1. Differential effects of donor factors on post-transplant survival in lung transplantation
- Author
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Carli J. Lehr, MD, PhD, Jarrod E. Dalton, PhD, Elizabeth N. Dewey, MS, Paul R. Gunsalus, MS, Johnie Rose, MD, PhD, and Maryam Valapour, MD, MPP
- Subjects
organ allocation ,lung transplant ,donor utilization ,post-transplant survival ,risk assessment ,Surgery ,RD1-811 ,Specialties of internal medicine ,RC581-951 - Abstract
Background: Predicting post-transplant (PT) survival in lung allocation remains an elusive goal. We analyzed the impact of donor factors on PT survival and how these relationships vary among transplant recipients. Methods: We studied primary bilateral lung transplant recipients (n = 7,609) from the US Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (19 February 2015-1 February 2020). Main and interaction effects were evaluated and adjusted across candidate age, sex, and diagnosis. Models predicting PT survival were compared to the PT Composite Allocation Score model (PT-CAS): (1) Cox regression donor multivariable model (COX), (2) COX + PT-CAS, (3) random forest model (RF), and (4) RF + PT-CAS. Model discrimination and calibration measures were compared. Results: Interactions between donor and recipient factors emerged by age: lower survival for donation after circulatory death organs for recipients aged 55 to 69 years, donor smoking for recipients aged 30 to 54 and 70+, Hispanic donor for recipients
- Published
- 2024
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