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Christopher Kitchen,1 Hsien-Yen Chang,1 Jonathan P Weiner,1 Hadi Kharrazi1,2 1Center for Population Health IT, Department of Health Policy and Management, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA; 2Division of Health Sciences Informatics, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USACorrespondence: Christopher Kitchen, Center for Population Health IT, Department of Health Policy and Management, Johns Hopkins University, Bloomberg School of Public Health, 624 N Broadway, Room 500, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA, Tel +1 410 614-7409, Email ckitche2@jhu.eduPurpose: Patient vital signs are related to specific health risks and outcomes but are underutilized in the prediction of health-care utilization and cost. To measure the added value of electronic health record (EHR) extracted Body Mass Index (BMI) and blood pressure (BP) values in improving healthcare risk and utilization predictions.Patients and Methods: A sample of 12,820 adult outpatients from the Johns Hopkins Health System (JHHS) were identified between 2016 and 2017, having high data quality and recorded values for BMI and BP. We evaluated the added value of BMI and BP in predicting health-care utilization and cost through a retrospective cohort design. BMI, mean arterial pressure (MAP), systolic and diastolic BPs were summarized as annual aggregated values. Concurrent annual BMI and MAP changes were quantified as the difference between maximum and minimum recorded values. Model performance estimates consisted of repeated 10-fold cross validation, compared to base model point estimates for demographic and diagnostic, coded events: (1) patient age and sex, (2) age, sex, and the Charlson weighted index, (3) age, sex and the Johns Hopkins ACG system’s DxPM risk score.Results: Both categorical BMI and BP were progressively indicative of disease comorbidity, but not uniformly related to health-care utilization or cost. Annual change in BMI and MAP improved predictions for most concurrent year outcomes when compared to base models.Conclusion: When a healthcare system lacks relevant diagnostic or risk assessment information for a patient, vital signs may be useful for a simple estimation of disease risk, cost and utilization.Keywords: health care costs, health care organizations and systems, information technology in health, technology assessment

Background: Patellofemoral joint disorders are the most common cause of anterior knee pain in patients who referred to orthopedic clinics. Patellar lateralization cause anterior knee pain due to weakness of vastus medialis oblique muscle or tightness of lateral structures like lateral retinaculum or iliotibial band muscle. Materials and Methods: For evaluation of this abnormality, plane radiography, CT scan and MRI are useful. In plane radiography only one view in a single joint position can be obtained, because of that it is not a good method to detect abnormal tracking during knee range of motion. The purpose of this study was to evaluate patellar tracking by kinematics MRI during five serial degrees of knee range of motion (40, 30, 20, 10, 0 degrees) in 30 patients with patellar lateralization and 10 normal subjects, aged 18-30 years. Results and Conclusion: tistical analysis showed that in patients group, patella had the most stability in 40 degree of knee flexion and this stability reduced when knee reached to full extension. At this point, patella moved laterally and the most instability was seen during 20 to 0 degree of knee extension.

BackgroundPatient portal modules, including electronic personal health records, health education, and prescription refill ordering, may be leveraged to address the sexually transmitted infection (STI) burden, including HIV, among gay, bisexual, and other sexual minority men (SMM). Theoretical frameworks in the implementation sciences highlight examining constructs of innovation attributes and performance expectations as key determinants of behavioral intentions and the use of new web-based health technologies. However, behavioral intentions to use patient portals for HIV and other STI prevention and care among SMM is understudied. ObjectiveThe aim of this study is to develop a brief instrument for measuring attitudes focused on using patient portals for STI prevention and care among a nationwide sample of SMM. MethodsA total of 12 items of the American Men’s Internet Survey-Patient Portal Sexual Health Instrument (AMIS-PPSHI) were adapted from a previous study. Psychometric analyses of the AMIS-PPSHI items were conducted among a randomized subset of 2018 AMIS participants reporting web-based access to their health records (N=1375). Parallel analysis and inspection of eigenvalues in a principal component analysis (PCA) informed factor retention in exploratory factor analysis (EFA). After EFA, Cronbach α was used to examine the internal consistency of the scale and its subscales. Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) was used to assess the goodness of fit of the final factor structure. We calculated the total AMIS-PPSHI scale scores for comparisons within group categories, including age, STI diagnosis history, recency of testing, serious mental illness, and anticipated health care stigma. ResultsThe AMIS-PPSHI scale resulting from EFA consisted of 12 items and had good internal consistency (α=.84). The EFA suggested 3 subscales: sexual health engagement and awareness (α=.87), enhancing dyadic communication (α=.87), and managing sexual health care (α=.79). CFA demonstrated good fit in the 3-factor PPSHI structure: root mean square error of approximation=0.061, comparative fit index=0.964, Tucker-Lewis index=0.953, and standardized root mean square residual=0.041. The most notable differences were lower scores on the enhanced dyadic communication subscale among people living with HIV. ConclusionsPPSHI is a brief instrument with strong psychometric properties that may be adapted for use in large surveys and patient questionnaires in other settings. Scores demonstrate that patient portals are favorable web-based solutions to deliver health services focused on STI prevention and care among SMM in the United States. More attention is needed to address the privacy implications of interpersonal use of patient portals outside of traditional health settings among persons with HIV.

