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7 results on '"Guérémy, J.-F."'

2. Tracking Changes in Climate Sensitivity in CNRM Climate Models

Author

Saint‐Martin, D., primary, Geoffroy, O., additional, Voldoire, A., additional, Cattiaux, J., additional, Brient, F., additional, Chauvin, F., additional, Chevallier, M., additional, Colin, J., additional, Decharme, B., additional, Delire, C., additional, Douville, H., additional, Guérémy, J.‐F., additional, Joetzjer, E., additional, Ribes, A., additional, Roehrig, R., additional, Terray, L., additional, and Valcke, S., additional

Published
2021
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4. Evaluation of CMIP6 DECK Experiments With CNRM‐CM6‐1

Author

Voldoire, A., primary, Saint‐Martin, D., additional, Sénési, S., additional, Decharme, B., additional, Alias, A., additional, Chevallier, M., additional, Colin, J., additional, Guérémy, J.‐F., additional, Michou, M., additional, Moine, M.‐P., additional, Nabat, P., additional, Roehrig, R., additional, Salas y Mélia, D., additional, Séférian, R., additional, Valcke, S., additional, Beau, I., additional, Belamari, S., additional, Berthet, S., additional, Cassou, C., additional, Cattiaux, J., additional, Deshayes, J., additional, Douville, H., additional, Ethé, C., additional, Franchistéguy, L., additional, Geoffroy, O., additional, Lévy, C., additional, Madec, G., additional, Meurdesoif, Y., additional, Msadek, R., additional, Ribes, A., additional, Sanchez‐Gomez, E., additional, Terray, L., additional, and Waldman, R., additional

Published
2019
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5. Development of a European Multi-Model Ensemble System for Seasonal to Inter-Annual Prediction (DEMETER)

Author

Palmer, Tim, Alessandri, Andrea, Andersen, U., Cantelaube, P., Davey, M., Délécluse, P., Déqué, Michel, Díez Muyo, Elia, Doblas-Reyes, Francisco Javier, Feddersen, Henrik, Graham, Richard, Gualdi, Silvio, Guérémy, J. -F., Hagedorn, R., Hoshen, M., Latif, Mojib, Lazar, Alban, Maisonnave, E., Marletto, Vittorio, Morse, Andrew, Orfila, Bartolomé, Rogel, P., Terres, J. -M., and Thomson, Madeleine C.

Subjects
Ensemble Prediction System, DEMETER, Atmosphere–ocean coupled models, Precipitation forecasts, Seasonal forecast
Abstract

A multi-model ensemble-based system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction has been developed in a joint European project known as DEMETER (Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal to Interannual Prediction). The DEMETER system comprises seven global atmosphere–ocean coupled models, each running from an ensemble of initial conditions. Comprehensive hindcast evaluation demonstrates the enhanced reliability and skill of the multimodel ensemble over a more conventional single-model ensemble approach. In addition, innovative examples of the application of seasonal ensemble forecasts in malaria and crop yield prediction are discussed. The strategy followed in DEMETER deals with important problems such as communication across disciplines, downscaling of climate simulations, and use of probabilistic forecast information in the applications sector, illustrating the economic value of seasonal-to-interannual prediction for society as a whole. The DEMETER project has been funded by the European Union under the Contract EVK2-1999-00024.

Published
2004

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