Search

French astronomer Honor\'e Flaugergues compiled astronomical observations in a series of hand-written notebooks for 1782$\unicode{x2013}$1830, which are preserved at Paris Observatory. We reviewed these manuscripts and encoded the records that contain sunspot measurements into a numerical table for further analysis. All measurements are timings and we found three types of measurements allowing the reconstruction of heliographic coordinates. In the first case, the Sun and sunspots cross vertical and horizontal wires, in the second case, one vertical and two mirror-symmetric oblique wires, and in the third case, a rhombus-shaped set of wires. Additionally, timings of two solar eclipses also provided a few sunspot coordinates. As a result, we present the time--latitude (butterfly) diagram of the reconstructed sunspot coordinates, which covers the period of the Dalton Minimum and confirms consistency with those of Derfflinger and Prantner. We identify four solar cycles in this diagram and discuss the observed peculiarities as well as the data reliability.

The flux of energetic particles originating from the Sun fluctuates during the solar cycles. It depends on the number and properties of Active Regions (ARs) present in a single day and associated solar activities, such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). Observational records of the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC NOAA) enable the creation of time-indexed databases containing information about ARs and particle flux enhancements, most widely known as Solar Energetic Particle events (SEPs). In this work, we utilize the data available for Solar Cycles 21-24, and the initial phase of Cycle 25 to perform a statistical analysis of the correlation between SEPs and properties of ARs inferred from the McIntosh and Hale classifications. We find that the complexity of the magnetic field, longitudinal location, area, and penumbra type of the largest sunspot of ARs are most correlated with the production of SEPs. It is found that most SEPs ($\approx$60\%, or 108 out of 181 considered events) were generated from an AR classified with the 'k' McIntosh subclass as the second component, and these ARs are more likely to produce SEPs if they fall in a Hale class containing $\delta$ component. The resulting database containing information about SEP events and ARs is publicly available and can be used for the development of Machine Learning (ML) models to predict the occurrence of SEPs., Comment: 27 pages, 7 figures, 1 table

Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events and their major subclass, Solar Proton Events (SPEs), can have unfavorable consequences on numerous aspects of life and technology, making them one of the most harmful effects of solar activity. Garnering knowledge preceding such events by studying operational data flows is essential for their forecasting. Considering only Solar Cycle (SC) 24 in our previous study, Sadykov et al. 2021, we found that it may be sufficient to utilize only proton and soft X-ray (SXR) parameters for SPE forecasts. Here, we report a catalog recording $\geq$ 10 MeV $\geq$ 10 particle flux unit SPEs with their properties, spanning SCs 22-24, using NOAA's Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite flux data. We report an additional catalog of daily proton and SXR flux statistics for this period, employing it to test the application of machine learning (ML) on the prediction of SPEs using a Support Vector Machine (SVM) and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). We explore the effects of training models with data from one and two SCs, evaluating how transferable a model can be across different time periods. XGBoost proved to be more accurate than SVMs for almost every test considered, while outperforming operational SWPC NOAA predictions and a persistence forecast. Interestingly, training done with SC 24 produces weaker TSS and HSS2, even when paired with SC 22 or SC 23, indicating transferability issues. This work contributes towards validating forecasts using long-spanning data -- an understudied area in SEP research that should be considered to verify the cross-cycle robustness of ML-driven forecasts.

Catalogs of the Zurich Observatory contain positional information on sunspots, prominences and faculae in late 19th and early 20th centuries. This database is given in handwritten tabular form and was not systematically analysed earlier. It is different from the sunspot number time series made in Zurich and was obtained with a larger telescope. We trained a neural-network model for handwritten text recognition and present the database of reconstructed coordinates. The database obtained connects the earlier observations by Sp\"orer with later programs of the 20th century and supplements the sunspot-group catalogs of the Royal Greenwich Observatory. We also expect that the presented machine-learning approach and its deep capabilities will motivate the processing of a wide bulk of astronomical data, which is still given in non-digitized form or as plain scanned images.

Sunspot groups observed in white-light appear as complex structures. Analysis of these structures is usually based on simple morphological descriptors which capture only generic properties and miss information about fine details. We present a machine learning approach to introduce a complete yet compact description of sunspot groups. The idea is to map sunspot group images into an appropriate lower-dimensional (latent) space. We apply a combination of Variational Autoencoder and Principal Component Analysis to obtain a set of 285 latent descriptors. We demonstrate that the standard descriptors are embedded into the latent ones. Thus, latent features can be considered as an extended description of sunspot groups and, in our opinion, can expand the possibilities for the research on sunspot groups. In particular, we demonstrate an application for estimation of the sunspot group complexity. The proposed parametrization model is generic and can be applied to investigation of other traces of solar activity observed in various spectrum lines. Key components of this work, which are the parametrization model, dataset of sunspot groups and latent vectors, are available in the public GitHub repository github.com/observethesun/sunspot_groups and can be used to reproduce the results and for further research.

