1. Applications of species distribution modeling and future needs to support marine resource management
- Author
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Karp, Melissa A, Cimino, Megan, Craig, J Kevin, Crear, Daniel P, Haak, Christopher, Hazen, Elliott L, Kaplan, Isaac, Kobayashi, Donald R, Moustahfid, Hassan, Muhling, Barbara, Pinsky, Malin L, Smith, Laurel A, Thorson, James T, and Woodworth-Jefcoats, Phoebe A
- Subjects
Ecological Applications ,Biological Sciences ,Environmental Management ,International and Comparative Law ,Environmental Sciences ,Law and Legal Studies ,species distribution models ,fisheries management ,stock assessment ,marine spatial planning ,climate change ,Fisheries - Abstract
Abstract: Fisheries science agencies are responsible for informing fisheries management and ocean planning worldwide, often requiring scientific analysis and management actions across multiple spatial scales. For example, catch limits are typically defined annually over regional scales, fishery bycatch rules are defined at fine spatial scales on daily to annual time scales, and aquaculture and energy lease areas are defined over decades for subregional permitting at intermediate scales. Similarly, these activities require synthesizing monitoring data and mechanistic knowledge operating across different spatial resolutions and domains. These needs drive a growing role for models that predict animal presence or densities at fine spatial scales, including daily, seasonal, and interannual variation, often called species distribution/density models (SDMs). SDMs can inform many ocean management needs; however, their development and usage are often haphazard. In this paper we discuss various ways SDMs can and have been used in stock, habitat, protected species, and ecosystem management activities as well as marine spatial planning, survey optimization, and as an interface with ecosystem and climate models. We conclude with a discussion of future directions, focusing on information needs and current development, and highlight avenues for furthering the community of practice around SDM development and use.
- Published
- 2025