1. A quantitative analysis of causes for increasing ozone pollution in Shanghai during the 2022 lockdown and implications for control policy.
- Author
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Zhang, Yingnan, Fu, Qingyan, Wang, Tao, Huo, Juntao, Cui, Huxiong, Mu, Jiangshan, Tan, Yue, Chen, Tianshu, Shen, Hengqing, Li, Qinyi, and Xue, Likun
- Subjects
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EMISSIONS (Air pollution) , *POLLUTION , *OZONE , *SUSTAINABLE transportation , *INDUSTRIAL pollution , *QUANTITATIVE research , *NITROGEN oxides , *ADRENERGIC beta agonists - Abstract
Ground-level ozone (O 3) pollution is a major air quality issue in densely populated urban areas. Despite a significant decline in human activities in the megacity Shanghai from March 28 to May 31, 2022, ground-level measurements indicate a rise in maximum daily average 8-h (MDA8) O 3 concentrations in comparison to the corresponding period in 2021. There is a need for quantitative analysis to identify the reasons behind this increasing O 3 concentration. We analyzed ground measurements of O 3 and its precursors and meteorological parameters made in Shanghai, using random-forest (RF) model and chemical box model to elucidate the roles of meteorological and chemical factors in influencing O 3 concentrations. Across urban, suburban, semi-rural, and coastal sites, the urban center of Shanghai experienced the largest decreases in the concentrations of nitrogen oxides (NO x ; 53%) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs; 52%), with the most notable rise in MDA8 O 3 concentrations (16%). RF modeling indicates that meteorological factors reduced MDA8 O 3 concentrations by a marginal 3%, whereas a decline in anthropogenic emissions resulted in a 17% increase in MDA8 O 3 concentrations. Chemical box modeling at the Pudong urban site indicates that while the decline in VOCs reduced O 3 production by 42%, this was negated by a reduction in NO x from traffic emissions, which enhanced O 3 production by 51%, resulting in an increase in O 3 production overall. Despite a halving in precursor levels, Shanghai's urban centre remains predominately under VOC-limited conditions throughout the study period, with high NO 2 levels from the petrochemical industry and traffic emissions. Joint control of anthropogenic VOCs (AVOCs) and NO x , with a ratio greater than 1.29, could help avoid exacerbation of O 3 pollution and reduce NO 2 pollution. Our findings emphasize the necessity of reducing industrial emissions along with ongoing green transportation strategies for alleviating O 3 pollution in megacities like Shanghai. • Emission reductions drove an O 3 increase in Shanghai during the 2022 lockdown. • Shanghai's urban centre remains predominately under VOC-limited conditions. • The high NO 2 level was attributed to petrochemical industry and traffic emissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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