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Background: Hematoma expansion is a common manifestation of acute intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) which is associated with poor outcomes and functional status., Objective: We determined the prevalence of expansive intracranial hematomas (EIH) and assessed the predictive model for EIH occurrence and surgical evacuation outcomes in patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) in Uganda., Methods: We recruited adult patients with TBI with intracranial hematomas in a prospective cohort study. Data analysis using logistic regression to identify relevant risk factors, assess the interactions between variables, and developing a predictive model for EIH occurrence and surgical evacuation outcomes in TBI patients was performed. The predictive accuracies of these algorithms were compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). A p-values of < 0.05 at a 95% Confidence interval (CI) was considered significant., Results: A total of 324 study participants with intracranial hemorrhage were followed up for 6 months after surgery. About 59.3% (192/324) had expansive intracranial hemorrhage. The study participants with expansive intracranial hemorrhage had poor quality of life at both 3 and 6-months with p < 0.010 respectively. Among the 5 machine learning algorithms, the random forest performed the best in predicting EIH in both the training cohort (AUC = 0.833) and the validation cohort (AUC = 0.734). The top five features in the random forest algorithm-based model were subdural hematoma, diffuse axonal injury, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, association between depressed fracture and subdural hematoma. Other models demonstrated good discrimination with AUC for intraoperative complication (0.675) and poor discrimination for mortality (0.366) after neurosurgical evacuation in TBI patients., Conclusion: Expansive intracranial hemorrhage is common among patients with traumatic brain injury in Uganda. Early identification of patients with subdural hematoma, diffuse axonal injury, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, association between depressed fracture and subdural hematoma, were crucial in predicting EIH and intraoperative complications., Competing Interests: Competing interests All authors have declared no conflict of interest.

Introduction: Fibrinogen levels drop quicker than any other factors in severe trauma such as Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI). Contemporaneous studies show that fibrinogen concentrations < 2 g/L are strongly related to mortality. However, little is known regarding fibrinogen levels and TBI severity as well as mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. We therefore set out to determine whether fibrinogen levels are associated with TBI severity and seven days outcomes., Objectives: To determine the sensitivity and specificity of fibrinogen levels and the association with severity and mortality among TBI patients at Mulago Hospital., Methods: We prospectively enrolled 213 patients with TBI aged between 13 and 60 years of age and presenting within 24hrs of injury. Patients with pre-existing coagulopathy, concurrent use of anticoagulant or antiplatelet agents, pre-existing hepatic insufficiency, diabetes mellitus and who were pregnant were excluded. Fibrinogen levels were determined using the Clauss fibrinogen assay., Results: Majority of the patients were male (88.7%) and nearly half were aged 30 or less (48.8%). Fibrinogen levels less than 2g/L were observed in 74 (35.1%) of the patients while levels above 4.5 g/L were observed in 30(14.2%) of the patients. The average time spent in the study was 3.7 ± 2.4 days. The sensitivity and specificity using fibrinogen < 2g/L was 56.5% and 72.9% respectively. Fibrinogen levels predict TBI severity with an AUC = 0.656 (95% CI 0.58-0.73: p = 0.000) Fibrinogen levels < 2g/L (hypofibrinogenemia) were independently associated with severe TBI. (AOR 2.87 CI,1.34-6.14: p = 0.007). Levels above 4.5g/L were also independently associated with injury severity (AOR 2.89, CI 1.12-7.48: p < 0.05) Fibrinogen levels more than 4.5g/L were independently associated with mortality (OR 4.5, CI;1.47-13.61, p < 0.05)., Conclusions: The fibrinogen level is a useful tool in predicting severity including mortality of TBI in our settings. We recommend the routine use of fibrinogen levels in TBI patient evaluations as levels below 2g/L and levels above 4.5g/L are associated with severe injuries and mortality., Competing Interests: Competing interests The authors declare that they have no competing interests