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Using multi-viewpoint observations from STEREO and SOHO during three solar cycles from 23 to 25, we study the magnetic flux rope (MFR) structures of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) near the Sun and magnetic clouds (MCs) at 1au. The study aims to investigate two phenomena: 1) the occurrence rate of CMEs near Hale sector boundaries (HBs) and 2) solar-cycle variation of MFR axial orientations in CMEs and MCs. Our preliminary results include: 1) the axes of MFRs in cycle 25 present a systematic northward orientation, which is the same as in cycle 23 but opposite to cycle 24; 2) the majority of the MFRs occurred near HBs (within 30 degrees) and some exceptional events occurred at non-HBs; 3) the axial fields in MCs present a similar north-south orientation, which changes from cycle to cycle. We discuss the implication of solar cycle variations of MFR axial orientations for space weather forecasts.

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are subject to changes in their direction of propagation, tilt, and other properties as they interact with the variable solar wind. We investigated the heliospheric propagation of 15 Earth-impacting CMEs observed during April 2010 to August 2018 in the field of view (FOV) of the Heliospheric Imager (HI) onboard the STEREO. About half of the 15 events followed self-similar expansion up to 40 $R_\odot$. The remaining events showed deflection either in latitude, longitude, or a tilt change. Only two events showed significant rotation in the HI1 FOV. We also use toroidal and cylindrical flux rope fitting on the in situ observations of interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) and solar wind parameters to estimate the tilt at L1 for these two events. Although the sample size is small, this study suggests that CME rotation is not very common in the heliosphere. We attributed the observed deflections and rotations of CMEs to a combination of factors, including their interaction with the ambient solar wind and the influence of the ambient magnetic field. These findings contribute to our understanding of the complex dynamics involved in CME propagation and highlight the need for comprehensive modeling and observational studies to improve space weather prediction. In particular, HI observations help us to connect observations near the Sun and near Earth, improving our understanding of how CMEs move through the heliosphere., Comment: Accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal

Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) and radio bursts are indicators of particle acceleration on the Sun and in the heliosphere. The accelerated particles have energies significantly higher than thermal particles up to several orders of magnitude. SEPs are detected directly by particle detectors on Earth and in space. Understanding SEPs is important from both science and application points of view because they are poorly understood and present space weather hazard to humans and their technology in space. SEPs accompany energetic flares, coronal mass ejections (CMEs), and intense radio bursts, which help us understand particle properties such as intensity, spectra, and time evolution. This paper summarizes how SEP properties are closely related to solar eruptions and the associated solar radio bursts., Comment: 17 pages, 10 figures, 1 table, Proc. UN/Germany workshop on the International Space Weather Initiative: Preparing for the Solar Maximum, 10-14 June, 2024, Neustrelitz, Germany. Eds. N. Gopalswamy, D. Bany\'s, S. Gadimova, Springer Proceedings in Physics

Coronal mass ejection (CME) often produces a soft X-ray (SXR) flare associated with the low-coronal reconnection and a type-II radio burst associated with an interplanetary (IP) CME-shock. SXR flares and type-II bursts outshine the background emission, making them sun-as-a-star observables. Though there exist SXR flare catalogs covering decades of observations, they do not provide the associated type-II luminosity. Besides, since radio burst emission could be beamed, the observed flux dynamic spectrum may vary with line of sight. Using long-term calibrated decameter-hectometric dynamic spectra from the Wind and STEREO spacecraft, we build a catalog of multi-vantage point observations of type-II bursts. Cross-matching with existing catalogs we compile the properties of the associated flare, reconnection, and the CME. Cross-correlation analysis was done between various parameters. Two novel metrics of flare and CME power show a strong correlation revealing a link between particle acceleration strengths in the low-corona and IP space., Comment: Accepted in the Proceedings of IAUS 388

The type-IV bursts, associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs), occasionally extend to the decameter-hectrometric (DH) range. We present a comprehensive catalog of simultaneous multi-vantage point observations of DH type-IV bursts by Wind and STEREO spacecraft since 2006. 73% of the bursts are associated with fast ($> 900\,km\,s^{-1}$) and wide ($>60^0$) CMEs, which are mostly geoeffective halo CMEs. Also, we find that the bursts are best observed by the spacecraft located within $|60^0|$ line of sight (LOS), highlighting the importance of LOS towards active latitudes while choosing target stars for a type-IV search campaign. In young active M dwarfs, CME-associated bursts have remained elusive despite many monitoring campaigns. We present the first detection of long-duration type-III, type-IV, and type-V bursts during an active event in AD Leo (M3.5V; $0.4M_\odot$). The observed burst characteristics support a multipole model over a solar-like active region magnetic field profile on the star., Comment: Accepted in the Proceedings of IAUS 388

Shocks driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are primary drivers of gradual solar energetic particle (SEP) events, posing significant risks to space technology and astronauts. Concurrently, particles accelerated at these shocks may also propagate back to the Sun, potentially generating gamma-ray emissions through pion decay. We incorporated advanced modeling and multi-messenger observations to explore the role of CME-driven shocks in gamma-ray emissions and SEPs. Motivated by Fermi-LAT long-duration solar flares, we used the AWSoM MHD model to investigate the connection between the shocks and the properties of observed gamma-ray emissions. By coupling the AWSoM with iPATH model, we evaluate the impact of shock evolution complexity near the Sun on SEP intensity and spectra. Our result points to the importance of accurate background coronal and solar wind modeling, as well as detailed observations of CME source regions, in advancing our understanding of CME-driven shocks and the dynamics of associated energetic particles., Comment: 11 pages, 6 figures, to appear in the Proceedings of IAU Symposium No. 388 - Solar and Stellar Coronal Mass Ejections

We assess the relative strength of solar cycle (SC) 25 with respect to SCs 23 and 24 based on the abundance of halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs). We make use of the halo CME database (https://cdaw.gsfc.nasa.gov/CME_list/halo/halo.html) to compare the halo CME abundance during the first four years in each of SCs 23 to 25. The main result is that in several aspects such as the abundance, occurrence rate, source locations, and halo heights, halo CMEs are similar between SCs 24 and 25 but different from SC 23. This result follows from the fact that weaker cycles have low heliospheric total pressure, whose backreaction on CMEs allows them to expand more and hence enhancing the chance of becoming a halo. The solar cycle variation of halo CME properties is consistent with the precursor-based cycle prediction methods that indicate SC 25 is similar to or only slightly stronger than SC 24., Comment: 6 pages, 4 figures, 1 table, Proceedings of IAU Symposium 388

