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Objective. To create a prediction model for preterm neonatal mortality. Methods. A secondary analysis was conducted using data from a prospective cohort study, the Project to Understand and Research Preterm Pregnancy Outcome South Asia. The Cox proportional hazard model was used and adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were reported. Results. Overall, 3446 preterm neonates were included. The mean age of preterm neonates was 0.65 (1.25) hours and 52% were female. The preterm neonatal mortality rate was 23.3%. The maternal factors predicting preterm neonatal death was any antepartum hemorrhage, AHR 1.99 (1.60-2.47), while neonatal predictors were preterm who received positive pressure ventilation AHR 1.30 (1.08-1.57), temperature

Background. Administration of antenatal corticosteroids to pregnant mothers is one of the most effective interventions to decrease preterm neonatal mortality. In this study we assessed antenatal steroid utilization by the mother and its effect on preterm babies. Method. Two years prospective, multicenter, observational study was conducted in selected hospitals of Ethiopia. Significance of the study outcomes was tested by chi-square and binary logistic regression. Result. Out of 4919 participants, 1575 preterm babies whose gestational ages were below 35 weeks were included in the study. Use of antenatal dexamethasone was 37.5% among study participants. The risk of early onset neonatal sepsis 235 (40.4%) was higher in preterm babies whose mother took antenatal dexamethasone ( P -value .002) than those who did not. Conclusion. Antenatal dexamethasone use in our study was comparable with other low and middle-income countries. Risk of early onset neonatal sepsis was higher among infants whose mother took antenatal dexamethasone.

Background . Hyperbilirubinemia is prevalent and protracted in preterm infants. This study assessed the pattern of hyperbilirubinemia in preterm infants in Ethiopia. Methods . This study was part of multi-centered prospective, cross-sectional, observational study that determined causes of death among preterm infants. Jaundice was first identified based on clinical visual assessment. Venous blood was then sent for total and direct serum bilirubin level measurements. For this study, a total serum bilirubin level ≥5 mg/dL was taken as the cutoff point to diagnose hyperbilirubinemia. Based on the bilirubin level and clinical findings, the final diagnoses of hyperbilirubinemia and associated complications were made by the physician. Result . A total of 4919 preterm infants were enrolled into the overall study, and 3852 were admitted to one of the study’s newborn intensive care units. Of these, 1779 (46.2%) infants were diagnosed with hyperbilirubinemia. Ten of these (0.6%) developed acute bilirubin encephalopathy. The prevalence of hyperbilirubinemia was 66.7% among the infants who were less than 28 weeks of gestation who survived. Rh incompatibility ( P = .002), ABO incompatibility ( P = .0001), and sepsis ( P = .0001) were significantly associated with hyperbilirubinemia. Perinatal asphyxia ( P -value = 0.0001) was negatively associated with hyperbilirubinemia. Conclusion. The prevalence of hyperbilirubinemia in preterm babies admitted to neonatal care units in Ethiopia was high. The major risk factors associated with hyperbilirubinemia in preterm babies in this study were found to be ABO incompatibility, sepsis, and Rh isoimmunization.

Aim. To determine the risk factors for death among preterm neonates. Methods and materials . The data set used was derived from a prospective, multi-center, observational clinical study conducted in 5 tertiary hospitals in Ethiopia from July, 2016 to May, 2018. Subjects were infants admitted into neonatal intensive care unit. Results. Risk factors were determined using statistical model developed for this study. The mean gestational age was 32.87 (SD ± 2.42) weeks with a range of 20 to 36 weeks. There were 2667 (70.69%) survivors and 1106 (29.31%) deaths. The significant risk factors for preterm death were low gestational age, low birth weight, being female, feeding problem, no antenatal care visits and vaginal delivery among mothers with higher educational level. Conclusions. The study identified several risk factors for death among preterm neonates. Most of the risk factors are preventable. Thus, it is important to address neonatal and maternal factors identified in this study through appropriate ANC and optimum infant medical care and feeding practices to decrease the high rate of preterm death.