In an era of accelerated health information technology capability, health care organizations increasingly use digital data to predict outcomes such as emergency department use, hospitalizations, and health care costs. This trend occurs alongside a growing recognition that social and behavioral determinants of health (SBDH) influence health and medical care use. Consequently, health providers and insurers are starting to incorporate new SBDH data sources into a wide range of health care prediction models, although existing models that use SBDH variables have not been shown to improve health care predictions more than models that use exclusively clinical variables. In this viewpoint, we review the rationale behind the push to integrate SBDH data into health care predictive models and explore the technical, strategic, and ethical challenges faced as this process unfolds across the United States. We also offer several recommendations to overcome these challenges to reach the promise of SBDH predictive analytics to improve health and reduce health care disparities.

AbstractObjectiveMethodResultsConclusionsNearly 50,000 Americans die each year from suicide, despite suicide death being a rare event in the context of health risk assessment and modeling. Prior research has underscored the need for contextualizing suicide risk models in terms of their potential uses and generalizability. This sensitivity analysis makes use of the Maryland Suicide Data Warehouse (MSDW) and illustrates how results inform clinical decision support.A cohort of 1 million living control patients were extracted from the MSDW in addition to 1,667 patients who had died by suicide between the years 2016 and 2019 according to the Maryland Office of the Medical Examiner (OCME). Data were extracted and aggregated as part of a 4-year retrospective design. Binary logistic and two penalized regression models were deployed in a repeated fivefold cross-validation. Model performances were evaluated using sensitivity, positive predictive value (PPV), and F1, and model coefficients were ranked according to coefficient size.Several features were significantly associated with patients having died by suicide, including male sex, depressive and anxiety disorder diagnoses, social needs, and prior suicidal ideation and suicide attempt. Cross-validated binary logistic regression outperformed either ridge or LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) models but generally achieved low-to-moderate PPV and sensitivity across most thresholds and a peak F1 of 0.323.Suicide death prediction is constrained by the context of use, which determines the best balance of precision and recall. Predictive models must be evaluated close to the level of intervention. They may not hold up to different needs at different levels of care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Adverse Social Determinants of Health (SDoH) are considered major obstacles to effective management of type-2 diabetes. This study aims to quantify the impact of SDoH factors on diabetes management outcomes., Materials and Methods: We quantified the joint impact of multiple SDoH by applying a self-control case series method-which accounts for confounding by using individuals as their own control-to electronic health record data from an academic health system in Maryland., Results: We found a consistent increase in HbA1c levels associated with SDoH across alternative study designs. The estimated total contributions of SDoH ranged 0.014-0.065 across the alternative designs. Transportation issues demonstrated particularly significant contributions, with estimates of 0.077-0.144. When assuming SDoH's risk window to be ±45 days, for example, the total contribution was estimated to be 0.065 (95% CI [0.010, 0.120]) increase in HbA1c and the transportation issues' contribution 0.134 (95% CI [0.020, 0.249])., Discussion and Conclusion: Our result suggests that reducing transportation barriers may be an effective SDoH intervention strategy for diabetes management; however, the clinical impact of such interventions warrants further investigation., Competing Interests: None declared., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Medical Informatics Association.)

Background: Increasing and substantial reliance on electronic health records (EHRs) and data types (ie, diagnosis, medication, and laboratory data) demands assessment of their data quality as a fundamental approach, especially since there is a need to identify appropriate denominator populations with chronic conditions, such as type 2 diabetes (T2D), using commonly available computable phenotype definitions (ie, phenotypes)., Objective: To bridge this gap, our study aims to assess how issues of EHR data quality and variations and robustness (or lack thereof) in phenotypes may have potential impacts in identifying denominator populations., Methods: Approximately 208,000 patients with T2D were included in our study, which used retrospective EHR data from the Johns Hopkins Medical Institution (JHMI) during 2017-2019. Our assessment included 4 published phenotypes and 1 definition from a panel of experts at Hopkins. We conducted descriptive analyses of demographics (ie, age, sex, race, and ethnicity), use of health care (inpatient and emergency room visits), and the average Charlson Comorbidity Index score of each phenotype. We then used different methods to induce or simulate data quality issues of completeness, accuracy, and timeliness separately across each phenotype. For induced data incompleteness, our model randomly dropped diagnosis, medication, and laboratory codes independently at increments of 10%; for induced data inaccuracy, our model randomly replaced a diagnosis or medication code with another code of the same data type and induced 2% incremental change from -100% to +10% in laboratory result values; and lastly, for timeliness, data were modeled for induced incremental shift of date records by 30 days to 365 days., Results: Less than a quarter (n=47,326, 23%) of the population overlapped across all phenotypes using EHRs. The population identified by each phenotype varied across all combinations of data types. Induced incompleteness identified fewer patients with each increment; for example, at 100% diagnostic incompleteness, the Chronic Conditions Data Warehouse phenotype identified zero patients, as its phenotypic characteristics included only diagnosis codes. Induced inaccuracy and timeliness similarly demonstrated variations in performance of each phenotype, therefore resulting in fewer patients being identified with each incremental change., Conclusions: We used EHR data with diagnosis, medication, and laboratory data types from a large tertiary hospital system to understand T2D phenotypic differences and performance. We used induced data quality methods to learn how data quality issues may impact identification of the denominator populations upon which clinical (eg, clinical research and trials, population health evaluations) and financial or operational decisions are made. The novel results from our study may inform future approaches to shaping a common T2D computable phenotype definition that can be applied to clinical informatics, managing chronic conditions, and additional industry-wide efforts in health care., (© Priyanka Dua Sood, Star Liu, Harold Lehmann, Hadi Kharrazi. Originally published in JMIR Medical Informatics (https://medinform.jmir.org).)

