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Background/Aims Pain remains a common, life-changing symptom for patients with rheumatoid (RA) and psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Its current care focuses on prescribing analgesics, particularly opioids, despite minimal supportive trial evidence and potential associated harms. Intensive management with disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) reduces disease activity and improves function in RA and PsA. Its impacts on pain are less well established. We examined the impact of varying intensities of DMARD treatment on pain in patients with RA/PsA in a secondary analysis of three trials. Methods The trials comprised MIPA in PsA (methotrexate vs. placebo), CARDERA in early RA (triple therapy vs. monotherapy), and TITRATE in established RA (monthly assessments with DMARD uptitration and psychosocial support vs. standard care). All measured 100mm pain intensity visual analogue scores. Regression models evaluated the relationship between active vs. control treatment and: (a) achieving “low” endpoint pain scores of ≤ 34, (b) changes in pain scores between baseline and endpoint, (c) achieving ≥30% reductions in pain scores between baseline and endpoint. Results We evaluated 765 patients (from 1,023 [75%]) with endpoint pain intensity scores available. In all trials more patients achieved low endpoint pain scores (≤34) with active than control treatment (MIPA 70% vs. 42%, P=0.003; CARDERA 71% vs. 56%, P=0.011; TITRATE 67% vs. 50%; P=0.008). Multivariable models showed the associations remained significant after treatment effects were adjusted for age, sex, and baseline pain: odds ratios (ORs) 2.8 (P=0.012), 1.9 (P=0.019) and 2.1 (P=0.006) in MIPA, CARDERA, and TITRATE. The trials differed in the impact of intensive treatment on changes in pain scores. In MIPA mean changes in pain intensity scores over the trial period were similar with active and control treatment. In CARDERA (P=0.019) and TITRATE (P=0.004) mean changes in pain scores were significantly greater with active than control treatment in multivariable models (estimated differences of 6.8 and 9.4 units). The trials also differed in the impact of treatment on the proportion of patients having large reductions in pain scores (≥30). In MIPA proportionally more patients achieved this with active vs. control treatment but this was not statistically significant. In CARDERA (P=0.009) and TITRATE (P=0.002) a significantly greater proportion of patients achieved large reductions in pain scores in multivariable models with active treatment (ORs 1.9 and 2.2). Conclusion In our secondary analysis all forms of intensive management provided beneficial effects on pain in active RA and PsA. More patients achieved “low” endpoint pain scores with active treatment in all trials. In the two trials employing the most intensive management strategies (CARDERA/TITRATE) significantly greater reductions in pain scores and a greater proportion achieving substantial pain improvements with active treatment were seen. Our results support the use of intensive management to improve pain in patients with active RA/PsA. Disclosure I.C. Scott: None. D.L. Scott: None. F. Ibrahim: None.

Background/Aims Pain is the main concern of patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Whilst rheumatologists often focus on reducing disease activity to improve pain the relationship between disease activity and pain in RA is incompletely characterised. Our aim was to better understand this, by defining the associations, discordance, and temporal relationships between pain intensity and disease activity in RA. Methods We undertook a secondary analysis of 1,132 patients with RA followed-up over 12 months in five trials and one observational study. Pain intensity was measured using a 100mm visual analogue scale (VAS), and disease activity using the DAS28-ESR. Relationships between 12-month pain VAS and DAS28-ESR (overall score and its components) were evaluated using Spearman correlations, linear regression models, Bland-Altman plots, and Kappa statistics. Temporal relationships were evaluated by describing mean pain intensity scores in patients over time stratified by disease activity status. Results: Associations: Linear regression models showed significant associations between pain intensity VAS and DAS28-ESR (Table). Patient global assessment (PtGA) scores explained 79.3% of the variance in pain VAS, and ESR only 19.7%. Correlations between pain intensity VAS and DAS28-ESR components were highest with PtGA (R = 0.88) and least with ESR (R = 0.10). Discordance: “fair” agreement was seen between categories of pain intensity scores (categorised as low=VAS ≤34, moderate=VAS 35-74, high=VAS >74 based on previous studies) and DAS28-ESR categories (Kappa statistic 0.287). 14% of patients in remission/low disease activity (LDA) had moderate/high pain scores; 18% of patients in high disease activity (HDA) had low pain scores. Bland-Altman plots showed many patients scored pain VAS and PtGA similarly. Temporal relationships: changes in disease activity and pain intensity scores over time mirrored each other. When patients with baseline active RA achieved 12-month remission/LDA mean pain VAS scores fell by > 60% from baseline. When patients in baseline remission/LDA had active RA at 12-months mean pain VAS scores increased by > 60% from baseline. Conclusion Whilst pain intensity is closely related to DAS28-ESR, discordance occurs in a substantial minority of patients. The relationship between DAS28-ESR and pain intensity VAS scores is largely attributable to its significant association and strong correlation with PtGA scores. Disclosure F. Ibrahim: None. M. Ma: None. D.L. Scott: None. I. Scott: None.

Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is associated with reduced bone mineral density (BMD). The aim of the study was to evaluate changes in BMD in women who switched from TDF, emtricitabine and a nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (TDF/FTC/NNRTI) to abacavir, lamivudine and dolutegravir (ABC/3TC/DTG).We conducted a randomized controlled trial in which women aged ≥ 40 years were randomized 1:2 to continue TDF/FTC/NNRTI or switch to ABC/3TC/DTG. We analysed changes in BMD at the hip and lumbar spine from baseline to week 96 using linear regression, and markers of bone turnover and kidney function using repeated measures mixed effects models with multiple imputation for missing data. We conducted exploratory analyses of weight, mental health, sleep and symptoms attributed to HIV infection and antiretroviral therapy.Ninety-one women [mean (standard deviation) age 50.4 (6.6) years] were randomized. Women who switched to ABC/3TC/DTG maintained viral suppression and experienced improvements in BMD at the lumbar spine (but not the neck of the femur or the total hip), bone resorption markers and proteinuria (total protein, albumin and retinol-binding protein) and modest weight gain without changes in body mass index. Although mean anxiety, depression and sleep scores did not differ between the two study arms, anxiety, depression and sleep disturbance at baseline predicted ABC/3TC/DTG discontinuation for neuropsychiatric side effects [odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) 11.9 (2.0-71.6), 16.0 (2.6-97.9) and 10.0 (1.8-56.0), respectively].Switching from TDF/FTC/NNRTI to ABC/3TC/DTG improved the BMD of the lumbar spine and kidney function. These benefits need to be balanced against modest weight gain and the need for antiretroviral therapy substitutions in a proportion of participants.

