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Establishing accurate population size estimates (PSE) is important for prioritising and planning provision of services. Multiple source capture-recapture sampling method increases PSE accuracy and reliability. In August 2018, the three-source capture-recapture (3S-CRC) method was employed with a stringent assumption of sample independence to estimate the number of female sex workers (FSW) in Rwanda. Using Rwanda 2017 FSW hotspots mapping data, street and venue-based FSW were sampled at the sector level of each province and tagged with two unique gifts. Each capture was completed within one week to minimise FSW migration between provinces and recall bias. The three captures had 1042, 1204 and 1488 FSW. There were 111 FSW recaptured between captures 1 and 2; 237 between captures 2 and 3; 203 between captures 1 and 3 and 46 captured in all three. The PSE for street and venue-based FSW in Rwanda lies within 95% credible set: 8328-22 806 with corresponding median of 13 716 FSW. The 3S-CRC technique was low-cost and relatively easy to use for PSE in hard-to-reach populations. This estimate provides the basis for determining the denominators to assess HIV programme performance towards FSW and epidemic control and warrants further PSE for home- and cyber-based FSW in Rwanda. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To address high rates of malnutrition among children from vulnerable households in Rwanda, the government initiated a national food supplementation programme. A before and after evaluation, using repeat cross-sectional surveys in randomly selected villages was conducted; aimed at assessing the effectiveness of providing fortified blended food (FBF) to children 18-23 months of age, pregnant and lactating women in the lowest tier of Rwanda's social support system. Data were collected in 2017, 2018 and 2021 through interviews with caregivers; anthropometric measurements and a capillary blood sample were obtained from children. The primary statistical analysis compared the nutritional status of children before and after the introduction of FBF. We enroled 724 children during each survey. The prevalence of stunting declined from 47% to 35% between 2017 and 2021; in 2018, the prevalence of stunting was 43%. Children had a 42% reduction in the odds of being stunted (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 0.58, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.47-0.74, p < 0.001) from 2017 to 2021 even after adjusting for inherent, distal, proximal, and intermediate covariates. The reduction in stunting observed within the first year of the programme was not statistically significant (AOR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.67-1.03, p < 0.091). We observed meaningful reductions in the prevalence of stunting among children which coincided with the introduction of Government-led initiative to reduce malnutrition. The Rwandan Government has committed to improving the living conditions of vulnerable households and has made strong investments in reducing malnutrition. The impact of these investments can be seen in the overall trend towards improved nutritional status highlighted in this evaluation., (© 2024 The Authors. Maternal & Child Nutrition published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: Men who have sex with men (MSM) are a key population group disproportionately affected by HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs) worldwide. In Rwanda, the HIV epidemic remains a significant public health concern, and understanding the burden of HIV and hepatitis B and C coinfections among MSM is crucial for designing effective prevention and control strategies. This study aims to determine the prevalence of HIV, hepatitis B, and hepatitis C infections among MSM in Rwanda and identify correlates associated with HIV infection within this population., Methods: We used respondent-driven sampling (RDS) to recruit participants between November and December 2021. A face-to-face, structured questionnaire was administered. Testing for HIV infection followed the national algorithm using two rapid tests: Alere Combo and STAT PAK as the first and second screening tests, respectively. Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and anti-HCV tests were performed. All statistics were adjusted for RDS design, and a multivariable logistic regression model was constructed to identify factors associated with HIV infection., Results: The prevalence of HIV among MSM was 6·9% (95% CI: 5·5-8·6), and among HIV-positive MSM, 12·9% (95% CI: 5·5-27·3) were recently infected. The prevalence of hepatitis B and C was 4·2% (95% CI: 3·0-5·7) and 0·7% (95% CI: 0·4-1·2), respectively. HIV and hepatitis B virus coinfection was 0·5% (95% CI: 0·2-1·1), whereas HIV and hepatitis C coinfection was 0·1% (95% CI: 0·0-0·5), and no coinfection for all three viruses was observed. MSM groups with an increased risk of HIV infection included those who ever suffered violence or abuse because of having sex with other men (AOR: 3·42; 95% CI: 1·87-6·25), those who refused to answer the question asking about 'ever been paid money, goods, or services for sex' (AOR: 10·4; 95% CI: 3·30-32·84), and those not consistently using condoms (AOR: 3·15; 95% CI: 1·31-7·60)., Conclusion: The findings suggest more targeted prevention and treatment approaches and underscore the importance of addressing structural and behavioral factors contributing to HIV vulnerability, setting interventions to reduce violence and abuse against MSM, promoting safe and consensual sexual practices, and expanding access to HIV prevention tools such as condoms and preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP)., (© 2024. This is a U.S. Government work and not under copyright protection in the US; foreign copyright protection may apply.)

