1. Delay from treatment start to full effect of immunotherapies for multiple sclerosis
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Roos, Izanne, Leray, Emmanuelle, Frascoli, Federico, Casey, Romain, Brown, J William L, Horakova, Dana, Havrdova, Eva, Trojano, Maria, Patti, Francesco, Izquierdo, Guillermo, Eichau, Sara, Onofrj, Marco, Lugaresi, Alessandra, Prat, Alexandre, Girard, Marc, Grammond, Pierre, Sola, Patrizia, Ferraro, Diana, Ozakbas, Serkan, Bergamaschi, Roberto, Sá, Maria José, Cartechini, Elisabetta, Boz, Cavit, Granella, Franco, Hupperts, Raymond, Terzi, Murat, Lechner-Scott, Jeannette, Spitaleri, Daniele, Van Pesch, Vincent, Soysal, Aysun, Olascoaga, Javier, Prevost, Julie, Aguera-Morales, Eduardo, Slee, Mark, Csepany, Tunde, Turkoglu, Recai, Sidhom, Youssef, Gouider, Riadh, Van Wijmeersch, Bart, McCombe, Pamela, Macdonell, Richard, Coles, Alasdair, Malpas, Charles, Butzkueven, Helmut, Vukusic, Sandra, Kalincik, Tomas, Duquette, Pierre, Grand'Maison, Francois, Iuliano, Gerardo, Ramo-Tello, Cristina, Solaro, Claudio, Cabrera-Gomez, Jose Antonio, Rio, Maria Edite, Bolaños, Ricardo Fernandez, Shaygannejad, Vahid, Oreja-Guevara, Celia, Sanchez-Menoyo, Jose Luis, Petersen, Thor, Altintas, Ayse, Barnett, Michael, Flechter, Shlomo, Fragoso, Yara, Amato, Maria Pia, Moore, Fraser, Ampapa, Radek, Verheul, Freek, Hodgkinson, Suzanne, Cristiano, Edgardo, Yamout, Bassem, Laureys, Guy, Dominguez, Jose Andres, Zwanikken, Cees, Deri, Norma, Dobos, Eniko, Vrech, Carlos, Butler, Ernest, Rozsa, Csilla, Petkovska-Boskova, Tatjana, Karabudak, Rana, Rajda, Cecilia, Alkhaboori, Jabir, Saladino, Maria Laura, Shaw, Cameron, Shuey, Neil, Vucic, Steve, Sempere, Angel Perez, Campbell, Jamie, Piroska, Imre, Taylor, Bruce, van der Walt, Anneke, Kappos, Ludwig, Roullet, Etienne, Gray, Orla, Simo, Magdolna, Sirbu, Carmen-Adella, Brochet, Bruno, Cotton, François, De Sèze, Jérôme, Dion, Armelle, Douek, Pascal, Guillemin, Francis, Laplaud, David, Lebrun-Frenay, Christine, Moreau, Thibault, Olaiz, Javier, Pelletier, Jean, Rigaud-Bully, Claire, Stankoff, Bruno, Marignier, Romain, Debouverie, Marc, Edan, Gilles, Ciron, Jonathan, Ruet, Aurélie, Collongues, Nicolas, Lubetzki, Catherine, Vermersch, Patrick, Labauge, Pierre, Defer, Gilles, Cohen, Mikaël, Fromont, Agnès, Wiertlewsky, Sandrine, Berger, Eric, Clavelou, Pierre, Audoin, Bertrand, Giannesini, Claire, Gout, Olivier, Thouvenot, Eric, Heinzlef, Olivier, Al-Khedr, Abdullatif, Bourre, Bertrand, Casez, Olivier, Cabre, Philippe, Montcuquet, Alexis, Créange, Alain, Camdessanché, Jean-Philippe, Faure, Justine, Maurousset, Aude, Patry, Ivania, Hankiewicz, Karolina, Pottier, Corinne, Maubeuge, Nicolas, Labeyrie, Céline, Nifle, Chantal, University of Melbourne, The Royal Melbourne Hospital, Recherche en Pharmaco-épidémiologie et Recours aux Soins (REPERES), Université de Rennes 1 (UR1), Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-École des Hautes Études en Santé Publique [EHESP] (EHESP), École des Hautes Études en Santé Publique [EHESP] (EHESP), Département Méthodes quantitatives en santé publique (METIS), Swinburne University of Technology [Melbourne], Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 (UCBL), Université de Lyon, University of Cambridge [UK] (CAM), Medicine Charles University and General Faculty Hospital in Prague, University of Bari Aldo Moro (UNIBA), University of Catania [Italy], Hospital Universitario Virgen Macarena [Seville, Spain], University 'G. d'Annunzio' of Chieti-Pescara [Chieti], Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna [Bologna] (UNIBO), Université de Montréal (UdeM), University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Partenaires INRAE, Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi = Dokuz Eylül University [Izmir] (DEÜ), IRCCS Mondino Foundation, Universidade Fernando Pessoa, KTU Medical Faculty Farabi Hospital, University of Parma = Università degli studi di Parma [Parme, Italie], Zuyderland Ziekenhuis, Medical Faculty [Samsun, Turkey], University of Newcastle [Australia] (UoN), Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL), Bakirkoy Education and Research Hospital for Psychiatric and Neurological Diseases, Hospital Universitario Donostia, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía de Córdoba, Instituto Maimonides de Investigación Biomédica de Córdoba (IMIBIC), Haydarpasa Numune Training and Research Hospital, Hasselt University (UHasselt), University of Queensland [Brisbane], Hitachi Cambridge Laboratory [University of Cambridge], Hitachi, Ltd-University of Cambridge [UK] (CAM), Monash University [Melbourne], Centre de Recherche du Centre Hospitalier de l’Université de Montréal (CR CHUM), Centre Hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal (CHUM), Université de Montréal (UdeM)-Université de Montréal (UdeM), Ospedali Riuniti di Salerno, Centre Hospitalier Régional Universitaire [Montpellier] (CHRU Montpellier), Université de Montpellier (UM), Centre hospitalier universitaire de Poitiers (CHU Poitiers), AP-HP Hôpital Bicêtre (Le Kremlin-Bicêtre), 1157717, National Health and Medical Research Council, Biogen, MSIF-ARSEP McDonald, Melbourne Research Scholarship, French State, ‘Agence Nationale de la Recherche,’, ANR-10-COHO-002, ‘Investments for the Future’, Eugène Devic EDMUS Foundation, ARSEP Foundation, Novartis, Merck, Roche, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, Sanofi Genzyme, EDMUS Foundation, UCL - SSS/IONS/CEMO - Pôle Cellulaire et moléculaire, UCL - (SLuc) Service de neurologie, Roos I., Leray E., Frascoli F., Casey R., Brown W.J.L., Horakova D., Havrdova E.K., Trojano M., Patti F., Izquierdo G., Eichau S., Onofrj M., Lugaresi A., Prat A., Girard M., Grammond P., Sola P., Ferraro D., Ozakbas S., Bergamaschi R., Sa M.J., Cartechini E., Boz C., Granella F., Hupperts R., Terzi M., Lechner-Scott J., Spitaleri D., van Pesch V., Soysal A., Olascoaga J., Prevost J., Aguera-Morales E., Slee M., Csepany T., Turkoglu R., Sidhom Y., Gouider R., van Wijmeersch B., McCombe P., Macdonell R., Coles A., Malpas C.B., Butzkueven H., Vukusic S., Kalincik T., Duquette P., Grand'Maison F., Iuliano G., Ramo-Tello C., Solaro C., Cabrera-Gomez J.A., Rio M.E., Bolanos R.F., Shaygannejad V., Oreja-Guevara C., Sanchez-Menoyo J.L., Petersen T., Altintas A., Barnett M., Flechter S., Fragoso Y., Amato M.P., Moore F., Ampapa R., Verheul F., Hodgkinson S., Cristiano E., Yamout B., Laureys G., Dominguez J.A., Zwanikken C., Deri N., Dobos E., Vrech C., Butler E., Rozsa C., Petkovska-Boskova T., Karabudak R., Rajda C., Alkhaboori J., Saladino M.L., Shaw C., Shuey N., Vucic S., Sempere A.P., Campbell J., Piroska I., Taylor B., van der Walt A., Kappos L., Roullet E., Gray O., Simo M., Sirbu C.-A., Brochet B., Cotton F., de Seze J., Dion A., Douek P., Guillemin F., Laplaud D., Lebrun-Frenay C., Moreau T., Olaiz J., Pelletier J., Rigaud-Bully C., Stankoff B., Marignier R., Debouverie M., Edan G., Ciron J., Ruet A., Collongues N., Lubetzki C., Vermersch P., Labauge P., Defer G., Cohen M., Fromont A., Wiertlewsky S., Berger E., Clavelou P., Audoin B., Giannesini C., Gout O., Thouvenot E., Heinzlef O., Al-Khedr A., Bourre B., Casez O., Cabre P., Montcuquet A., Creange A., Camdessanche J.