Background Clinical trials show intensive treatment to induce remission is effective in patients with highly active rheumatoid arthritis (RA). The TITRATE trial showed that the benefits of intensive treatment also extend to moderately active RA. However, many patients failed to achieve remission or show improvements in pain and fatigue. We investigated whether baseline predictors could identify treatment non-responders. Methods The impact of obesity, depression, anxiety and illness perception on RA outcomes, including disease activity, remission, pain and fatigue were determined using a pre-planned secondary analysis of the TITRATE trial data. Results Body mass index was associated with disease activity levels and remission: obese patients had a higher overall disease activity and fewer obese patients achieved remission. Intensive management was not associated with increased remission in these patients. Obesity was also associated with increased overall pain and fatigue. Anxiety, depression and health perceptions had no discernible impact on disease activity but were associated with high levels of pain and fatigue. There was a strong association between anxiety and high pain scores; and between depression and high fatigue scores; and health perception was strongly related to both. None of the predictors had an important impact on pain and fatigue reduction in cross-sectional analysis. Conclusions Disease activity is higher in obese patients and they have fewer remissions over 12 months. Anxiety, depression and health perceptions were associated with higher pain and fatigue scores. Intensive management strategies need to account for these baseline features as they impact significantly on clinical and psychological outcomes. Trial registration ISRCTN 70160382; date registered 16 January 2014

Clinical trials show which treatments improve rheumatoid arthritis (RA), whereas observational studies show how patients are managed in routine practice. Prospective cohort studies give the most detailed information about what happens to patients, but being a part of a prospective study influences patient management because patients are no longer routine cases.

Objectives The aim of the study was to assess the effect of tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) on kidney and bone biomarkers in patients who developed proximal renal tubulopathy (PRT) while receiving tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF). Methods Individuals with a history of TDF-associated PRT and currently suppressed HIV infection on a tenofovir-sparing regimen were randomized 1:1 to continue current antiretroviral therapy or initiate emtricitabine (F)/TAF with discontinuation of nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) as appropriate. Renal and bone biomarkers were analysed at baseline, week 4 and week 12. The primary outcome was the mean difference between study arms in urine retinol-binding protein:creatinine ratio (RBPCR) change from baseline to week 12. Data were analysed using linear regression, with robust standard errors (primary outcome), and repeated measures mixed effects models (secondary outcomes). The trial was registered under European Union Drug Regulating Authorities Clinical Trials Database 2016-003345-29. Results We randomized 31 individuals [mean age 52.4 (standard deviation 0.3) years; 97% male; 90% white); all completed the study. At 12 weeks, there was no difference in change in RBPCR (β 19.6; 95% confidence interval -35.3, 74.5; P = 0.47), and no difference in change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (based on creatinine or cystatin C), albuminuria, proteinuria, renal phosphate or urea handling, (fasting) urine osmolality, parathyroid hormone and bone turnover markers in the control versus the F/TAF exposed groups. No cases of PRT were observed. Conclusions In people with a history of proximal renal tubulopathy while on TDF, 12-week exposure to TAF did not adversely affect renal tubular function. These data support continued evaluation of the long-term safety of TAF in this group of patients.

Objective\ud Treat-to-target in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) recommends targeting remission, with low disease activity (LDA) being an alternative goal. When deciding to target remission or LDA, important considerations are the likelihood of attaining them, and their impacts on function and healthrelated quality of life (HRQoL). We have addressed this by studying: (a) the frequency of remission and LDA/remission; (b) DAS28-ESR trends after remission; (c) ability of remission vs. LDA to identify patients with normal function (HAQ ≤0.5) and HRQoL (EQ-5D ≥ the normal population).\ud \ud Methods\ud We studied 571 patients in two clinical trials, and 1,693 patients in a 10-year routine care cohort. We assessed the frequency and sustainability of remission and LDA/remission, variability in DAS28-ESR after remission, and sensitivity/specificity of remission and LDA/remission at identifying patients with low disability levels and normal HRQoL using Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curves.\ud \ud Results\ud Point remission and remission/LDA were common (achieved by 35-58% and 49-74% of patients, respectively), but were rarely sustained (sustained remission and remission/LDA achieved by 5-9% and 9-16% of patients, respectively). Following attaining remission, DAS28-ESR levels varied substantially. Despite this, of those patients attaining point remission, the majority (53-61%) were in remission at study end-points. Whilst remission was highly specific at identifying patients with low disability (85-91%) it lacked sensitivity (51-57%); similar findings were seen for normal HRQoL (specificity 78-86%; sensitivity 52-59%). The optimal DAS28-cut-off to identify individuals with low disability and normal HRQoL was around the LDA threshold.\ud \ud Conclusions\ud Our findings support both the treat-to-target goals. Attaining remission is highly specific for attaining low disability and normal HRQoL, although many patients with more active disease also have good function and HRQoL. Attaining a DAS28-ESR ≤3.2 has a better balance of specificity and sensitivity for attaining these outcomes, with the benefit of being more readily achievable. Although sustaining these targets over time is rare, even attaining them on a oneoff basis leads to better function and HRQoL outcomes for patients.