This paper provides an update on the coronal mass ejection (CME) catalog maintained at the CDAW Data Center, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (https://cdaw.gsfc.nasa.gov/CME_list). This is version 2 (v2) of the Catalog that has been made as the default version as of May 1, 2024. The new features of the Catalog v2 are (i) online measurement tool, (ii) combination JavaScript movies from the STEREO and Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) missions, and (iii) insertion of newly identified CMEs for the period 1996 to 2004. The CME identification was revisited resulting in a set of $\sim$3000 new CMEs added to the Catalog. A vast majority of these CMEs are weak and narrow. The resulting statistical properties of CMEs are not significantly different from those reported using version 1., Comment: 7 pages, 6 figures, Proc. IAU Symposium 388

The INterplanetary Flux ROpe Simulator (INFROS) is an observationally constrained analytical model dedicated for forecasting the strength of the southward component (Bz) of the magnetic field embedded in interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs). In this work, we validate the model for six ICMEs sequentially observed by two radially-aligned spacecraft positioned at different heliocentric distances. The six selected ICMEs in this study comprise of cases associated with isolated CME evolution as well as those interacting with high-speed streams (HSS) and high-density streams (HDS). For the isolated CMEs, our results show that the model outputs at both the spacecraft are in good agreement with in-situ observations. However, for most of the interacting events, the model correctly captures the CME evolution only at the inner spacecraft. Due to the interaction with HSS and HDS, which in most cases occurred at heliocentric distances beyond the inner spacecraft, the ICME evolution no longer remains self-similar. Consequently, the model underestimates the field strength at the outer spacecraft. Our findings indicate that constraining the INFROS model with inner spacecraft observations significantly enhances the prediction accuracy at the outer spacecraft for the three events undergoing self-similar expansion, achieving a 90 % correlation between observed and predicted Bz profiles. This work also presents a quantitative estimation of the ICME magnetic field enhancement due to interaction which may lead to severe space weather. We conclude that the assumption of self-similar expansion provides a lower limit to the magnetic field strength estimated at any heliocentric distance, based on the remote sensing observations., Comment: 20 pages, 15 figures, Accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal Supplement Series

Decameter hectometric (DH; 1-14 MHz) type-IV radio bursts are produced by flare-accelerated electrons trapped in post-flare loops or the moving magnetic structures associated with the CMEs. From a space weather perspective, it is important to systematically compile these bursts, explore their spectro-temporal characteristics, and study the associated CMEs. We present a comprehensive catalog of DH type-IV bursts observed by the Radio and Plasma Wave Investigation (WAVES) instruments onboard Wind and STEREO spacecraft, covering the period of white-light CME observations by the Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) onboard the SOHO mission between November 1996 and May 2023. The catalog has 139 bursts, of which 73% are associated with a fast (>900 km/s) and wide (>60$^o$) CME, with a mean CME speed of 1301 km/s. All DH type-IV bursts are white-light CME-associated, with 78% of the events associated with halo CMEs. The CME source latitudes are within $\pm$45$^o$. 77 events had multi-vantage point observations from different spacecraft, letting us explore the impact of line of sight on the dynamic spectra. For 48 of the 77 events, there was good data from at least two spacecraft. We find that, unless occulted by nearby plasma structures, a type-IV burst is best viewed when observed within $\pm$60$^o$ line of sight. Also, the bursts with a duration above 120 min, have source longitudes within $\pm$60$^o$. Our inferences confirm the inherent directivity in the type-IV emission. Additionally, the catalog forms a sun-as-a-star DH type-IV burst database., Comment: 18 pages, 12 figures, Accepted in ApJ on 31 May, 2024

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are subject to changes in their direction of propagation, tilt, and other properties. This is because CMEs interact with the ambient solar wind and other large-scale magnetic field structures. In this work, we report on the observations of the 2012 October 5 stealth CME using coronagraphic and heliospheric images. We find clear evidence of a continuous rotation of the CME, i.e., an increase in the tilt angle, estimated using the Graduated Cylindrical Shell (GCS) reconstruction at different heliocentric distances, up to 58 solar radii. We find a further increase in the tilt at L1 estimated from the toroidal and cylindrical flux rope fitting on the in situ observations of IMF and solar wind parameters. This study highlights the importance of observations of Heliospheric Imager (HI), onboard the Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO). In particular, the GCS reconstruction of CMEs in HI field-of-view promises to bridge the gap between the near-Sun and in-situ observations at the L1. The changes in the CME tilt has significant implications for the space weather impact of stealth CMEs., Comment: Accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal

We report on the close similarity of coronal mass ejection (CME) properties in ground level enhancement (GLE) in solar energetic particle (SEP) events and sustained gamma ray emission (SGRE) from the Sun as indicated by low frequency type III radio bursts observed in the interplanetary medium. The complex type III bursts have an average 1 MHz duration of 36 and 34 min in the SGRE and GLE events, respectively. Similarly, the CMEs underlying SGRE and GLE have average space speeds of 1866 and 2084 km/s, respectively. These are larger than the corresponding values (32 min, 1407 km/s) for a control sample of type III bursts associated with frontside halo CMEs with sky plane speed exceeding 800 km/s. These results are consistent with the idea that energetic CME driven shocks accelerate particles to very high energies that are responsible for GLE and SGRE events., Comment: 3 pages, 4 figures, to appear in the Proceedings of the URSI GASS 2023, Sapporo, Japan, 19 to 26 August 2023

It is known that the weak state of the heliosphere due to diminished solar activity in cycle 24 back-reacted on coronal mass ejections (CMEs) to make them appear wider for a given speed. One of the consequences of the weak state of the heliosphere is that more CMEs appear as halo CMEs (HCMEs), and halos are formed at shorter heliocentric distances. Current predictions for the strength of solar cycle (SC) 25 range from half to twice the strength of SC 24. We compare the HCME occurrence rate and other properties during the rise phase of cycles 23, 24, and 25 to weigh in on the strength of SC 25. We find that HCME and solar wind properties in SC 25 are intermediate between SCs 23 and 24, but closer to SC 24. The HCME occurrence rate, normalized to the sunspot number, is higher in SCs 24 and 25 than in SC 23. The solar wind total pressure in SC 25 is ~35% smaller than that in SC 23. Furthermore, the occurrence rates of high-energy solar energetic particle events and intense geomagnetic storms are well below the corresponding values in SC 23, but similar to those in SC 24. We conclude that cycle 25 is likely to be similar to or slightly stronger than cycle 24, in agreement with polar-field precursor methods for cycle 25 prediction, Comment: 11 pages, 5 figures, to appear in the Astrophysical Journal Letters