Preterm births have a high risk of mortality. Therefore, knowledge of the gestational age (GA) at birth is crucial to guide the appropriate management of a newborn. Common methods for estimating GA such as the last menstrual period, ultrasonography, and post-natal Ballard scoring have some limitations. This study aimed to determine the relationship between foot length and GA to develop and validate an equation for predicting GA of Pakistani newborns. We conducted a prospective study in a large obstetric hospital in Pakistan. Data for this analysis were extracted from the hospital files of eligible women by trained study midwives. Midwives were also trained in performing the Ballard examination and taking foot length using a disposable measuring tape within an hour of the birth. The GA was calculated using an android-based GA calculator. Simple and multiple linear regression were used to construct predicting equations for GA. Both the foot length and GA were available for 1542 cases. The median GA was 34.5 (IQR 4.7) weeks and the median foot length was 7 cm (IQR 1.4). There was a positive linear relationship between foot length and GA ( r 2 81.7%, P -value

Background . Patterns of fetal growth are largely influenced by environmental, nutritional, and socioeconomic factors more than differences in populations. The aim of this study was to assess anthropometric measurements of Ethiopian preterm infants at birth and compare the results with the international INTERGROWTH-21st data. Patients and methods. We analyzed anthropometric data on live-born singleton preterm infants enrolled in a hospital-based multicenter study of illness in preterm infants (SIP). Eligible newborns with gestational age of 28-36 weeks were included. Gestational age (GA) and sex-specific mean and standard deviations (SD), 10th, 50th, 90th, centile values for birth weight, length and head circumference (HC) were calculated and compared with INTERGROWTH-21st data. Result . A total of 2763 preterm infants were included in the study, 54% were male. The prevalence of small for GA (SGA) (90th percentile) were 10.8% and 9.9%, respectively. In all 3 parameters, the mean values of boys were higher than of girls. Birth weight centiles were comparable to international averages at lower GA, then after GA of 32 weeks the 10th, 50th, and 90th centile values were 100-500 g less than the international averages. The head circumference centiles were mostly comparable, and the 90th centile values were greater than the international averages across the GA and in both sexes. Conclusion. The infants’ birth weights were smaller at higher GA, which may indicate maternal undernutrition in the third trimester of pregnancy. Strengthening antenatal nutrition counseling and providing nutrition supplementation might improve the birth weight.

Background: Neonatal sepsis is the third leading cause of neonatal mortality, behind prematurity and intrapartum-related complications. The main objectives of this study are to assess the proportion of sepsis in preterm newborns and identify the etiologic agents and their antibiotic sensitivity patterns. Methods: A longitudinal observational study was done from July 2016 to May 2018. Whenever clinical diagnosis of sepsis was made, blood cultures and antibiotic susceptibility tests were done. Result: We did 690 blood cultures, 255 (36.9%) showing bacterial growth. The most commonly isolated bacteria were Klebsiella species 78 (36.6%), Coagulase negative Staphylococcus 42 (19.7%) and Staphylococcus aureus 39 (18.3%). Gram-positive bacteria showed high resistance to penicillin (98.9%) and ceftriaxone (91.3%) whereas Gram-negative bacteria were highly resistant to gentamicin (83.2%) and ceftriaxone (83.2%). Conclusion: Resistance to the more commonly used antibiotics such as ampicillin and gentamycin was very high, necessitating reconsideration of the empiric use of these antibiotics.

Background. Globally, prematurity is the leading cause of neonatal mortality, and hypothermia is one of its contributing factors. The goal of this study was to determine the association between hypothermia and mortality. Methods. A prospective, multi-center, descriptive clinical study was conducted in 5 hospitals in Ethiopia. Axillary temperatures were taken at the time of admission to the newborn intensive care units (NICU) and followed during the NICU stay. Results . A total of 3852 premature neonates (

Background . In low-income countries, preterm nutrition is often inadequately addressed. The aim of the study was to assess the patterns of feeding and associated clinical outcomes of preterm neonates admitted to neonatal intensive care units in Ethiopia. Method . This was a multicenter, prospective study. Infants’ clinical characteristics at birth, daily monitoring of feeding history, and weight measurements were collected. An outcome assessment was completed at 28 days. Result . For this analysis, 2560 infants (53% male) were eligible. The mean (SD) gestational age was 33.1 (2.2) weeks. During the hospital stay the proportion of infants on breast milk only, preterm formula, term formula, and mixed feeding was 58%, 27.4%, 1.6%, and 34.1%, respectively. Delay in enteral feeding was associated with increased risk of death (odds ratio [OR] = 1.92, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.33-2.78; P < .001) and (OR = 5.06, 95% CI = 3.23-7.87; P < .001) for 1 to 3 and 4 to 6 days of delay in enteral feeding, respectively, after adjusting for possible confounders. The length of delay in enteral feeding was associated with increased risk of hypoglycemia (OR = 1.2, 95% CI = 1.1-1.2; P = .005). The mortality rate was lower in hospitals providing preterm formula more often ( P = .04). Half of the infants continued losing weight at the time of discharge. Conclusion . Delayed enteral feeding significantly increases the risk of mortality before discharge and hypoglycemia in preterm infants in resource-limited settings. Ensuring adequate nutritional support of preterm infants is highly needed.