Summary Background Congenital anomalies are the fifth leading cause of mortality in children younger than 5 years globally. Many gastrointestinal congenital anomalies are fatal without timely access to neonatal surgical care, but few studies have been done on these conditions in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). We compared outcomes of the seven most common gastrointestinal congenital anomalies in low-income, middle-income, and high-income countries globally, and identified factors associated with mortality. Methods We did a multicentre, international prospective cohort study of patients younger than 16 years, presenting to hospital for the first time with oesophageal atresia, congenital diaphragmatic hernia, intestinal atresia, gastroschisis, exomphalos, anorectal malformation, and Hirschsprung's disease. Recruitment was of consecutive patients for a minimum of 1 month between October, 2018, and April, 2019. We collected data on patient demographics, clinical status, interventions, and outcomes using the REDCap platform. Patients were followed up for 30 days after primary intervention, or 30 days after admission if they did not receive an intervention. The primary outcome was all-cause, in-hospital mortality for all conditions combined and each condition individually, stratified by country income status. We did a complete case analysis. Findings We included 3849 patients with 3975 study conditions (560 with oesophageal atresia, 448 with congenital diaphragmatic hernia, 681 with intestinal atresia, 453 with gastroschisis, 325 with exomphalos, 991 with anorectal malformation, and 517 with Hirschsprung's disease) from 264 hospitals (89 in high-income countries, 166 in middle-income countries, and nine in low-income countries) in 74 countries. Of the 3849 patients, 2231 (58·0%) were male. Median gestational age at birth was 38 weeks (IQR 36–39) and median bodyweight at presentation was 2·8 kg (2·3–3·3). Mortality among all patients was 37 (39·8%) of 93 in low-income countries, 583 (20·4%) of 2860 in middle-income countries, and 50 (5·6%) of 896 in high-income countries (p

Objectives\ud \ud Many trials have shown that intensive management is effective in patients with early active rheumatoid arthritis (RA). But its benefits are unproven for the large number of RA patients seen in routine care who have established, moderately active RA and are already taking conventional synthetic disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (csDMARDs). The TITRATE trial studied whether these patients also benefit from intensive management and, in particular, achieve more remissions.\ud \ud \ud \ud Methods\ud \ud A 12-month multicentre individually randomised trial compared standard care with monthly intensive management appointments which was delivered by specially trained healthcare professionals and incorporated monthly clinical assessments, medication titration and psychosocial support. The primary outcome was 12-month remission assessed using the Disease Activity Score for 28 joints using ESR (DAS28-ESR). Secondary outcomes included fatigue, disability, harms and healthcare costs. Intention-to-treat multivariable logistic- and linear regression analyses compared treatment arms with multiple imputation used for missing data.\ud \ud \ud \ud Results\ud \ud 459 patients were screened and 335 were randomised (168 intensive management; 167 standard care); 303 (90%) patients provided 12-month outcomes. Intensive management increased DAS28-ESR 12-month remissions compared to standard care (32% vs 18%, p = 0.004). Intensive management also significantly increased remissions using a range of alternative remission criteria and increased patients with DAS28-ESR low disease activity scores. (48% vs 32%, p = 0.005). In addition it substantially reduced fatigue (mean difference -18; 95% CI: -24, -11, p

Objectives Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is associated with reduced bone mineral density (BMD). We evaluated changes in BMD in women who switched from TDF, emtricitabine and a nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (TDF/FTC/NNRTI) to abacavir, lamivudine and dolutegravir (ABC/3TC/DTG). Methods We conducted a randomized controlled trial in which women aged ≥40 years were randomized 1:2 to continue TDF/FTC/NNRTI or switch to ABC/3TC/DTG. The primary endpoint was change in total hip BMD measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry at week 48. Secondary endpoints were changes in BMD of the lumbar spine and femoral neck and markers of bone turnover and kidney function up to week 48. We conducted exploratory analyses of weight gain, insulin resistance and metabolic syndrome. Primary and secondary endpoints were analysed by linear regression, with multiple imputation for missing time points. Results In all, 91 women [mean age = 50.4 (standard deviation [SD] = 6.6) years, median CD4 cell count = 600 (interquartile range: 479-800) cells/µL] were randomized. Women who switched to ABC/3TC/DTG maintained viral suppression and experienced improvements in total hip BMD (mean adjusted difference = 1%, P = 0.027) and lumbar spine BMD (3%, P = 0.002), with no change in specific markers of bone turnover or renal tubular function. Although participants in the ABC/3TC/DTG arm gained more weight (1.8 kg, P = 0.046), the switch strategy was not associated with reduced insulin sensitivity or new-onset metabolic syndrome. Conclusions Switching from TDF/FTC/NNRTI to ABC/3TC/DTG resulted in improved BMD. Although weight gain was common in women who switched from TDF/FTC/NNRTI to ABC/3TC/DTG, we did not detect adverse effects on glucose homeostasis. Larger studies need to confirm these findings.

OBJECTIVES The aim of the study was to analyse and compare estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slopes during exposure to tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) in individuals who initiated TAF, regardless of prior regimen, before October 2016. METHODS An observational cohort study was conducted at 11 clinics in the UK and Ireland. Mixed effects models with random intercept and time terms fitted were used to generate and compare eGFR slopes while participants were exposed to TDF and TAF, with adjustment for age, eGFR at TDF/TAF initiation, gender, ethnicity, and time-updated CD4 cell count and HIV RNA measurements. RESULTS Data were available for 357 subjects (median age 50 years; 80% male; 82% white/other ethnicity; 51% men who have sex with men; median nadir CD4 count 216 cells/µL). The median duration of exposure to TAF was 2.0 (interquartile range 1.6, 2.3) years. At TAF initiation, the median CD4 count was 557 cells/µL, the median eGFR was 80 mL/min/1.73 m2, and 86% had suppressed HIV infection. The mean adjusted eGFR slope during TDF and TAF exposure was -2.08 [95% confidence interval (CI) -2.24, -1.92] and 1.18 (95% CI 0.20, 1.52) mL/min/1.73 m2/year, respectively (P 3 or 5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year) while receiving TDF experienced significant eGFR recovery while on TAF (P

Objectives To estimate the incidence of cardiovascular (CV) events in idiopathic inflammatory myopathy (IIM) compared to patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and the general population. To explore the contribution of traditional CV risk factors to any difference observed. Methods A retrospective matched population-based cohort study was conducted using UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) from 1987 to 2013. The incidence of CV events was calculated for each cohort over time and compared using Cox proportional hazards models. Multivariable analyses were used to adjust for traditional CV risk factors. Results A total of 603 patients with IIM 4047 RA and 4061 healthy controls were included. The rate of CV events in IIM was significantly greater than healthy controls [hazard ratio (HR) 1.47 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.18–1.83)] and remained significant after adjustment for CV risk factors [HR 1.38 (95% CI 1.11–1.72)]. Risk was similar between IIM and RA [HR 1.01 (95% CI 0.78–1.31)]. The rate of myocardial infarction [HR 1.61 (95% CI 1.27–2.04)] but not stroke [HR 0.92 (95% CI 0.59–1.44)] was significantly greater in IIM compared to healthy controls. After the first 5 years, the rate of CV events for RA remained significantly greater compared to the control group, but appeared to return to that of the healthy controls in the IIM group. Conclusion IIM is associated with an increased risk of CV events in the first 5 years after diagnosis similar to that of RA. Beyond 5 years, the risk appears to return to that of the general population in IIM but not RA. Key Points• The excess risk of cardiovascular events in IIM is similar to that found in RA.• The excess risk of cardiovascular events is greatest in the first 5 years after diagnosis.