-P., Faure J., Maurousset A., Patry I., Hankiewicz K., Pottier C., Maubeuge N., Labeyrie C., Nifle C., Brown, Will [0000-0002-7737-5834], Coles, Alasdair [0000-0003-4738-0760], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, McCombe, Pamela/0000-0003-2704-8517, Slee, Mark/0000-0003-4323-2453, Brown, William/0000-0002-7737-5834, Laplaud, David/0000-0001-6113-6938, Ciron, Jonathan/0000-0002-3386-6308, Roos, Izanne/0000-0003-0371-3666, Lugaresi, Alessandra/0000-0003-2902-5589, Aguera-Morales, Eduardo/0000-0002-8604-2054, Kalincik, Tomas, Girard, Marc, Patti, Francesco, Horakova, Dana, Malpas, Charles B., Olascoaga, Javier, Prevost, Julie, Roos, Izanne, Hupperts, Raymond, Csepany, Tunde, VAN WIJMEERSCH, Bart, Ferraro, Diana, Aguera-Morales, Eduardo, Cartechini, Elisabetta, Vukusic, Sandra, Frascoli, Federico, Lugaresi, Alessandra, Sa, Maria Jose, Butzkueven, Helmut, Spitaleri, Daniele, Macdonell, Richard, Coles, Alasdair, Havrdova, Eva K., Granella, Franco, Turkoglu, Recai, Trojano, Maria, Sola, Patrizia, Van Pesch, Vincent, Onofrj, Marco, Grammond, Pierre, Bergamaschi, Roberto, Izquierdo, Guillermo, McCombe, Pamela, Slee, Mark, Eichau, Sara, Prat, Alexandre, Leray, Emmanuelle, Soysal, Aysun, Terzi, Murat, Brown, J. William L., Boz, Cavit, Sidhom, Youssef, Gouider, Riadh, Ozakbas, Serkan, Casey, Romain, Lechner-Scott, Jeannette, Université de Rennes (UR)-École des Hautes Études en Santé Publique [EHESP] (EHESP), Università degli studi di Bari Aldo Moro = University of Bari Aldo Moro (UNIBA), Hospital Universitario Virgen Macarena [Séville], Università degli studi di Parma = University of Parma (UNIPR), University of Newcastle [Callaghan, Australia] (UoN), University of Cambridge [UK] (CAM)-Hitachi, Ltd, and ANR-10-COHO-0002,OFSEP,Observatoire Français de la Sclérose en Plaques(2010)
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Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Multiple Sclerosis ,Time Factors ,multiple sclerosis ,law.invention ,Cohort Studies ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Natalizumab ,Randomized controlled trial ,law ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Immunologic Factors ,Multiple sclerosi ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Prospective Studies ,Registries ,Prospective cohort study ,therapeutic lag ,business.industry ,Multiple sclerosis ,Interferon beta-1a ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Fingolimod ,3. Good health ,Treatment Outcome ,Cohort ,Disease Progression ,[SDV.SPEE]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Santé publique et épidémiologie ,Female ,Neurology (clinical) ,business ,Immunotherapies ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Immunosuppressive Agents ,Therapeutic lag, prognosis, treatment ,medicine.drug ,Cohort study ,Follow-Up Studies - Abstract
