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BACKGROUND: This study aimed to prospectively evaluate clinical, histopathological and molecular variables for outcome prediction in medulloblastoma patients. METHODS: Patients from the HIT2000 cooperative clinical trial were prospectively enrolled based on the availability of sufficient tumor material and complete clinical information. This revealed a cohort of 184 patients (median age 7.6 years), which was randomly split at a 2:1 ratio into a training (n = 127), and a validation (n = 57) dataset. All samples were subjected to thorough histopathological investigation, CTNNB1 mutation analysis, quantitative PCR, MLPA and FISH analyses for cytogenetic variables, and methylome analysis. RESULTS: By univariable analysis, clinical factors (M-stage), histopathological variables (large cell component, endothelial proliferation, synaptophysin pattern), and molecular features (chromosome 6q status, MYC amplification, TOP2A copy-number, subgrouping) were found to be prognostic. Molecular consensus subgrouping (WNT, SHH, Group 3, Group 4) was validated as an independent feature to stratify patients into different risk groups. When comparing methods for the identification of WNT-driven medulloblastoma, this study identified CTNNB1 sequencing and methylation profiling to most reliably identify these patients. After removing patients with particularly favorable (CTNNB1 mutation, extensive nodularity) or unfavorable (MYC amplification) markers, a risk score for the remaining “intermediate molecular risk” population dependent on age, M-stage, pattern of synaptophysin expression, and MYCN copy-number status was identified and validated, with speckled synaptophysin expression indicating worse outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Methylation subgrouping and CTNNB1 mutation status represent robust tools for the risk-stratification of medulloblastoma. A simple clinico-pathological risk score for “intermediate molecular risk” patients was identified, which deserves further validation. SECONDARY CATEGORY: Pediatrics.

BACKGROUND Multiple myeloma is a disease characterized by the neoplastic proliferation of a clone of plasma cells that can lead to bone destruction. Bisphosphonates are specific inhibitors of osteoclastic activity. Therefore, there is a pharmacological basis for their use in multiple myeloma. However, the exact clinical role of bisphosphonates in multiple myeloma remains unclear. OBJECTIVES Primary: to determine whether adding bisphosphonates to standard therapy in multiple myeloma decreases skeletal-related morbidity (pathological fractures), skeletal-related mortality and overall mortality. Secondary: to determine the effects of bisphosphonates on pain, quality of life and incidence of hypercalcemia. SEARCH STRATEGY We searched MEDLINE (1966 - June 2001), LILACS (1982 - June 2001), EMBASE (1974 - December 2000) and the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register (all years, latest Issue 03/2001) to identify all randomized trials in multiple myeloma. All of these references were accessed in order to identify trials related to the use of bisphosphonates in myeloma. All relevant references in each article were also scanned. We also performed a handsearch of relevant meeting proceedings from 1993 to 2000. Additionally, manufacturers of bisphosphonates and researchers in the field were contacted. SELECTION CRITERIA Randomised trials with a parallel design on the use of bisphosphonate in myeloma compared with placebo or no treatment as a control group. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS Two reviewers independently assessed trial eligibility, methodological quality and abstracted data. A third reviewer checked all data after the extraction was completed. Statistical heterogeneity was tested using random and fixed effect models. All pooled data are reported using Peto odds ratios and, when appropriate, as absolute risk reduction and the number needed to treat to prevent or to cause a pathological event. MAIN RESULTS Eleven trials were included with 1113 patients analysed in bisphosphonates groups, and 1070 analysed in control groups. There was no significant statistical heterogeneity among trials for the endpoints selected for comparison in this review. The pooled analysis of the published evidence demonstrated the beneficial effect of bisphosphonates on prevention of pathological vertebral fractures [OR=0.59 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.45-0.78); P=0.0001] and on amelioration of pain [OR = 0.59 (95%CI 0.46-0.76); P=0.00005]. However, the analysis of the effect of bisphosphonates on pain was based on clinically heterogeneous data and must be interpreted with caution. Although there was no statistical heterogeneity between groups, the benefit was most apparent with clodronate and pamidronate. In absolute terms, the result may be interpreted to mean that 10 (95%CI 7-20) patients with multiple myeloma should be treated to prevent one vertebral fracture, and 11 (95%CI 7-28) to prevent one patient experiencing pain. We found no significant effect of bisphosphonates on mortality, on the reduction of non-vertebral fractures or on the incidence of hypercalcemia. There were no significant adverse effects associated with the administration of bisphosphonates. Our results are based on the extraction of published data, which were sometimes poorly reported, and thus the results should be understood as the best possible summation of available evidence. REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS Adding bisphosphonates to the treatment of myeloma reduces pathological vertebral fractures and pain but - from the published evidence - not mortality. On current evidence, clodronate or pamidronate may be the preferred agents.

This study aimed to prospectively evaluate clinical, histopathological and molecular variables for outcome prediction in medulloblastoma patients. Patients from the HIT2000 cooperative clinical trial were prospectively enrolled based on the availability of sufficient tumor material and complete clinical information. This revealed a cohort of 184 patients (median age 7.6 years), which was randomly split at a 2:1 ratio into a training (n = 127), and a test (n = 57) dataset in order to build and test a risk score for this population. Independent validation was performed in a non-overlapping cohort (n = 83). All samples were subjected to thorough histopathological investigation, CTNNB1 mutation analysis, quantitative PCR, MLPA and FISH analyses for cytogenetic variables, and methylome analysis. By univariable analysis, clinical factors (M-stage), histopathological variables (large cell component, endothelial proliferation, synaptophysin pattern), and molecular features (chromosome 6q status, MYC amplification, subgrouping) were found to be prognostic. Molecular consensus subgrouping (WNT, SHH, Group 3, Group 4) was validated as an independent feature to stratify patients into different risk groups. When comparing methods for the identification of WNT-driven medulloblastoma, this study identified CTNNB1 sequencing and methylation profiling to most reliably identify these patients. After removing patients with particularly favorable (CTNNB1 mutation, extensive nodularity) or unfavorable (MYC amplification) markers, a risk score for the remaining “intermediate molecular risk” population dependent on age, M-stage, pattern of synaptophysin expression, and MYCN copy-number status was identified, with speckled synaptophysin expression indicating worse outcome. Test and independent validation of the score confirmed significant discrimination of patients by risk profile. Methylation subgrouping and CTNNB1 mutation status represent robust tools for the risk stratification of medulloblastoma. A simple clinico-pathological risk score was identified, which was confirmed in a test set and by independent clinical validation. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00401-014-1276-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

High-dose therapy (HDT) and autologous transplantation prolongs remission duration and survival in multiple myeloma (MM), but relapse still occurs at a median of 2 years post-HDT. In order to investigate whether the number of residual tumour cells in the bone marrow (BM) after transplantation can predict the duration of response, a quantitative allele-specific oligonucleotide polymerase chain reaction (qASO-PCR) assay was used to measure tumour load in BM at 3-6 months post-HDT in 67 patients. The method of maximally selected log-rank statistics was used to test for the existence of a cut-off value in the BM tumour load data set. A cut-off value with respect to progression-free survival (PFS) was identified (P = 0.001). The estimated threshold for placing patients into a "good" or "bad" prognostic group was 0.015% (n = 22 and 38 respectively) with a median PFS of 64 months vs. 16. Multivariate analysis showed grouping by PCR result to be an independent prognostic factor for PFS (estimated hazard ratio after shrinkage, 3.91). This study identifies for the first time a threshold of the post-HDT tumour load with prognostic significance for PFS in MM. Quantitative molecular assessment thus may help to identify those patients who are in need of further treatment early after autologous transplantation.