Objective: To determine whether intensive combinations of conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (csDMARDS) achieve similar clinical benefits more cheaply than high-cost biologics such as tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi) in patients with active rheumatoid arthritis (RA) whose illness has failed to respond to methotrexate and another DMARD. Methods: We used within-trial cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analyses from health and social care and 2 societal perspectives. Participants were recruited into an open-label, 12-month, pragmatic, randomized, multicenter, 2-arm, noninferiority trial in 24 rheumatology clinics in England and Wales. Costs were linked with the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ; primary outcome) and quality-adjusted life years derived from 2 measures (Short-Form 36 health survey and EuroQol 5-domain 3-level instrument). Results: In total, 205 participants were recruited, 104 in the csDMARD arm and 101 in the TNFi arm. Participants in the csDMARD arm with poor response at 6 months were offered TNFi; 46 participants (44%) switched. Relevant cost and outcome data were available for 93% of participants at 6-month follow-up and for 91–92% of participants at 12-month follow-up. The csDMARD arm had significantly lower total costs from all perspectives (6-month health and social care adjusted mean difference –£3,615 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) –4,104, –3,182]; 12-month health and social care adjusted mean difference –£1,930 [95% CI –2,599, –1,301]). The HAQ score showed benefit to the csDMARD arm at 12 months (–0.16 [95% CI –0.32, –0.01]); other outcomes/follow-ups showed no differences. Conclusion: Starting treatment with csDMARDs, rather than TNFi, achieves similar outcomes at significantly lower costs. Patients with active RA and who meet the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence criteria for expensive biologics can be treated with combinations of intensive csDMARDs in a cost-effective manner.

Objectives: RA patients receiving TNF inhibitors (TNFi) usually maintain their initial doses. The aim of the Optimizing Treatment with Tumour Necrosis Factor Inhibitors in Rheumatoid Arthritis trial was to evaluate whether tapering TNFi doses causes loss of clinical response.Methods: We enrolled RA patients receiving etanercept or adalimumab and a DMARD with DAS28 under 3.2 for over 3 months. Initially (months 0-6) patients were randomized to control (constant TNFi) or two experimental groups (tapering TNFi by 33 or 66%). Subsequently (months 6-12) control subjects were randomized to taper TNFi by 33 or 66%. Disease flares (DAS28 increasing ⩾0.6 with at least one additional swollen joint) were the primary outcome.Results: Two hundred and forty-four patients were screened, 103 randomized and 97 treated. In months 0-6 there were 8/50 (16%) flares in controls, 3/26 (12%) with 33% tapering and 6/21 (29%) with 66% tapering. Multivariate Cox analysis showed time to flare was unchanged with 33% tapering but was reduced with 66% tapering compared with controls (adjusted hazard ratio 2.81, 95% CI: 0.99, 7.94; P = 0.051). Analysing all tapered patients after controls were re-randomized (months 6-12) showed differences between groups: there were 6/48 (13%) flares with 33% tapering and 14/39 (36%) with 66% tapering. Multivariate Cox analysis showed 66% tapering reduced time to flare (adjusted hazard ratio 3.47, 95% CI: 1.26, 9.58; P = 0.016).Conclusion: Tapering TNFi by 33% has no impact on disease flares and appears practical in patients in sustained remission and low disease activity states.Trail registration: EudraCT, https://www.clinicaltrialsregister.eu, 2010-020738-24; ISRCTN registry, https://www.isrctn.com, 28955701.

Background Reliable assessment of remission is important for the optimal management of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. In this study, we used the multi-biomarker disease activity (MBDA) test to explore the role of biomarkers in predicting point remission and sustained remission. Methods RA patients on > 6 months stable therapy in stable low disease activity (DAS28-ESR ≤ 3.2) were assessed every 3 months for 1 year. Baseline, intermittent (IR) and sustained (SR) remission were defined by DAS28-ESR, DAS28-CRP, simple disease activity index (SDAI), clinical disease activity index (CDAI) and ACR/EULAR Boolean criteria. Patients not fulfilling any remission criteria at baseline were classified as ‘low disease activity state’ (LDAS). Patients not fulfilling any remission criteria over 1 year were classified as ‘persistent disease activity’ (PDA). MBDA score was measured at baseline/3/6 months. The baseline MBDA score, the 6-month time-integrated MBDA score and MBDA biomarkers were used for analyses. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) assessed the ability of the MBDA score to discriminate between remission and non-remission. Biomarkers were analysed at baseline using the Mann-Whitney test and over time using the Jonckheere-Terpstra trend test. Results Of 148 patients, 27% were in the LDAS, 65% DAS28-ESR remission, 51% DAS28-CRP remission, 40% SDAI remission, 43% CDAI remission and 25% ACR/EULAR Boolean remission at baseline. Over 1 year, 9% of patients were classified as PDA. IR and SR were achieved in 42%/47% by DAS28-ESR, 46%/29% by DAS28-CRP, 45%/20% by SDAI, 44%/21% by CDAI and 35%/9% by ACR/EULAR Boolean criteria, respectively. By all remission criteria, baseline MBDA score discriminated baseline remission (AUROCs 0.68–0.75) and IR/SR (AUROCs 0.65–0.74). The 6-month time-integrated MBDA score discriminated IR/SR (AUROCs 0.65–0.79). Baseline MBDA score and concentrations of IL-6, leptin, SAA and CRP were significantly lower in all baseline remission criteria groups vs LDAS. They and the 6-month time-integrated values were lower among patients who achieved IR/SR vs PDA over 1 year. Conclusions This study demonstrated that the MBDA score and its biomarkers IL-6, leptin, SAA and CRP differentiated between small differences in disease activity (i.e. between low disease activity and remission states). They were also predictors of remission over 1 year.