We report on the solar source of the 2022 February 3 geomagnetic storm of moderate strength that contributed to the loss of 39 Starlink satellites. The geomagnetic storm was caused by the 2022 January 29 halo coronal mass ejection (CME) that was of moderate speed (about 690 km/s) originating from NOAA active region 12936 located in the northeast quadrant (N18E06) of the Sun. The eruption was marked by an M1.1 flare, which started at 22:45 UT, peaked at 23:32 UT on January 29 and ended at 00:24 UT the next day. The CME ended up as a shock-driving magnetic cloud (MC) observed at Sun-Earth L1 and at STEREO-Ahead (STA) located about 34 deg behind Earth. The geomagnetic storm was caused by a strong southward component of the MC that was boosted by a high speed solar wind stream behind the MC. Even though Earth and STA were separated by only about 34 deg, the MC appeared quite different at Earth and L1. One possibility is that the MC was writhed reflecting the curved neutral line at the Sun. In-situ observations suggest that the MC was heading closer to STA than to Earth because of the earlier arrival at STA. However, the shock arrived at STA and Earth around the same time, suggesting a weaker shock at Earth due to flank passage., Comment: 14 pages, 8 figures, to appear in Sun and Geosphere

The explosion of space weather research since the early 1990s has been partly fueled by the unprecedented, uniform, and extended observations of solar disturbances from space and ground based instruments. Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from closed magnetic field regions and high speed streams (HSS) from open field regions on the Sun account for most of the disturbances relevant to space weather. The main consequences of CMEs and HSS are their ability to cause geomagnetic storms and accelerate particles. Particles accelerated by CME driven shocks can pose danger to humans and their technological structures in space. Geomagnetic storms produced by CMEs and HSS related stream interaction regions also result in particle energization inside the magnetosphere that can have severe impact on satellites operating in the magnetosphere. Solar flares are another aspect of solar magnetic energy release, mostly characterized by the sudden enhancement in electromagnetic emission at various wavelengths from radio waves to gamma rays. Flares are responsible for the sudden ionospheric disturbances and prompt perturbation of Earths magnetic field known as magnetic crochet. Nonthermal electrons accelerated during flares can emit intense microwave radiation that can drown spacecraft and radar signals. This review article summarizes major milestones in understanding the connection between solar variability and space weather., Comment: 49 pages, 25 figures, 3 tables

The culmination of solar cycle 24 by the end of 2019 has created the opportunity to compare the differing properties of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) between two whole solar cycles: Solar cycle 23 (SC 23) and Solar cycle 24 (SC 24). We report on the width evolution of limb CMEs in SC 23 and 24 in order to test the suggestion by Gopalswamy et al. (2015a) that CME flux ropes attain pressure balance at larger heliocentric distances in SC 24. We measure CME width as a function of heliocentric distance for a significantly large number of limb CMEs (~1000) and determine the distances where the CMEs reach constant width in each cycle. We introduced a new parameter: the transition height (hc) of a CME defined as the critical heliocentric distance beyond which the CME width stabilizes to a quasi-constant value. Cycle and phase-to-phase comparisons are based on this new parameter. We find that the average value of hc in SC 24 is 62% higher than in SC 23. SC 24 CMEs attain their peak width at larger distances from the Sun as compared to SC 23 CMEs. The enhanced transition height in SC 24 is new observational ratification of the anomalous expansion. The anomalous expansion of SC 24 CMEs which is caused by the weak state of the heliosphere, accounts for the larger heliocentric distance where the pressure balance between CME flux rope and the ambient medium is attained., Comment: 27 pages, 11 figures, 3 tables, accepted for publication in the Astrophysical journal (ApJ)

We report on a study that compares energetic particle fluxes in corotating interaction regions (CIRs) associated with type III radio storm with those in nonstorm CIRs. In a case study, we compare the CIR particle events on 2010October 21 and 2005 November 2. The two events have similar solar and solar wind circumstances, except that the former is associated with a type III radio storm and has a higher CIR particle flux and fluence. We also perform a statistical study, which shows that the proton and electron fluences are higher in the storm associated CIRs by factor of about 6 and 8, respectively than those in the storm-free CIRs., Comment: 4 pages, 7 figures, to appear in the Proc. of 3rd URSI AT-AP-RASC, Gran Canaria, 29 May to 3 June 2022

An intense type III radio storm has been disrupted by a fast halo coronal mass ejection (CME) on 2000 April 4. The CME is also associated with a large solar energetic particle (SEP) event. The storm recovers after about10 hrs. We identified another CME that occurs on 2003 November 11 with similar CME properties but there is no type III storm in progress. The 2003 November 11 CME is also not associated with an SEP event above the background (less than 2 pfu), whereas the one with type III storm has an intense SEP event (about 56 pfu). One of the factors affecting the intensity of SEP events is the presence of seed particles that are accelerated by CME-driven shocks. We suggest that the type III storm source, which accelerates electrons to produce the storm, also accelerates ions that serve as seed particles to the CME shock., Comment: 4 pages, 5 figures, tp appear in Proc. 3rd URSI AT-AP-RASC, Gran Canaria, 29 May to 3 June 2022

After providing an overview of solar activity as measured by the sunspot number (SSN) and space weather events during solar cycles (SCs) 21-24, we focus on the weak solar activity in SC 24. The weak solar activity reduces the number of energetic eruptions from the Sun and hence the number of space weather events. The speeds of coronal mass ejections (CMEs), interplanetary (IP) shocks, and the background solar wind all declined in SC 24. One of the main heliospheric consequences of weak solar activity is the reduced total (magnetic + gas) pressure, magnetic field strength, and Alfv\'en speed. There are three groups of phenomena that decline to different degrees in SC 24 relative to the corresponding ones in SC 23: (i) those that decline more than SSN does, (ii) those that decline like SSN, and (iii) those that decline less than SSN does. The decrease in the number of severe space weather events such as high-energy solar energetic particle (SEP) events and intense geomagnetic storms is deeper than the decline in SSN. CMEs expand anomalously and hence their magnetic content is diluted resulting in weaker geomagnetic storms. The reduction in the number of intense geomagnetic storms caused by corotating interaction regions is also drastic. The diminished heliospheric magnetic field in SC 24 reduces the efficiency of particle acceleration, resulting in fewer high-energy SEP events. The numbers of IP type II radio bursts, IP socks, and high-intensity energetic storm particle events closely follow the number of fast and wide CMEs (and approximately SSN). The number of halo CMEs in SC 24 declines less than SSN does, mainly due to the weak heliospheric state. Phenomena such as IP CMEs and magnetic clouds related to frontside halos also do not decline significantly. The mild space weather is likely to continue in SC 25, whose strength has been predicted to be not too different from that of SC 24., Comment: 16 pages, 10 figures, 3 tables, to appear in Journal of Physics: Conference Series, Proc. 2nd International Symposium on Space Science 2021, LAPAN, Indonesia