Objectives: This study assesses the perceptions and attitudes of Chinese radiologists concerning the application of artificial intelligence (AI) in the diagnosis of lung nodules., Material and Methods: An anonymous questionnaire, consisting of 26 questions addressing the usability of AI systems and comprehensive evaluation of AI technology, was distributed to all radiologists affiliated with Beijing Anzhen Hospital and Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital. The data collection was conducted between July 19, and 21, 2023., Results: Of the 90 respondents, the majority favored the AI system's convenience and usability, reflected in "good" system usability scale (SUS) scores (Mean ± standard deviation [SD]: 74.3 ± 11.9). General usability was similarly well-received (Mean ± SD: 76.0 ± 11.5), while learnability was rated as "acceptable" (Mean ± SD: 67.5 ± 26.4). Most radiologists noted increased work efficiency (Mean Likert scale score: 4.6 ± 0.6) and diagnostic accuracy (Mean Likert scale score: 4.2 ± 0.8) with the AI system. Views on AI's future impact on radiology careers varied (Mean ± SD: 3.2 ± 1.4), with a consensus that AI is unlikely to replace radiologists entirely in the foreseeable future (Mean ± SD: 2.5 ± 1.1)., Conclusion: Radiologists at two leading Beijing hospitals generally perceive the AI-assisted lung nodule diagnostic system positively, citing its user-friendliness and effectiveness. However, the system's learnability requires enhancement. While AI is seen as beneficial for work efficiency and diagnostic accuracy, its long-term career implications remain a topic of debate., Competing Interests: There are no conflicts of interest., (© 2024 Published by Scientific Scholar on behalf of Journal of Clinical Imaging Science.)

Objective: Despite increased availability of methodologies to identify algorithmic bias, the operationalization of bias evaluation for healthcare predictive models is still limited. Therefore, this study proposes a process for bias evaluation through an empirical assessment of common hospital readmission models. The process includes selecting bias measures, interpretation, determining disparity impact and potential mitigations., Methods: This retrospective analysis evaluated racial bias of four common models predicting 30-day unplanned readmission (i.e., LACE Index, HOSPITAL Score, and the CMS readmission measure applied as is and retrained). The models were assessed using 2.4 million adult inpatient discharges in Maryland from 2016 to 2019. Fairness metrics that are model-agnostic, easy to compute, and interpretable were implemented and apprised to select the most appropriate bias measures. The impact of changing model's risk thresholds on these measures was further assessed to guide the selection of optimal thresholds to control and mitigate bias., Results: Four bias measures were selected for the predictive task: zero-one-loss difference, false negative rate (FNR) parity, false positive rate (FPR) parity, and generalized entropy index. Based on these measures, the HOSPITAL score and the retrained CMS measure demonstrated the lowest racial bias. White patients showed a higher FNR while Black patients resulted in a higher FPR and zero-one-loss. As the models' risk threshold changed, trade-offs between models' fairness and overall performance were observed, and the assessment showed all models' default thresholds were reasonable for balancing accuracy and bias., Conclusions: This study proposes an Applied Framework to Assess Fairness of Predictive Models (AFAFPM) and demonstrates the process using 30-day hospital readmission model as the example. It suggests the feasibility of applying algorithmic bias assessment to determine optimized risk thresholds so that predictive models can be used more equitably and accurately. It is evident that a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods and a multidisciplinary team are necessary to identify, understand and respond to algorithm bias in real-world healthcare settings. Users should also apply multiple bias measures to ensure a more comprehensive, tailored, and balanced view. The results of bias measures, however, must be interpreted with caution and consider the larger operational, clinical, and policy context., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Purpose: To compare the performance of 3 phenotyping methods in identifying diabetic retinopathy (DR) and related clinical conditions., Design: Three phenotyping methods were used to identify clinical conditions including unspecified DR, nonproliferative DR (NPDR) (mild, moderate, severe), consolidated NPDR (unspecified DR or any NPDR), proliferative DR, diabetic macular edema (DME), vitreous hemorrhage, retinal detachment (RD) (tractional RD or combined tractional and rhegmatogenous RD), and neovascular glaucoma (NVG). The first method used only International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) diagnosis codes ( ICD-10 Lookup System ). The next 2 methods used a Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers with a dense Multilayer Perceptron output layer natural language processing (NLP) framework. The NLP framework was applied either to free-text of provider notes ( Text-Only NLP System ) or both free-text and ICD-10 diagnosis codes ( Text-and-International Classification of Diseases [ ICD ] NLP System )., Subjects: Adults ≥18 years with diabetes mellitus seen at the Wilmer Eye Institute., Methods: We compared the performance of the 3 phenotyping methods in identifying the DR related conditions with gold standard chart review. We also compared the estimated disease prevalence using each method., Main Outcome Measures: Performance of each method was reported as the macro F1 score. The agreement between the methods was calculated using the kappa statistic. Prevalence estimates were also calculated for each method., Results: A total of 91 097 patients and 692 486 office visits were included in the study. Compared with the gold standard, the Text-and-ICD NLP System had the highest F1 score for most clinical conditions (range 0.39-0.64). The agreement between the ICD-10 Lookup System and Text-Only NLP System varied (kappa of 0.21-0.81). The prevalence of DR and related conditions ranged from 1.1% for NVG to 17.9% for DME (using the Text-and-ICD NLP System )., Conclusions: The prevalence of DR and related conditions varied significantly depending on the methodology of identifying cases. The best performing phenotyping method was the Text-and-ICD NLP System that used information in both diagnosis codes as well as free-text notes., Financial Disclosures: Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article., (© 2024 by the American Academy of Ophthalmology.)

