1. A meta-analysis of 1,119 manipulative experiments on terrestrial carbon-cycling responses to global change
- Author
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Mengmei Zheng, Jiquan Chen, Yiqi Luo, Mark J. Hovenden, Chuang Yan, Kesheng Zhang, Pengshuai Shao, Mingxing Zhong, Pamela H. Templer, Guoyong Li, Fanglong Su, Shilong Piao, Simone Fatichi, Hu Mengjun, Lindsey E. Rustad, Zhongling Yang, Jingyi Ru, Jianwu Tang, Claus Beier, Jakob Zscheischler, Jian Song, Hongyan Han, Yan Hui, Yinzhan Liu, Philippe Ciais, Sara Vicca, Jiali Wang, Sebastian Leuzinger, Jeffrey S. Dukes, Fan Yang, Melinda D. Smith, Gaigai Ma, Aimée T. Classen, Qiang Liu, Kirsten S. Hofmockel, Richard J. Norby, Xiaoming Li, Bin Liu, Alan K. Knapp, Yanchun Liu, J. Adam Langley, Dali Guo, Shuli Niu, Shiqiang Wan, Ying-Ping Wang, Lingjie Lei, Paul Kardol, Lingli Liu, Yuan Miao, Xiaona Li, R. Quinn Thomas, Zhenxing Zhou, Ang Zhang, Ying Li, Qian Zhang, Dandan Wang, Richard P. Phillips, Lara M. Kueppers, Jianyang Xia, Institut National des Langues et Civilisations Orientales (Inalco), Henan University, Kaifeng (HENU), Henan University, Kaifeng, Peking University [Beijing], Department of Biology [Fort Collins], Colorado State University [Fort Collins] (CSU), Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory, University of Antwerp (UA), Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), ICOS-ATC (ICOS-ATC), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), Institute for Applied Ecology New Zealand (AENZ), Auckland University of Technology (AUT), Norwegian Institute for Water Research (NIVA), Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), East China Normal University [Shangaï] (ECNU), Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Department of Microbiology and Plant Biology, University of Oklahoma (OU), Center of Forest Ecosystem Studies and Qianyanzhou Station, Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (MPI-BGC), Max-Planck-Gesellschaft, University of Massachusetts [Amherst] (UMass Amherst), University of Massachusetts System (UMASS), Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota [Twin Cities] (UMN), University of Minnesota System-University of Minnesota System, CGCEO/Geography, Michigan State University [East Lansing], Michigan State University System-Michigan State University System, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule - Swiss Federal Institute of Technology [Zürich] (ETH Zürich), CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research [Aspendale], Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation [Canberra] (CSIRO), University of Science and Technology of China [Hefei] (USTC), State Key Laboratory of Chemical Resource Engineering and Beijing Engineering Center for Hierarchical Catalysts, University of Delaware [Newark], Laboratoire Traitement et Communication de l'Information (LTCI), Télécom ParisTech-Institut Mines-Télécom [Paris] (IMT)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), SRI International [Menlo Park] (SRI), Glorious Sun School of Business and Management, Donghua University [Shanghai], Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Henan University, Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), and Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,China ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Climate change ,Atmospheric sciences ,010603 evolutionary biology ,01 natural sciences ,Carbon Cycle ,Carbon cycle ,11. Sustainability ,Temperate climate ,Ecosystem ,[SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment ,skin and connective tissue diseases ,Biology ,ComputingMilieux_MISCELLANEOUS ,Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,[SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere ,Ecology ,Biosphere ,Primary production ,Global change ,15. Life on land ,Carbon ,Europe ,Chemistry ,13. Climate action ,Environmental science ,sense organs ,Ecosystem ecology - Abstract
Direct quantification of terrestrial biosphere responses to global change is crucial for projections of future climate change in Earth system models. Here, we synthesized ecosystem carbon-cycling data from 1,119 experiments performed over the past four decades concerning changes in temperature, precipitation, CO2 and nitrogen across major terrestrial vegetation types of the world. Most experiments manipulated single rather than multiple global change drivers in temperate ecosystems of the USA, Europe and China. The magnitudes of warming and elevated CO2 treatments were consistent with the ranges of future projections, whereas those of precipitation changes and nitrogen inputs often exceeded the projected ranges. Increases in global change drivers consistently accelerated, but decreased precipitation slowed down carbon-cycle processes. Nonlinear (including synergistic and antagonistic) effects among global change drivers were rare. Belowground carbon allocation responded negatively to increased precipitation and nitrogen addition and positively to decreased precipitation and elevated CO2. The sensitivities of carbon variables to multiple global change drivers depended on the background climate and ecosystem condition, suggesting that Earth system models should be evaluated using site-specific conditions for best uses of this large dataset. Together, this synthesis underscores an urgent need to explore the interactions among multiple global change drivers in under-represented regions such as semi-arid ecosystems, forests in the tropics and subtropics, and Arctic tundra when forecasting future terrestrial carbon-climate feedback. National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China [31430015, 31830012]; US NSFNational Science Foundation (NSF) [DEB-0955771]; ClimMani COST actionEuropean Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST) [ES1308] We thank J. Wang (Hebei University), S. Yang (Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences), L. Zhou (East China Normal University), C. Qiao (Xinyang Normal University) and H. Li (Henan University) for their help in meta-analyses and interaction analyses, and H. Li, Y. Liu (Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences) and Y. He (Peking University) for their help in plotting figures. This work was financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant nos. 31430015 and 31830012). This study emerged from the INTERFACE Workshop in Beijing, China (https://www.bio.purdue.edu/INTERFACE/) supported by the US NSF DEB-0955771. We also acknowledge support from the ClimMani COST action (ES1308). Public domain – authored by a U.S. government employee
- Published
- 2019
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