The sustained gamma-ray emission (SGRE) events from the Sun are associated with an ultrafast (2000 km/s or greater) halo coronal mass ejection (CME) and a type II radio burst in the decameter-hectometric (DH) wavelengths. The SGRE duration is linearly related to the type II burst duration indicating that >300 MeV protons required for SGREs are accelerated by the same shock that accelerates tens of keV electrons that produce type II bursts. When magnetically well connected, the associated solar energetic particle (SEP) event has a hard spectrum, indicating copious acceleration of high-energy protons. In one of the SGRE events observed on 2014 January 7 by Fermi/LAT, the SEP event detected by GOES has a very soft spectrum with not many particles beyond 100 MeV. This contradicts the presence of the SGRE, implying the presence of significant number of >300 MeV protons. Furthermore, the durations of the type II burst and the SGRE agree with the known linear relationship between them (Gopalswamy et al. 2018, ApJ 868, L19). We show that the soft spectrum is due to poor magnetic connectivity of the shock nose to an Earth observer. Even though the location of the eruption (S15W11) is close to the disk center, the CME propagated non-radially making the CME flank crossing the ecliptic rather than the nose. High-energy particles are accelerated near the nose, so they do not reach GOES but they do precipitate to the vicinity of the eruption region to produce SGRE. This study provides further evidence that SGRE is caused by protons accelerated in shocks and propagating sunward to interact with the atmospheric ions., Comment: 3 pages, 4 figures, AOGS2021 Conference Proceedings for the 18th Annual Meeting

We report on a multi-wavelength analysis of the 26 January 2014 solar eruption involving a coronal mass ejection (CME) and a Type-II radio burst, performed by combining data from various space-and ground-based instruments. An increasing standoff distance with height shows the presence of a strong shock, which further manifests itself in the continuation of the metric Type-II burst into the decameter-hectometric (DH) domain. A plot of speed versus position angle (PA) shows different points on the CME leading edge travelled with different speeds. From the starting frequency of the Type-II burst and white-light data, we find that the shock signature producing the Type-II burst might be coming from the flanks of the CME. Measuring the speeds of the CME flanks, we find the southern flank to be at a higher speed than the northern flank; further the radio contours from Type-II imaging data showed that the burst source was coming from the southern flank of the CME. From the standoff distance at the CME nose, we find that the local Alfven speed is close to the white-light shock speed, thus causing the Mach number to be small there. Also, the presence of a streamer near the southern flank appears to have provided additional favorable conditions for the generation of shock-associated radio emission. These results provide conclusive evidence that the Type-II emission could originate from the flanks of the CME, which in our study is from the the southern flank of the CME., Comment: 19 pages, 7 Figures, 1 table ; Accepted for publication in Solar Physics

This review article summarizes the advancement in the studies of Earth-affecting solar transients in the last decade that encompasses most of solar cycle 24. The Sun Earth is an integrated physical system in which the space environment of the Earth sustains continuous influence from mass, magnetic field and radiation energy output of the Sun in varying time scales from minutes to millennium. This article addresses short time scale events, from minutes to days that directly cause transient disturbances in the Earth space environment and generate intense adverse effects on advanced technological systems of human society. Such transient events largely fall into the following four types: (1) solar flares, (2) coronal mass ejections (CMEs) including their interplanetary counterparts ICMEs, (3) solar energetic particle (SEP) events, and (4) stream interaction regions (SIRs) including corotating interaction regions (CIRs). In the last decade, the unprecedented multi viewpoint observations of the Sun from space, enabled by STEREO Ahead/Behind spacecraft in combination with a suite of observatories along the Sun-Earth lines, have provided much more accurate and global measurements of the size, speed, propagation direction and morphology of CMEs in both 3-D and over a large volume in the heliosphere. Several advanced MHD models have been developed to simulate realistic CME events from the initiation on the Sun until their arrival at 1 AU. Much progress has been made on detailed kinematic and dynamic behaviors of CMEs, including non-radial motion, rotation and deformation of CMEs, CME-CME interaction, and stealth CMEs and problematic ICMEs. The knowledge about SEPs has also been significantly improved., Comment: Review article, 184 pages

We present a clear case of a Diffuse Interplanetary Radio Emission (DIRE) event observed during 2002 March 11-12 in association with a fast coronal mass ejection (CME). In the previous event reported [1], there were two CMEs, and a detailed analysis was required to pin down the underlying CME. In the event presented here, the CME association is unambiguous, and the DIRE is found to originate from the flanks of the CME-driven shock. We also provide quantitative explanation for not observing radio emission from the shock nose. We also clarify that DIRE is not a type III storm because the latter occurs outside of solar eruptions., Comment: 6 pages, 5 figures, to appear in Radio Science Letters

We report on the properties of halo coronal mass ejections (HCMEs) in solar cycles 23 and 24. We compare the HCMEs properties between the corresponding phases (rise, maximum, and declining) in cycles 23 and 24 in addition to comparing those between the whole cycles. Despite the significant decline in the sunspot number (SSN) in cycle 24, which dropped by 46% with respect to cycle 23, the abundance of HCMEs is similar in the two cycles. The HCME rate per SSN is 44% higher in cycle 24. In the maximum phase, cycle-24 rate normalized to SSN increased by 127% while the SSN dropped by 43%. The source longitudes of cycle-24 HCMEs are more uniformly distributed than those in cycle 23. We found that the average sky-plane speed in cycle 23 is ~16% higher than that in cycle 24. The size distributions of the associated flares between the two cycles and the corresponding phases are similar. The average speed at a central meridian distance (CMD) = 600 for cycle 23 is ~28% higher than that of cycle 24. We discuss the unusual bump in HCME activity in the declining phase of cycle 23 as due to exceptional active regions that produced many CMEs during October 2003 to October 2005. The differing HCME properties in the two cycles can be attributed to the anomalous expansion of cycle-24 CMEs. Considering the HCMEs in the rise, maximum and declining phases, we find that the maximum phase shows the highest contrast between the two cycles., Comment: 23 pages,5 figures,2 tables, accepted for publication in the Astrophysical journal(ApJ)

This paper summarizes some recent results in the low-frequency radio physics of the Sun. The spatial domain covers the space from the outer corona to the orbit of Earth. The results obtained make use of radio dynamic spectra and white-light coronagraph images and involve radio bursts associated with solar eruptions and those occurring outside solar eruptions. In particular, the connection between type II radio bursts and the sustained gamma-ray emission from the Sun is highlighted. The directivity of interplanetary type IV bursts found recently is discussed to understand the physical reason behind it. A new event showing the diffuse interplanetary radio emission (DIRE) is introduced and its properties are compared with those of regular type II bursts. The DIRE is from the flanks of a CME-driven shock propagating through nearby streamer. Finally, a new noise storm observed by two spacecraft is briefly discussed to highlight its evolution over two solar rotations including the disruption and recovery by solar eruptions., Comment: 16 pages, 8 figures, to appear in Journal of Computational and Interdisciplinary Science

