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Totten Glacier is a fast-moving East Antarctic outlet with the potential for significant future sea-level contributions. We deployed four autonomous phase-sensitive radars on its ice shelf to monitor ice-ocean interactions near its grounding zone and made active source seismic observations to constrain gravity-derived bathymetry models. We observe an asymmetry in basal melting with mean melt rates along the grounding zone differing by up to 20 m/a. Our new bathymetry model reveals that this melt rate asymmetry coincides with an asymmetry in water column thickness and that the low-melting ice-shelf portion is shielded from the main cavity circulation. A 2-year record yields year-to-year melt rate variability of 7–9 m/a with no seasonal cycle. Our results highlight the key role of bathymetry near grounding lines for accurate modeling of ice-shelf melt, and the importance of sustained multi-year monitoring, especially at ice-shelf cavities where the dominant melt rate drivers vary primarily inter-annually.

Ice shelf shape directly controls ocean heat intrusions, melting near the grounding line, and buttressing. Little is known about what determines ice-shelf shape because ice-ocean coupled simulations typically aim at projecting Antarctica's contribution to sea-level rise and they do not resolve small-scale ice-ocean interactive processes. We conduct ice-ocean coupled simulations for an idealized high-resolution, Pine-Island-like model configuration. We show that ocean melting and ice stretching caused by acceleration thin the ice shelf from the grounding line toward the ice shelf front, consistent with previous studies. In the across-flow direction, ocean melting and ice advection cancel each other out and flatten the ice shelf. More than one-third of the ice thinning from grounding line to ice front can be attributed to ocean melting at depths shallower than 500 m. Our results emphasize the importance of interactive processes between the entire ice shelf and the ocean for determining the ice shelf shape. Plain Language Summary Antarctic ice flows into the ocean and forms a floating extension of land ice called an ice shelf. The ice shelf shape directly controls the amount of ocean heat intrusions, melting near the grounding line, and buttressing. However, little is understood about ice-ocean interactive processes determining ice shelf shape because (a) ocean modelers apply a constant cavity geometry, (b) ice modelers mostly assume simplified melting parameterization, and (c) ice-ocean coupled simulations typically aim at projections of Antarctica's sea-level contributions and they require long model integration. We conduct ice-ocean coupled simulations for an idealized high-resolution Pine-Island-like model configuration. Basal melting and ice stretching create a typical ice shelf shape with steep thinning near the grounding line followed by gradual thinning toward the ice shelf front. In the across-flow direction, ice divergence from the center advects ice toward e

The Totten ice shelf (TIS) in East Antarctica has received increasing attention in recent years due to high basal melt rates, which have been linked to a presence of warm modified Circumpolar Deep Water (mCDW) observed at the ice front. We show that mCDW on-shelf intrusions towards the TIS strengthen when the Antarctic Slope Current (ASC) weakens. This demonstrates that the ASC has a blocking effect and ASC weakening leads to on-shelf intrusions, as proposed by previous observational studies. The interannual variability of the ASC is controlled primarily by atmospheric and oceanic conditions beyond our regional model domain. We further show that heat intrusions onto the continental shelf off the TIS are not influenced by off-shelf warming but are enhanced with coastal freshening, suggesting positive feedback whereby ice melt and freshening upstream could start a chain reaction, leading to increased melt, and further coastal freshening.