1. Is the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program surgical risk calculator applicable for breast cancer patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery?
- Author
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Joy L. Hennessy, Mohammed Al-Hamadani, Kristin Zutavern, Brian Lyle, Jeffrey Landercasper, Choua A Vang, Jared H. Linebarger, Lonna M. Theede, Jeanne M. Johnson, and Jacqueline Groshek
- Subjects
Adult ,Reoperation ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Quality management ,Quality Assurance, Health Care ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Breast Neoplasms ,Mastectomy, Segmental ,Risk Assessment ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Breast cancer ,Risk Factors ,law ,Breast-conserving surgery ,Humans ,Medicine ,Registries ,Societies, Medical ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,Aged, 80 and over ,business.industry ,General surgery ,Lumpectomy ,Retrospective cohort study ,General Medicine ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Quality Improvement ,United States ,Surgery ,Brier score ,Calculator ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Female ,030211 gastroenterology & hepatology ,Risk assessment ,business - Abstract
Background We aimed to analyze the applicability of the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) calculator to patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery. Methods A total of 287 consecutive patients treated with breast-conserving surgery from 2010 to 2012 were identified retrospectively. The risk calculator was applied to each patient to generate an individual risk profile. Risk calculations were then compared with actual outcomes. The performance of the risk calculator was evaluated using 2 metrics: the Brier score and c statistic. Results The NSQIP calculator performed adequately for all complications, with Brier scores less than .05. However, 37 patients (12.9%) returned to the operating room for oncologic indications. Twenty-nine patients (10.1%) had positive margins, whereas 8 patients (2.8%) returned due to an upgrade in diagnosis. Conclusions When considering return to the operating room for oncologic management, the observed rate of 13.9% is significantly higher than the NSQIP prediction. This deviation must be addressed when using the NSQIP risk calculator model during preoperative risk discussion.
- Published
- 2016
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