1. Heat disproportionately kills young people: Evidence from wet-bulb temperature in Mexico.
- Author
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Wilson, Andrew, Bressler, R, Ivanovich, Catherine, Tuholske, Cascade, Raymond, Colin, Horton, Radley, Sobel, Adam, Kinney, Patrick, Cavazos, Tereza, and Shrader, Jeffrey
- Subjects
Mexico ,Humans ,Hot Temperature ,Adult ,Middle Aged ,Aged ,Adolescent ,Young Adult ,Climate Change ,Child ,Mortality ,Child ,Preschool ,Age Factors ,Male ,Female ,Humidity - Abstract
Recent studies project that temperature-related mortality will be the largest source of damage from climate change, with particular concern for the elderly whom it is believed bear the largest heat-related mortality risk. We study heat and mortality in Mexico, a country that exhibits a unique combination of universal mortality microdata and among the most extreme levels of humid heat. Combining detailed measurements of wet-bulb temperature with age-specific mortality data, we find that younger people who are particularly vulnerable to heat: People under 35 years old account for 75% of recent heat-related deaths and 87% of heat-related lost life years, while those 50 and older account for 96% of cold-related deaths and 80% of cold-related lost life years. We develop high-resolution projections of humid heat and associated mortality and find that under the end-of-century SSP 3-7.0 emissions scenario, temperature-related deaths shift from older to younger people. Deaths among under-35-year-olds increase 32% while decreasing by 33% among other age groups.
- Published
- 2024