Solar Energetic Particle events (SEPs) are among the most dangerous transient phenomena of solar activity. As hazardous radiation, SEPs may affect the health of astronauts in outer space and adversely impact current and future space exploration. In this paper, we consider the problem of daily prediction of Solar Proton Events (SPEs) based on the characteristics of the magnetic fields in solar Active Regions (ARs), preceding soft X-ray and proton fluxes, and statistics of solar radio bursts. The machine learning (ML) algorithm uses an artificial neural network of custom architecture designed for whole-Sun input. The predictions of the ML model are compared with the SWPC NOAA operational forecasts of SPEs. Our preliminary results indicate that 1) for the AR-based predictions, it is necessary to take into account ARs at the western limb and on the far side of the Sun; 2) characteristics of the preceding proton flux represent the most valuable input for prediction; 3) daily median characteristics of ARs and the counts of type II, III, and IV radio bursts may be excluded from the forecast without performance loss; and 4) ML-based forecasts outperform SWPC NOAA forecasts in situations in which missing SPE events is very undesirable. The introduced approach indicates the possibility of developing robust "all-clear" SPE forecasts by employing machine learning methods., Comment: 22 pages, 8 figures, 4 tables

Coronal holes are the observational manifestation of the solar magnetic field open to the heliosphere and are of pivotal importance for our understanding of the origin and acceleration of the solar wind. Observations from space missions such as the Solar Dynamics Observatory now allow us to study coronal holes in unprecedented detail. Instrumental effects and other factors, however, pose a challenge to automatically detect coronal holes in solar imagery. The science community addresses these challenges with different detection schemes. Until now, little attention has been paid to assessing the disagreement between these schemes. In this COSPAR ISWAT initiative, we present a comparison of nine automated detection schemes widely-applied in solar and space science. We study, specifically, a prevailing coronal hole observed by the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly instrument on 2018 May 30. Our results indicate that the choice of detection scheme has a significant effect on the location of the coronal hole boundary. Physical properties in coronal holes such as the area, mean intensity, and mean magnetic field strength vary by a factor of up to 4.5 between the maximum and minimum values. We conclude that our findings are relevant for coronal hole research from the past decade, and are therefore of interest to the solar and space research community., Comment: Accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal. (Received January 20, 2021; Accepted March 25, 2021)

In this study we extract the deep features and investigate the compression of the Mg II k spectral line profiles observed in quiet Sun regions by NASA's IRIS satellite. The data set of line profiles used for the analysis was obtained on April 20th, 2020, at the center of the solar disc, and contains almost 300,000 individual Mg II k line profiles after data cleaning. The data are separated into train and test subsets. The train subset was used to train the autoencoder of the varying embedding layer size. The early stopping criterion was implemented on the test subset to prevent the model from overfitting. Our results indicate that it is possible to compress the spectral line profiles more than 27 times (which corresponds to the reduction of the data dimensionality from 110 to 4) while having a 4 DN average reconstruction error, which is comparable to the variations in the line continuum. The mean squared error and the reconstruction error of even statistical moments sharply decrease when the dimensionality of the embedding layer increases from 1 to 4 and almost stop decreasing for higher numbers. The observed occasional improvements in training for values higher than 4 indicate that a better compact embedding may potentially be obtained if other training strategies and longer training times are used. The features learned for the critical four-dimensional case can be interpreted. In particular, three of these four features mainly control the line width, line asymmetry, and line dip formation respectively. The presented results are the first attempt to obtain a compact embedding for spectroscopic line profiles and confirm the value of this approach, in particular for feature extraction, data compression, and denoising., Comment: 6 pages, 3 figures, submitted to CBMI 2021 (Special session: Mining and indexing multimedia data for remote sensing of the environment and our changing planet)

The authors of this white paper met on 16-17 January 2020 at the New Jersey Institute of Technology, Newark, NJ, for a 2-day workshop that brought together a group of heliophysicists, data providers, expert modelers, and computer/data scientists. Their objective was to discuss critical developments and prospects of the application of machine and/or deep learning techniques for data analysis, modeling and forecasting in Heliophysics, and to shape a strategy for further developments in the field. The workshop combined a set of plenary sessions featuring invited introductory talks interleaved with a set of open discussion sessions. The outcome of the discussion is encapsulated in this white paper that also features a top-level list of recommendations agreed by participants., Comment: Workshop Report

Identification of solar coronal holes (CHs) provides information both for operational space weather forecasting and long-term investigation of solar activity. Source data for the first problem are typically most recent solar disk observations, while for the second problem it is convenient to consider solar synoptic maps. Motivated by the idea that the concept of CHs should be similar for both cases we investigate universal models that can learn a CHs segmentation in disk images and reproduce the same segmentation in synoptic maps. We demonstrate that Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) trained on daily disk images provide an accurate CHs segmentation in synoptic maps and their pole-centric projections. Using this approach we construct a catalog of synoptic maps for the period of 2010-20 based on SDO/AIA observations in the 193 Angstrom wavelength. The obtained CHs synoptic maps are compared with magnetic synoptic maps in the time-latitude and time-longitude diagrams. The initial results demonstrate that while in some cases the CHs are associated with magnetic flux transport events there are other mechanisms contributing to the CHs formation and evolution. To stimulate further investigations the catalog of synoptic maps is published in open access.

State-of-the-art machine learning algorithms demonstrate close to absolute performance in selected challenges. We provide arguments that the reason can be in low variability of the samples and high effectiveness in learning typical patterns. Due to this fact, standard performance metrics do not reveal model capacity and new metrics are required for the better understanding of state-of-the-art.