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We estimated the degree to which language used in the high-profile medical/public health/epidemiology literature implied causality using language linking exposures to outcomes and action recommendations; examined disconnects between language and recommendations; identified the most common linking phrases; and estimated how strongly linking phrases imply causality. We searched for and screened 1,170 articles from 18 high-profile journals (65 per journal) published from 2010-2019. Based on written framing and systematic guidance, 3 reviewers rated the degree of causality implied in abstracts and full text for exposure/outcome linking language and action recommendations. Reviewers rated the causal implication of exposure/outcome linking language as none (no causal implication) in 13.8%, weak in 34.2%, moderate in 33.2%, and strong in 18.7% of abstracts. The implied causality of action recommendations was higher than the implied causality of linking sentences for 44.5% or commensurate for 40.3% of articles. The most common linking word in abstracts was "associate" (45.7%). Reviewers' ratings of linking word roots were highly heterogeneous; over half of reviewers rated "association" as having at least some causal implication. This research undercuts the assumption that avoiding "causal" words leads to clarity of interpretation in medical research.

Background/objectives To compare the Australian Dietary Guideline Index (DGI-2013) and the Pyramid-based Mediterranean Diet Score (pyrMDS) as measures of diet quality in an ethnically diverse group of older men. Subjects/methods Seven hundred and ninety-four older men aged [greater than or equal to]75 participated in wave 3 (2012-2013) of the Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project. Dietary intake was assessed using a validated diet history questionnaire. Ethnicity was based on self-reported country of birth and categorised as Australian-born (418 men), Italian or Greek migrants (188), and other migrants (188). Incident cardiovascular outcomes until March 2018 were measured using the composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), which comprises all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, congestive cardiac failure, coronary revascularisation and/or ischaemic stroke. Ability to predict incident cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality were compared between standardised DGI-2013 pyrMDS scores by comparison of hazard ratios, discrimination (Harrell's C-statistic) and calibration (calibration plots). Results Italian and Greek migrant men had significantly lower DGI-2013 scores (91.7 vs. 93.9; p = 0.01) but significantly higher pyrMDS scores (8.8 vs. 8.2; p < 0.0001) than Australian-born men. In the whole sample (794 men), the pyrMDS was a better predictor of both MACE (age-adjusted HR = 0.84; 95% CI = 0.75-0.94 vs. HR = 0.92; 95% CI = 0.82-1.03 for DGI-2013) and all-cause mortality (age-adjusted HR = 0.69; 95% CI = 0.60-0.80 vs. HR = 0.86; 95% CI = 0.74-0.99). The pyrMDS also demonstrated superior discrimination for predicting all-cause mortality and superior calibration for MACE and all-cause mortality. Conclusions The DGI-2013 appears to underestimate diet quality in older Italian and Greek migrant men. The pyrMDS appears superior to the DGI-2013 for prediction of incident cardiovascular disease and mortality regardless of ethnic background., Author(s): Fiona F. Stanaway [sup.1] [sup.2] , Rosilene V. Ribeiro [sup.3] , Saman Khalatbari-Soltani [sup.1] [sup.2] , Erin Cvejic [sup.1] , Fiona M. Blyth [sup.1] [sup.2] , Vasi Naganathan [sup.4] [...]

Background: Most reviews investigating physical activity interventions for older people consider evidence primarily from high-income countries. This review examined physical activity interventions for older people from low- and middle-income countries. Methods: We searched 9 electronic databases to identify randomized controlled trials or quasi-randomized trials studies investigating physical activity interventions for people aged 60+ in low- and middle-income countries. Following study selection, one reviewer extracted relevant data. A second reviewer double-checked the data extraction of a randomly selected sample of interventions (20%). Data were summarized using descriptive statistics. Results: We included 234 studies from 19 countries, investigating 259 distinct physical activity interventions. Studies were mostly conducted in upper middle-income countries (89%), often assessing physical activity interventions through randomized controlled trials (82%). Most studies investigated a mixed population in terms of sex (68%), with a mean age between 65 and 70 years (36%), not selected on the basis of having a specific health condition (55%). The intervention most commonly investigated was structured exercise (63%) and "no intervention" was the most frequent comparator (47%). The outcomes measured more often were intrinsic capacity (59%) and functional ability (51%), whereas physical activity, falls, and social outcomes were rare. Only 2 studies targeted underserved populations. Conclusion: Although we identified a substantial number of randomized controlled trials, most evidence for physical activity interventions for older people in low- and middle-income countries is limited to upper middle-income countries. Gaps identified included interventions targeting populations with underserved backgrounds, using sport as an intervention, and assessing the impact of physical activity interventions on physical activity, falls, and social outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Exposome research aims to describe and understand the extent to which all the exposures in human environments may affect our health over the lifetime. However, the way in which humans interact with their environment is socially patterned. Failing to account for social factors in research exploring the exposome may underestimate the magnitude of the effect of exposures or mask inequalities in the distribution of both exposures and outcomes. Objectives: We aimed to describe the extent to which social factors appear in the exposome literature, the manner in which they are used in empirical analyses and statistical modeling, and the way in which they are considered in the overall scientific approach. Methods: We conducted a scoping review of the literature using three databases (PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science) up to January 2022. We grouped studies based on the way in which the social variables were used in the analyses and quantified the type and frequency of social variables mentioned in the articles. We also qualitatively described the scientific approach used by authors to integrate social variables. Results: We screened 1,001 records, and 73 studies were included in the analysis. Fifty-five (~ 75%) used social variables as exposures or confounders or both, and a wide array of social variables were represented in the articles. Individual-level social variables were more often found, especially education and race/ethnicity, as well as neighborhood-level deprivation indices. Half of the studies used a hypothesis- free approach and the other half, a hypothesis-driven approach. However, in the latter group, of 35 studies, only 8 reported and discussed at least one possible social mechanism underlying the relationship observed between the social variable and the outcome. Discussion: Social factors in exposome research should be considered in a more systematic way, considering their role in structuring both the specific external and the internal exposome. Doing so could help to understand the mechanisms of construction and, potentially, alleviate social inequalities in health and mitigate the emergence of new ones. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11015, Introduction Exposome research aims to describe and understand the extent and nature of all the exposures in human environments over the lifetime which may affect our health. (1) The exposome [...]

