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Background: Higher body mass index (BMI) and circulating estrogen levels each increase postmenopausal breast cancer risk, particularly estrogen receptor–positive (ER+) tumors. Higher BMI also increases estrogen production. Methods: We estimated the proportion of the BMI-ER+ breast cancer association mediated through estrogen in a case–control study nested within the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial. Participants included 143 women with invasive ER+ breast cancer and 268 matched controls, all postmenopausal and never having used hormone therapy at baseline. We used liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry to measure 15 estrogens and estrogen metabolites in baseline serum. We calculated BMI from self-reported height and weight at baseline. We estimated the mediating effect of unconjugated estradiol on the BMI-ER+ breast cancer association using Aalen additive hazards and Cox regression models. Results: All estrogens and estrogen metabolites were statistically significantly correlated with BMI, with unconjugated estradiol most strongly correlated [Pearson correlation (r) = 0.45]. Approximately 7% to 10% of the effect of overweight, 12% to 15% of the effect of obesity, and 19% to 20% of the effect of a 5 kg/m2 BMI increase on ER+ breast cancer risk was mediated through unconjugated estradiol. The BMI–breast cancer association, once adjusted for unconjugated estradiol, was not modified by further adjustment for two metabolic ratios statistically significantly associated with both breast cancer and BMI. Conclusion: Circulating unconjugated estradiol levels partially mediate the BMI–breast cancer association, but other potentially important estrogen mediators (e.g., bioavailable estradiol) were not evaluated. Impact: Further research is required to identify mechanisms underlying the BMI–breast cancer association. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 25(1); 105–13. ©2015 AACR.

Endogenous estrogen plays an integral role in the etiology of breast and endometrial cancer, and conceivably ovarian cancer. However, the underlying mechanisms and the importance of patterns of estrogen metabolism and specific estrogen metabolites have not been adequately explored. Long-standing hypotheses, derived from laboratory experiments, have not been tested in epidemiologic research because of the lack of robust, rapid, accurate measurement techniques appropriate for large-scale studies. We have developed a stable isotope dilution liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS(2)) method that can measure concurrently all 15 estrogens and estrogen metabolites (EM) in urine and serum with high sensitivity (level of detection=2.5-3.0fmol EM/mL serum), specificity, accuracy, and precision [laboratory coefficients of variation (CV's) < or =5% for nearly all EM]. The assay requires only extraction, a single chemical derivatization, and less than 0.5mL of serum or urine. By incorporating enzymatic hydrolysis, the assay measures total (glucuronidated+sulfated+unconjugated) EM. If the hydrolysis step is omitted, the assay measures unconjugated EM. Interindividual differences in urinary EM concentrations (pg/mL creatinine), which reflect total EM production, were consistently large, with a range of 10-100-fold for nearly all EM in premenopausal and postmenopausal women and men. Correlational analyses indicated that urinary estrone and estradiol, the most commonly measured EM, do not accurately represent levels of total urinary EM or of the other EM. In serum, all 15 EM were detected as conjugates, but only 5 were detected in unconjugated form. When we compared our assay methods with indirect radioimmunoassays for estrone, estradiol, and estriol and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays for 2-hydroxyestrone and 16alpha-hydroxyestrone, ranking of individuals agreed well for premenopausal women [Spearman r (r(s))=0.8-0.9], but only moderately for postmenopausal women (r(s)=0.4-0.8). Our absolute readings were consistently lower, especially at the low concentrations characteristic of postmenopausal women, possibly because of improved specificity. We are currently applying our EM measurement techniques in several epidemiologic studies of premenopausal and postmenopausal breast cancer.