We report on a comparison of the expansion speeds of limb coronal mass ejections (CMEs) between solar cycles 23 and 24. We selected a large number of limb CME events associated with soft X-ray flare size greater than or equal to M1.0 from both cycles. We used data and measurement tools available at the online CME catalog (https://cdaw.gsfc.nasa.gov) that consists of the properties of all CMEs detected by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory's (SOHO) Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO). We found that the expansion speeds in cycle 24 are higher than those in cycle 23. We also found that the relation between radial and expansion speeds has different slopes in cycles 23 and 24. The cycle 24 slope is 45% higher than that in cycle 23. The expansion speed is also higher for a given radial speed. The difference increases with speed. For a 2000 km/s radial speed, the expansion speed in cycle 24 is ~48% higher. These results present additional evidence for the anomalous expansion of cycle 24-CMEs, which is due to the reduced total pressure in the heliosphere., Comment: 7 pages, 4 figures, accepted for publication in the Journal of Physics Conference Series,to appear in the Proc. 19th International Astrophysics Conference held in Santa Fe, New Mexico, March 9 - 13, 2020

We compare the properties of halo coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that originate close to the limb (within a central meridian distance range of 60 to 90 deg) during solar cycles 23 and 24 to quantify the effect of the heliospheric state on CME properties. There are 44 and 38 limb halos in the cycles 23 and 24, respectively. Normalized to the cycle-averaged total sunspot number, there are 42 percent more limb halos in cycle 24. Although the limb halos as a population is very fast (average speed 1464 km s-1), cycle-24 halos are slower by 26 percent than the cycle-23 halos. We introduce a new parameter, the heliocentric distance of the CME leading edge at the time a CME becomes a full halo; this height is significantly shorter in cycle 24 (by 20 percent) and has a lower cutoff at 6 Rs. These results show that cycle-24 CMEs become halos sooner and at a lower speed than the cycle-23 ones. On the other hand, the flare sizes are very similar in the two cycles, ruling out the possibility of eruption characteristics contributing to the differing CME properties. In summary, this study reveals the effect of the reduced total pressure in the heliosphere that allows cycle-24 CMEs expand more and become halos sooner than in cycle 23. Our findings have important implications for the space-weather consequences of CMEs in cycle 25 (predicted to be similar to cycle 24) and for understanding the disparity in halo counts reported by automatic and manual catalogs., Comment: 13 pages, 4 figures, one table, accepted for publication in Astrophys. J Lett. on June 10, 2020

The ionospheric critical frequency (foF2) from ionosonde measurements at geographic high, middle, and low latitudes is analyzed with the occurrence of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in long term variability of the solar cycles. We observed trends of monthly maximum foF2 values and monthly averaged values of CME parameters such as speed, angular width, mass, and kinetic energy with respect to time. The impact of CMEs on foF2 is very high at high latitudes and low at low latitudes. The time series for monthly maximum foF2 and monthly-averaged CME speed is moderately correlated at high and middle latitudes.

Positrons play a major role in the emission of solar gamma-rays at energies from a few hundred keV to >1 GeV. Although the processes leading to positron production in the solar atmosphere are well known, the origin of the underlying energetic particles that interact with the ambient particles is poorly understood. With the aim of understanding the full gamma-ray spectrum of the Sun, I review the key emission mechanisms that contribute to the observed gamma-ray spectrum, focusing on the ones involving positrons. In particular, I review the processes involved in the 0.511 MeV positron annihilation line and the positronium continuum emissions at low energies, and the pion continuum emission at high energies in solar eruptions. It is thought that particles accelerated at the flare reconnection and at the shock driven by coronal mass ejections are responsible for the observed gamma-ray features. Based on some recent developments I suggest that energetic particles from both mechanisms may contribute to the observed gamma-ray spectrum in the impulsive phase, while the shock mechanism is responsible for the extended phase., Comment: 12 pages, 6 figures, 1 table, to appear in Atoms

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are one of the primary drivers of extreme space weather. They are large eruptions of mass and magnetic field from the solar corona and can travel the distance between Sun and Earth in half a day to a few days. Predictions of CMEs at 1 Astronomical Unit (AU), in terms of both its arrival time and magnetic field configuration, are very important for predicting space weather. Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) modeling of CMEs, using flux-rope-based models is a promising tool for achieving this goal. In this study, we present one such model for CME simulations, based on spheromak magnetic field configuration. We have modified the spheromak solution to allow for independent input of poloidal and toroidal fluxes. The motivation for this is a possibility to estimate these fluxes from solar magnetograms and extreme ultraviolet (EUV) data from a number of different approaches. We estimate the poloidal flux of CME using post eruption arcades (PEAs) and toroidal flux from the coronal dimming. In this modified spheromak, we also have an option to control the helicity sign of flux ropes, which can be derived from the solar disk magnetograms using the magnetic tongue approach. We demonstate the applicability of this model by simulating the 12 July 2012 CME in the solar corona.

The radial speed of a coronal mass ejection (CME) determines the shock-driving capability of a CME as indicated by the presence of a type II radio burst. Here we report on the April 18, 2014 CME that was associated with a type II radio burst in the metric and interplanetary domains. We used the radio-burst data provided by the San Vito Solar Observatory of the Radio Solar Telescope Network and data from the Wind spacecraft. The CME is a full halo in the field of view of the coronagraphs on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO). The CME was also observed by the coronagraphs on board the Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO). We computed the CME shock and flux rope speeds based on the multi-view observations by the different coronagraphs and by EUV instruments. We determined the shock speed from metric and interplanetary radio observations and found them to be consistent with white-light observations, provided the metric type II burst and its continuation into the decameter-hectometric domain are produced at the shock flanks, where the speed is still high enough to accelerate electrons that produce the type II bursts. Interestingly, there was an interplanetary type II burst segment consistent with an origin at the shock nose suggesting that the curved shock was crossing plasma levels separated by a few solar radii. We conclude that the CME speed is high enough to produce the interplanetary Type II burst and a solar energetic particle (SEP) event. However, the speed is not high enough to produce a ground level enhancement (GLE) event, which requires the shock to form at a height of ~1.5 Rs., Comment: 15 pages, 6 figures, accepted for publication in Sun and Geosphere, a special issue devoted to ISWI-2019