Background: HIV surveillance among key populations is a priority in all epidemic settings. Female sex workers (FSWs) globally as well as in Rwanda are disproportionately affected by the HIV epidemic; hence, the Rwanda HIV and AIDS National Strategic Plan (2018-2024) has adopted regular surveillance of population size estimation (PSE) of FSWs every 2-3 years., Objective: We aimed at estimating, for the fourth time, the population size of street- and venue-based FSWs and sexually exploited minors aged ≥15 years in Rwanda., Methods: In August 2022, the 3-source capture-recapture method was used to estimate the population size of FSWs and sexually exploited minors in Rwanda. The field work took 3 weeks to complete, with each capture occasion lasting for a week. The sample size for each capture was calculated using shinyrecap with inputs drawn from previously conducted estimation exercises. In each capture round, a stratified multistage sampling process was used, with administrative provinces as strata and FSW hotspots as the primary sampling unit. Different unique objects were distributed to FSWs in each capture round; acceptance of the unique object was marked as successful capture. Sampled FSWs for the subsequent capture occasions were asked if they had received the previously distributed unique object in order to determine recaptures. Statistical analysis was performed in R (version 4.0.5), and Bayesian Model Averaging was performed to produce the final PSE with a 95% credibility set (CS)., Results: We sampled 1766, 1848, and 1865 FSWs and sexually exploited minors in each capture round. There were 169 recaptures strictly between captures 1 and 2, 210 recaptures exclusively between captures 2 and 3, and 65 recaptures between captures 1 and 3 only. In all 3 captures, 61 FSWs were captured. The median PSE of street- and venue-based FSWs and sexually exploited minors in Rwanda was 37,647 (95% CS 31,873-43,354), corresponding to 1.1% (95% CI 0.9%-1.3%) of the total adult females in the general population. Relative to the adult females in the general population, the western and northern provinces ranked first and second with a higher concentration of FSWs, respectively. The cities of Kigali and eastern province ranked third and fourth, respectively. The southern province was identified as having a low concentration of FSWs., Conclusions: We provide, for the first time, both the national and provincial level population size estimate of street- and venue-based FSWs in Rwanda. Compared with the previous 2 rounds of FSW PSEs at the national level, we observed differences in the street- and venue-based FSW population size in Rwanda. Our study might not have considered FSWs who do not want anyone to know they are FSWs due to several reasons, leading to a possible underestimation of the true PSE., (©Elysee Tuyishime, Eric Remera, Catherine Kayitesi, Samuel Malamba, Beata Sangwayire, Ignace Habimana Kabano, Horacio Ruisenor-Escudero, Tom Oluoch, Angela Unna Chukwu. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (https://publichealth.jmir.org), 15.03.2024.)

Background: Globally, men who have sex with men (MSM) continue to bear a disproportionately high burden of HIV infection. Rwanda experiences a mixed HIV epidemic, which is generalized in the adult population, with aspects of a concentrated epidemic among certain key populations at higher risk of HIV infection, including MSM. Limited data exist to estimate the population size of MSM at a national scale; hence, an important piece is missing in determining the denominators to use in estimates for policy makers, program managers, and planners to effectively monitor HIV epidemic control., Objective: The aims of this study were to provide the first national population size estimate (PSE) and geographic distribution of MSM in Rwanda., Methods: Between October and December 2021, a three-source capture-recapture method was used to estimate the MSM population size in Rwanda. Unique objects were distributed to MSM through their networks (first capture), who were then tagged according to MSM-friendly service provision (second capture), and a respondent-driven sampling survey was used as the third capture. Capture histories were aggregated in a 2k-1 contingency table, where k indicates the number of capture occasions and "1" and "0" indicate captured and not captured, respectively. Statistical analysis was performed in R (version 4.0.5) and the Bayesian nonparametric latent-class capture-recapture package was used to produce the final PSE with 95% credibility sets (CS)., Results: We sampled 2465, 1314, and 2211 MSM in capture one, two, and three, respectively. There were 721 recaptures between captures one and two, 415 recaptures between captures two and three, and 422 recaptures between captures one and three. There were 210 MSM captured in all three captures. The total estimated population size of MSM above 18 years old in Rwanda was 18,100 (95% CS 11,300-29,700), corresponding to 0.70% (95% CI 0.4%-1.1%) of total adult males. Most MSM reside in the city of Kigali (7842, 95% CS 4587-13,153), followed by the Western province (2469, 95% CS 1994-3518), Northern province (2375, 95% CS 842-4239), Eastern province (2287, 95% CS 1927-3014), and Southern province (2109, 95% CS 1681-3418)., Conclusions: Our study provides, for the first time, a PSE of MSM aged 18 years or older in Rwanda. MSM are concentrated in the city of Kigali and are almost evenly distributed across the other 4 provinces. The national proportion estimate bounds of MSM out of the total adult males includes the World Health Organization's minimum recommended proportion (at least 1.0%) based on 2012 census population projections for 2021. These results will inform denominators to be used for estimating service coverage and fill existing information gaps to enable policy makers and planners to monitor the HIV epidemic among MSM nationally. There is an opportunity for conducting small-area MSM PSEs for subnational-level HIV treatment and prevention interventions., (©Elysee Tuyishime, Catherine Kayitesi, Gentille Musengimana, Samuel Malamba, Hailegiorgis Moges, Ida Kankindi, Horacio Ruisenor Escudero, Ignace Habimana Kabano, Tom Oluoch, Eric Remera, Angela Chukwu. Originally published in JMIR Public Health and Surveillance (https://publichealth.jmir.org), 27.03.2023.)

