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One of the main goals of the feasibility study MOSE (MOdellig ESO Sites) is to evaluate the performances of a method conceived to forecast the optical turbulence above the ESO sites of the Very Large Telescope and the European-Extremely Large Telescope in Chile. The method implied the use of a dedicated code conceived for the optical turbulence (OT) called Astro-Meso-Nh. In this paper we present results we obtained at conclusion of this project concerning the performances of this method in forecasting the most relevant parameters related to the optical turbulence (CN2, seeing , isoplanatic angle theta_0 and wavefront coherence time tau_0). Numerical predictions related to a very rich statistical sample of nights uniformly distributed along a solar year and belonging to different years have been compared to observations and different statistical operators have been analyzed such as classical bias, RMSE and and more sophisticated statistical operators derived by the contingency tables that are able to quantify the score of success of a predictive method such as the percentage of correct detection (PC) and the probability to detect a parameter within a specific range of values (POD). The main conclusions of the study tell us that the Astro-Meso-Nh model provides performances that are already very good to definitely guarantee a not negligible positive impact on the Service Mode of top-class telescopes and ELTs. A demonstrator for an automatic and operational version of the Astro-Meso-Nh model will be soon implemented on the sites of VLT and E-ELT., Comment: This is a pre-copyedited, author-produced PDF of an article accepted for publication in MNRAS following peer review. The version of record [doi: 10.1093/mnras/stw3111] is available online at: http://mnras.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2016/11/30/mnras.stw3111.abstract?keytype=ref&ijkey=te4TKA10zzdydVK. 13 figures

In this contribution we present the most relevant results obtained in the context of a feasibility study (MOSE) undertaken for ESO. The principal aim of the project was to quantify the performances of a mesoscale model (Astro-Meso-NH code) in forecasting all the main atmospherical parameters relevant for the ground-based astronomical observations and the optical turbulence (CN2 and associated integrated astroclimatic parameters) above Cerro Paranal (site of the VLT) and Cerro Armazones (site of the E-ELT). A detailed analysis on the score of success of the predictive capacities of the system have been carried out for all the astroclimatic as well as for the atmospherical parameters. Considering the excellent results that we obtained, this study proved the opportunity to implement on these two sites an automatic system to be run nightly in an operational configuration to support the scheduling of scientific programs as well as of astronomical facilities (particularly those supported by AO systems) of the VLT and the E-ELT. At the end of 2016 a new project for the implementation of a demonstrator of an operational system to be run on the two ESO's sites will start. Our team is also responsible for the implementation of a similar automatic system at Mt.Graham, site of the LBT (ALTA Project). Our system/method will permit therefore to make a step ahead in the framework of the Service Mode for new generation telescopes. Among the most exciting achieved results we cite the fact that we proved to be able to forecast CN2 profiles with a vertical resolution as high as 150 m. Such a feature is particularly crucial for all WFAO systems that require such detailed information on the OT vertical stratification on the whole 20 km above the ground. This important achievement tells us that all the WFAO systems can rely on automatic systems that are able to support their optimized use., Comment: 11 pages, 8 figures, Proc. SPIE 9909 "Adaptive Optics Systems V", 99090I, 2016

This article aims at proving the feasibility of the forecast of all the most relevant classical atmospherical parameters for astronomical applications (wind speed and direction, temperature) above the ESO ground-base site of Cerro Paranal with a mesoscale atmospherical model called Meso-Nh. In a precedent paper we have preliminarily treated the model performances obtained in reconstructing some key atmospherical parameters in the surface layer 0-30~m studying the bias and the RMSE on a statistical sample of 20 nights. Results were very encouraging and it appeared therefore mandatory to confirm such a good result on a much richer statistical sample. In this paper, the study was extended to a total sample of 129 nights between 2007 and 2011 distributed in different parts of the solar year. This large sample made our analysis more robust and definitive in terms of the model performances and permitted us to confirm the excellent performances of the model. Besides, we present an independent analysis of the model performances using the method of the contingency tables. Such a method permitted us to provide complementary key informations with respect to the bias and the RMSE particularly useful for an operational implementation of a forecast system., Comment: 20 pages, 8 figures, 18 tables, published in MNRAS

