1. Establishment and validation of a nomogram for predicting postoperative intestinal adhesion in children with acute appendicitis.
- Author
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Liu D, Wang Y, Sun L, Pan L, Wang J, Lu Y, Cui Z, Li J, and Geng H
- Subjects
- Humans, Female, Male, Child, Tissue Adhesions etiology, Tissue Adhesions diagnosis, Retrospective Studies, Risk Factors, Child, Preschool, Intestinal Diseases etiology, Acute Disease, Logistic Models, Adolescent, Appendicitis surgery, Nomograms, Postoperative Complications etiology, Postoperative Complications diagnosis, Appendectomy adverse effects
- Abstract
Purpose: This study aims to explore the value of multiple indicators in the evaluation of risk factors for intestinal adhesion (IA) after appendectomy in children with acute appendicitis (AA)., Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on 608 patients who underwent appendectomy in the Department of Pediatric Surgery, Children's Medical Center of Jilin Province from January 2017 to April 2023, with a one-year follow-up period to record the occurrence of IA after appendectomy. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to screen the risk factors of postoperative IA, and a prediction model was established to predict postoperative IA., Results: There were 527 patients in the non-IA group and 81 patients in the IA group. Binary Logistic regression was used to determine the strength of correlation with postoperative intestinal adhesion. The risk factors identified were as follows: DS ≥ 43 h (OR = 3.903, 5points), CRP ≥ 65 mg/L (OR = 3.424, 4.5points), PCT ≥ 0.9 µg/L (OR = 8.683, 8points), Surgical duration ≥ 100 min (OR = 6.457, 7points), Appendiceal perforation (OR = 6.073, 6.5points), Postoperative exhaust time ≥ 55 h (OR = 14.483, 10points). After test, the nomogram drawn based on binary logistic regression can obtain good prediction efficiency. In the training set, the area under the curve was 0.960, the sensitivity was 0.898, and the specificity was 0.905. In the test set, the area under the curve was 0.957, the sensitivity was 0.864, and the specificity was 0.906., Conclusion: Postoperative exhaust time ≥ 55 h has a high risk of IA after appendicitis surgery in children. Early recovery of intestinal peristalsis function is essential. This scoring model is a novel and promising method for predicting postoperative IA., Competing Interests: Declarations Ethics approval and consent to participate The study was conducted in accordance with the 1975 Helsinki Declaration ethical guidelines and the study protocol was approved by the Ethics Committee of Children’s Medical Center of Jilin Province [Approval number: 2024-LW-020]. Due to the retrospective nature of the study, informed consent was waived. Consent for publication Not applicable. Competing interests The authors declare no competing interests., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
- Published
- 2024
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