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalence is often high among female sex workers (FSWs) in sub-Saharan Africa. Understanding the dynamics of HIV infection in this key population is critical to developing appropriate prevention strategies. We aimed to describe the prevalence and associated risk factors among a sample of FSWs in Rwanda from a survey conducted in 2010. A cross-sectional biological and behavioral survey was conducted among FSWs in Rwanda. Time-location sampling was used for participant recruitment from 4 to 18 February 2010. HIV testing was done using HIV rapid diagnostic tests (RDT) as per Rwandan national guidelines at the time of the survey. Elisa tests were simultaneously done on all samples tested HIV-positive on RDT. Proportions were used for sample description; multivariable logistic regression model was performed to analyze factors associated with HIV infection. Of 1338 women included in the study, 1112 consented to HIV testing, and the overall HIV prevalence was 51.0%. Sixty percent had been engaged in sex work for less than five years and 80% were street based. In multivariable logistic regression, HIV prevalence was higher in FSWs 25 years or older (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 1.83, 95% [confidence interval (CI): 1.42-2.37]), FSWs with consistent condom use in the last 30 days (aOR = 1.39, [95% CI: 1.05-1.82]), and FSWs experiencing at least one STI symptom in the last 12 months (aOR = 1.74 [95% CI: 1.34-2.26]). There was an inverse relationship between HIV prevalence and comprehensive HIV knowledge (aOR = 0.65, [95% CI: 0.48-0.88]). HIV prevalence was high among a sample of FSWs in Rwanda, and successful prevention strategies should focus on HIV education, treatment of sexually transmitted infections, and proper and consistent condom use using an outreach approach.

Background: In 2013, the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended that for efficiency and ethical considerations, transitioning from antenatal clinic-based surveillance to prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT)-based routine data should be investigated. An assessment of the readiness for this transition was carried out in Rwanda in 2011 and 2013., Methods: This assessment applied the WHO recommended method. Individual HIV rapid testing at site was compared to antenatal surveillance results at all existing 30 sites, involving 13 292 women. In addition, PMTCT HIV testing quality assurance and PMTCT routine data quality were assessed at 27 out of the 30 sites., Results: All sentinel sites provided PMTCT services and had a high uptake of HIV testing (more than 90%). At all sites, PMTCT data were recorded in longitudinal and standardized antenatal clinic registers. Twenty-six out of 27 sites had HIV result completeness above 90%. A positive percentage agreement of 97.5% and negative percentage agreement of 99.9% were observed between routine PMTCT and sero-surveillance HIV test results. Of 27 sites, 25 scored more than 80% in all phases of HIV testing quality assurance., Conclusions: According to WHO standards, Rwanda antenatal care HIV sero-surveillance is ready to transition to PMTCT-based sero-surveillance., (Copyright © 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

HIV prevalence is disproportionately high among female sex workers compared to the general population. Many African countries lack useful data on the size of female sex worker populations to inform national HIV programmes. A female sex worker size estimation exercise using three different venue-based methodologies was conducted among female sex workers in all provinces of Rwanda in August 2010. The female sex worker national population size was estimated using capture-recapture and enumeration methods, and the multiplier method was used to estimate the size of the female sex worker population in Kigali. A structured questionnaire was also used to supplement the data. The estimated number of female sex workers by the capture-recapture method was 3205 (95% confidence interval: 2998-3412). The female sex worker size was estimated at 3348 using the enumeration method. In Kigali, the female sex worker size was estimated at 2253 (95% confidence interval: 1916-2524) using the multiplier method. Nearly 80% of all female sex workers in Rwanda were found to be based in the capital, Kigali. This study provided a first-time estimate of the female sex worker population size in Rwanda using capture-recapture, enumeration, and multiplier methods. The capture-recapture and enumeration methods provided similar estimates of female sex worker in Rwanda. Combination of such size estimation methods is feasible and productive in low-resource settings and should be considered vital to inform national HIV programmes., (© The Author(s) 2015.)