The advent of a new generation of Adaptive Optics systems called Wide Field AO (WFAO) mark the beginning of a new era. By using multiple Guide Stars (GSs), either Laser Guide Stars (LGSs) or Natural Guide Stars (NGSs), WFAO significantly increases the field of view of the AO-corrected images, and the fraction of the sky that can benefit from such correction. Different typologies of WFAO have been studied over the past years. They all require multiple GSs to perform a tomographic analysis of the atmospheric turbulence. One of the fundamental aspects of the new WFAO systems is the knowledge of the spatio-temporal distribution of the turbulence above the telescope. One way to get to this information is to use the telemetry data provided by the WFAO system itself. Indeed, it has been demonstrated that WFAO systems allows one to derive the Cn2 and wind profile in the main turbulence layers (see e.g. Cortes et al. 2012). This method has the evident advantage to provide information on the turbulence stratification that effectively affects the AO system, property more difficultly respected by independently vertical profilers. In this paper, we compare the wind speeds profiles of GeMS with those predicted by a non-hydrostatical mesoscale atmospherical model (Meso-NH). It has been proved (Masciadri et al., 2013), indeed, that this model is able to provide reliable wind speed profiles on the whole troposphere and stratosphere (up to 20-25 km) above top-level astronomical sites. Correlation with measurements revealed to be very satisfactory when the model performances are analyzed from a statistical point of view as well on individual nights. Such a system appears therefore as an interesting reference to be used to quantify the GeMS wind speed profiles reliability., Comment: 10 pages, 5 figures - Proceedings of the SPIE, Adaptive Optics Systems IV, 9148-236

The Multi Aperture Scintillation Sensor (MASS) and the Generalized-Scintillation Detection and Ranging (Generalized SCIDAR) are two instruments conceived to measure the optical turbulence (OT) vertical distribution on the whole troposphere and low stratosphere (~ 20 km) widely used in the astronomical context. In this paper we perform a detailed analysis/comparison of measurements provided by the two instruments and taken during the extended site testing campaign carried out on 2007 at Cerro Paranal and promoted by the European Southern Observatory (ESO). The main and final goal of the study is to provide a detailed estimation of the measurements reliability i.e dispersion of turbulence measurements done by the two instruments at different heights above the ground. This information is directly related to our ability in estimating the absolute value of the turbulence stratification. To better analyse the uncertainties between the MASS and the GS we took advantage of the availability of measurements taken during the same campaign by a third independent instrument (DIMM - Differential Imaging Motion Monitor) measuring the integrated turbulence extended on the whole 20 km. Such a cross-check comparison permitted us to define the reliability of the instruments and their measurements, their limits and the contexts in which their use can present some risk., Comment: : 24 pages; 17 figures; MNRAS accepted on 11 November 2013

This article is the second of a series of articles aiming at proving the feasibility of the forecast of all the most relevant classical atmospherical parameters for astronomical applications (wind speed and direction, temperature, relative humidity) and the optical turbulence (Cn2 and the derived astro-climatic parameters like seeing, isoplanatic angle, wavefront coherence time...). This study is done in the framework of the MOSE project, and focused above the two ESO ground-bases sites of Cerro Paranal and Cerro Armazones. In this paper we present the results related to the Meso-Nh model ability in reconstructing the surface layer atmospherical parameters (wind speed intensity, wind direction and absolute temperature, [0-30] m a.g.l.). The model reconstruction of all the atmospherical parameters in the surface layer is very satisfactory. For the temperature, at all levels, the RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) is inferior to 1{\deg}C. For the wind speed, it is ~2 m/s, and for the wind direction, it is in the range [38-46{\deg}], at all levels, that corresponds to a RMSE_relative in a range [21-26{\deg}]. If a filter is applied for the wind direction (the winds inferior to 3 m/s are discarded from the computations), the wind direction RMSE is in the range [30-41{\deg}], i.e. a RMSE_relative in the range [17-23{\deg}]. The model operational forecast of the surface layer atmospherical parameters is suitable for different applications, among others: thermalization of the dome using the reconstructed temperature, hours in advance, of the beginning the night; knowing in advance the main direction which the strong winds will come from during the night could allow the astronomer to anticipate the occurrence of a good/bad seeing night, and plan the observations accordingly; preventing adaptive secondary mirrors shake generated by the wind speed., Comment: 25 pages, 17 figures, 14 tables, accepted for publication in MNRAS