Metric type II solar radio bursts and solar energetic particles (SEPs) are both associated with shock fronts driven by coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the solar corona. Recent studies of ground level enhancements (GLEs), regular large solar energetic particle (SEP) events and filament eruption (FE) associated large SEP events have shown that SEP events are organized by spectral index of proton fluence spectra and by the average starting frequencies of the associated type II radio bursts. Both these results indicate a hierarchical relationship between CME kinematics and SEP event properties. In this study, we expand the investigations to fluence spectra and the longitudinal extent of metric type II associated SEP events including low-intensity SEP events. We utilize SEP measurements of particle instruments on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) and Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) spacecraft together with radio bursts observations by ground-based radio observatories during solar cycle 24. Our results show that low-intensity SEP events follow the hierarchy of spectral index or the hierarchy of the starting frequency of type II radio bursts. We also find indications of a trend between the onset frequency of metric type II bursts and the estimated longitudinal extent of the SEP events although the scatter of data points is quite large. These two results strongly support the idea of SEP acceleration by shocks. Stronger shocks develop closer to the Sun., Comment: 24 pages, 5 figures, accepted for publication in Sun and Geosphere, a special issue devoted to the ISWI Workshop, Trieste, Italy, 20 - 24 May, 2019

Solar type II radio bursts are the signature of particle acceleration by shock waves in the solar corona and interplanetary medium. The shocks originate in solar eruptions involving coronal mass ejections (CMEs) moving at super-Alfvenic speeds. Type II bursts occur at frequencies ranging from hundreds of MHz to tens of kHz, which correspond to plasma frequencies prevailing in the inner heliosphere from the base of the solar corona to the vicinity of Earth. Type II radio bursts occurring at frequencies below the ionospheric cutoff are of particular importance, because they are due to very energetic CMEs that can disturb a large volume of the heliosphere. The underlying shocks accelerate not only electrons that produce the type II bursts, but also protons and heavy ions that have serious implications for space weather. The type II radio burst catalog (https://cdaw.gsfc.nasa.gov/CME_list/radio/waves_type2.html) presented here provides detailed information on the bursts observed by the Radio and Plasma Wave Experiment (WAVES) on board the Wind Spacecraft. The catalog is enhanced by compiling the associated flares, CMEs, solar energetic particle (SEP) events including their basic properties. We also present the statistical properties of the radio bursts and the associated phenomena, including solar-cycle variation of the occurrence rate of the type II bursts., Comment: 29 pages, 12 figures, one table, to appear in Sun and Geosphere

We report on an observationally constrained analytical model, the INterplanetary Flux ROpe Simulator (INFROS), for predicting the magnetic-field vectors of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in the interplanetary medium. The main architecture of INFROS involves using the near-Sun flux rope properties obtained from the observational parameters that are evolved through the model in order to estimate the magnetic field vectors of interplanetary CMEs (ICMEs) at any heliocentric distance. We have formulated a new approach in INFROS to incorporate the expanding nature and the time-varying axial magnetic field-strength of the flux rope during its passage over the spacecraft. As a proof of concept, we present the case study of an Earth-impacting CME which occurred on 2013 April 11. Using the near-Sun properties of the CME flux rope, we have estimated the magnetic vectors of the ICME as intersected by the spacecraft at 1 AU. The predicted magnetic field profiles of the ICME show good agreement with those observed by the in-situ spacecraft. Importantly, the maximum strength (10.5 $\pm$ 2.5 nT) of the southward component of the magnetic field (Bz) obtained from the model prediction, is in agreement with the observed value (11 nT). Although our model does not include the prediction of the ICME plasma parameters, as a first order approximation it shows promising results in forecasting of Bz in near real time which is critical for predicting the severity of the associated geomagnetic storms. This could prove to be a simple space-weather forecasting tool compared to the time-consuming and computationally expensive MHD models., Comment: 16 pages, 10 figures, Accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal

The free energy that is dissipated in a magnetic reconnection process of a solar flare, generally accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (CME), has been considered as the ultimate energy source of the global energy budget of solar flares in previous statistical studies. Here we explore the effects of the aerodynamic drag force on CMEs, which supplies additional energy from the slow solar wind to a CME event, besides the magnetic energy supply. For this purpose we fit the analytical aerodynamic drag model of Cargill (2004) and Vrsnak et al.~{\bf (2013)} to the height-time profiles $r(t)$ of LASCO/SOHO data in 14,316 CME events observed during the first 8 years (2010-2017) of the SDO era {\bf (ensuring EUV coverage with AIA)}. Our main findings are: (i) a mean solar wind speed of $w=472 \pm 414$ km s$^{-1}$, (ii) a maximum drag-accelerated CME energy of $E_{drag} \lapprox 2 \times 10^{32}$ erg, (iii) a maximum flare-accelerated CME energy of $E_{flare} \lapprox 1.5 \times 10^{33}$ erg; (iv) the ratio of the summed kinetic energies of all flare-accelerated CMEs to the drag-accelerated CMEs amounts to a factor of 4; (v) the inclusion of the drag force slightly lowers the overall energy budget of CME kinetic energies in flares from $\approx 7\%$ to $\approx 4\%$; and (vi) the arrival times of CMEs at Earth can be predicted with an accuracy of $\approx 23\%$., Comment: 11 figures

The most important parameter in the coupling between solar wind and geomagnetic activity is the $B_z$-component of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). However, recent studies have shown that IMF $B_y$ is an additional, independent driver of geomagnetic activity. We use here local geomagnetic indices from a large network of magnetic stations to study how IMF $B_y$ affects geomagnetic activity at different latitudes for all solar wind and, separately during coronal mass ejections (CMEs). We show that geomagnetic activity, for all solar wind, is 20% stronger for $B_y>0$ than for $B_y<0$ at subauroral latitudes of about $60^{\circ}$ corrected geomagnetic (CGM) latitude. During CMEs, the $B_y$-effect is larger, about 40%, at slightly lower latitudes of about $57^{\circ}$ (CGM) latitude. These results highlight the importance of the IMF $B_y$-component for space weather at different latitudes and must be taken into account in space weather modeling.

We demonstrate how the parameters of a Gibson-Low flux-rope-based coronal mass ejection (CME) can be constrained using remote observations. Our Multi Scale Fluid-Kinetic Simulation Suite (MS-FLUKSS) has been used to simulate the propagation of a CME in a data driven solar corona background computed using the photospheric magnetogram data. We constrain the CME model parameters using the observations of such key CME properties as its speed, orientation, and poloidal flux. The speed and orientation are estimated using multi-viewpoint white-light coronagraph images. The reconnected magnetic flux in the area covered by the post eruption arcade is used to estimate the poloidal flux in the CME flux rope. We simulate the partial halo CME on 7 March 2011 to demonstrate the efficiency of our approach. This CME erupted with the speed of 812 km/s and its poloidal flux, as estimated from source active region data, was 4.9e21 Mx. Using our approach, we were able to simulate this CME with the speed 840 km/s and the poloidal flux of 5.1e21 Mx, in remarkable agreement with the observations.