Summary: Background: Premature birth is associated with an increased risk of mortality and morbidity, and strategies to prevent preterm birth are few in number and resource intensive. In 2020, the ASPIRIN trial showed the efficacy of low-dose aspirin (LDA) in nulliparous, singleton pregnancies for the prevention of preterm birth. We sought to investigate the cost-effectiveness of this therapy in low-income and middle-income countries. Methods: In this post-hoc, prospective, cost-effectiveness study, we constructed a probabilistic decision tree model to compare the benefits and costs of LDA treatment compared with standard care using primary data and published results from the ASPIRIN trial. In this analysis from a health-care sector perspective, we considered the costs and effects of LDA treatment, pregnancy outcomes, and neonatal health-care use. We did sensitivity analyses to understand the effect of the price of the LDA regimen, and the effectiveness of LDA in reducing both preterm birth and perinatal death. Findings: In model simulations, LDA was associated with 141 averted preterm births, 74 averted perinatal deaths, and 31 averted hospitalisations per 10 000 pregnancies. The reduction in hospitalisation resulted in a cost of US$248 per averted preterm birth, $471 per averted perinatal death, and $15·95 per disability-adjusted life year. Interpretation: LDA treatment in nulliparous, singleton pregnancies is a low-cost, effective treatment to reduce preterm birth and perinatal death. The low cost per disability-adjusted life year averted strengthens the evidence in support of prioritising the implementation of LDA in publicly funded health care in low-income and middle-income countries. Funding: Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development.

Summary: Background: South Asia contributes more than a third of all global stillbirths, yet the causes remain largely unstudied in this region. New investigations, including novel assessments of placental and fetal tissues, facilitate more precise determination of the underlying causes of stillbirth. We sought to assess underlying and contributing causes of stillbirth from settings in India and Pakistan. Methods: In this prospective cohort study (PURPOSe), we report the cause of death in stillbirths in hospitals in central India and south Pakistan (Davangere, India [three public and private hospitals] and Karachi, Pakistan [one public maternity and one children's hospital]). Women aged 15 years or older and with a known stillbirth (defined as a pregnancy at 20 or more weeks of gestation with the in-utero death of a fetus) weighing 1000 g or more were included in the study. Maternal clinical factors, placental evaluation, fetal tissue evaluation (from minimally invasive tissue sampling), and PCR for microbial pathogens were used to identify the causes of death. An expert panel reviewed available data for all stillbirths to identify the primary and contributing maternal, placental, and fetal causes of stillbirth. Findings: Between Sept 1, 2018, and Feb 12, 2020, 981 stillborns were included and, of those, 611 were reviewed by the expert panel. The primary maternal causes of stillbirth were hypertensive disease in 221 (36%) of 611 stillbirths, followed by severe anaemia in 66 (11%) stillbirths. The primary placental causes were maternal and fetal vascular malperfusion, in 289 (47%) stillbirths. The primary fetal cause of stillbirth was intrauterine hypoxia, in 437 (72%) stillbirths. We assessed the overlap of main causes and 116 (19%) stillbirths had intrauterine hypoxia, placental malperfusion, and eclampsia or pre-eclampsia indicated as primary causes of death. Infection (including of the placenta, its membranes, and in the fetus) and congenital anomalies also were causative of stillbirth. Interpretation: In south Asia, fetal asphyxia is the major cause of stillbirth. Several placental lesions, especially those associated with maternal and fetal vascular malperfusion and placental abruption, have an important role in asphyxia and fetal death. Maternal hypertension, and especially pre-eclampsia, is often the primary maternal condition associated with this pathway. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Uncertainty about the causes of neonatal deaths impedes achieving global health targets to reduce mortality. Complete diagnostic autopsy (CDA) is the gold standard to determine cause of death. However, it is often difficult to perform in high-burden, low-income settings. Validations of more feasible methods to determine cause of death are needed. This prospective, multi-center study in Ethiopia assessed the validity of the minimally invasive tissue sampling (MITS) approach to contribute to causes of death in preterm neonates compared to CDA. The MITS and CDA of 105 cases were reviewed. The MITS sampling success for lungs and liver was 100% and 84%, respectively. The kidney and brain had sampling successes of 58% each. MITS showed good agreement with CDA for the diagnosis of hyaline membrane disease (kappa = 0.78), and moderate to substantial agreement for pneumonia and pulmonary hemorrhage (kappa = 0.59 and 0.68, respectively). Even though CDA is the gold standard in identifying the cause of death, we believe that the MITS method can be a useful alternative method in supporting determination of cause of death in low-resource settings.