Background: The role of estrogen metabolism in determining breast cancer risk and differences in breast cancer rates between high-incidence and low-incidence nations is poorly understood. Methods: We measured urinary concentrations of estradiol and estrone (parent estrogens) and 13 estrogen metabolites formed by irreversible hydroxylation at the C-2, C-4, or C-16 positions of the steroid ring in a nested case-control study of 399 postmenopausal invasive breast cancer case participants and 399 matched control participants from the population-based Shanghai Women’s Health Study cohort. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of breast cancer by quartiles of metabolic pathway groups, pathway ratios, and individual estrogens/estrogen metabolites were estimated by multivariable conditional logistic regression. Urinary estrogen/estrogen metabolite measures were compared with those of postmenopausal non-hormone-using Asian Americans, a population with three-fold higher breast cancer incidence rates. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results: Urinary concentrations of parent estrogens were strongly associated with breast cancer risk (OR Q4vsQ1 = 1.94, 95% CI = 1.21 to 3.12, Ptrend = .01). Of the pathway ratios, the 2-pathway:total estrogens/estrogen metabolites and 2-pathway:parent estrogens were inversely associated with risk (OR Q4vsQ1 = 0.57, 95% CI = 0.35 to 0.91, Ptrend = .03, and OR Q4vsQ1 = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.37 to 0.99, Ptrend = .04, respectively). After adjusting for parent estrogens, these associations remained clearly inverse but lost statistical significance (OR Q4vsQ1 = 0.65, 95% CI = 0.39 to 1.06, Ptrend = .12 and OR Q4vsQ1 = 0.76, 95% CI = 0.44 to 1.32, Ptrend = .28). The urinary concentration of all estrogens/estrogen metabolites combined in Asian American women was triple that in Shanghai women. Conclusions: Lower urinary parent estrogen concentrations and more extensive 2-hydroxylation were each associated with reduced postmenopausal breast cancer risk in a low-risk nation. Markedly higher total estrogen/estrogen metabolite concentrations in postmenopausal United States women (Asian Americans) than in Shanghai women may partly explain higher breast cancer rates in the United States.

Estrogens are recognized causal factors in breast cancer. Interindividual variation in estrogen metabolism may also influence the risk of breast cancer and could provide clues to mechanisms of breast carcinogenesis. Long-standing hypotheses about how estrogen metabolism might influence breast cancer have not been adequately evaluated in epidemiological studies because of the lack of accurate, reproducible, and high-throughput assays for estrogen metabolites.We conducted a prospective case-control study nested within the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial (PLCO). Participants included 277 women who developed invasive breast cancer (case subjects) and 423 matched control subjects; at PLCO baseline, all subjects were aged 55-74 years, postmenopausal and not using hormone therapy, and provided a blood sample. Liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry was used to measure serum concentrations of 15 estrogens and estrogen metabolites, in unconjugated and conjugated forms, including the parent estrogens, estrone and estradiol, and estrogen metabolites in pathways defined by irreversible hydroxylation at the C-2, C-4, or C-16 positions of the steroid ring. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) approximating risk in highest vs lowest deciles of individual estrogens and estrogen metabolites, estrogens and estrogen metabolites grouped by metabolic pathways, and metabolic pathway ratios using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. All statistical tests were two-sided.Nearly all estrogens, estrogen metabolites, and metabolic pathway groups were associated with an increased risk of breast cancer; the serum concentration of unconjugated estradiol was strongly associated with the risk of breast cancer (HR = 2.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.19 to 3.62). No estrogen, estrogen metabolite, or metabolic pathway group remained statistically significantly associated with the risk of breast cancer after adjusting for unconjugated estradiol. The ratio of the 2-hydroxylation pathway to parent estrogens (HR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.51 to 0.87) and the ratio of 4-hydroxylation pathway catechols to 4-hydroxylation pathway methylated catechols (HR = 1.34, 95% CI = 1.04 to 1.72) were statistically significantly associated with the risk of breast cancer and remained so after adjustment for unconjugated estradiol.More extensive 2-hydroxylation of parent estrogens is associated with lower risk, and less extensive methylation of potentially genotoxic 4-hydroxylation pathway catechols is associated with higher risk of postmenopausal breast cancer.