We present the overview of the MOSE project (MOdeling ESO Sites) aiming at proving the feasibility of the forecast of the classical atmospherical parameters (wind speed intensity and direction, temperature, relative humidity) and the optical turbulence OT (CN2 profiles and the most relevant integrated astro-climatic parameters derived from the CN2: the seeing, the isoplanatic angle, the wavefront coherence time) above the two ESO ground-based sites of Cerro Paranal and Cerro Armazones. The final outcome of the study is to investigate the opportunity to implement an automatic system for the forecast of these parameters at these sites. In this paper we present results related to the Meso-Nh model ability in reconstructing the vertical stratification of the atmospherical parameters along the 20 km above the ground. The very satisfactory performances shown by the model in reconstructing most of these parameters (and in particular the wind speed) put this tool of investigation as the most suitable to be used in astronomical observatories to support AO facilities and to calculate the temporal evolution of the wind speed and the wavefront coherence time at whatever temporal sampling. The further great advantage of this solution is that such estimates can be available in advance (order of some hours) with respect to the time of interest, Comment: 21 pages, 10 figures, 4 tables, accepted for pubblication in MNRAS

We present very encouraging preliminary results obtained in the context of the MOSE project, an on-going study aiming at investigating the feasibility of the forecast of the optical turbulence and meteorological parameters (in the free atmosphere as well as in the boundary and surface layer) at Cerro Paranal (site of the Very Large Telescope - VLT) and Cerro Armazones (site of the European Extremely Large Telescope - E-ELT), both in Chile. The study employs the Meso-Nh atmospheric mesoscale model and aims at supplying a tool for optical turbulence forecasts to support the scheduling of the scientific programs and the use of AO facilities at the VLT and the E-ELT. In this study we take advantage of the huge amount of measurements performed so far at Paranal and Armazones by ESO and the TMT consortium in the context of the site selection for the E-ELT and the TMT to constraint/validate the model. A detailed analysis of the model performances in reproducing the atmospheric parameters (T, V, p, H, ...) near the ground as well as in the free atmosphere, is critical and fundamental because the optical turbulence depends on most of these parameters. This approach permits us to provide an exhaustive and complete analysis of the model performances and to better define the model operational application. This also helps us to identify the sources of discrepancies with optical turbulence measurements (when they appear) and to discriminate between different origins of the problem: model parameterization, initial conditions, ... Preliminary results indicate a great accuracy of the model in reproducing most of the main meteorological parameters in statistical terms as well as in each individual night in the free atmosphere and in proximity of the surface. The study is co-funded by ESO and INAF-Arcetri (Italy)., Comment: 14 pages, 10 figures, Proc. SPIE Conference "Adaptive Optics Systems III", July 2012, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, Vol. 8447, id. 84475A-84475A-14, 2012

In the context of the MOSE project, in this contribution we present a detailed analysis of the Meso-NH mesoscale model performances and their dependency on the model and orography horizontal resolutions in proximity of the ground. The investigated sites are Cerro Paranal (site of the ESO Very Large Telescope - VLT) and Cerro Armazones (site of the ESO European Extremely Large Telescope - E-ELT), in Chile. At both sites, data from a rich statistical sample of different nights are available - from AWS (Automated Weather Stations) and masts - giving access to wind speed, wind direction and temperature at different levels near the ground (from 2 m to 30 m above the ground). In this study we discuss the use of a very high horizontal resolution (dX=0.1 km) numerical configuration that overcomes some specific limitations put in evidence with a standard configuration with dX=0.5 km. In both sites results are very promising. The study is co-funded by ESO and INAF., Comment: SPIE 2012 Conference - 12 pages - 8 figures

Generalized Scidar (GS) measurements taken at the Paranal Observatory in November/December 2007 in the context of a site qualification for the future European Extremely Large Telescope E-ELT are re-calibrated to overcome the bias induced on the CN2 profiles by a not correct normalization of the autocorrelation of the scintillation maps that has been recently identified in the GS technique. A complete analysis of the GS corrected measurements as well as of the corrected errors is performed statistically as well as on individual nights and for each time during all nights. The relative errors of the CN2 profiles can reach up to 60% in some narrow temporal windows and some vertical slabs, the total seeing up to 12% and the total integrated turbulence J up to 21%. However, the statistic analysis tells us that the absolute errors of the median values of the total seeing is 0.06 arcsec (relative error 5.6%), for the boundary seeing 0.05 arcsec (relative error 5.6%) and for the seeing in the free atmosphere 0.04 arcsec (relative error 9%). We find that, in spite of the fact that the relative error increases with the height, the boundary and the free atmosphere seeing contribute in an equivalent way to the error on the total seeing in absolute terms. Besides, we find that there are no correlations between the relative errors and the value of the correspondent seeing. The absolute error of the median value of the isoplanatic angle is 0.13 arcsec (relative error 6.9%)., Comment: 22 figures, MNRAS accepted

