear, but this is crucial in understanding cropland changes in inland arid land, providing important insights for land management and agricultural development. Based on 40 years of remote sensing data on resources and the environment, this study examines the spatiotemporal characteristics of cropland reclamation and abandonment in Xinjiang over four periods since 1980. Additionally, it uses an optimal parameter geographical detector model to quantify the driving factors for each period. The results indicate that cropland reclamation experiences a "slow decrease–rapid increase" trend, forming a "V-shaped" pattern, while abandonment shows a "rapid decrease–slow decrease–slow increase" trend, forming a "U-shaped" pattern. These trends can be divided into three periods: 1980–1990 (unstable growth), 1990–2010 (stable growth), and 2010–2020 (growth with constraints). The movement pattern of cropland reclamation's center of gravity is "slightly southeast–slightly northeast–southwest", whereas the abandonment's center of gravity shifts "northeast–southwest–northeast". Further analysis reveals that the impact of agricultural technological investment and infrastructure on cropland reclamation has increased, while the influence of natural environmental factors has decreased. Although climate and water resources remain key factors in cropland abandonment, the influence of economic and social factors has gradually diminished, and the impact of agricultural mechanization has steadily risen. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Ili River Basin (IRB) is located in the northwest of China. With its large-scale zone and abundant resources, it is believed to be a "wet island" and a biotic resource storehouse in the dry regions of Eurasia. The IRB has stable ecological conditions and abundant water resources, providing natural conditions for agricultural production and human settlements. With the population increasing and economic development advancing, the competition for land resources is becoming fierce, leading to some ecological problems in this region. Therefore, understanding the spatiotemporal changes and driving mechanisms of the "three-zone space" (TZS) in the IRB is of significant practical importance for promoting sustainable development and optimizing the territorial spatial pattern. This study first analyzes the characteristics and intensity of the TZS changes from 2000 to 2020. Then, it utilizes the optimized parameter Geodetector (OPGD) to analyze the driving mechanisms behind these changes. The results show the following. Firstly, the agricultural space (AS) increased by a total of 837.5 km2, the urban space (US) increased by 519.64 km2, and other ecological space (OES) increased by 1518.83 km2. Green ecological space (GES) decreased by 2875.97 km2. Secondly, intensity analysis indicated that the total TZS change in IRB was 11.07%. At the spatial-type level, the increased intensities of OES, US, and AS were active. In spatial transformation intensity, US and OES tended to transform into AS; AS tended to transform into US; and OES and GES had a mutual transformation tendency. Thirdly, AS converted into US around emerging cities like Khorgas and Cocodala. The conversion towards GES was scattered. The mutual conversion between OES and GES showed spatial distribution consistency, mainly occurring in the Borohoro ranges and the Halik ranges. Lastly, regarding the driving mechanisms, the evolution of US in the IRB was driven by social and economic factors. Location and climate factors accelerated agricultural development, facilitating the transformation of GES and OES into AS. Climate and economic factors played a crucial role in the scale of conversions between OES and GES. The findings can provide a basis for the governance and protection of the IRB, help to form a rational territorial spatial pattern, and offer scientific guidance for sustainable land management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurately identifying the expansion characteristics and driving mechanisms at different development stages of urban agglomerations is crucial for their coordinated development. Using the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration as a case study, we employ a data fusion approach to fuse nighttime light data with LandScan data and utilize the U-net neural network to systematically analyze the expansion characteristics and driving mechanisms of the urban agglomeration. The results indicate that, from 2008 to 2013, the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration was in an initial expansion stage, primarily driven by economic development levels and population size. From 2013 to 2018, the agglomeration entered an accelerated expansion stage, driven mainly by industrial structure transformation and the population agglomeration effect. From 2018 to 2023, the agglomeration experienced a steady expansion stage, with industrial structure upgrading and government support as the primary driving forces. Furthermore, we found that, over time, the influence of economic development levels and population size as driving forces gradually weakened, while the impact of industrial structure and government support significantly increased. Through the fusion of multi-source data and analysis of driving mechanisms at different developmental stages, we comprehensively revealed the development trajectory of the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration and provided valuable insights for future urban agglomeration development planning and policymaking. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Exploring the low-carbon transition in China can offer profound guidance for governments to develop relevant environmental policies and regulations within the context of the 2060 carbon neutrality target. Previous studies have extensively explored the promotion of low-carbon development in China, yet no studies have completely explained the mechanisms of the low-carbon transition in China from the perspective of per capita carbon emissions (PCEs). Based on the statistics and carbon emissions data of 367 prefecture level cities in China from 2000 to 2020, this study employed markov chain, kernel density analysis, hotspots analysis, and spatial regression models to reveal the spatiotemporal distribution patterns, future trends, and driving factors of PCEs in China. The results showed that China's PCEs in 2000, 2010, and 2020 were 0.72 ton/persons, 1.72 ton/persons, and 1.91 ton/persons, respectively, exhibiting a continuous upward trend, with evident regional heterogeneity. PCEs in northern China and the eastern coastal region were higher than those of southern China and the central and southwestern regions. The PCEs in China showed obvious spatial clustering, with hot spots mainly concentrated in Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang, while cold spots were mainly in some provinces in southern China. The transition of PCEs in China exhibited a strong stability and a 'club convergence' phenomenon. A regression analysis revealed that the urbanization level and latitude had negative effects on PCEs, while the regional economic development level, average elevation, average slope, and longitude showed positive effects on PCEs. These findings have important implications for the promotion of the low-carbon transition and the effective achievement of the "dual carbon" goal. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Habitat quality (HQ) is a critical factor for regional ecosystem health and sustainable development, as well as an important basis for formulating ecological protection and land-use planning. The Qin-Mang River Basin, as an integral part of the biodiversity conservation area in the Yellow River Basin, plays a significant role in maintaining the balance and stability of the regional ecosystem. This study is based on land use/land cover changes (LUCC) data from 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022. It employs a land use transfer matrix to analyze the dynamic trends and patterns of LUCC. HQ changes are evaluated using the InVEST model, and the GeoDetector model is used to identify the key driving factors and their interactions. Additionally, spatial autocorrelation analysis is applied to explore the spatial clustering characteristics of HQ. The results indicate that between 1992 and 2022, the cumulative area of land transfer in the study area exceeded 600 km2, primarily characterized by the conversion of cultivated land to built-up areas. The HQ index decreased from 0.3409 in 1992 to 0.2896 in 2022, with a significant increase in spatial heterogeneity. Altitude, vegetation coverage, temperature, precipitation, and slope are the main driving factors influencing HQ, with natural factors dominating, but human activities gradually playing an increasingly significant role. Furthermore, HQ exhibits significant spatial clustering characteristics, with hotspot and coldspot areas providing scientific evidence for ecological protection and restoration measures. To improve HQ, it is recommended to strictly enforce ecological protection red lines, control the expansion of built-up areas, improve ecological compensation mechanisms, and promote ecological restoration measures such as returning farmland to forest and grassland.

The recurring occurrence of green tides as an ecological disaster has been reported annually in the Yellow Sea. While remote sensing technology effectively tracks the scale, extent, and duration of green tide outbreaks, there is limited research on the underlying driving mechanisms of green tide drift transport and the determination of the leeway coefficient. This study investigates the green tide transport mechanism and evaluates the feasibility of estimating the leeway coefficient by analyzing green tide drift velocities obtained from Geostationary Ocean Color Imager-II (GOCI-II) images using the maximum cross-correlation (MCC) technique and leeway method across various time intervals alongside ocean current and wind speed data. The results reveal the following: (1) Significant spatial variations in green tide movement, with a distinct boundary at 34°40′N. (2) Short-term green tide transport is primarily influenced by tidal forces, while wind and ocean currents, especially the combined Ekman and geostrophic current component, predominantly govern net transport. (3) Compared to 1, 3, and 7 h intervals, estimating the leeway coefficient with a 25 h interval is feasible for moderate-resolution geostationary images, yielding values consistent with previous studies. This study offers new insights into exploring the transport mechanisms of green tides through remote sensing-driven velocity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Constructing coastal ecological security barriers is beneficial for preventing environmental degradation and enhancing resilience to natural disasters. This study examines the functionality of these barriers from an ecosystem service perspective, developing an Ecosystem Security Barrier Function (ESBF) index to analyze its spatiotemporal variations. From 2000 to 2020, habitat quality in the study area experienced a slight decline, while water supply capacity initially increased and then decreased. Water purification capacity hit its lowest point in 2015 before improving. The ESBF generally ranged from moderate to high levels, with higher values in the northwest and lower values in the southeast, showing strong spatial autocorrelations. Despite mild degradation in some areas, overall stability was maintained with frequent transitions between ESBF levels. Utilizing the Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) model, we conducted a grid-scale analysis of the driving mechanisms behind ESBF. We found that precipitation, elevation, and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) positively correlated with ESBF, whereas population density, land use, and nighttime lights negatively correlated. The relationship between temperature and ESBF showed a "north-positive, south-negative" pattern. The study recommends enhancing coastal wetland restoration, strengthening protective forest construction, and effectively controlling pollutant sources entering the sea to safeguard and improve the ecological security barrier function. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Water yield is a critical component of hydrological ecosystem services, influenced by both natural environments and human activities. Changes in land use and land cover (LULC) are particularly pivotal in causing water yield variations at the basin level, particularly for the ecologically fragile Ganjiang River Basin (GRB) in southern Jiangxi province, China. Over the last 33 years, the GRB has undergone substantial LULC changes that have significantly affected its water yield. Initially, this study assessed water yield from 1990 to 2022 using the InVEST model, then predicted future LULC scenarios using the PLUS model, including natural development (ND), cropland protection (CP), ecological protection (EP), and urban development (UD). The Geodetector model was then employed to analyze the influence of various factors on water yield changes. Key findings include the following: (1) Significant landscape changes were observed, including increases in impervious surfaces, cropland, and water areas, accompanied by substantial reductions in forest and other natural lands. The most pronounced decline occurred in forested regions. (2) The total water yield decreased by 0.44 × 1010 m3 over the study period, exhibiting fluctuations until 2016 and stabilizing afterward. Water yield was generally higher in the northeast and lower in the southwest, primarily influenced by actual evapotranspiration, LULC, and precipitation. (3) The impact of LULC changes on water yield varied by scenario, with the scenarios ranked from most to least impactful as follows: UD, ND, CP, EP. This variation is mainly due to the different rates of evapotranspiration and infiltration associated with land cover. These insights are crucial for guiding policymakers in developing effective LULC strategies that promote ecological restoration and sustainable water management in the basin. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Net primary productivity (NPP), a key indicator of terrestrial ecosystem quality and function, represents the amount of organic matter produced by vegetation per unit area and time. This study utilizes the MOD17A3 NPP dataset (2001–2022) to analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics of NPP in Xinjiang and projects future trends using Theil-Sen trend analysis, the Mann–-Kendall test, and the Hurst Index. By integrating meteorological data, this study employs partial correlation analysis, the Miami model, and residual analysis to explore the driving mechanisms behind NPP changes influenced by climatic factors and human activities. The results indicate that: (1) The average NPP in Xinjiang has increased over the years, displaying a spatial pattern with higher values in the north and west. Regions with increasing NPP outnumber those with declining trends, while 75.18% of the area shows un-certain future trends. (2) Precipitation exhibits a stronger positive correlation with NPP compared to temperature. (3) Climate change accounts for 28.34% of the variation in NPP, while human activities account for 71.66%, making the latter the dominant driving factor. This study aids in monitoring ecological degradation risks in arid regions of China and provides a scientific basis for developing rational coping strategies and ecological restoration initiatives. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Analyzing the changes in vegetation under different factors is crucial for ecological protection in arid areas. The spatial-temporal variations of vegetation in the lower reaches of the Tarim River (LRTR) from 2000 to 2020, were analyzed using the Theil-Sen estimator and the Mann-Kendall test. The future trends of NDVI are projected to use the Hurst exponent method. The driving mechanisms of vegetation changes were analyzed using the GeoDetector method and multivariate residual analysis. The NDVI values in the LRTR significantly increased during the study period, indicating good vegetation recovery. The overall vegetation level remains poor and was primarily concentrated around the riverine areas. There is still a risk of vegetation degradation in most areas of the future LRTR. Compared to climate change, vegetation was more affected by human activities. Human activities have helped restore the riparian vegetation and prevented the degradation of vegetation far from the river. Therefore, distance from river channels is the strongest explanatory factor (q = 0.078) for vegetation changes, followed by precipitation, and temperature, while changes in slope have minimal impact on vegetation. Statistics have found that when two factors are combined, their impact on vegetation change is stronger. These findings are beneficial for identifying vegetation evolution patterns in LRTR and providing theoretical support for the government to carry out ecological restoration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Arid Zone Research / Ganhanqu Yanjiu is the property of Arid Zone Research Editorial Office and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

