1. Application of climate change scenarios in the simulation of forest ecosystems: an overview
- Author
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Liu, Haoyun, Li, Peng, Peng, Changhui, Liu, Cong, Zhou, Xiaolu, Deng, Zhengmiao, Zhang, Cicheng, and Liu, Zelin
- Subjects
Ecosystems -- Models ,Climate models -- Analysis ,Forests and forestry -- Environmental aspects -- China ,Environmental issues - Abstract
Climate change scenarios established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have developed a significant tool for analyzing, modeling, and predicting future climate change impacts in different research fields after more than 30 years of development and refinement. In the wake of future climate change, the changes in forest structure and functions have become a frontier and focal area of global change research. This study mainly reviews and synthesizes climate change scenarios and their applications in forest ecosystem research over the past decade. These applications include changes in (1) forest structure and spatial vegetation distribution, (2) ecosystem structure, (3) ecosystem services, and (4) ecosystem stability. Although climate change scenarios are useful for predicting future climate change impacts on forest ecosystems, the accuracy of model simulations needs to be further improved. Based on existing studies, climate change scenarios are used in future simulation applications to construct a biomonitoring network platform integrating observations and predictions for better conservation of species diversity. Key words: global change, carbon stocks, forest vulnerability, CMIP6, land surface models, 1. Introduction Based on the Sixth Assessment Report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the recent worldwide average surface temperature for 2011-2020 was 1.09 [degrees]C warmer than that [...]
- Published
- 2023
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