In this systematic review, we compared the effectiveness of telehealth with in-person care during the pandemic using PubMed, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from March 2020 to April 2023. We included English-language, U.S.-healthcare relevant studies comparing telehealth with in-person care conducted after the onset of the pandemic. Two reviewers independently screened search results, serially extracted data, and independently assessed the risk of bias and strength of evidence. We identified 77 studies, the majority of which (47, 61%) were judged to have a serious or high risk of bias. Differences, if any, in healthcare utilization and clinical outcomes between in-person and telehealth care were generally small and/or not clinically meaningful and varied across the type of outcome and clinical area. For process outcomes, there was a mostly lower rate of missed visits and changes in therapy/medication and higher rates of therapy/medication adherence among patients receiving an initial telehealth visit compared with those receiving in-person care. However, the rates of up-to-date labs/paraclinical assessment were also lower among patients receiving an initial telehealth visit compared with those receiving in-person care. Most studies lacked a standardized approach to assessing outcomes. While we refrain from making an overall conclusion about the performance of telehealth versus in-person visits the use of telehealth is comparable to in-person care across a variety of outcomes and clinical areas. As we transition through the COVID-19 era, models for integrating telehealth with traditional care become increasingly important, and ongoing evaluations of telehealth will be particularly valuable., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background: The adoption of predictive algorithms in health care comes with the potential for algorithmic bias, which could exacerbate existing disparities. Fairness metrics have been proposed to measure algorithmic bias, but their application to real-world tasks is limited., Objective: This study aims to evaluate the algorithmic bias associated with the application of common 30-day hospital readmission models and assess the usefulness and interpretability of selected fairness metrics., Methods: We used 10.6 million adult inpatient discharges from Maryland and Florida from 2016 to 2019 in this retrospective study. Models predicting 30-day hospital readmissions were evaluated: LACE Index, modified HOSPITAL score, and modified Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) readmission measure, which were applied as-is (using existing coefficients) and retrained (recalibrated with 50% of the data). Predictive performances and bias measures were evaluated for all, between Black and White populations, and between low- and other-income groups. Bias measures included the parity of false negative rate (FNR), false positive rate (FPR), 0-1 loss, and generalized entropy index. Racial bias represented by FNR and FPR differences was stratified to explore shifts in algorithmic bias in different populations., Results: The retrained CMS model demonstrated the best predictive performance (area under the curve: 0.74 in Maryland and 0.68-0.70 in Florida), and the modified HOSPITAL score demonstrated the best calibration (Brier score: 0.16-0.19 in Maryland and 0.19-0.21 in Florida). Calibration was better in White (compared to Black) populations and other-income (compared to low-income) groups, and the area under the curve was higher or similar in the Black (compared to White) populations. The retrained CMS and modified HOSPITAL score had the lowest racial and income bias in Maryland. In Florida, both of these models overall had the lowest income bias and the modified HOSPITAL score showed the lowest racial bias. In both states, the White and higher-income populations showed a higher FNR, while the Black and low-income populations resulted in a higher FPR and a higher 0-1 loss. When stratified by hospital and population composition, these models demonstrated heterogeneous algorithmic bias in different contexts and populations., Conclusions: Caution must be taken when interpreting fairness measures' face value. A higher FNR or FPR could potentially reflect missed opportunities or wasted resources, but these measures could also reflect health care use patterns and gaps in care. Simply relying on the statistical notions of bias could obscure or underplay the causes of health disparity. The imperfect health data, analytic frameworks, and the underlying health systems must be carefully considered. Fairness measures can serve as a useful routine assessment to detect disparate model performances but are insufficient to inform mechanisms or policy changes. However, such an assessment is an important first step toward data-driven improvement to address existing health disparities., (©H Echo Wang, Jonathan P Weiner, Suchi Saria, Hadi Kharrazi. Originally published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research (https://www.jmir.org), 18.04.2024.)

Objective: Involvement of opioids in suicides has doubled during the past two decades, worsening a major public health concern. This study examined the characteristics of opioid-involved suicides., Methods: The sample of decedents ( N  = 12,038) in Maryland between 2006 and 2020 was used to compare the characteristics of opioid-involved suicides ( n  = 947) with suicides not involving opioids ( n  = 6,896) and accidental opioid deaths ( n  = 4,125). Direct comparisons were then made between opioid-involved suicides with and without the additional presence of non-opioid substances., Results: Opioid-involved suicides were significantly more likely than suicides not involving opioids to occur among those aged 18-64 years, non-Hispanic Whites, and unemployed or disabled individuals. Opioid-involved suicides were more likely than accidental opioid deaths to occur among females, those aged <18 years, non-Hispanic Whites, and employed individuals. Of all suicides involved opioids, 45% involved other non-opioid substances. Polysubstance opioid suicides were significantly more likely than suicides involving opioids only to occur among non-Hispanic Whites., Conclusions: Significant differences were observed in the demographic groups most at risk for opioid-involved suicide than other suicide or accidental opioid death. Among opioid-involved suicides, polysubstance involvement also represents a distinct group. These findings may enhance the targeting of prevention efforts.