Objectives Septic arthritis is a life-threatening condition with mortality rates of 10-15%. Previous studies in other countries have shown the incidence of septic arthritis may be changing. Our aim was investigate the incidence and pattern of native joint septic arthritis in the UK. Methods We performed an analysis using Hospital Episode Statistics to investigate the reported incidence of septic arthritis in the UK between 1998 and 2013. Results A total of 54 532 cases of septic arthritis were reported via Hospital Episode Statistics during the timeframe studied. There has been a 43% increase in the reported incidence of septic arthritis, with rates rising from 5.5/100 000 in 1998 to 7.8/100 000 in 2013. The rate increased most rapidly in those >75 years of age (15/100 000 in 1998 and 31/100 000 in 2013). Staphylococcal species were the most frequently reported, followed by Streptococcus Pneumococcus rates were relatively stable, with the exception of a 7-fold spike in reported incidence in 2011. Discussion This large population-based study demonstrates that the incidence of septic arthritis is increasing in the UK. Rates are increasing most rapidly in the >75 years age group, which is likely the result of increasing co-morbidities. The clustering of pneumococcal cases has potential public health implications.

Table S1. Patients seen in each calendar year (DOCX 36â kb)

Figure S2. Biologic Use In Patients With Initial Moderate Disease Activity And Remission Status (DOC 66â kb)

Table S3. Treatments Used Over Time (DOCX 56â kb)

Table S2. Changes In DAS28 In Patients Followed For Three Or More Years Using Trend Analysis To Take Into Account Repeated Measures (DOCX 43â kb)

Figure S1. Changes In Mean DAS28 Over Time In Patients Seen Within Five Years Of RA Onset Or Later (DOC 66â kb)

Background: neuropsychological investigations can help untangle the aetiological and phenomenological heterogeneity of schizophrenia but have scarcely been employed in the context of treatment-resistant (TR) schizophrenia. No population-based study has examined neuropsychological function in the first-episode of TR psychosis. Methods: we report baseline neuropsychological findings from a longitudinal, population-based study of first-episode psychosis, which followed up cases from index admission to 10 years. At the 10-year follow up patients were classified as treatment responsive or TR after reconstructing their entire case histories. Of 145 cases with neuropsychological data at baseline, 113 were classified as treatment responsive, and 32 as TR at the 10-year follow-up. Results: compared with 257 community controls, both case groups showed baseline deficits in three composite neuropsychological scores, derived from principal component analysis: verbal intelligence and fluency, visuospatial ability and executive function, and verbal memory and learning (p valuesâ 0.001). Compared with treatment responders, TR cases showed deficits in verbal intelligence and fluency, both in the extended psychosis sample (t =-2.32; p = 0.022) and in the schizophrenia diagnostic subgroup (t =-2.49; p = 0.017). Similar relative deficits in the TR cases emerged in sub-/sensitivity analyses excluding patients with delayed-onset treatment resistance (p values, Medical Research Council UK (MRC); National Institute for Health Research (NIHR); Wellcome Trust; European Union (European Union); Horizon 2020; European Community's Seventh Framework Program; Stanley Medical Research Institute

Background The emphasis on treating rheumatoid arthritis (RA) intensively reduces disease activity but its impact in routine care is uncertain. We evaluated temporal changes in disease activities and outcomes in a 10-year prospective observational cohort study of patients in routine care at one unit. Methods The Guy’s and St Thomas’ RA cohort was established in 2005. It involved most RA patients managed in this hospital. Clinical diagnoses of RA were made by rheumatologists. Patients were seen regularly in routine care. Each visit included measurement of disease activity scores for 28 joints (DAS28), health assessment questionnaire scores (HAQ) and EuroQol scores. Patients received intensive treatments targeting DAS28 remission. Results In 1693 RA patients mean DAS28 scores fell from 2005 to 15 by 11% from 4.08 (95% CI: 3.91, 4.25) in 2005 to 3.64 (3.34, 3.78); these falls were highly significant (p 5.1) decreased (25% in 2005; 16% in 2015). In 752 patients seen at least annually for 3 years, persisting remission (68 patients) and intermittent remission (376 patients) were associated with less disability and better health related quality of life. Over time biologic use increased, but they were used infrequently in patients in persistent remission. Conclusions Over 10 years an intensive management strategy in a routine practice setting increased combination DMARD and biologic use: disease activity levels declined; this association is in keeping with a causal relationship. Patients who achieved remission, even transiently, had better functional outcomes than patients never achieving remission. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s41927-019-0054-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Background & Aims Crohn’s disease (CD) is characterized by an imbalance of effector and regulatory T cells in the intestinal mucosa. The efficacy of anti-adhesion therapies led us to investigate whether impaired trafficking of T-regulatory (Treg) cells contributes to the pathogenesis of CD. We also investigated whether proper function could be restored to Treg cells by ex vivo expansion in the presence of factors that activate their regulatory activities. Methods We measured levels of the integrin α4β7 on Treg cells isolated from peripheral blood or lamina propria of patients with CD and healthy individuals (controls). Treg cells were expanded ex vivo and incubated with rapamycin with or without agonists of the retinoic acid receptor-α (RARA), and their gene expression profiles were analyzed. We also studied the cells in cytokine challenge, suppression, and flow chamber assays and in SCID mice with human intestinal xenografts. Results We found that Treg cells from patients with CD express lower levels of the integrin α4β7 than Treg cells from control patients. The pathway that regulates the expression of integrin subunit α is induced by retinoic acid (RA). Treg cells from patients with CD incubated with rapamycin and an agonist of RARA (RAR568) expressed high levels of integrin α4β7, as well as CD62L and FOXP3, compared with cells incubated with rapamycin or rapamycin and all-trans retinoic acid. These Treg cells had increased suppressive activities in assays and migrated under conditions of shear flow; they did not produce inflammatory cytokines, and RAR568 had no effect on cell stability or lineage commitment. Fluorescently labeled Treg cells incubated with RAR568 were significantly more likely to traffic to intestinal xenografts than Treg cells expanded in control medium. Conclusions Treg cells from patients with CD express lower levels of the integrin α4β7 than Treg cells from control patients. Incubation of patients’ ex vivo expanded Treg cells with rapamycin and an RARA agonist induced expression of α4β7 and had suppressive and migratory activities in culture and in intestinal xenografts in mice. These cells might be developed for treatment of CD. ClinicalTrials.gov , Number: NCT03185000 .