Background Falls and physical inactivity increase with age. However, physical activity, falls and their associations in older people born at different times are unclear. Methods Women born 1921–26 and 1946–51 who completed follow-up questionnaires in 1999 (n  = 8 403, mean (SD) age: 75 (1) years) and 2019 (n  = 7 555; 71 (1) years) in the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women's Health. Self-reported noninjurious and injurious falls in the previous 12 months and weekly amounts and types of physical activity (brisk walking, moderate- and vigorous-intensity) were compared between the cohorts using Chi-square tests. Associations between physical activity, and noninjurious and injurious falls were estimated using multinomial logistic regressions informed by a directed acyclic graph. Results A greater proportion of the later (1946–51) cohort (59%) reached 150–300 minutes of weekly physical activity, as recommended by the World Health Organization, compared to the earlier (1921–26) cohort (43%, p  < .001). A greater proportion of the later cohort reported noninjurious falls (14% vs 8%). Both cohorts reported similar proportions of injurious falls (1946–51:15%, 1921–26:14%). In both cohorts, participation in 150–300 minutes of physical activity was associated with lower odds of noninjurious falls (adjusted Odds Ratio, 95% CI: 1921–26: 0.66, 0.52–0.84; 1946–51: 0.78, 0.63–0.97) and injurious falls (1921–26: 0.72, 0.60–0.87; 1946–51: 0.78, 0.64–0.96). Conclusions Participation in recommended levels of physical activity was associated with reduced falls in both cohorts. However, generational differences were found with more falls and more physical activities in the women born later. Future studies could examine the reasons contributing to the generational differences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Overadjustment bias occurs when researchers adjust for an explanatory variable on the causal pathway from exposure to outcome, which leads to biased estimates of the causal effect of the exposure. This meta-research review aimed to examine how previous systematic reviews and meta-analyses of socio-economic inequalities in health have managed overadjustment bias. Methods We searched Medline and Embase until 16 April 2021 for systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies on associations between individual-level socio-economic position and health outcomes in any population. A set of criteria were developed to examine methodological approaches to overadjustment bias adopted by included reviews (rated Yes/No/Somewhat/Unclear). Results Eighty-four reviews were eligible (47 systematic reviews, 37 meta-analyses). Regarding approaches to overadjustment, whereas 73% of the 84 reviews were rated as Yes for clearly defining exposures and outcomes, all other approaches were rated as Yes for <55% of reviews; for instance, 5% clearly defined confounders and mediators, 2% constructed causal diagrams and 35% reported adjusted variables for included studies. Whereas only 2% included overadjustment in risk of bias assessment, 54% included confounding. Of the 37 meta-analyses, 16% conducted sensitivity analyses related to overadjustment. Conclusions Our findings suggest that overadjustment bias has received insufficient consideration in systematic reviews and meta-analyses of socio-economic inequalities in health. This is a critical issue given that overadjustment bias is likely to result in biased estimates of health inequalities and accurate estimates are needed to inform public health interventions. There is a need to highlight overadjustment bias in review guidelines. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article examines the issue of overadjustment bias in systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies. It emphasizes the need to address biases, such as selection, measurement, and confounding biases, in order to obtain accurate estimates. The authors find that while guidelines and tools for conducting and reporting these reviews often address confounding bias, they rarely consider overadjustment bias. The authors argue that guidelines and tools should explicitly address overadjustment bias to enhance the quality of these reviews. They recommend including overadjustment bias in guidelines and standards, promoting recent tools that address both overadjustment and confounding, and implementing strategies to improve adherence to guidelines. [Extracted from the article]

Introduction: This study aimed to assess the extent to which a single item of self-reported hearing difficulties is associated with future risk of falling among community-dwelling older adults. Methods: We used data from two Australian population-based cohorts: three waves from the PATH Through Life study (PATH; n = 2,048, 51% men, age 66.5 ± 1.5 SD years) and three waves from the Concord Health and Ageing in Men Project (CHAMP; n = 1,448, 100% men with mean age 77.3 ± 5.3 SD years). Hearing difficulties were recorded on a four-point ordinal scale in PATH and on a dichotomous scale in CHAMP. The number of falls in the past 12 months was reported at each wave in both studies. In CHAMP, incident falls were also ascertained by triannual telephone call cycles for up to four years. Multivariable-adjusted random intercept negative binomial regression models were used to estimate the association between self-reported hearing difficulties and number of falls reported at the following wave or 4-monthly follow-ups. Results: In PATH, self-reported hearing difficulties were associated with a higher rate of falls at follow-up (incidence rate ratio = 1.15, 95% CI = 1.03–1.27 per a one-level increase in self-reported hearing difficulties), after adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, health behaviours, physical functioning, balance, mental health, medical conditions, and medications. There were no significant associations between hearing difficulties and the rate of falls based on either repeated survey or 4-monthly follow-ups in CHAMP. Conclusion: Though we find mixed results, findings from PATH data indicate an ordinal measure of self-reported hearing loss may be predictive of falls incidence in young-old adults. However, the null findings in the male-only CHAMP preclude firm conclusions of a link between hearing loss and falls risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Supplemental Digital Content is Available in the Text. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]