Background: A growing number of US states are implementing programs to address the social needs (SNs) of their Medicaid populations through managed care contracts. Incorporating SN might also improve risk adjustment methods used to reimburse Medicaid providers., Objectives: Identify classes of SN present within the Medicaid population and evaluate the performance improvement in risk adjustment models of health care utilization and cost after incorporating SN classes., Research Design: A secondary analysis of Medicaid patients during the years 2018 and 2019. Latent class analysis (LCA) was used to identify SN classes. To evaluate the impact of SN classes on measures of hospitalization, emergency (ED) visits, and costs, logistic and linear regression modeling for concurrent and prospective years was used. Model performance was assessed before and after incorporating these SN classes to base models controlling for demographics and comorbidities., Subjects: 262,325 Medicaid managed care program patients associated with a large urban academic medical center., Results: 7.8% of the study population had at least one SN, with the most prevalent being related to safety (3.9%). Four classes of SN were determined to be optimal based on LCA, including stress-related needs, safety-related needs, access to health care-related needs, and socioeconomic status-related needs. The addition of SN classes improved the performance of concurrent base models' AUC (0.61 vs. 0.58 for predicting ED visits and 0.61 vs. 0.58 for projecting hospitalizations)., Conclusions: Incorporating SN clusters significantly improved risk adjustment models of health care utilization and costs in the study population. Further investigation into the predictive value of SN for costs and utilization in different Medicaid populations is merited., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Among older adults, nursing home admissions (NHAs) are considered a significant adverse outcome and have been extensively studied. Although the volume and significance of electronic data sources are expanding, it is unclear what predictors of NHA have been systematically identified in the literature via electronic health records (EHRs) and administrative data., Objective: This study synthesizes findings of recent literature on identifying predictors of NHA that are collected from administrative data or EHRs., Methods: The PRISMA-ScR (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews) guidelines were used for study selection. The PubMed and CINAHL databases were used to retrieve the studies. Articles published between January 1, 2012, and March 31, 2023, were included., Results: A total of 34 papers were selected for final inclusion in this review. In addition to NHA, all-cause mortality, hospitalization, and rehospitalization were frequently used as outcome measures. The most frequently used models for predicting NHAs were Cox proportional hazards models (studies: n=12, 35%), logistic regression models (studies: n=9, 26%), and a combination of both (studies: n=6, 18%). Several predictors were used in the NHA prediction models, which were further categorized into sociodemographic, caregiver support, health status, health use, and social service use factors. Only 5 (15%) studies used a validated frailty measure in their NHA prediction models., Conclusions: NHA prediction tools based on EHRs or administrative data may assist clinicians, patients, and policy makers in making informed decisions and allocating public health resources. More research is needed to assess the value of various predictors and data sources in predicting NHAs and validating NHA prediction models externally., (© Eunkyung Han, Hadi Kharrazi, Leiyu Shi. Originally published in JMIR Aging (https://aging.jmir.org).)

We investigated the role of both individual-level social needs and community-level social determinants of health (SDOH) in explaining emergency department (ED) utilization rates. We also assessed the potential synergies between the two levels of analysis and their combined effect on patterns of ED visits. We extracted electronic health record (EHR) data between July 2016 and June 2020 for 1,308,598 unique Maryland residents who received care at Johns Hopkins Health System, of which 28,937 (2.2%) patients had at least one documented social need. There was a negative correlation between median household income in a neighborhood with having a social need such as financial resource strain, food insecurity, and residential instability (correlation coefficient: -0.05, -0.01, and - 0.06, p = 0, respectively). In a multilevel model with random effects after adjusting for other factors, living in a more disadvantaged neighborhood was found to be significantly associated with ED utilization statewide and within Baltimore City (OR: 1.005, 95% CI: 1.003-1.007 and 1.020, 95% CI: 1.017-1.022, respectively). However, individual-level social needs appeared to enhance the statewide effect of living in a more disadvantaged neighborhood with the OR for the interaction term between social needs and SDOH being larger, and more positive, than SDOH alone (OR: 1.012, 95% CI: 1.011-1.014). No such moderation was found in Baltimore City. To our knowledge, this study is one of the first attempts by a major academic healthcare system to assess the combined impact of patient-level social needs in association with community-level SDOH on healthcare utilization and can serve as a baseline for future studies using EHR data linked to population-level data to assess such synergistic association., (© 2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature.)