The mesoscale model Meso-NH is used to simulate the optical turbulence at Mt Graham (Arizona, USA), site of the Large Binocular Telescope. Measurements of the CN2-profiles obtained with a generalized scidar from 41 nights are used to calibrate and quantify the model's ability to reconstruct the optical turbulence. The measurements are distributed over different periods of the year, permitting us to study the model's performance in different seasons. A statistical analysis of the simulations is performed for all the most important astroclimatic parameters: the CN2-profiles, the seeing {\epsilon}, the isoplanatic angle {\theta}0 and the wavefront coherence time {\tau}0. The model shows a general good ability in reconstructing the morphology of the optical turbulence (the shape of the vertical distribution of CN2) as well as the strength of all the integrated astroclimatic parameters. The relative error (with respect to measurements) of the averaged seeing on the whole atmosphere for the whole sample of 41 nights is within 9.0 %. The median value of the relative error night by night is equal to 18.7 %, so that the model still maintains very good performances. Comparable percentages are observed in partial vertical slabs (free atmosphere and boundary layer) and in different seasons (summer and winter). We prove that the most urgent problem, at present, is to increase the ability of the model in reconstructing very weak and very strong turbulence conditions in the high atmosphere. This mainly affects the model's performances for the isoplanatic angle predictions, for which the median value of the relative error night by night is equal to 35.1 %. No major problems are observed for the other astroclimatic parameters. A variant to the standard calibration method is tested but we find that it does not provide better results, confirming the solid base of the standard method., Comment: 12 pages, 12 figures. The definitive version can be found at: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2966.2010.18097.x/abstract

Atmospherical mesoscale models can offer unique potentialities to characterize and discriminate potential astronomical sites. Our team has recently completely validated the Meso-Nh model above Dome C (Lascaux et al. 2009, 2010). Using all the measurements of CN2 profiles (15 nights) performed so far at Dome C during the winter time (Trinquet et al. 2008) we proved that the model can reconstruct, on rich statistical samples, reliable values of all the three most important parameters characterizing the turbulence features of an antarctic site: the surface layer thickness, the seeing in the free atmosphere and in the surface layer. Using the same Meso-Nh model configuration validated above Dome C, an extended study is now on-going for other sites above the antarctic plateau, more precisely South Pole and Dome A. In this contribution we present the most important results obtained in the model validation process and the results obtained in the comparison between different astronomical sites above the internal plateau. The Meso-Nh model confirms its ability in discriminating between different optical turbulence behaviors, and there is evidence that the three sites have different characteristics regarding the seeing and the surface layer thickness. We highlight that this study provides the first homogeneous estimate, done with comparable statistics, of the optical turbulence developed in the whole 20-22 km above the ground at Dome C, South Pole and Dome A., Comment: 12 pages, 2 figures, Proc. SPIE Conference "Ground-based and Airborne Telescopes III", 27 June 2010, San Diego, California, USA

A characterization of the optical turbulence vertical distribution and all the main integrated astroclimatic parameters derived from the CN2 and the wind speed profiles above Mt. Graham is presented. The statistic includes measurements related to 43 nights done with a Generalized Scidar (GS) used in standard configuration with a vertical resolution of ~1 km on the whole 20-22 km and with the new technique (HVR-GS) in the first kilometer. The latter achieves a resolution of ~ 20-30 m in this region of the atmosphere. Measurements done in different periods of the year permit us to provide a seasonal variation analysis of the CN2. A discretized distribution of the typical CN2 profiles useful for the Ground Layer Adaptive Optics (GLAO) simulations is provided and a specific analysis for the LBT Laser Guide Star system ARGOS case is done including the calculation of the 'gray zones' for J, H and K bands. Mt. Graham confirms to be an excellent site with median values of the seeing without dome contribution equal to 0.72", the isoplanatic angle equal to 2.5" and the wavefront coherence time equal to 4.8 msec. We provide a cumulative distribution of the percentage of turbulence developed below H* where H* is included in the (0,1 km) range. We find that 50% of the whole turbulence develops in the first 80 m from the ground. The turbulence decreasing rate is very similar to what has been observed above Mauna Kea., Comment: 12 pages, 6 figures, Proc. SPIE Conference "Ground-based and Airborne Telescopes III", 27 June 2010, San Diego, California, USA

