Search

Your search keyword '"Election forecasting -- Social aspects"' showing total 41 results
Start Over Descriptor "Election forecasting -- Social aspects"
41 results on '"Election forecasting -- Social aspects"'

1. Pennsylvania Republicans Lag on Early Mail Ballots

Author

Corasaniti, Nick and Weisman, Jonathan

Subjects
Pennsylvania -- Elections, Presidential candidates -- Political activity -- Public relations, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Company public relations, Government regulation, General interest, News, opinion and commentary, Republican Party (Pennsylvania) -- Elections
Abstract

Encouraging voters to cast mail ballots -- and cast them early -- benefits political campaigns. But former President Donald J. Trump's skepticism has hurt Republican efforts in a key state. [...]

Published
2024

2. Far right set to win in a German state for the first time since WWII

Author

Brady, Kate and Faiola, Anthony

Subjects
Alternative for Germany -- Powers and duties -- Public relations, Company public relations, Political parties -- Powers and duties -- Public relations -- Germany, Election forecasting -- Social aspects
Abstract

Byline: Kate Brady, Anthony Faiola BERLIN - Projections in Germany's closely watched elections Sunday showed the anti-migrant Alternative for Germany (AfD) party leading in one state and running a close [...]

Published
2024

3. Anger in Germany's East

Author

Nolting, Ingmar and Schuetze, Christopher F.

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Company public relations, General interest, News, opinion and commentary, Alternative for Germany -- Powers and duties -- Public relations
Abstract

The Angry East Whatever the outcome of the elections on Sunday in the eastern states of Saxony and Thuringia, the far-right Alternative for Germany party long ago stepped from the [...]

Published
2024

4. Greek Youths, Shaped by the Debt Crisis, Plan to Vote for Stability

Author

Horowitz, Jason and Kitsantonis, Niki

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Company public relations, General interest, News, opinion and commentary
Abstract

Many children of Greece's traumatic years of economic collapse have opted for pragmatism over radicalism and say they will back a conservative on Sunday. Days before this Sunday's election in [...]

Published
2023

5. The predictive power of political pundits: prescient or pitiful?

Author

Metaxas, Phillip and Leigh, Andrew

Subjects
Australia -- Political aspects -- Social aspects, Talk shows -- Political aspects -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Business, Mass communications
Abstract

Although Australian political pundits frequently make predictions about the future, little systematic evidence exists about the accuracy of these predictions. To assess the predictive power of experts, we survey the transcripts of two well-known political programs--Insiders and Meet the Press--and record all falsifiable forecasts. Looking at the three months prior to both the 2007 and 2010 federal elections, we are struck by the paucity of falsifiable predictions, with most pundits heavily qualifying their predictions (so that they can never be said to be wrong). In 32 hours of television, we identify 20 falsifiable forecasts in our sample, of which we judge thirteen to be correct. We conclude with some suggestions for political talk shows, and for political scientists seeking to better analyse expert predictions., How accurate are pundits at predicting the future? A series of studies analysing US political analysts has found that their forecasts are frequently no more accurate than the toss of [...]

Published
2013

6. Democracy's whipping boys; Election forecasting

Subjects
United Kingdom -- Elections, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Pollsters -- Forecasts and trends -- Political aspects -- Social aspects, Market trend/market analysis, Business, Economics, Business, international
Abstract

Not what he was expecting Not what he was expecting Not what he was expecting Pollsters' sins are exaggerated, and their praises unsung WESTMINSTER was agog. On May 31st, eight [...]

Published
2017

7. In Las Vegas today a crucial meeting between lawmakers and gaming officials could help make presidential elections a different kind of prize

Subjects
North Dakota -- Environmental aspects, Las Vegas, Nevada -- Political aspects -- Social aspects, Vaccination -- Forecasts and trends, Tornadoes -- Environmental aspects -- United States, Gambling -- Social aspects, Cancer -- Risk factors -- Forecasts and trends, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Market trend/market analysis, General interest, News, opinion and commentary
Abstract

ANTHONY MASON: In Las Vegas today a crucial meeting between lawmakers and gaming officials could help make presidential elections a different kind of prize. A Nevada lawmaker wants to allow [...]

