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Community-associated, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) lineages have emerged in many geographically distinct regions around the world during the past 30 y. Here, we apply consistent phylodynamic methods across multiple community-associated MRSA lineages to describe and contrast their patterns of emergence and dissemination. We generated whole-genome sequencing data for the Australian sequence type (ST) ST93-MRSA-IV from remote communities in Far North Queensland and Papua New Guinea, and the Bengal Bay ST772-MRSA-V clone from metropolitan communities in Pakistan. Increases in the effective reproduction number (R e ) and sustained transmission (R e > 1) coincided with spread of progenitor methicillin-susceptible S. aureus (MSSA) in remote northern Australian populations, dissemination of the ST93-MRSA-IV genotype into population centers on the Australian East Coast, and subsequent importation into the highlands of Papua New Guinea and Far North Queensland. Applying the same phylodynamic methods to existing lineage datasets, we identified common signatures of epidemic growth in the emergence and epidemiological trajectory of community-associated S. aureus lineages from America, Asia, Australasia, and Europe. Surges in R e were observed at the divergence of antibiotic-resistant strains, coinciding with their establishment in regional population centers. Epidemic growth was also observed among drug-resistant MSSA clades in Africa and northern Australia. Our data suggest that the emergence of community-associated MRSA in the late 20th century was driven by a combination of antibiotic-resistant genotypes and host epidemiology, leading to abrupt changes in lineage-wide transmission dynamics and sustained transmission in regional population centers.

Nanopore sequencing and phylodynamic modeling have been used to reconstruct the transmission dynamics of viral epidemics, but their application to bacterial pathogens has remained challenging. Cost-effective bacterial genome sequencing and variant calling on nanopore platforms would greatly enhance surveillance and outbreak response in communities without access to sequencing infrastructure. Here, we adapt random forest models for single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) polishing developed by Sanderson and colleagues (2020. High precision Neisseria gonorrhoeae variant and antimicrobial resistance calling from metagenomic nanopore sequencing. Genome Res. 30(9):1354–1363) to estimate divergence and effective reproduction numbers (Re) of two methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) outbreaks from remote communities in Far North Queensland and Papua New Guinea (PNG; n = 159). Successive barcoded panels of S. aureus isolates (2 × 12 per MinION) sequenced at low coverage (>5× to 10×) provided sufficient data to accurately infer genotypes with high recall when compared with Illumina references. Random forest models achieved high resolution on ST93 outbreak sequence types (>90% accuracy and precision) and enabled phylodynamic inference of epidemiological parameters using birth–death skyline models. Our method reproduced phylogenetic topology, origin of the outbreaks, and indications of epidemic growth (Re > 1). Nextflow pipelines implement SNP polisher training, evaluation, and outbreak alignments, enabling reconstruction of within-lineage transmission dynamics for infection control of bacterial disease outbreaks on portable nanopore platforms. Our study shows that nanopore technology can be used for bacterial outbreak reconstruction at competitive costs, providing opportunities for infection control in hospitals and communities without access to sequencing infrastructure, such as in remote northern Australia and PNG.

Nanopore sequencing and phylodynamic modelling have been used to reconstruct the transmission dynamics of viral epidemics, but their application to bacterial pathogens has remained challenging. Here, we implement Random Forest models for single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) polishing to estimate divergence and effective reproduction numbers (Re) of two community-associated, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) outbreaks in remote Far North Queensland and Papua New Guinea (n = 159). Successive bar-coded panels of S. aureus isolates (2 × 12 per MinION) sequenced at low-coverage (> 5x - 10x) provided sufficient data to accurately infer assembly genotypes with high recall when compared with Illumina references. De novo SNP calling with Clair was followed by SNP polishing using intra- and inter-species models trained on Snippy reference calls. Models achieved sufficient resolution on ST93 outbreak sequence types (> 70 - 90% accuracy and precision) for phylodynamic modelling from lineage-wide hybrid alignments and birth-death skyline models in BEAST2. Our method reproduced phylogenetic topology, geographical source of the outbreaks, and indications of sustained transmission (Re > 1). We provide Nextflow pipelines that implement SNP polisher training, evaluation, and outbreak alignments, enabling reconstruction of within-lineage transmission dynamics for infection control of bacterial disease outbreaks using nanopore sequencing.

Community-associated, methicillin-resistantStaphylococcus aureus(MRSA) lineages have emerged in many geographically distinct regions around the world during the past 30 years. Here, we apply consistent phylodynamic methods across multiple community-associated MRSA lineages to describe and contrast their patterns of emergence and dissemination. We generated whole genome sequencing data for the Australian sequence type (ST) 93-MRSA-IV from remote communities in Far North Queensland and Papua New Guinea, and the Bengal Bay ST772-MRSA-V clone from metropolitan communities in Pakistan. Increases in the effective reproduction number (Re) and sustained transmission (Re> 1) coincided with spread of progenitor methicillin-susceptibleS. aureus(MSSA) in remote northern Australia, dissemination of the ST93-MRSA-IV geno-type into population centers on the Australian East Coast, and sub-sequent importation into the highlands of Papua New Guinea and Far North Queensland. Analysis of a ST772-MRSA-V cluster in Pakistan suggests that sustained transmission in the community following importation of resistant genotypes may be more common than previously thought. Applying the same phylodynamic methods to existing lineage datasets, we identified common signatures of epidemic growth in the emergence and epidemiological trajectory of community-associatedS. aureuslineages from America, Asia, Australasia and Europe. Surges in Rewere observed at the divergence of antibiotic resistant strains, coinciding with their establishment in regional population centers. Epidemic growth was also observed amongst drug-resistant MSSA clades in Africa and northern Australia. Our data suggest that the emergence of community-associated MRSA and MSSA lineages in the late 20th century was driven by a combination of antibiotic resistant genotypes and host epidemiology, leading to abrupt changes in lineage-wide transmission dynamics and sustained transmission in regional population centers.

Background: Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) has been an important cause of bone infection since the 1940s. Current guidelines recommend targeted antibiotic use for osteomyelitis treatment informed by microbial sensitivity patterns. However, in settings without microbiology facilities, empirical antibiotic use is common. Unrecognized antibiotic resistance potentiates persistence of MRSA with osteomyelitis progression to chronic forms with complications despite antibiotic treatment. Materials and Methods: A prospective observational study was done to identify common etiological agent (s) in bone infection in Melanesian children (that were admitted to the two surgical and one pediatric wards of the SJNM-KUGH in the Simbu province of Papua New Guinea in 2012 and 2017), observe for presence of antimicrobial resistance, and determine effective antibiotic regimes for treatment of bone pediatric osteomyelitis. Seventy pediatric patients presenting from the community with osteomyelitis were recruited, with bone and non-bone specimens sampled, cultured and isolates tested for resistance to common antibiotics. Results: Staphylococcus aureus (S. aureus) was isolated in 67% (47/70) of collected specimens. Of the 47 isolates, there was 91.5% resistance to penicillin, 85.1% resistance to methicillin, 89.4% resistance to oxacillin, 93.6% resistance to ampicillin and 80.9% resistance to ceftriaxone. S. aureus showed 91.5% sensitivity to gentamycin, 93.6% sensitivity to erythromycin, tetracycline and clindamycin, and 95.7% sensitivity to Co-trimoxazole. Conclusion: MRSA was the leading cause of haematogenous osteomyelitis in Melanesian children. S.aureus was isolated mainly from infected long bones of the lower limbs (79%) of children presenting from the community, suggesting a predominantly community-associated MRSA.