Background Tapering or discontinuation of anti-TNF therapy appears to be feasible, safe and effective in a selected proportion of Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) patients. Depression is highly prevalent in RA and may impact on flare incidence through a number of mechanisms. It is an independent predictor for flare in patients with active disease and is negatively associated with remission.1 To date, there are no studies directly addressing the role of depression, anxiety or low mood in predicting flares in patients tapering their biological therapy. Objectives To investigate if psychological and functional states predict flare in RA patients with low disease activity (LDA) or in remission who undergo treatment tapering of their anti-TNF agents. Methods This study is a post-hoc analysis of the OPTTIRA trial,2 a multi-centre, prospective, randomised, open label study investigating anti-TNF tapering in established RA patients in sustained LDA. Baseline patient-reported outcomes including HAQ-DI, EQ-5D, FACIT-F, and SF-36 including the Mental Health Index (MHI) component were collected. The MHI has been validated as a screening tool for depression in RA patients.3 The primary outcome was flare, defined as an increase in DAS28 ≥0.6, and at least one additional swollen joint. Logistic regression was used to identify patient-reported outcomes that predict flare, adjusting for baseline covariates (age, gender, treatment arm, DAS28 and BMI). Results 97 were randomised into a tapering arm, either by 33% or 66% of their anti-TNF dose. The majority of patients were on methotrexate in combination with their anti-TNF therapy (n=67, 69%) and the median disease duration was 11 years [IQR: 7–17]. Seventy three (75%) fulfilled DAS28 remission criteria (DAS28 Conclusions Baseline DAS28 and mental health predict flare events in patients in LDA who taper their anti-TNF agents. Other psychological and functional states, measured by patient-reported outcome do predict flare events although the effect size is small and does not persist when adjusting for known predictors. Based on these findings, an assessment of functional and mental health states should be considered prior to biologic tapering. References [1] Michelsen B, et al. Ann Rheum Dis2017;76(11):1906–1910. [2] Ibrahim F, et al. Rheumatology2017;56(11):2004–2014. Acknowledgements Funding: The trial was funded by Arthritis Research UK (grant reference number 18813) Disclosure of Interest None declared

Background Tapering of anti-tumour necrosis factor (TNF) therapy appears feasible, safe and effective in selected patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Depression is highly prevalent in RA and may impact on flare incidence through various mechanisms. This study aims to investigate if psychological states predict flare in patients’ dose tapering their anti-TNF therapy. Methods This study is a post-hoc analysis of the Optimizing TNF Tapering in RA trial, a multicentre, randomised, open-label study investigating anti-TNF tapering in RA patients with sustained low disease activity. Patient-reported outcomes (Health Assessment Questionnaire, EuroQol 5-dimension scale, Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy fatigue scale (FACIT-F), 36-Item Short Form Survey (SF-36)) were collected at baseline. The primary outcome was flare, defined as an increase in 28-joint count Disease Activity Score (DAS28) ≥0.6 and ≥1 swollen joint. Discrete-time survival models were used to identify patient-reported outcomes that predict flare. Results Ninety-seven patients were randomised to taper their anti-TNF dose by either 33% or 66%. Forty-one patients flared. Higher baseline DAS28 score was associated with flare (adjusted HR 1.96 (95% CI 1.18 to 3.24), p=0.01). Disability (SF-36 physical component score), fatigue (FACIT-F) and mental health (SF-36 mental health subscale (MH)) predicted flare in unadjusted models. In multivariate analyses, only SF-36 MH remained a statistically significant predictor of flare (adjusted HR per 10 units 0.74 (95% CI 0.60 to 0.93), p=0.01). Conclusions Baseline DAS28 and mental health status are independently associated with flare in patients who taper their anti-TNF therapy. Fatigue and function also associate with flare but the effect disappears when adjusting for confounders. Given these findings, mental health and functional status should be considered in anti-TNF tapering decisions in order to optimise the likelihood of success. Trial registration numbers EudraCT Number: 2010-020738-24; ISRCTN: 28955701; Post-results.

Background Efavirenz (EFV) has been associated with reductions in vitamin D (25[OH]D) and tenofovir (TDF) with increased bone turnover, reductions in bone mineral density (BMD) and renal tubular dysfunction. We hypothesized that switching from fixed-dose TDF/emtricitabine (FTC)/EFV to darunavir/ritonavir monotherapy (DRV/r) might increase 25(OH)D and BMD, and improve renal tubular function. Methods Subjects with HIV RNA Results A total of 64 subjects (86% male, 66% white, mean [sd] CD4+ T-cell count 537.3 [191.5]/mm3) were analysed. After adjustment for baseline 25(OH)D and demographics, at week 48 DRV/r monotherapy was associated with a +3.6 (95% CI 0.6, 6.6) ng/ml increase in 25(OH)D compared to TDF/FTC/EFV ( P=0.02). DRV/r monotherapy was associated with an increase in BMD (+2.9% versus -0.003% at the neck of femur and +2.6% versus +0.008% at the lumbar spine for DRV/r versus TDF/FTC/EFV; PConclusions Switching from TDF/FTC/EFV to DRV/r in patients with suppressed HIV RNA resulted in significant improvements in 25(OH)D and bone biomarkers, and a 2–3% increase in BMD.