Published
2014

8. Not only politicians fudge the issues; Gauging voters' views

Subjects
United Kingdom -- Elections, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Voting -- Surveys -- Social aspects -- Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Business, Economics, Business, international
Abstract

Be careful of offering people what they claim to want IT SOUNDS easy. In a democracy, the party that offers the public more of what it wants ought to win [...]

Published
2010

9. On the beach; Political vacations

Subjects
Politicians -- Social aspects -- Political activity, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Business, Economics, Business, international
Abstract

The leader at bay and at play 'BUT where are their policies?', the prime minister yelped, as a graphic of the Conservatives' midsummer poll lead flashed across the television. His [...]

Published
2008

10. Lose Now and Win Later? Don't bet on it

Author

Emery, Noemie

Subjects
Presidential candidates -- Forecasts and trends, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Market trend/market analysis, News, opinion and commentary
Abstract

FLUSHED AND AGLOW the thrill of defeat, some movement conservatives have their crystal balls out and are busily whipping off comeback scenarios in which all will be well. They will [...]

Published
2008

11. Primary colour; The campaign trail

Subjects
Electioneering -- Social aspects, Political campaigns -- Social aspects, Presidents -- Elections, Election forecasting -- Social aspects
Abstract

For sale A poll of New York University students revealed that 20% would give up their vote in the next election for an iPod and two-thirds would do so for […]

Published
2007

12. Gloomy Days at the GOP; Two more Senate retirements

Author

Brush, Silla

Subjects
Republican Party (United States) -- Political activity, Legislators -- Appointments, resignations and dismissals, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Congressional elections -- Forecasts and trends, Congressional elections -- Social aspects, Market trend/market analysis
Published
2007

13. Five myths about the New Hampshire primary

Subjects
New Hampshire -- Political aspects -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Primaries -- Social aspects, Business, Computers and office automation industries, Telecommunications industry
Abstract

Durham, N.H.This year marks the 100th anniversary of the New Hampshire primary, and some potent myths and misunderstandings have grown up about the Granite State's political process over the past [...]

Published
2016

14. Ben Carson's black voter strategy won't get him elected president

Author

Bump, Philip

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Presidential candidates -- Evaluation, Business, Computers and office automation industries, Telecommunications industry
Abstract

Byline: Philip Bump The phrase 'mathematically impossible' is one that's worth being careful with. In the real world, mathematical impossibility refers best to things like needing 101 percent of the [...]

Published
2015

15. Voters' Forecasts, Often More Telling Than Own Choices, Favor G.O.P

Author

Leonhardt, David

Subjects
Electioneering -- Surveys -- Forecasts and trends, Political campaigns -- Surveys -- Forecasts and trends, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Market trend/market analysis, General interest, News, opinion and commentary, Republican Party (United States) -- Political aspects -- Public opinion
Abstract

Polls typically ask people which candidate they want to win. But some researchers have come to believe that another question -- which candidate they expect to win -- produces more [...]

Published
2014

16. Media Compete To Offer Post-Election Analysis

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Mass media industry -- Political aspects, Mass media industry -- Services, Exit polls -- Influence, Presidents -- Elections, Presidents -- Media coverage
Abstract

To listen to this broadcast, click here: http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=96588541 MELISSA BLOCK, host: In this saturated media age, just about every national election night, news organizations have a similar debate. How early [...]

Published
2008

17. La. Election Shows Impact of Presidential Race

Subjects
Louisiana -- Elections, Presidents -- Elections, Congressional elections -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, General interest
Abstract

To listen to this broadcast, click here: http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=90173297 ANDREA SEABROOK, host: The presidential race is already having a big impact on congressional elections. Take Louisiana: yesterday Democrat Don Cazayoux and [...]