We present in this study a mapping of the optical turbulence (OT) above different astronomical sites. The mesoscale model Meso-NH was used together with the Astro-Meso-Nh package and a set of diagnostic tools allowing for a full 3D investigation of the Cn2. The diagnostics implemented in the Astro-Meso-Nh, allowing for a full 3D investigation of the OT structure in a volumetric space above different sites, are presented. To illustrate the different diagnostics and their potentialities, we investigated one night and looked at instantaneous fields of meteorologic and astroclimatic parameters. To show the potentialities of this tool for applications in an Observatory we ran the model above sites with very different OT distributions: the antarctic plateau (Dome C, Dome A, South Pole) and a mid-latitude site (Mt. Graham, Arizona). We put particular emphasis on the 2D maps of integrated astroclimatic parameters (seeing, isoplanatic angles) calculated in different slices at different heights in the troposhere. This is an useful tool of prediction and investigation of the turbulence structure. It can support the optimization of the AO, GLAO and MCAO systems running at the focus of the ground-based telescopes.From this studies it emerges that the astronomical sites clearly present different OT behaviors. Besides, our tool allowed us for discriminating these sites., Comment: 7 pages, 5 figures, SPIE 2010 conference

In two recent papers the mesoscale model Meso-NH, joint with the Astro-Meso-NH package, has been validated at Dome C, Antarctica, for the characterization of the optical turbulence. It has been shown that the meteorological parameters (temperature and wind speed, from which the optical turbulence depends on) as well as the Cn2 profiles above Dome C were correctly statistically reproduced. The three most important derived parameters that characterize the optical turbulence above the internal antarctic plateau: the surface layer thickness, the seeing in the free-atmosphere and in the total atmosphere showed to be in a very good agreement with observations. Validation of Cn2 has been performed using all the measurements of the optical turbulence vertical distribution obtained in winter so far. In this paper, in order to investigate the ability of the model to discriminate between different turbulence conditions for site testing, we extend the study to two other potential astronomical sites in Antarctica: Dome A and South Pole, which we expect to be characterized by different turbulence conditions. The optical turbulence has been calculated above these two sites for the same 15 nights studied for Dome C and a comparison between the three sites has been performed., Comment: 13 pages, 5 figures, 9 tables, accepted in MNRAS

The characterization of the wind speed vertical distribution V(h) is fundamental for an astronomical site for many different reasons: (1) the wind speed shear contributes to trigger optical turbulence in the whole troposphere, (2) a few of the astroclimatic parameters such as the wavefront coherence time (tau_0) depends directly on V(h), (3) the equivalent velocity V_0, controlling the frequency at which the adaptive optics systems have to run to work properly, depends on the vertical distribution of the wind speed and optical turbulence. Also, a too strong wind speed near the ground can introduce vibrations in the telescope structures. The wind speed at a precise pressure (200 hPa) has frequently been used to retrieve indications concerning the tau_0 and the frequency limits imposed to all instrumentation based on adaptive optics systems, but more recently it has been proved that V_200 (wind speed at 200 hPa) alone is not sufficient to provide exhaustive elements concerning this topic and that the vertical distribution of the wind speed is necessary. In this paper a complete characterization of the vertical distribution of wind speed strength is done above Mt.Graham (Arizona, US), site of the Large Binocular Telescope. We provide a climatological study extended over 10 years using the operational analyses from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), we prove that this is representative of the wind speed vertical distribution at Mt. Graham with exception of the boundary layer and we prove that a mesoscale model can provide reliable nightly estimates of V(h) above this astronomical site from the ground up to the top of the atmosphere (~ 20 km)., Comment: 12 pages, 9 figures (whereof 3 colour), accepted by MNRAS May 27, 2010

The atmospheric properties above three sites (Dome A, Dome C and the South Pole) are investigated for astronomical applications using the monthly median of the analyses from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts). Radiosoundings extended on a yearly time-scale at the South Pole and Dome C are used to quantify the reliability of the ECMWF analyses in the free atmosphere as well as in the boundary and surface layers, and to characterize the median wind speed in the first 100 m above the two sites. Thermodynamic instabilities in the free atmosphere above the three sites are quantified with monthly median values of the Richardson number. We will present a ranking of the sites with respect to the thermodynamic stability, using the Richardson number, and with respect to the wind speed, in the free atmosphere (using ECMWF analyses) as well as in the surface layer (using radiosoundings)., Comment: 4 pages, conference proceeding for 3rd ARENA conference