Background This was an 8-year follow-up of an RCT comparing ultrasound-guided foam sclerotherapy (UGFS) with high ligation and surgical stripping (HL/S) of the great saphenous vein (GSV). Methods Patients were randomized to UGFS or HL/S of the GSV. The primary outcome was the recurrence of symptomatic GSV reflux. Secondary outcomes were patterns of reflux according to recurrent varices after surgery, Clinical Etiologic Anatomic Pathophysiologic (CEAP) classification, Venous Clinical Severity Score (VCSS) and EuroQol Five Dimensions (EQ-5D™) quality-of-life scores. Results Of 430 patients originally randomized (230 UGFS, 200 HL/S), 227 (52·8 per cent; 123 UGFS, 103 HL/S) were available for analysis after 8 years. The proportion of patients free from symptomatic GSV reflux at 8 years was lower after UGFS than HL/S (55·1 versus 72·1 per cent; P = 0·024). The rate of absence of GSV reflux, irrespective of venous symptoms, at 8 years was 33·1 and 49·7 per cent respectively (P = 0·009). More saphenofemoral junction (SFJ) failure (65·8 versus 41·7 per cent; P = 0·001) and recurrent reflux in the above-knee GSV (72·5 versus 20·4 per cent; P = 0·001) was evident in the UGFS group. The VCSS was worse than preoperative scores in both groups after 8 years; CEAP classification and EQ-5D® scores were similar in the two groups. Conclusion Surgical stripping had a technically better outcome in terms of recurrence of GSV and SFJ reflux than UGFS in the long term. Long-term follow-up suggests significant clinical progression of venous disease measured by VCSS in both groups, but less after surgery. Registration number: NCT02304146 (http://www.clinicaltrials.gov).

ObjectivesTo identify predictors of remission and disease activity patterns in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) using individual participant data (IPD) from clinical trials.MethodsPhase II and III clinical trials completed between 2002 and 2012 were identified by systematic literature review and contact with UK market authorisation holders. Anonymised baseline and follow-up IPD from non-biological arms were amalgamated. Multiple imputation was used to handle missing outcome and covariate information. Random effects logistic regression was used to identify predictors of remission, measured by the Disease Activity Score 28 (DAS28) at 6 months. Novel latent class mixed models characterised DAS28 over time.ResultsIPD of 3290 participants from 18 trials were included. Of these participants, 92% received methotrexate (MTX). Remission rates were estimated at 8.4%(95%CI 7.4%to9.5%) overall, 17%(95%CI 14.8%to19.4%) for MTX-naïve patients with early RA and 3.2% (95% CI 2.4% to 4.3%) for those with prior MTX exposure at entry. In prior MTX-exposed patients, lower baseline DAS28 and MTX reinitiation were associated with remission. In MTX-naïve patients, being young, white, male, with better functional and mental health, lower baseline DAS28 and receiving concomitant glucocorticoids were associated with remission. Three DAS28 trajectory subpopulations were identified in MTX-naïve and MTX-exposed patients. A number of variables were associated with subpopulation membership and DAS28 levels within subpopulations.Conclusions Predictors of remission differed between MTX-naïve and prior MTX-exposed patients at entry. Latent class mixed models supported differential non-biological therapy response, with three distinct trajectories observed in both MTX-naïve and MTX-exposed patients. Findings should be useful when designing future RA trials and interpreting results of biomarker studies.

Background: Rituximab (RTX) in combination with methotrexate (MTX) has been licensed since 2006 for the management of severe active rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in patients who have failed at least one anti-tumour necrosis factor (anti-TNF) therapy. Published clinical trials have demonstrated the efficacy of RTX in improving both clinical symptoms and patients' physical function. This study aimed to assess the effectiveness of RTX in RA patients treated in routine clinical practice by examining clinical and patient reported outcomes six months after receiving a first course of RTX. Methods: The analysis involved 550 RA patients registered with the BSRBR, who were starting RTX and were followed up for at least 6 months. Change in Disease Activity Score (DAS28) and European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) response were used to assess the clinical response while change in Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) score was used to assess the physical function of the patients 6 months after starting RTX. The change in DAS28 and HAQ was compared between seronegative and seropositive patients and anti-TNF naïve patients versus anti-TNF failures. The response was also compared between patients receiving RTX in combination with MTX, other non-biologic disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (nbDMARDs) or no nbDMARDs. Results: The mean (s.d.) age of the cohort was 59 (12) years and 78% of the patients were females. The patients had a mean (s.d.) of 15 (10) years of disease duration. 16% were biologic naïve while 84% were anti-TNF failures. 32% of the patients were seronegative and 68% were seropositive. The mean (95% CI) DAS28 at baseline was 6.2 (6.1, 6.3) which decreased to 4.8 (4.7, 4.9) at 6 months of follow up. 16% were EULAR good responders, 43% were moderate responders and 41% were non responders. The mean (95% CI) change in HAQ was −0.1 (−0.2, −0.1) (Table 1). The mean change in DAS28 was similar in seropositive and seronegative patients (p = 0.18) while the anti-TNF naïve patients showed a greater reduction in DAS28 scores than anti-TNF failures (p = 0.05). Patients receiving RTX in combination with MTX showed similar changes in DAS28 and HAQ compared to patients receiving RTX alone or with other nbDMARDs. Conclusions: RTX has proven to be effective in the routine clinical practice. Anti-TNF naïve patients seem to benefit more from RTX treatment than anti-TNF failures. Disclosure statement: The authors have declared no conflicts of interest

Objective: Antiphospholipid (Hughes) syndrome (APS) is recognised as a systemic autoimmune disease defined by recurrent thromboembolic events and/or pregnancy morbidity. Little is known about the psychological burden of this long-term condition. This study aims to explore the relationship between social support and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients with APS.\ud \ud Methods: A total of 270 patients with a clinical diagnosis of APS participated in a cross-sectional online questionnaire survey. Data included demographics, disease-related information, social support and HRQoL.\ud \ud Results: Both perceived and ideal social support were associated with HRQoL in APS. Patients reported receiving insufficient social support. Perceived emotional support was related to physical functioning (B = 7.77, p = .006, 95% CI: 2.25, 13.29); perceived instrumental support was associated with bodily pain (B = 17.52, p