Published
2008

18. Will Nominees Emerge from Super Tuesday?

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Presidential candidates -- Political activity, Electioneering -- Social aspects, Political campaigns -- Social aspects
Abstract

To listen to this broadcast, click here: http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=18632799 SCOTT SIMON, host: Charlie Cook, Editor and Publisher of the Cook Political Report, joins us from his office in Washington DC. Charlie, [...]

Published
2008

19. Riots Break Out as Kenyans Await Election Results

Subjects
Political violence -- Social aspects, Presidents -- Elections, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Elections -- Ethical aspects, Kenya -- Elections
Abstract

To listen to this broadcast, click here: http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=17696871 JACKI LYDEN, host: From NPR News, this is ALL THINGS CONSIDERED. I'm Jacki Lyden. In Kenya today, crowds rioted, burned homes and […]

Published
2007

20. State lawmakers warily watch Mexico's election

Author

Aguilar, Julian

Subjects
Mexico -- Political aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Presidents -- Forecasts and trends -- Public opinion, Market trend/market analysis, General interest, News, opinion and commentary
Abstract

CORRECTION APPENDED With a mix of trepidation and optimism, Texas lawmakers are closely watching Mexico's election on Sunday. The expected outcome would return the Institutional Revolutionary Party to power. Polls [...]

Published
2012

21. Who will vote for Obama: it seems to be all over bar the voting but the final days of a presidential race can sometimes produce strange reversals of fortune

Author

Kellner, Peter

Subjects
Electioneering -- Social aspects, Political campaigns -- Social aspects, Presidential candidates -- Political activity -- Social aspects, Presidents -- Elections, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Literature/writing, Political science
Abstract

This is the 13th presidential campaign I have followed, as a teenager and as an adult, and the only previous campaign that generated anything like the same passion and enthusiasm [...]

Published
2008

23. Alaska Voting Forecast: Chance of Count Chaos

Author

Yardley, William

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Congressional candidates -- Public relations, Company public relations, General interest, News, opinion and commentary
Abstract

ANCHORAGE -- The wrinkles of a write-in campaign in an Alaskan election could mean it takes weeks before anyone knows whether Senator Lisa Murkowski pulled off a political miracle. Then [...]

Published
2010

24. Cool Debater Helps Britain's Also-Ran Party Stir a Race

Author

Burns, John F.

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, General interest, News, opinion and commentary, Liberal Democrats -- Social aspects -- Political activity
Abstract

CHIPPENHAM, England -- As Nick Clegg sped across the lush green landscape west of London by train on Tuesday, he spent much of his time disputing suggestions that with the [...]

Published
2010

25. Election Night (Popcorn Included)

Author

Seelye, Katharine Q.

Subjects
Presidents -- Elections, Election forecasting -- Social aspects
Abstract

Pundits and pollsters may be trying to take all the fun out of Election Day. So many have predicted a lopsided victory for Senator Barack Obama over Senator John McCain […]

Published
2008

26. Body check for a hockey mom - the Republicans' New Coke candidate

Author

Southey, Tabatha

Subjects
Vice-Presidential candidates -- Political activity -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, General interest, News, opinion and commentary, Republican Party (United States) -- Officials and employees
Abstract

Byline: TABATHA SOUTHEY; tsouthey@globeandmail.com When I heard the Republican argument that Alaskan Governor Sarah Palin is qualified to be America's commander-in-chief not only because Alaska is Russia's next-door neighbour but [...]

Published
2008

27. Quirks Add Uncertainty to Legislative Races

Author

Hladky, Gregory B.

Subjects
Democratic Party (United States) -- Social aspects, Republican Party (United States) -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects
Abstract

A BAD economy in an election year usually churns up voters looking for someone to blame. But Republican and Democratic state and local politicians in Connecticut say they are uncertain […]

Published
2008

28. NDP has a shot at beating Liberals, poll says

Author

Hunter, Justine

Subjects
Political parties -- British Columbia -- Social aspects, Social policy -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Public opinion polls -- Social aspects, General interest, News, opinion and commentary, New Democratic Party (British Columbia) -- Social aspects
Abstract

Byline: JUSTINE HUNTER VICTORIA -- With less than a year before the next election, the provincial New Democratic Party does have a chance to break the B.C. Liberals' commanding lead [...]

