de la Torre Hernández JM, Brugaletta S, Gómez Hospital JA, Baz JA, Pérez de Prado A, López Palop R, Cid B, García Camarero T, Diego A, Gutiérrez H, Fernández Diaz JA, Sanchis J, Alfonso F, Blanco R, Botas J, Navarro Cuartero J, Moreu J, Bosa F, Vegas Valle JM, Elízaga J, Arrebola AL, Ruiz Arroyo JR, Hernández F, Salvatella N, Monteagudo M, Gómez Jaume A, Carrillo X, Martín Reyes R, Lozano F, Rumoroso JR, Andraka L, and Domínguez AJ
Background and Objectives: Patients older than 75 years with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction undergoing primary angioplasty in cardiogenic shock have high mortality. Identification of preprocedural predictors of short- and long-term mortality could be useful to guide decision-making and further interventions., Methods: We analyzed a nationwide registry of primary angioplasty in the elderly (ESTROFA MI+75) comprising 3576 patients. The characteristics and outcomes of the subgroup of patients in cardiogenic shock were analyzed to identify associated factors and prognostic predictors in order to derive a baseline risk prediction score for 1-year mortality. The score was validated in an independent cohort., Results: A total of 332 patients were included. Baseline independent predictors of mortality were anterior myocardial infarction (HR 2.8, 95%CI, 1.4-6.0 P=.005), ejection fraction<40% (HR 2.3, 95%CI, 1.14-4.50 P=.018), and time from symptom onset to angioplasty >6hours (HR 3.2, 95%CI, 1.6-7.5; P=.001). A score was designed that included these predictive factors (score "6-ANT-40"). Survival at 1 year was 54.5% for patients with score 0, 32.3% for score 1, 27.4% for score 2 and 17% for score 3 (P=.004, c-statistic 0.70). The score was validated in an independent cohort of 124 patients, showing 1-year survival rates of 64.5%, 40.0%, 28.9%, and 22.2%, respectively (P=.008, c-statistic 0.68)., Conclusions: A preprocedural score based on 3 simple clinical variables (anterior location, ejection fraction<40%, and delay time >6 hours) may be used to estimate survival after primary angioplasty in elderly patients with cardiogenic shock and to guide preinterventional decision-making., (Copyright © 2018 Sociedad Española de Cardiología. Published by Elsevier España, S.L.U. All rights reserved.)