During winter and springtime, the flow above Antarctica at high altitude (upper troposphere and stratosphere) is dominated by the presence of a vortex centered above the continent. It lasts typically from August to November. This vortex is characterized by a strong cyclonic jet centered above the polar high. In a recent study of our group (Hagelin et al., 2008) of four different sites in the Antarctic internal plateau (South Pole, Dome C, Dome A and Dome F), it was made the hypothesis that the wind speed strength in the upper atmosphere should be related to the distance of the site to the center of the Antarctic polar vortex. This high altitude wind is very important from an astronomical point of view since it might trigger the onset of the optical turbulence and strongly affect other optical turbulence parameters. What we are interested in here is to localize the position of the minimum value of the wind speed at high altitude in order to confirm the hypothesis of Hagelin et al. (2008)., Comment: 3rd ARENA conference, 11-15 May 2009 EAS Publication Series

It has already been demonstrated that a mesoscale meteorological model such as Meso-NH is highly reliable in reproducing 3D maps of optical turbulence. Preliminary measurements above the Antarctic Plateau have so far indicated a pretty good value for the seeing: around 0.3" at Dome C. However some uncertainties remain. That's why our group is focusing on a detailed study of the atmospheric flow and turbulence in the internal Antarctic Plateau. Our intention is to use the Meso-NH model to do predictions of the atmospheric flow and the corresponding optical turbulence in the internal plateau. The use of this model has another huge advantage: we have access to informations inside an entire 3D volume which is not the case with observations only. Two different configurations have been used: a low horizontal resolution (with a mesh-size of 100 km) and a high horizontal resolution with the grid-nesting interactive technique (with a mesh-size of 1 km in the innermost domain centered above the area of interest). We present here the turbulence distribution reconstructed by Meso-NH for 16 nights monitored in winter time 2005, looking at the the seeing and the surface layer thickness., Comment: 3rd Arena conference, 11-15 May 2009, EAS Publication Series

The atmospheric properties above three sites on the Internal Antarctic Plateau are investigated for astronomical applications calculating the monthly median of the analysis-data from ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) for an entire year (2005) thus covering all seasons. Radiosoundings extended on a yearly time scale from Dome C and the South Pole are used to verify the reliability of the analyses in the free atmosphere and to study the wind speed in the first 100 m as the analysis-data are not optimized for this altitude-range. The wind speed in the free atmosphere is obtained from the ECMWF analyses from all three sites. It appears that the strength of the wind speed in the upper atmosphere in winter is correlated to the distance of the site from the centre of the polar high. The Richardson number is employed to investigate the stability of the free atmosphere and, consequently, the probability to trigger thermodynamic instabilities above the three sites. We find that, in a large majority of the cases, the free atmosphere over the Internal Antarctic Plateau is more stable than at mid-latitude sites. Given these data we can obtain a ranking of the three sites with respect to wind speed, in the free atmosphere as well as in the surface layer, and with respect to the stability of the atmosphere, using the Richardson number., Comment: SPIE 2008, Marseille, Conference proceedings, 12 pages

The internal antarctic plateau revealed in the last years to be a site with interesting potentialities for the astronomical applications due to the extreme dryness and low temperatures, the typical high altitude of the plateau, the weak level of turbulence in the free atmosphere down to a just few tens of meters from the ground and the thin optical turbulence layer developed at the ground. The main goal of a site testing assessment above the internal antarctic plateau is to characterize the site (optical turbulence and classical meteorological parameters) and to quantify which is the gain we might obtain with respect to equivalent astronomical observations done above mid-latitude sites to support plans for future astronomical facilities. Our group is involved, since a few years, in studies related to the assessment of this site for astronomical applications that include the characterization of the meteorological parameters and optical turbulence provided by general circulation models as well as mesoscale atmospherical models and the quantification of the performances of Adaptive Optics (AO) systems. In this talk I will draw the status of art of this site assessment putting our studies in the context of the wide international site testing activity that has been done in Antarctica. I will focus on the site assessment relevant for astronomical applications to be done in the visible up to the near infrared ranges, i.e. those ranges for which the optical turbulence represents a perturbing element for the quality of the images and the AO techniques an efficient tool to correct these wavefront perturbations., Comment: 3 figures