Purpose: Between 30 and 68% of patients prematurely discontinue their antidepressant treatment, posing significant risks to patient safety and healthcare outcomes. Online healthcare forums have the potential to offer a rich and unique source of data, revealing dimensions of antidepressant discontinuation that may not be captured by conventional data sources., Methods: We analyzed 891 patient narratives from the online healthcare forum, "askapatient.com," utilizing content analysis to create PsyRisk-a corpus highlighting the risk factors associated with antidepressant discontinuation. Leveraging PsyRisk, alongside PsyTAR [a publicly available corpus of adverse drug reactions (ADRs) related to antidepressants], we developed a machine learning-driven algorithm for proactive identification of patients at risk of abrupt antidepressant discontinuation., Results: From the analyzed 891 patients, 232 reported antidepressant discontinuation. Among these patients, 92% experienced ADRs, and 72% found these reactions distressful, negatively affecting their daily activities. Approximately 26% of patients perceived the antidepressants as ineffective. Most reported ADRs were physiological (61%, 411/673), followed by cognitive (30%, 197/673), and psychological (28%, 188/673) ADRs. In our study, we employed a nested cross-validation strategy with an outer 5-fold cross-validation for model selection, and an inner 5-fold cross-validation for hyperparameter tuning. The performance of our risk identification algorithm, as assessed through this robust validation technique, yielded an AUC-ROC of 90.77 and an F1-score of 83.33. The most significant contributors to abrupt discontinuation were high perceived distress from ADRs and perceived ineffectiveness of the antidepressants., Conclusion: The risk factors identified and the risk identification algorithm developed in this study have substantial potential for clinical application. They could assist healthcare professionals in identifying and managing patients with depression who are at risk of prematurely discontinuing their antidepressant treatment., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. The handling editor LW declared a shared affiliation with author DF at the time of the review. The reviewer LT declared a shared affiliation with the authors MK and TP at the time of the review., (Copyright © 2023 Zolnour, Eldredge, Faiola, Yaghoobzadeh, Khani, Foy, Topaz, Kharrazi, Fung, Fontelo, Davoudi, Tabaie, Breitinger, Oesterle, Rouhizadeh, Zonnor, Moen, Patrick and Zolnoori.)

Objective: To develop a novel methodology to identify lapses in diabetic retinopathy care in electronic health records (EHRs) and evaluate health disparities by race and ethnicity., Design: Retrospective cohort study., Subjects: Adult patients with diabetes mellitus who were evaluated at the Wilmer Eye Institute from January 1, 2013 to April 2, 2022., Methods: The methodology to identify lapses in care first identified diabetic retinopathy screening or treatment visits and then compared the providers' recommended follow-up timeframe with the patient's actual time to next encounter. The association of race and ethnicity with odds of lapses in care was evaluated using a mixed-effects logistic regression model controlling for age, sex, insurance, severity of diabetic retinopathy, presence of other retinal disorders, and glaucoma., Main Outcome Measures: Lapses in diabetic retinopathy care., Results: The methodology to identify diabetic retinopathy-related visits had a 95.0% (95% confidence interval, 93.0-96.6) sensitivity and 98.8% (98.1-99.3) specificity as compared with a gold standard grader. The methodology resulted in a 97.3% (96.2-98.4) sensitivity and 98.1% (97.3-98.9) specificity for detecting a follow-up recommendation, with an average error of -0.05 (-0.31 to 0.21) weeks in extracting the precise timeframe. A total of 39 561 patients with 91 104 office visits were included in the analysis. The average age was 61.4 years. More than 3 (77.6%) in 4 patients had a lapse in care. In multivariable analysis, non-Hispanic Black patients had 1.24 (1.19-1.30) odds and Hispanic patients had 1.26 (1.13-1.40) odds of ever having a lapse in care compared with non-Hispanic White patients ( P < 0.001, respectively)., Conclusions: We have developed a reliable methodology for identifying lapses in diabetic retinopathy care that is tailored to a provider's recommended follow-up. Using this approach, we find that 3 in 4 patients experience a lapse in diabetic retinopathy care and that these rates are higher among non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic patients. Deploying this methodology in the EHR is one potential means by which to identify and mitigate lapses in critical ophthalmic care in patients with diabetes., Financial Disclosures: Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references., (© 2023 by the American Academy of Ophthalmology. This is.)

There is increased acceptance that social and behavioral determinants of health (SBDH) impact health outcomes, but electronic health records (EHRs) are not always set up to capture the full range of SBDH variables in a systematic manner. The purpose of this study was to explore rates and trends of social history (SH) data collection-1 element of SBDH-in a structured portion of an EHR within a large academic integrated delivery system. EHR data for individuals with at least 1 visit in 2017 were included in this study. Completeness rates were calculated for how often SBDH variable was assessed and documented. Logistic regressions identified factors associated with assessment rates for each variable. A total of 44,166 study patients had at least 1 SH variable present. Tobacco use and alcohol use were the most frequently captured SH variables. Black individuals were more likely to have their alcohol use assessed (odds ratio [OR] 1.21) compared with White individuals, whereas White individuals were more likely to have their "smokeless tobacco use" assessed (OR 0.92). There were also differences between insurance types. Drug use was more likely to be assessed in the Medicaid population for individuals who were single (OR 0.95) compared with the commercial population (OR 1.05). SH variable assessment is inconsistent, which makes use of EHR data difficult to gain better understanding of the impact of SBDH on health outcomes. Standards and guidelines on how and why to collect SBDH information within the EHR are needed.