Summary: Background: Neonatal deaths now account for 47% of all deaths in children younger than 5 years globally. More than a third of newborn deaths are due to preterm birth complications, which is the leading cause of death. Understanding the causes and factors contributing to neonatal deaths is needed to identify interventions that will reduce mortality. We aimed to establish the major causes of preterm mortality in preterm infants in the first 28 days of life in Ethiopia. Methods: We did a prospective, cross-sectional, observational study in five hospitals in Ethiopia. Study participants were preterm infants born in the study hospitals at younger than 37 gestational weeks. Infants whose gestational age could not be reliably estimated and those born as a result of induced abortion were excluded from the study. Data were collected on maternal and obstetric history, clinical maternal and neonatal conditions, and laboratory investigations. For neonates who died of those enrolled, consent was requested from parents for post-mortem examinations (both complete diagnostic autopsy and minimally invasive tissue sampling). An independent panel of experts established the primary and contributory causes of preterm mortality with available data. Findings: Between July 1, 2016, to May 31, 2018, 4919 preterm infants were enrolled in the study and 3852 were admitted to neonatal intensive care units. By 28 days of post-natal age, 1109 (29%) of those admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit died. Complete diagnostic autopsy was done in 441 (40%) and minimally invasive tissue sampling in 126 (11%) of the neonatal intensive care unit deaths. The main primary causes of death in the 1109 infants were established as respiratory distress syndrome (502 [45%]); sepsis, pneumonia and meningitis (combined as neonatal infections; 331 [30%]), and asphyxia (151 [14%]). Hypothermia was the most common contributory cause of preterm mortality (770 [69%]). The highest mortality occurred in infants younger than 28 weeks of gestation (89 [86%] of 104), followed by infants aged 28–31 weeks (512 [54%] of 952), 32–34 weeks (349 [18%] of 1975), and 35–36 weeks (159 [8%] of 1888). Interpretation: Three conditions accounted for 89% of all deaths among preterm infants in Ethiopia. Scale-up interventions are needed to prevent or treat these conditions. Further research is required to develop effective and affordable interventions to prevent and treat the major causes of preterm death. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Summary: Background: Caesarean section prevalence is increasing in Asia and Latin America while remaining low in most African regions. Caesarean section delivery is effective for saving maternal and infant lives when they are provided for medically-indicated reasons. On the basis of ecological studies, caesarean delivery prevalence between 9% and 19% has been associated with better maternal and perinatal outcomes, such as reduced maternal land fetal mortality. However, the specific prevalence of obstetric and medical complications that require caesarean section have not been established, especially in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). We sought to provide information to inform the approach to the provision of caesarean section in low-resource settings. Methods: We did a literature review to establish the prevalence of obstetric and medical conditions for six potentially life-saving indications for which caesarean section could reduce mortality in LMICs. We then analysed a large, prospective population-based dataset from six LMICs (Argentina, Guatemala, Kenya, India, Pakistan, and Zambia) to determine the prevalence of caesarean section by indication for each site. We considered that an acceptable number of events would be between the 25th and 75th percentile of those found in the literature. Findings: Between Jan 1, 2010, and Dec 31, 2013, we enrolled a total of 271 855 deliveries in six LMICs (seven research sites). Caesarean section prevalence ranged from 35% (3467 of 9813 deliveries in Argentina) to 1% (303 of 16 764 deliveries in Zambia). Argentina's and Guatemala's sites all met the minimum 25th percentile for five of six indications, whereas sites in Zambia and Kenya did not reach the minimum prevalence for caesarean section for any of the indications. Across all sites, a minimum overall caesarean section of 9% was needed to meet the prevalence of the six indications in the population studied. Interpretation: In the site with high caesarean section prevalence, more than half of the procedures were not done for life-saving conditions, whereas the sites with low proportions of caesarean section (below 9%) had an insufficient number of caesarean procedures to cover those life-threatening causes. Attempts to establish a minimum caesarean prevalence should go together with focusing on the life-threatening causes for the mother and child. Simple methods should be developed to allow timely detection of life-threatening conditions, to explore actions that can remedy those conditions, and the timely transfer of women with those conditions to health centres that could provide adequate care for those conditions. Funding: Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development.