The near-Sun kinematics of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) determine the severity and arrival time of associated geomagnetic storms. We investigate the relationship between the deprojected speed and kinetic energy of CMEs and magnetic measures of their solar sources, reconnection flux of associated eruptive events and intrinsic flux rope characteristics. Our data covers the period 2010-2014 in solar cycle 24. Using vector magnetograms of source active regions we estimate the size and nonpotentiality. We compute the total magnetic reconnection flux at the source regions of CMEs using the post-eruption arcade method. By forward modeling the CMEs we find their deprojected geometric parameters and constrain their kinematics and magnetic properties. Based on an analysis of this database we report that the correlation between CME speed and their source active region size and global nonpotentiality is weak, but not negligible. We find the near-Sun velocity and kinetic energy of CMEs to be well correlated with the associated magnetic reconnection flux. We establish a statistically significant empirical relationship between the CME speed and reconnection flux that may be utilized for prediction purposes. Furthermore, we find CME kinematics to be related with the axial magnetic field intensity and relative magnetic helicity of their intrinsic flux ropes. The amount of coronal magnetic helicity shed by CMEs is found to be well correlated with their near-Sun speeds. The kinetic energy of CMEs is well correlated with their intrinsic magnetic energy density. Our results constrain processes related to the origin and propagation of CMEs and may lead to better empirical forecasting of their arrival and geoeffectiveness., Comment: 15 pages. 8 figures

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have become one of the key indicators of solar activity, especially in terms of the consequences of the transient events in the heliosphere. Although CMEs are closely related to the sunspot number (SSN), they are also related to other closed magnetic regions on the Sun such as quiescent filament regions. This makes CMEs a better indicator of solar activity. While sunspots mainly represent the toroidal component of solar magnetism, quiescent filaments (and hence CMEs associated with them) connect the toroidal and poloidal components via the rush-to-the-pole (RTTP) phenomenon. Taking the end of RTTP in each hemisphere as an indicator of solar polarity reversal, it is shown that the north-south reversal asymmetry has a quasi-periodicity of 3-5 solar cycles. Focusing on the geospace consequences of CMEs, it is shown that the maximum CME speeds averaged over Carrington rotation period show good correlation with geomagnetic activity indices such as Dst and aa., Comment: 7 pages, 4 figures, Proc. IAU Symposium 340 on Long-term datasets for the understanding of solar and stellar magnetic cycles, February 19-24, 2018 Jaipur, India. Accepted for publication on April 30, 2018

We compare the magnetic helicity in the 17-18 March 2013 interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) flux-rope at 1 AU and in its solar counterpart. The progenitor coronal mass ejection (CME) erupted on 15 March 2013 from NOAA active region 11692 and associated with an M1.1 flare. We derive the source region reconnection flux using post-eruption arcade (PEA) method (Gopalswamy et al. 2017a) that uses the photospheric magnetogram and the area under the PEA. The geometrical properties of the near-Sun flux rope is obtained by forward-modeling of white-light CME observations. Combining the geometrical properties and the reconnection flux we extract the magnetic properties of the CME flux rope (Gopalswamy et al. 2017b). We derive the magnetic helicity of the flux rope using its magnetic and geometric properties obtained near the Sun and at 1 AU. We use a constant-{\alpha} force-free cylindrical flux rope model fit to the in situ observations in order to derive the magnetic and geometric information of the 1-AU ICME. We find a good correspondence in both amplitude and sign of the helicity between the ICME and the CME assuming a semi-circular (half torus) ICME flux rope with a length of {\pi} AU. We find that about 83% of the total flux rope helicity at 1 AU is injected by the magnetic reconnection in the low corona. We discuss the effect of assuming flux rope length in the derived value of the magnetic helicity. This study connecting the helicity of magnetic flux ropes through the Sun-Earth system has important implications for the origin of helicity in the interplanetary medium and the topology of ICME flux ropes at 1 AU and hence their space weather consequences., Comment: 14 pages, 7 figures

We report on a technique to construct a flux rope (FR) from eruption data at the Sun. The technique involves line-of-sight magnetic fields, post-eruption arcades in the corona, and white-light coronal mass ejections (CMEs) so that the FR geometric and magnetic properties can be fully defined in addition to the kinematic properties. We refer to this FR as FRED (Flux Rope from Eruption Data). We illustrate the FRED construction using the 2012 July 12 eruption and compare the coronal and interplanetary properties of the FR. The results indicate that the FRED input should help make realistic predictions of the components of the FR magnetic field in the heliosphere., Comment: 4 pages, 2 figures, IAU Symposium 335: Space Weather of the Heliosphere: Processes and Forecasts

Solar eruptions generally refer to coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and flares. Both are important sources of space weather. Solar flares cause sudden change in the ionization level in the ionosphere. CMEs cause solar energetic particle (SEP) events and geomagnetic storms. A flare with unusually high intensity and/or a CME with extremely high energy can be thought of examples of extreme events on the Sun. These events can also lead to extreme SEP events and/or geomagnetic storms. Ultimately, the energy that powers CMEs and flares are stored in magnetic regions on the Sun, known as active regions. Active regions with extraordinary size and magnetic field have the potential to produce extreme events. Based on current data sets, we estimate the sizes of one-in-hundred and one-in-thousand year events as an indicator of the extremeness of the events. We consider both the extremeness in the source of eruptions and in the consequences. We then compare the estimated 100-year and 1000-year sizes with the sizes of historical extreme events measured or inferred., Comment: 39 pages, 13 figures, 2 tables, accepted on August 8, 2017 to be published by Elsevier as a chapter in the book, "Extreme Events in the Geospace: Origins, Predictability and Consequences", Ed. Natalia Buzulukova

The backside coronal mass ejection (CME) of 2012 July 23 had a short Sun to Earth shock transit time (18.5 hours). The associated solar energetic particle (SEP) event had a >10 MeV proton flux peaking at ~5000 pfu, and the energetic storm particle (ESP) event was an order of magnitude larger, making it the most intense event in the space era at these energies. By a detailed analysis of the CME, shock, and SEP characteristics, we find that the July 23 event is consistent with a high-energy SEP event (accelerating particles to GeV energies). The time of maximum and fluence spectra in the range 10-100 MeV were very hard, similar to those of ground level enhancement (GLE) events. We found a hierarchical relationship between the CME initial speeds and the fluence spectral indices: CMEs with low initial speeds had SEP events with the softest spectra, while those with highest initial speeds had SEP events with the hardest spectra. CMEs attaining intermediate speeds result in moderately hard spectra. The July 23 event was in the group of hard-spectrum events. During the July 23 event, the shock speed (>2000 km s^-1), the initial acceleration (~1.70 km s^-2), and the shock formation height (~1.5 solar radii) were all typical of GLE events. The associated type II burst had emission components from metric to kilometric wavelengths suggesting a strong shock. These observation confirm that the 2012 July 23 event is likely to be an extreme event in terms of the energetic particles it accelerated., Comment: 36 pages, 15 figures, 3 tables, accepted for publication in ApJ on October 18, 2016