Background: Measuring and addressing the disparity between access to healthcare resources and underlying health needs of populations is a prominent focus in health policy development. More recently, the fair distribution of healthcare resources among population subgroups have become an important indication of health inequities. Single disease outcomes are commonly used for healthcare resource allocations; however, leveraging population-level comorbidity measures for health disparity research has been limited. This study compares the geographical distribution of comorbidity and associated healthcare utilization among commercially insured individuals in South Africa (SA) relative to the distribution of physicians., Methods: A retrospective, cross-sectional analysis was performed comparing the geographical distribution of comorbidity and physicians for 2.6 million commercially insured individuals over 2016-2017, stratified by geographical districts and population groups in SA. We applied the Johns Hopkins ACG® System across the claims data of a large health plan administrator to measure a comorbidity risk score for each individual. By aggregating individual scores, we determined the average healthcare resource need of individuals per district, known as the comorbidity index (CMI), to describe the disease burden per district. Linear regression models were constructed to test the relationship between CMI, age, gender, population group, and population density against physician density., Results: Our results showed a tendency for physicians to practice in geographic areas with more insurance enrollees and not necessarily where disease burden may be highest. This was confirmed by a negative relationship between physician density and CMI for the overall population and for three of the four major population groups. Among the population groups, the Black African population had, on average, access to fewer physicians per capita than other population groups, before and after adjusting for confounding factors., Conclusion: CMI is a novel measure for healthcare disparities research that considers both acute and chronic conditions contributing to current and future healthcare costs. Our study linked and compared the population-level geographical distribution of CMI to the distribution of physicians using routinely collected data. Our results could provide vital information towards the more equitable distribution of healthcare providers across population groups in SA, and to meet the healthcare needs of disadvantaged communities., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Background: In the United States, >3.6 million deliveries occur annually. Among them, up to 20% (approximately 700,000) of women experience postpartum depression (PPD) according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Absence of accurate reporting and diagnosis has made phenotyping of patients with PPD difficult. Existing literature has shown that factors such as race, socioeconomic status, and history of substance abuse are associated with the differential risks of PPD. However, limited research has considered differential temporal associations with the outcome., Objective: This study aimed to estimate the disparities in the risk of PPD and time to diagnosis for patients of different racial and socioeconomic backgrounds., Methods: This is a longitudinal retrospective study using the statewide hospital discharge data from Maryland. We identified 160,066 individuals who had a hospital delivery from 2017 to 2019. We applied logistic regression and Cox regression to study the risk of PPD across racial and socioeconomic strata. Multinomial regression was used to estimate the risk of PPD at different postpartum stages., Results: The cumulative incidence of PPD diagnosis was highest for White patients (8779/65,028, 13.5%) and lowest for Asian and Pacific Islander patients (248/10,760, 2.3%). Compared with White patients, PPD diagnosis was less likely to occur for Black patients (odds ratio [OR] 0.31, 95% CI 0.30-0.33), Asian or Pacific Islander patients (OR 0.17, 95% CI 0.15-0.19), and Hispanic patients (OR 0.21, 95% CI 0.19-0.22). Similar findings were observed from the Cox regression analysis. Multinomial regression showed that compared with White patients, Black patients (relative risk 2.12, 95% CI 1.73-2.60) and Asian and Pacific Islander patients (relative risk 2.48, 95% CI 1.46-4.21) were more likely to be diagnosed with PPD after 8 weeks of delivery., Conclusions: Compared with White patients, PPD diagnosis is less likely to occur in individuals of other races. We found disparate timing in PPD diagnosis across different racial groups and socioeconomic backgrounds. Our findings serve to enhance intervention strategies and policies for phenotyping patients at the highest risk of PPD and to highlight needs in data quality to support future work on racial disparities in PPD., (©Star Liu, Xiyu Ding, Anas Belouali, Haibin Bai, Kanimozhi Raja, Hadi Kharrazi. Originally published in JMIR Pediatrics and Parenting (https://pediatrics.jmir.org), 17.10.2022.)

Patients enrolled in Medicaid have significantly higher social needs (SNs) than others. Using claims and electronic health records (EHRs) data, managed care organizations (MCOs) could systemically identify high-risk patients with SNs and develop population health management interventions. Impact of SNs on models predicting health care utilization and costs was assessed. This retrospective study included claims and EHRs data on 39,267 patients younger than age 65 years who were continuously enrolled during 2018-2019 in a Medicaid-managed care plan. SN marker was developed suggesting presence of International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision codes in any of the 5 SN domains. Impact of SN marker was compared across demographic and 2 diagnosis-based (ie, Charlson and Adjusted Clinical Groups risk score) prediction models of emergency department (ED) visit and hospitalizations, and total, medical, and pharmacy costs. After combining data sources, prevalence of documented SN marker increased from 11% and 13% to 18% of the study population across claims, EHRs, and both combined, respectively. SN marker improved predictions of demographic models for all utilization and total costs outcomes (area under the curve [AUC] of ED model increased from 0.57 to 0.61 and R 2 of total cost model increased from 10.9 to 12.2). In both diagnosis-based models, adding SN marker marginally improved outcomes prediction (AUC of ED model increased from 0.65 to 0.66). This study demonstrated feasibility of using claims and EHRs data to systematically capture SNs and incorporate in prediction models that could enable MCOs and policy makers to adjust and develop effective population health interventions.