A characterization of the optical turbulence vertical distribution (Cn2 profiles) and all the main integrated astroclimatic parameters derived from the Cn2 and the wind speed profiles above the site of the Large Binocular Telescope (Mt. Graham, Arizona, US) is presented. The statistic includes measurements related to 43 nights done with a Generalized Scidar (GS) used in standard configuration with a vertical resolution Delta(H)~1 km on the whole 20 km and with the new technique (HVR-GS) in the first kilometer. The latter achieves a resolution Delta(H)~20-30 m in this region of the atmosphere. Measurements done in different periods of the year permit us to provide a seasonal variation analysis of the Cn2. A discretized distribution of Cn2 useful for the Ground Layer Adaptive Optics (GLAO) simulations is provided and a specific analysis for the LBT Laser Guide Star system ARGOS (running in GLAO configuration) case is done including the calculation of the 'gray zones' for J, H and K bands. Mt. Graham confirms to be an excellent site with median values of the seeing without dome contribution epsilon = 0.72", the isoplanatic angle theta0 = 2.5" and the wavefront coherence time tau0= 4.8 msec. We find that the optical turbulence vertical distribution decreases in a much sharper way than what has been believed so far in proximity of the ground above astronomical sites. We find that 50% of the whole turbulence develops in the first 80+/-15 m from the ground. We finally prove that the error in the normalization of the scintillation that has been recently put in evidence in the principle of the GS technique, affects these measurements with an absolutely negligible quantity (0.04")., Comment: 11 figures. MNRAS, accepted

In a recent paper the authors presented an extended study aiming at simulating the classical meteorological parameters and the optical turbulence at Dome C during the winter with the atmospherical mesoscale model Meso-NH. A statistical analysis has been presented and the conclusions of that paper have been very promising. Wind speed and temperature fields revealed to be very well reconstructed by the Meso-NH model with better performances than what has been achieved with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) global model, especially near the surface. All results revealed to be resolution-dependent and it has been proved that a grid-nesting configuration (3 domains) with a high horizontal resolution (1km) for the innermost domain is necessary to reconstruct all the optical turbulence features with a good correlation to measurements. High resolution simulations provided an averaged surface layer thickness just ~14 m higher than what is estimated by measurements, the seeing in the free atmosphere showed a dispersion from the observed one of just a few hundredths of an arcsecond (~0.05"). The unique limitation of the previous study was that the optical turbulence in the surface layer appeared overestimated by the model in both low and high resolution modes. In this study we present the results obtained with an improved numerical configuration. The same 15 nights have been simulated, and we show that the model results now match almost perfectly the observations in all their features: the surface thickness, the seeing in the free atmosphere as well as in the surface layer. This result permits us to investigate now other antarctic sites using a robust numerical model well adapted to the extreme polar conditions (Meso-NH)., Comment: 5 pages, 4 figures, accepted for publication in MNRAS

Due to the recent interest shown by astronomers towards the Antarctic Plateau as a potential site for large astronomical facilities, we assisted in the last years to a strengthening of site testing activities in this region, particularly at Dome C. Most of the results collected so far concern meteorologic parameters and optical turbulence measurements based on different principles using different instruments. At present we have several elements indicating that, above the first 20-30 meters, the quality of the optical turbulence above Dome C is better than above whatever other site in the world. The challenging question, crucial to know which kind of facilities to build on, is to establish how much better the Dome C is than a mid-latitude site. In this contribution we will provide some complementary elements and strategies of analysis aiming to answer to this question. We will try to concentrate the attention on critical points, i.e. open questions that still require explanation/attention., Comment: 3 figures, EAS Publications Series, Volume 25, 2007, pp.57

Mesoscale model such as Meso-Nh have proven to be highly reliable in reproducing 3D maps of optical turbulence (see Refs. 1, 2, 3, 4) above mid-latitude astronomical sites. These last years ground-based astronomy has been looking towards Antarctica. Especially its summits and the Internal Continental Plateau where the optical turbulence appears to be confined in a shallow layer close to the icy surface. Preliminary measurements have so far indicated pretty good value for the seeing above 30-35 m: 0.36" (see Ref. 5) and 0.27" (see Refs. 6, 7) at Dome C. Site testing campaigns are however extremely expensive, instruments provide only local measurements and atmospheric modelling might represent a step ahead towards the search and selection of astronomical sites thanks to the possibility to reconstruct 3D Cn2 maps over a surface of several kilometers. The Antarctic Plateau represents therefore an important benchmark test to evaluate the possibility to discriminate sites on the same plateau. Our group8 has proven that the analyses from the ECMWF global model do not describe with the required accuracy the antarctic boundary and surface layer in the plateau. A better description could be obtained with a mesoscale meteorological model. In this contribution we present the progress status report of numerical simulations (including the optical turbulence - Cn2) obtained with Meso-Nh above the internal Antarctic Plateau. Among the topic attacked: the influence of different configurations of the model (low and high horizontal resolution), use of the grid-nesting interactive technique, forecasting of the optical turbulence during some winter nights., Comment: 12 pages, 4 figures, SPIE 2008 conference