We study the large solar energetic particle (SEP) events that were detected by GOES in the $>$ 10 MeV energy channel during December 2006 to March 2014. We derive and compare solar particle release (SPR) times for the 0.25--10.4 MeV electrons and 10--100 MeV protons for the 28 SEP events. In the study, the electron SPR times are derived with the time-shifting analysis (TSA) and the proton SPR times are derived using both the TSA and the velocity dispersion analysis (VDA). Electron anisotropies are computed to evaluate the amount of scattering for the events under study. Our main results include: 1)near-relativistic electrons and high-energy protons are released at the same time within 8 min for most (16 of 23) SEP events. 2)There exists a good correlation between electron and proton acceleration, peak intensity and intensity time profiles. 3) The TSA SPR times for 90.5 MeV and 57.4 MeV protons have maximum errors of 6 min and 10 min compared to the proton VDA release times, respectively, while the maximum error for 15.4 MeV protons can reach to 32 min. 4) For 7 low-intensity events of the 23, large delays occurred between 6.5 MeV electrons and 90.5 MeV protons relative to 0.5 MeV electrons. Whether these delays are due to times needed for the evolving shock to be strengthened or due to particle transport effects remains unresolved.

An intense type IV radio burst was observed by the STEREO Behind (STB) spacecraft located about 144 degres behind Earth. The burst was associated with a large solar eruption that occurred on the backside of the Sun (N05E151) close to the disk center in the STB view. The eruption was also observed by the STEREO Ahead (STA) spacecraft (located at 149 degrees ahead of Earth) as an eruption close to the west limb (N05W60) in that view. The type IV burst was complete in STB observations in that the envelope reached the lowest frequency and then receded to higher frequencies. The burst was partial viewed from STA, revealing only the edge coming down to the lowest frequency. The type IV burst was not observed at all near Earth because the source was 61 degrees behind the east limb. The eruption was associated with a low-frequency type II burst observed in all three views, although it was not very intense. Solar energetic particles were also observed at both STEREOs and at SOHO, suggesting that the shock was much extended, consistent with the very high speed of the CME (about 2048 km/s). These observations suggest that the type IV emission is directed along a narrow cone above the flare site. We confirm this result statistically using the type IV bursts of solar cycle 23., Comment: 4 pages, 4 figures, contributed paper to b presented at the URSI Asia-Pacific Radio Science Conference in Seoul, August 21-25, 2016

We report on the status of solar cycle 24 based on polar prominence eruptions (PEs) and microwave brightness enhancement (MBE) information obtained by the Nobeyama radioheliograph. The north polar region of the Sun had near-zero field strength for more than three years (2012 to 2015) and ended only in September 2015 as indicated by the presence of polar PEs and the lack of MBE. The zero-polar-field condition in the south started only around 2013, but it ended by June 2014. Thus the asymmetry in the times of polarity reversal switched between cycle 23 and 24. The polar MBE is a good proxy for the polar magnetic field strength as indicated by the high degree of correlation between the two. The cross-correlation between the high- and low-latitude MBEs is significant for a lag of ~5.5 to 7.3 years, suggesting that the polar field of one cycle indicates the sunspot number of the next cycle in agreement with the Babcock-Leighton mechanism of solar cycles. The extended period of near-zero field in the north-polar region should result in a weak and delayed sunspot activity in the northern hemisphere in cycle 25., Comment: 4 pages, 6 figures, invited paper to the URSI Asia-Pacific Radio Science Conference in Seoul, August 21-25, 2016

Low-frequency radio phenomena are due to the presence of nonthermal electrons in the interplanetary (IP) medium. Understanding these phenomena is important in characterizing the space environment near Earth and other destinations in the solar system. Substantial progress has been made in the past two decades, because of the continuous and uniform data sets available from space-based radio and white-light instrumentation. This paper highlights some recent results obtained on IP radio phenomena. In particular, the source of type IV radio bursts, the behavior of type III storms, shock propagation in the IP medium, and the solar-cycle variation of type II radio bursts are considered. All these phenomena are closely related to solar eruptions and active region evolution. The results presented were obtained by combining data from the Wind and SOHO missions., Comment: 4 pages, 7 figures, invited paper to the URSI Asia-Pacific Radio Science Conference in Seoul, August 21-25, 2016

We report on the prolonged solar-maximum conditions until late 2015 at the north-polar region of the Sun indicated by the occurrence of high-latitude prominence eruptions and microwave brightness temperature close to the quiet Sun level. These two aspects of solar activity indicate that the polarity reversal was completed by mid-2014 in the south and late 2015 in the north. . The microwave brightness in the south-polar region has increased to a level exceeding the level of cycle 23/24 minimum, but just started to increase in the north. The north-south asymmetry in the polarity reversal has switched from that in cycle 23. These observations lead us to the hypothesis that the onset of cycle 25 in the northern hemisphere is likely to be delayed with respect to that in the southern hemisphere. We find that the unusual condition in the north is a direct consequence of the arrival of poleward surges of opposite polarity from the active region belt. We also find that multiple rush-to-the-pole episodes were indicated by the prominence eruption locations that lined up at the boundary between opposite polarity surges. The high-latitude prominence eruptions occurred in the boundary between the incumbent polar flux and the insurgent flux of opposite polarity., Comment: 12 pages, 4 figures, 1 table, Accepted for publication in ApJ Lett. on May 6, 2016

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are relatively a recently-discovered phenomenon, in 1971, some fifteen years into the Space Era. It took another two decades to realize that CMEs are the most important players in solar terrestrial relationship as the root cause of severe weather in Earth's space environment. CMEs are now counted among the major natural hazards because they cause large solar energetic particle (SEP) events and major geomagnetic storms, both of which pose danger to humans and their technology in space and ground. Geomagnetic storms discovered in the 1700s, solar flares discovered in the 1800s, and SEP events discovered in the1900s are all now found to be closely related to CMEs via various physical processes occurring at various locations in and around CMEs, when they interact with the ambient medium. This article identifies a number of key developments that preceded the discovery of white-light CMEs suggesting that CMEs were waiting to be discovered. The last two decades witnessed an explosion of CME research following the launch of the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory mission in 1995, resulting in the establishment of a full picture of CMEs., Comment: 36 pages, 11 figures, accepted for publication in Geoscience Letters February 10, 2016