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Development of new therapeutics for a rare disease such as cystic fibrosis is hindered by challenges in accruing enough patients for clinical trials. Use of external controls from well-matched historical trials can reduce prospective trial sizes, and this approach has supported regulatory approval of new interventions for other rare diseases. Here we consider 3 statistical methods that incorporate external controls into a hypothetical clinical trial of a new treatment to reduce pulmonary exacerbations in cystic fibrosis patients: (1) inverse probability weighting, (2) bayesian modeling with propensity-score–based power priors, and (3) hierarchical bayesian modeling with commensurate priors. We compare the methods via simulation study and in a real clinical-trial data setting. Simulations showed that bias in the treatment effect was less than 4% using any of the methods, with type I error (or in the bayesian cases, posterior probability of the null hypothesis) usually less than 5%. Inverse probability weighting was sensitive to similarity in prevalence of the covariates between historical and prospective trial populations. The commensurate prior method performed best with real clinical trial data. Using external controls to reduce trial size in future clinical trials holds promise and can advance the therapeutic pipeline for rare diseases. This article is part of a Special Collection on Pharmacoepidemiology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• -The antibiotic spectrum index (ASI) is an antimicrobial stewardship tool in research. • -This study created two CF-specific ASI scores for use in CF research. • -Opportunities exist to incorporate the ASI and stewardship principles into CF care. Antibiotics are frequently utilized for cystic fibrosis (CF)-related pulmonary exacerbation treatment. The antibiotic spectrum index (ASI) is an antimicrobial stewardship tool developed to compare the relative breadth of individual antibiotics. This study aimed to create two expanded CF-specific ASI scoring indices for use in antimicrobial stewardship research and clinical care. The first scoring index expanded the original ASI to include bacterial microorganisms common to CF airway infections (CF-ASI). The second scoring system only included scores for bacterial microorganisms classically identified in CF airway infections (CF-sASI). Sixty-two antibiotics were evaluated and included in the updated ASIs. When multiple antibiotics are prescribed, we proposed using an additive ASI approach whereby the sum of the individual prescribed antibiotic scores represents the total ASI score. The application of CF-focused ASIs into CF research and stewardship programs can help to optimize antibiotic benefits, minimize harms and allow for increased sustainability of antibiotic use in CF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND. Lung infections are among the most consequential manifestations of cystic fibrosis (CF) and are associated with reduced lung function and shortened survival. Drugs called CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) modulators improve activity of dysfunctional CFTR channels, which is the physiological defect causing CF. However, it is unclear how improved CFTR activity affects CF lung infections. METHODS. We performed a prospective, multicenter, observational study to measure the effect of the newest and most effective CFTR modulator, elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor (ETI), on CF lung infections. We studied sputum from 236 people with CF during their first 6 months of ETI using bacterial cultures, PCR, and sequencing. RESULTS. Mean sputum densities of Staphylococcus aureus, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, Achromobacter spp., and Burkholderia spp. decreased by 2-3 [log.sub.10] CFU/mL after 1 month of ETI. However, most participants remained culture positive for the pathogens cultured from their sputum before starting ETI. In those becoming culture negative after ETI, the pathogens present before treatment were often still detectable by PCR months after sputum converted to culture negative. Sequence-based analyses confirmed large reductions in CF pathogen genera, but other bacteria detected in sputum were largely unchanged. ETI treatment increased average sputum bacterial diversity and produced consistent shifts in sputum bacterial composition. However, these changes were caused by ETI-mediated decreases in CF pathogen abundance rather than changes in other bacteria. CONCLUSIONS. Treatment with the most effective CFTR modulator currently available produced large and rapid reductions in traditional CF pathogens in sputum, but most participants remain infected with the pathogens present before modulator treatment. TRIAL REGISTRATION. ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04038047. FUNDING. The Cystic Fibrosis Foundation and the NIH., Introduction Small-molecule drugs known as cystic fibrosis (CF) transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) modulators have transformed the care of most people with the genetic disease CF (1-6). These medications improve defective [...]