Objective Targeting remission in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) improves health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and disability. However, the impacts of different remission criteria and durations and their frequencies are uncertain. Our observational study assessed these factors. Methods We recruited RA patients with disease durations < 10 years, stable suppressive therapies and stable disease activity scores for 28 joints using ESR (DAS28-ESR) ≤3.2. Intermittent and sustained remisisons were classified using DAS28ESR, simple disease activity index (SDAI) and ACR/EULAR Boolean criteria. HRQoL, measured using SF-36, fatigue, EuroQol and health assessment questionnaire (HAQ) was compared using time-integrated areas under the curve (AUC). Results 104 patients were enrolled and followed for 12 months. DAS28-ESR remissions were intermittent in 42%, sustained in 47% and absent in 11%. Boolean remissions were intermittent in 38%, sustained in 10% and absent in 52%. Baseline remissions by all criteria significantly improved HAQ, Euroqol, SF36 and fatigue scores compared with low disease activity (LDAS); AUCs showed significant benefits for all HRQoLs persisted over 12-months. Boolean remissions achieved most benefits. Over time all remission states gave significantly better HRQoL scores than LDAS. Sustained DAS28ESR and SDAI remissions improved HRQoL more than intermittent remissions. Sustained and intermittent Boolean remissions gave similar improvements. Analysis of SF-36 domains showed even sustained Boolean remissions failed to optimise pain and fatigue. Conclusion All remissions improve HRQoL but different criteria have variable impacts. Boolean remission had most impact but occurred least. There are trade-off between optimising individual impacts (Boolean remissions) and achieving maximal overall impacts (DAS28-ESR remissions).

Objective HIV-1 genetic variability may influence antiretroviral therapy (ART) outcomes. The study aim was to determine the impact of polymorphisms in regions known to harbor major nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) resistance mutations (codons 90-108, 135-138, 179-190, 225-348) on virologic responses to first-line NNRTI-based ART. Methods Reverse transcriptase sequences from ART-naive individuals who commenced efavirenz (EFV) or nevirapine (NVP) with at least two nucleos(t)ide reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) without major drug resistance mutations were analyzed. The impact of polymorphisms on week 4 viral load decrease and time to virologic failure was measured over a median 97 weeks. Results Among 4528 patients, most were infected with HIV-1 subtype B (67%) and commenced EFV-based ART (84%). Overall, 2598 (57%) had at least one polymorphism, most frequently at codons 90, 98, 101, 103, 106, 135, 138, 179, and 238. Virologic failure rates were increased in patients with two (n = 597) or more than two (n = 72) polymorphisms [adjusted hazard ratio 1.43; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-1.92; P = 0.016]. Polymorphisms associated with virologic failure occurred at codons 90 (mostly V90I), 98 (mostly A98S), and 103 (mostly K103R), with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.78 (1.15-2.73; P = 0.009), 1.55 (1.16-2.08; P = 0.003), and 1.75 (1.00-3.05: P = 0.049), respectively. Polymorphisms at codon 179, especially V179D/E/T, predicted reduced week 4 responses (P = 0.001) but not virologic failure. Conclusion The occurrence of multiple polymorphisms, though uncommon, was associated with a small increase in the risk of NNRTI treatment failure; significant effects were seen with polymorphisms at codon 90, 98, and 103. The mechanisms underlying the slower suppression seen with V179D/E/T deserve further investigation.

The optimal treatment for active rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is unresolved, particularly in early RA. We used data from an observational cohort to develop the simple predictor algorithm and evaluated its application in two completed clinical trials in early and established RA. We assessed whether using a simple algorithm can identify patients who have persisting active disease despite treatment with disease-modifying drugs (DMARDs). We also examined if patients who have lower likelihoods of persisting active RA are likely to benefit from intensive treatment.We developed a simple predictive score for persisting disease activity using conventional clinical assessments in an observational cohort of patients with early RA (ERAN). It was tested in two trials in early (CARDERA) and established (TACIT) RA. Persistent disease activity was defined as disease activity score for 28 joints (DAS28)3.2 at both 6 and 12 months.Regression modelling identified three main predictors of persisting active disease in ERAN; tender joint counts, health assessment questionnaire (HAQ) scores and ESR. We dichotomised these predictors (≥6 tender joint counts, ≥1.0 HAQ ≥20 mm/h ESR) in a four-point prediction score. This simple prediction score predicted persisting active disease in the ERAN cohort and both CARDERA and TACIT trials. Patients with high scores were more likely to have persistently active disease at 6 and 12 months. The relationship was weaker in TACIT because no patients were without any predictive factors.Combining tender joint counts, ESR and HAQ in a simple predictive score prospectively identifies patients with higher risks of persistent disease activity over the next 12 months. More patients with all three risk factors had persistent active disease than those with none or one risk factor.

Estimating individual-level medication costs in an economic evaluation can involve extensive data collection and handling. Implications of detailed versus general approaches are unclear.To compare costing approaches in a trial-based economic evaluation.We applied four costing approaches to prescribed medication data from the Tumour necrosis factor inhibitors Against Combination Intensive Therapy randomized controlled trial. A detailed micro-costing approach was used as a base case, against which other approaches were compared: costing medications used by at least 1.5% of patients; costing medications on the basis of only chemical name; applying a generic prescription charge rather than a medication-specific cost. We quantitatively examined resulting estimates of prescribed medication and total care costs, and qualitatively examined trial conclusions.Medication costs made up 6% of the total health and social care costs. There was good agreement in prescribed medication costs (concordance correlation coefficient [CCC] 0.815, 0.819, and 0.989) and excellent agreement in total costs (CCC 0.990, 0.995, and 0.995) between approaches 1 and 2. Approaches 3 and 4 had poor agreement with approach 1 on prescribed medication costs (CCC 0.246-0.700 and 0.033-0.333, respectively), but agreement on total care costs remained good (CCC 0.778-0.993 and 0.729-0.986, respectively).Because medication costs comprised only a small proportion of total costs, the less resource-intensive approaches had substantial impacts on medication cost estimates, but had little impact on total care costs and did not significantly impact the trial's cost-effectiveness conclusions. There is room for research efficiencies without detriment to an evaluation in which medication costs are likely to form a small proportion of total costs.