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BACKGROUND: Screening for islet autoantibodies in children and adolescents identifies individuals who will later develop type 1 diabetes, allowing patient and family education to prevent diabetic ketoacidosis at onset and to enable consideration of preventive therapies. We aimed to assess whether islet autoantibody screening is effective for predicting type 1 diabetes in adolescents aged 10−18 years with an increased risk of developing type 1 diabetes. METHODS: Data were harmonised from prospective studies from Finland (the Diabetes Prediction and Prevention study), Germany (the BABYDIAB study), and the USA (Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young and the Diabetes Evaluation in Washington study). Autoantibodies against insulin, glutamic acid decarboxylase, and insulinoma-associated protein 2 were measured at each follow-up visit. Children who were lost to follow-up or diagnosed with type 1 diabetes before 10 years of age were excluded. Inverse probability censoring weighting was used to include data from remaining participants. Sensitivity and the positive predictive value of these autoantibodies, tested at one or two ages, to predict type 1 diabetes by the age of 18 years were the main outcomes. FINDINGS: Of 20 303 children with an increased type 1 diabetes risk, 8682 were included for the analysis with inverse probability censoring weighting. 1890 were followed up to 18 years of age or developed type 1 diabetes between the ages of 10 years and 18 years, and their median follow-up was 18·3 years (IQR 14·5–20·3). 442 (23·4%) of 1890 adolescents were positive for at least one islet autoantibody, and 262 (13·9%) developed type 1 diabetes. Time from seroconversion to diabetes diagnosis increased by 0·64 years (95% CI 0·34–0·95) for each 1-year increment of diagnosis age (Pearson’s correlation coefficient 0·88, 95% CI 0·50–0·97, p=0·0020). The median interval between the last prediagnostic sample and diagnosis was 0·3 years (IQR 0·1–1·3) in the 227 participants who were autoantibody positive and 6·8 years (1·6–9·9) for the 35 who were autoantibody negative. Single screening at the age of 10 years was 90% (95% CI 86–95) sensitive, with a positive predictive value of 66% (60–72) for clinical diabetes. Screening at two ages (10 years and 14 years) increased sensitivity to 93% (95% CI 89–97) but lowered the positive predictive value to 55% (49–60). INTERPRETATION: Screening of adolescents at risk for type 1 diabetes only once at 10 years of age for islet autoantibodies was highly effective to detect type 1 diabetes by the age of 18 years, which in turn could enable prevention of diabetic ketoacidosis and participation in secondary prevention trials. FUNDING: JDRF International.

OBJECTIVE To examine whether iron intake and genetically determined iron overload interact in predisposing to the development of childhood islet autoimmunity (IA) and type 1 diabetes (T1D). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS In The Environmental Determinants of Diabetes in the Young (TEDDY) study, 7,770 genetically high-risk children were followed from birth until the development of IA and progression to T1D. Exposures included energy-adjusted iron intake in the first 3 years of life and a genetic risk score (GRS) for increased circulating iron. RESULTS We found a U-shaped association between iron intake and risk of GAD antibody as the first autoantibody. In children with GRS ≥2 iron risk alleles, high iron intake was associated with an increased risk of IA, with insulin as first autoantibody (adjusted hazard ratio 1.71 [95% CI 1.14; 2.58]) compared with moderate iron intake. CONCLUSIONS Iron intake may alter the risk of IA in children with high-risk HLA haplogenotypes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESES: Physical inactivity may contribute to islet autoimmunity and progression to clinical type 1 diabetes. To test this hypothesis, we evaluated physical activity, assessed by accelerometer, as an independent risk factor for progression to clinical diabetes among genetically at risk for type 1 diabetes children and youth with islet autoimmunity. METHODS: Accelerometer data were obtained for 95 children and youth participating in the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young who had islet autoimmunity. Islet autoimmunity was defined as the presence of islet autoantibodies to insulin, glutamic acid decarboxylase, tyrosine phosphatase-like protein IA-2, or zinc transporter 8. RESULTS: During prospective follow-up for up to 7 years, 13 of the 95 participants progressed to clinical diabetes. In multivariable survival analysis, none of the physical activity parameters examined predicted a higher risk of developing diabetes. In survival analysis with time-varying physical activity parameters, none of the physical activity parameters over time were associated with the risk of developing type 1 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: It does not appear that low physical activity is a risk factor for progression from islet autoantibodies to diabetes in children and youth at high genetic risk for type 1 diabetes.

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BACKGROUND & AIMS: It is not clear how intake of gluten during infancy affects subsequent risk of celiac disease. We investigated whether gluten intake before 2 years of age increases risk for celiac disease in genetically susceptible children. METHODS: We performed a case-control study of 436 pairs of children, generated from a database of 2525 children with genetic susceptibility to celiac disease in Sweden, matched for sex, birth year, and HLA genotype from September 2004 and February 2010. Children were screened annually for celiac disease using an assay for tissue transglutaminase autoantibodies (tTGA). Intestinal biopsies were collected from children who tested positive for tTGA to confirm the presence of celiac disease. Gluten intake was calculated from 3-day food records collected when the children were 9, 12, 18 and 24 months old. RESULTS: Breastfeeding duration (median 32 weeks) and age at first introduction to gluten (median 22 weeks) did not differ between cases and tTGA-negative children (controls). At the visit prior to tTGA seroconversion, cases reported a larger intake of gluten (median 4.9 g/day) than controls (median 3.9 g/day) (odds ratio [OR], 1.28; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-1.46; P=.0002). More cases consumed amounts of gluten in the upper 3rd tertile (i.e. >5.0 g/day) before they tested positive for tTGA seroconversion than controls (OR, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.70-4.13; P

Healthy relatives of lupus patients have an increased risk of developing SLE, but predictors and mechanisms of disease transition are unknown. Unaffected relatives of SLE patients (n=409) were enrolled in this follow-up study to identify factors associated with transition to SLE. Participants provided detailed demographic and clinical information, including the Connective Tissue Disease Screening Questionnaire (CSQ). Medical records were reviewed for ACR classification criteria. Plasma samples were tested for the presence of autoantibodies and soluble mediators. Forty-five relatives (11%) transitioned to classified SLE during follow-up (mean time = 6.4 years) who had more autoantibodies (p

Type 1 diabetes can be diagnosed at any age, but dinical course, genetic, and environmental determinants appear to be heterogenous by age. The common pathway begins with preclinical beta-cell autoimmunity with progressive defect of insulin secretion, followed by onset of hyperglycemia, transient usually partial remission, and finally complete insulinopenia associated with acute and chronic complications and premature death. Current research effort is focused on identification of the genetic and environmental determinants of this process and the ways they interact.