The joint study of agriculture and rural areas is of great significance for safeguarding agricultural development, revitalizing rural areas, and enhancing farmers' well-being. This paper aims to assess the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the coupling and coordination degree of agricultural resilience and rural land use efficiency and their dynamic transfer law and driving mechanisms, based on panel data of 31 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) in China from 2010 to 2020. The results showed: (1) Good coupling and coordination of agricultural resilience and rural land use efficiency, with reduced temporal differentiation degrees between regions; (2) Significant spatial autocorrelation between the overall coupling and coordination degrees of agricultural resilience and rural land use efficiency, forming cold spot and hot spot spatial patterns in the western and eastern parts, respectively, with a central transition area; (3) A spillover effect of the dynamic transfer process, with a manifested specific law as "club convergence", "Matthew effect", and progressive development characteristics; (4) The key roles of the natural, social, economic, and policy indicators in the coupling and coordination development process of agricultural resilience and rural land use efficiency. However, the selected indicators showed substantial spatial differences in their influences on the coupling and coordination process between provinces. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Long-term stability is crucial in cropland for maintaining stable agricultural production and ensuring national food security. However, relatively few studies have been conducted on the long-term stability of cropland at the national level. This study assessed the long-term stability of cropland in China from 1990 to 2018 using a fine-resolution land use dataset. The experimental results indicated that the average area of unstable cropland in China from 1990 to 2018 amounted to 2.08 ×   10 6 km2, 47.31% of the total. The Qinghai–Tibet Plateau exhibited the highest average proportion of unstable cropland at 65.9%, followed by the northern arid and semiarid region, Southern China, and the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau. The quantity of unstable cropland in China initially declined before increasing, reaching a final growth rate of 5.09%. Furthermore, this study explored the relevant driving factors of cropland's long-term stability from both natural factors and human activities based on artificial neural networks. The relative importance of distance to vegetation reached a value of 0.30, indicating that it had the most significant influence on the long-term stability of cropland, followed by relief amplitude and soil type. This phenomenon may be attributed to the inadequate execution of the Grain for Green Policy and the requisition–compensation balance of cropland policy, along with the depletion of young and middle-aged laborers due to urban migration from rural areas. Local governments should focus on addressing the unsustainable exploitation of sloped land in rural mountainous or hilly regions while preventing urban developers from appropriating fertile cropland to compensate for less fertile areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Salt weathering is considered as one of the most damaging processes acting on cultural heritage sites and salt crystallization significantly contributes to the deterioration of natural sandstone in grotto relics. A laboratory partial immersion experiment was carried out to elucidate how humidity influences the salt‐induced weathering in grotto relics. Field environmental observations at the Yungang Grottoes were conducted to evaluate the differences between experimental endeavours and field observations. Superficial salt accumulation was characterized by hydro‐chemical and quantitative atomistic analysis. It revealed the co‐existence of calcium sulphate and magnesium sulphate, with a Ca/Mg molar ratio of 0.27 at RHam and 4.13–18.15 at a constant RH. An average increase of 165 mg/L in Na+ concentration and 120.7 mg/L in Mg2+ concentration in the groundwater was detected after immersion, which was attributed to the dissolution of the sandstone rock. The reduction of 322.5 mg/L in the SO42− concentration in the groundwater after partial immersion shows that capillary forces influence the migration of SO42− from the immersion solution. Calcium sulphate and magnesium sulphate accumulation with a Ca/Mg molar ratio of 0.03–0.17 in the field environment is strongly correlated with the occurrence of salt efflorescence. The upward transport of soluble salt was driven by capillary forces after partial immersion in the groundwater collected from the Yungang Grottoes. It then migrated from the interior to the exterior of the sandstone specimen due to evaporation. Salt efflorescence formed on the upper exposed stone close to the capillary fringe owing to the combined effects of condensation, hygroscopicity and evaporation. These processes were driven by wetting–drying and dissolution–crystallization cycles in response to fluctuating environmental conditions. These results contribute to a better understanding the mechanism of salt‐induced weathering and provide a basis for future conservation to mitigate the harmful impact of salts in heritage sites. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the acceleration of urbanization and profound socioeconomic changes, the influx of people from various social strata into cities has led to the phenomenon of residential segregation. Currently, the international community has accumulated profound theoretical foundations and rich practical experiences in the study of residential segregation. This research, primarily based on the WOS literature database, sorts and summarizes relevant studies on residential segregation in recent years (focusing on publications from 2020 to 2024), emphasizing the following four key aspects: (1) tracing the evolution of the theory of residential segregation and analytical methods; (2) analyzing the main characteristics of urban residential segregation; (3) exploring the driving mechanisms and effects of urban residential segregation; and (4) summarizing research trends and providing future perspectives. This study aids urban planners in more accurately identifying areas and characteristics of residential segregation, optimizing urban layouts, and providing richer and more in-depth theoretical support and practical guidance for the field of urban planning science. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Bulletin of Soil & Water Conservation is the property of Bulletin of Soil & Water Conservation Editorial Office and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)