Background: Three claims-based pharmacy markers (complex, costly and risky medications) were developed to help automatically identify patients for comprehensive medication management., Objective: To evaluate the association between newly-developed markers and healthcare outcomes., Methods: This was a two-year retrospective cohort study using PharMetrics Plus patient-level administrative claims in 2014 and 2015. We included all claims from 1,541,873 individuals with: (1) 24-month medical and pharmacy enrollment in 2014 and 2015, (2) aged between 18 and 63 in 2014, and (3) known gender. Independent/control variables came from 2014 while outcomes came from 2014 (concurrent analysis) and 2015 (prospective analysis). Three pharmacy markers, separately or together, were added to four base models to predict concurrent and prospective healthcare costs (total, medical, and pharmacy) and utilization (having any hospitalization, having any emergency department visit, and having any readmission). We applied linear regression for costs while logistic regression for utilization. Measures of model performances and coefficients were derived from a 5-fold cross-validation repeated 20 times., Results: Individuals with 1+ complex, risky or costly medication markers had higher comorbidity, healthcare costs and utilization than their counterparts. Nine binary risky category markers performed the best among the three types of risky medication markers; the Medication Complexity Score and three-level complex category both outperformed a simpler complex medication indicator. Adding three novel pharmacy markers separately or together into the base models provided the greatest improvement in explaining pharmacy costs, compared with medical (non-medication) costs. These pharmacy markers also added value in explaining healthcare utilization among the simple base models., Conclusions: Three claims-based pharmacy indicators had positive associations with healthcare outcomes and added value in predicting them. This initial study suggested that these novel markers can be used by pharmacy case management programs to help identify potential high-risk patients most likely to benefit from clinical pharmacist review and other interventions., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Although most health care occurs in the ambulatory setting, limited research examines how providers and patients think about and enact ambulatory patient safety. This multimethod qualitative study seeks to identify perceived challenges and strategies to improve ambulatory safety from the perspectives of clinicians, staff, and patients. Data included interviews (N = 101), focus groups (N = 65), and observations of safety processes (N = 79) collected from 10 patient-centered medical homes. Key safety issues included the lack of interoperability among health information systems, clinician-patient communication failures, and challenges with medication reconciliation. Commonly cited safety strategies leveraged health information systems or involved dedicated resources (eg, providing access to social workers). Patients also identified strategies not mentioned by clinicians, emphasizing the need for their involvement in developing safety solutions. This work provides insight into safety issues of greatest concern to clinicians, staff, and patients and strategies to improve safety in the ambulatory setting., (Copyright © 2022 the American College of Medical Quality.)

Objective: Health care providers increasingly rely upon predictive algorithms when making important treatment decisions, however, evidence indicates that these tools can lead to inequitable outcomes across racial and socio-economic groups. In this study, we introduce a bias evaluation checklist that allows model developers and health care providers a means to systematically appraise a model's potential to introduce bias., Materials and Methods: Our methods include developing a bias evaluation checklist, a scoping literature review to identify 30-day hospital readmission prediction models, and assessing the selected models using the checklist., Results: We selected 4 models for evaluation: LACE, HOSPITAL, Johns Hopkins ACG, and HATRIX. Our assessment identified critical ways in which these algorithms can perpetuate health care inequalities. We found that LACE and HOSPITAL have the greatest potential for introducing bias, Johns Hopkins ACG has the most areas of uncertainty, and HATRIX has the fewest causes for concern., Discussion: Our approach gives model developers and health care providers a practical and systematic method for evaluating bias in predictive models. Traditional bias identification methods do not elucidate sources of bias and are thus insufficient for mitigation efforts. With our checklist, bias can be addressed and eliminated before a model is fully developed or deployed., Conclusion: The potential for algorithms to perpetuate biased outcomes is not isolated to readmission prediction models; rather, we believe our results have implications for predictive models across health care. We offer a systematic method for evaluating potential bias with sufficient flexibility to be utilized across models and applications., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Medical Informatics Association.)

Background: Social ties between health care workers may be an important driver of job satisfaction; however, research on this topic is limited., Purpose: We used social network methods to collect data describing two types of social ties, (a) instrumental ties (i.e., exchange of advice that enables work) and (b) expressive ties (i.e., exchange of social support), and related those ties to workers' job satisfaction., Methodology: We surveyed 456 clinicians and staff at 23 primary care practices about their social networks and workplace attitudes. We used multivariable linear regression to estimate the relationship between an individual's job satisfaction and two network properties: (a) eigenvector centrality (a measure of the importance of an individual in a network) and (b) ego network density (a measure of the cohesiveness of an individual's network). We examined this relationship for both instrumental and expressive ties., Results: Individuals who were more central in the expressive network were less satisfied in their job, b = -0.40 (0.19), p < .05, whereas individuals who had denser instrumental networks were more satisfied in their job, b = 0.49 (0.21), p < .05., Conclusion: Workplace relationships affect worker well-being. Centrality in an expressive network may require greater emotional labor, increasing workers' risk for job dissatisfaction. On the other hand, a dense instrumental network may promote job satisfaction by strengthening workers' access to full information, supporting competence and confidence., Practice Implications: Efforts to increase job satisfaction should consider both the positive and negative effects of social networks on workers' sense of well-being., (Copyright © 2021 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)