The image quality from Ground-Layer Adaptive Optics (GLAO) can be gradually increased with decreased contiguous field of view. This trade-off is dependent on the vertical profile of the optical turbulence (Cn2 profiles). It is known that the accuracy of the vertical distribution measured by existing Cn2 profiling techniques is currently quite uncertain for wide field performance predictions 4 to 20 arcminutes. With assumed uncertainties in measurements from Generalized-SCIDAR (GS), SODAR plus MASS we quantify the impact of this uncertainty on the trade-off between field of view and image quality for photometry of science targets at the resolution limit. We use a point spread function (PSF) model defined analytically in the spatial frequency domain to compute the relevant photometry figure of merit at infrared wavelengths. Statistics of this PSF analysis on a database of Cn2 measurements are presented for Mt. Graham, Arizona and Dome C, Antarctica. This research is part of the activities of ForOT (3D Forecasting of Optical Turbulence above astronomical sites)., Comment: 18 pages, 3 figures, from in the proceedings of the Mauna Kea Weather Center Symposium on Seeing (Kona, Hawaii, 20-22 March 2007)

These last years ground-based astronomy has been looking towards Antarctica, especially its summits and the internal continental plateau where the optical turbulence (OT) appears to be confined in a shallow layer close to the surface. Preliminary measurements have so far indicated pretty good value for the seeing above 30-35 m: 0.36" (Agabi et al. 2006), 0.27" (Lawrence et al. 2004) and 0.3" (Trinquet et al. 2008) at Dome C. Site testing campaigns are however extremely expensive, instruments provide only local measurements and atmospheric modeling might represent a step ahead towards the search and selection of astronomical sites thanks to the possibility to reconstruct 3D Cn2 maps over a surface of several kilometers. The Antarctic Plateau represents therefore an important benchmark test to evaluate the possibility to discriminate sites on the same plateau. Our group (Hagelin et al. 2008) has proven that the analyses from the ECMWF global model do not describe with the required accuracy the antarctic boundary and surface layers in the plateau. A better description could be obtained with a mesoscale model. The Meso-Nh model has proven to be reliable in reproducing 3D maps of OT above mid-latitude astronomical sites (Masciadri et al. 1999ab, 2004, Masciadri and Jabouille 2005). In this paper we study the ability of the Meso-Nh model in reconstructing the meteorological parameters as well as the OT above Dome C with different model configurations. We concentrate our attention on the model abilities in reproducing the OT surface layer thickness Hsl and the integral of the Cn2 in the free atmosphere and in the surface layer. It is worth to highlight that these are the first estimates ever done so far with a mesoscale model of the optical turbulence above the internal Antarctic Plateau., Comment: 13 pages, 8 figures, accepted for publication in MNRAS

The atmospheric properties above three sites (Dome C, Dome A and the South Pole) on the Internal Antarctic Plateau are investigated for astronomical applications using the monthly median of the analyses from ECMWF (the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts). Radiosoundings extended on a yearly time scale at the South Pole and Dome C are used to quantify the reliability of the ECMWF analyses in the free atmosphere as well as in the boundary and surface layers, and to characterize the median wind speed in the first 100 m above the two sites. Thermodynamic instability properties in the free atmosphere above the three sites are quantified with monthly median values of the Richardson number. We find that the probability to trigger thermodynamic instabilities above 100 m is smaller on the Internal Antarctic Plateau than on mid-latitude sites. In spite of the generally more stable atmospheric conditions of the Antarctic sites compared to mid-latitude sites, Dome C shows worse thermodynamic instability conditions than those predicted above the South Pole and Dome A above 100 m. A rank of the Antarctic sites done with respect to the strength of the wind speed in the free atmosphere (ECMWF analyses) as well as the wind shear in the surface layer (radiosoundings) is presented., Comment: Accepted for publishing in MNRAS. 14 pages, 10 figures. The definitive version is available at http://www.blackwell-synergy.com