In multiple sclerosis, treatment start or switch is prompted by evidence of disease activity. Whilst immunomodulatory therapies reduce disease activity, the time required to attain maximal effect is unclear. In this study we aimed to develop a method that allows identification of the time to manifest fully and clinically the effect of multiple sclerosis treatments ('therapeutic lag') on clinical disease activity represented by relapses and progression-of-disability events. Data from two multiple sclerosis registries, MSBase (multinational) and OFSEP (French), were used. Patients diagnosed with multiple sclerosis, minimum 1-year exposure to treatment, minimum 3-year pretreatment follow-up and yearly review were included in the analysis. For analysis of disability progression, all events in the subsequent 5-year period were included. Density curves, representing incidence of relapses and 6-month confirmed progression events, were separately constructed for each sufficiently represented therapy. Monte Carlo simulations were performed to identify the first local minimum of the first derivative after treatment start; this point represented the point of stabilization of treatment effect, after the maximum treatment effect was observed. The method was developed in a discovery cohort (MSBase), and externally validated in a separate, non-overlapping cohort (OFSEP). A merged MSBase-OFSEP cohort was used for all subsequent analyses. Annualized relapse rates were compared in the time before treatment start and after the stabilization of treatment effect following commencement of each therapy. We identified 11 180 eligible treatment epochs for analysis of relapses and 4088 treatment epochs for disability progression. External validation was performed in four therapies, with no significant difference in the bootstrapped mean differences in therapeutic lag duration between registries. The duration of therapeutic lag for relapses was calculated for 10 therapies and ranged between 12 and 30 weeks. The duration of therapeutic lag for disability progression was calculated for seven therapies and ranged between 30 and 70 weeks. Significant differences in the pre- versus post-treatment annualized relapse rate were present for all therapies apart from intramuscular interferon beta-1a. In conclusion we have developed, and externally validated, a method to objectively quantify the duration of therapeutic lag on relapses and disability progression in different therapies in patients more than 3 years from multiple sclerosis onset. Objectively defined periods of expected therapeutic lag allows insights into the evaluation of treatment response in randomized clinical trials and may guide clinical decision-making in patients who experience early on-treatment disease activity. This method will subsequently be applied in studies that evaluate the effect of patient and disease characteristics on therapeutic lag. This study was supported by the EDMUS Foundation, Biogen and NHMRC (1140766, 1129189, 1157717). I.R. is supported by a MSIF-ARSEP McDonald fellowship grant and a Melbourne Research Scholarship. The MSBase Foundation is a not-for-profit organization that receives support from Biogen, Novartis, Merck, Roche, Teva and Sanofi Genzyme. The Observatoire Francais de la Sclerose en Plaques (OFSEP) is supported by a grant provided by the French State and handled by the 'Agence Nationale de la Recherche,' within the framework of the 'Investments for the Future' program, under the reference ANR-10-COHO-002, by the Eugene Devic EDMUS Foundation against multiple sclerosis and by the ARSEP Foundation. The study was conducted separately and apart from the guidance of the sponsors. Kalincik, T (corresponding author), Univ Melbourne, Dept Med, CORe, 300 Grattan St, Melbourne, Vic 3050, Australia. tomas.kalincik@unimelb.edu.au
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