Published
2008

29. By delaying by-elections, PM risks Liberal victories

Author

Galloway, Gloria

Subjects
Political parties -- Canada -- Social aspects, Prime ministers -- Powers and duties, Elections -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, General interest, News, opinion and commentary, Liberal Party (Canada) -- Political activity -- Social aspects
Abstract

Byline: GLORIA GALLOWAY OTTAWA -- Four federal by-elections to be held today are a gamble for Prime Minister Stephen Harper, who seems to have underestimated the faintheartedness of the Liberals [...]

Published
2008

30. Clinton Stands Firm

Author

Erbe, Bonnie

Subjects
Presidential candidates -- Political activity, Electioneering -- Analysis, Political campaigns -- Analysis, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, General interest, News, opinion and commentary
Published
2008

31. Burma: democracy

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Literature/writing, Political science
Abstract

'We'll be expecting that this election will be a fair one, a credible one and an inclusive one,' said the UN secretary-general, Ban Ki-moon, on a visit to Bangkok before [...]

Published
2010

32. Polls: by our reckoning, we did fine

Author

Taylor, Humphrey and Newport, Frank

Subjects
Public opinion polls -- Social aspects, Exit polls -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Business, Business, general
Published
1996

33. Was CBS News real smart or real lucky?

Author

Gough, Paul J.

Subjects
CBS Inc. CBS News -- Social aspects -- Media coverage, Primaries -- Media coverage -- Social aspects, Television broadcasting industry -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Arts and entertainment industries, Business, Business, international
Abstract

It was a lonely five hours or so after CBS News on Tuesday called the Indiana primary for Hillary Clinton before rival networks felt comfortable to join them. The network's [...]

Published
2008

34. Redefining national security: homes and health are the new concerns

Author

Zogby, John

Subjects
Political parties -- United States -- Political activity, National security -- Social aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Government, Political science
Abstract

With the caucuses and primaries now just around the corner, concern over national security remains at the forefront of the minds of likely voters in America. But Americans are redefining [...]

Published
2007

35. The election polls: an American Waterloo

Author

Ladd, Everett Carll

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Public opinion polls in mass media -- Social aspects, Elections -- Public opinion, Education
Abstract

A committee made up of academics, members of the media, and professional polling firms should be organized to review problems involved in election polling. The 1996 presidential election illustrated several growing problems with election polls, including inaccurate data, Democratic party bias, and an inundation of polls and poll speculation which may have led to the low voter turnout on election day. A review committee may be discover a solution to the failing poll performance and subsequently enhance election coverage and regain voter trust in the media.

Published
1996

36. Beware of early 2016 predictions

Author

Faucheux, Ron

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Political science
Abstract

* Long before the actual voting starts in every presidential election, pundits and politicos are always quick to assert, with rock-solid certainty, that Candidate A 'can't win' or Candidate B [...]

Published
2015

37. Spotting campaign pitfalls early

Author

Cohen, Richard E.

Subjects
Congressional candidates -- Political activity, Election forecasting -- Social aspects
Published
1996

38. And the winner is

Author

Herzlich, Adam

Subjects
Massachusetts -- Political aspects, Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Travel, recreation and leisure
Abstract

The towns of Franklin and Westford in Massachusetts have become microcosms of the country, reflecting the moods of and changes within the nation. In an informal survey, the towns registered high voter apathy and pointed to Bill Clinton's victory, in spite of perceptions of his untrustworthiness.

Published
1992

39. Determining the vote

Author

Guillen, Michael A.

Subjects
Election forecasting -- Social aspects, Voting -- Social aspects
Published
1984

Catalog

Books, media, physical & digital resources
See catalog results