Rationale: Pulmonary exacerbations (PEx) remain the most common cause of morbidity, recurrent hospitalization, and diminished survival in people with cystic fibrosis (PWCF) and are characterized by excess inflammation. Corticosteroids are potent, widely available antiinflammatory drugs. However, corticosteroid efficacy data from randomized controlled trials in PWCF are limited. Objectives: To determine whether adjunctive systemic corticosteroid therapy is associated with improved outcomes in acute CF PEx. Methods: We performed a secondary analysis of Standardized Treatment of Pulmonary Exacerbations 2 (STOP2), a large multicenter randomized controlled trial of antimicrobial treatment durations for adult PWCF presenting with PEx, that included the use of corticosteroids as a stratification criterion in its randomization protocol. Corticosteroid treatment effects were determined after propensity score matching for covariates including age, sex, baseline forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), genotype, and randomization arm. The primary outcome measure was the change in percentage predicted FEV1 (ppFEV1). Symptoms, time to next PEx, and the incidence of adverse events (AEs) and serious adverse events (SAEs) were assessed as secondary endpoints. Phenotypic factors associated with the clinical decision to prescribe steroids were also investigated. Results: Corticosteroids were prescribed for 168 of 982 PEx events in STOP2 (17%). Steroid prescription was associated with decreased baseline ppFEV1, increased age, and female sex. Cotreatment with corticosteroids was independent of treatment arm allocation and did not result in greater mean ppFEV1 response, longer median time to next PEx, or more substantial symptomatic improvement compared with propensity-matched PWCF receiving antibiotics alone. AEs were not increased in corticosteroid-treated PWCF. The total number of SAEs—but not the number of corticosteroid-related or PEx-related SAEs—was higher among patients receiving corticosteroids. Conclusions: Empiric, physician-directed treatment with systemic corticosteroids, although common, is not associated with improved clinical outcomes in PWCF receiving antibiotics for PEx. Clinical trial registered with (NCT 02781610). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Rationale: Rates of viral respiratory infection (VRI) are similar in people with cystic fibrosis (CF) and the general population; however, the associations between VRI and CF pulmonary exacerbations (PEx) require further elucidation. Objectives: To determine VRI prevalence during CF PEx and evaluate associations between VRI, clinical presentation, and treatment response. Methods: The STOP2 (Standardized Treatment of Pulmonary Exacerbations II) study was a multicenter randomized trial to evaluate different durations of intravenous antibiotic therapy for PEx. In this ancillary study, participant sputum samples from up to three study visits were tested for respiratory viruses using multiplex polymerase chain reactions. Baselines and treatment-associated changes in mean lung function (percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s), respiratory symptoms (Chronic Respiratory Infection Symptom Score), weight, and C-reactive protein were compared as a function of virus detection. Odds of PEx retreatment within 30 days and future PEx hazard were modeled by logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression, respectively. Results: A total of 1,254 sputum samples from 621 study participants were analyzed. One or more respiratory viruses were detected in sputum samples from 245 participants (39.5%). Virus-positive participants were more likely to be receiving CF transmembrane conductance regulator modulator therapy (45% vs. 34%) and/or chronic azithromycin therapy (54% vs. 44%) and more likely to have received treatment for nontuberculous Mycobacterium infection in the preceding 2 years (7% vs. 3%). At study visit 1, virus-positive participants were more symptomatic (mean Chronic Respiratory Infection Symptom Score, 53.8 vs. 51.1), had evidence of greater systemic inflammation (log10 C-reactive protein concentration, 1.32 log10 mg/L vs. 1.23 log10 mg/L), and had a greater drop in percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second from the prior 6-month baseline (5.8 vs. 3.6). Virus positivity was associated with reduced risk of future PEx (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.69–0.99; P = 0.034) and longer median time to next PEx (255 d vs. 172 d; P = 0.021) compared with virus negativity. Conclusions: More than one-third of STOP2 participants treated for a PEx had a positive test result for a respiratory virus with more symptomatic initial presentation compared with virus-negative participants, but favorable long-term outcomes. More refined phenotyping of PEx, taking VRIs into account, may aid in optimizing personalized management of PEx. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT 02781610). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]