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Background Dengue is a significant mosquito-borne disease. Several studies have utilized estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study to assess the global, regional or national burden of dengue over time. However, our recent investigation suggests that GBD's estimates for dengue cases in Taiwan are unrealistically high. The current study extends the scope to compare reported dengue cases with GBD estimates across 30 high-burden countries and territories, aiming to assess the accuracy and interpretability of the GBD's dengue estimates. Methods Data for this study were sourced from the GBD 2019 study and various national and international databases documenting reported dengue cases. The analysis targeted the top 30 countries and territories with the highest 10-year average of reported cases from 2010 to 2019. Discrepancies were quantified by computing absolute differences and ratios between the 10-year average of reported cases and GBD estimates. Coefficients of variation (CV) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated to assess variations and trends in the two data sources. Results Significant discrepancies were noted between reported data and GBD estimates in the number of dengue cases, incidence rates, and EAPCs. GBD estimates were substantially higher than reported cases for many entities, with the most notable differences found in China (570.0-fold), India (303.0-fold), Bangladesh (115.4-fold), Taiwan (85.5-fold) and Indonesia (23.2-fold). Furthermore, the GBD's estimates did not accurately reflect the extensive yearly fluctuations in dengue outbreaks, particularly in non-endemic regions such as Taiwan, China and Argentina, as evidenced by high CVs. Conclusions This study reveals substantial discrepancies between GBD estimates and reported dengue cases, underscoring the imperative for comprehensive analysis in areas with pronounced disparities. The failure of GBD estimates to represent the considerable annual fluctuations in dengue outbreaks highlights the critical need for improvement in disease burden estimation methodologies for dengue. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX®) is a widely utilized country-specific calculator for identifying individuals with high fracture risk; its score is calculated from 12 variables, but its formulation is not publicly disclosed. We aimed to decompose and simplify the FRAX® by utilizing a nationwide community survey database as a reference module for creating a local assessment tool for osteoporotic fracture community screening in any country. Participants (n  = 16384; predominantly women (75%); mean age = 64.8 years) were enrolled from the Taiwan OsteoPorosis Survey, a nationwide cross-sectional community survey collected from 2008 to 2011. We identified 11 clinical risk factors from the health questionnaires. BMD was assessed via dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry in a mobile DXA vehicle, and 10-year fracture risk scores, including major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture (HF) risk scores, were calculated using the FRAX®. The mean femoral neck BMD was 0.7 ± 0.1 g/cm2, the T-score was −1.9 ± 1.2, the MOF was 8.9 ± 7.1%, and the HF was 3.2 ± 4.7%. Following FRAX® decomposition with multiple linear regression, the adjusted R 2 values were 0.9206 for MOF and 0.9376 for HF when BMD was included and 0.9538 for MOF and 0.9554 for HF when BMD was excluded. The FRAX® demonstrated better prediction for women and younger individuals than for men and elderly individuals after sex and age stratification analysis. Excluding femoral neck BMD, age, sex, and previous fractures emerged as 3 primary clinical risk factors for simplified FRAX® according to the decision tree analysis in this study population. The adjusted R 2 values for the simplified country-specific FRAX® incorporating 3 premier clinical risk factors were 0.8210 for MOF and 0.8528 for HF. After decomposition, the newly simplified module provides a straightforward formulation for estimating 10-year fracture risk, even without femoral neck BMD, making it suitable for community or clinical osteoporotic fracture risk screening. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Population aging has increased the prevalence of multimorbidity, jeopardizing the sustainability and efficiency of healthcare systems. This study aimed to evaluate the effects of an integrated ambulatory care program (IACP) on healthcare utilization and costs among older patients with multimorbidity while accounting for the confounding effects of frailty. Methods: A retrospective cohort study using propensity matching including patients aged 65 or older with two or more chronic conditions attending the outpatient clinic at our hospital between June 1 and December 31, 2019, was conducted. Exposure was defined as receipt of IACP care. Patients not undergoing the IACP comprised the unexposed group and were matched at a ratio of 1:4 to patients undergoing the IACP group according to sex, age, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, multimorbidity frailty index score, and number of outpatient visits within 6 months before the index date. Outcomes were changes in healthcare utilization and related costs between 6 months before and after receiving IACP care. Multivariate regression analyses were used for data analysis and the Generalized Estimation Equation method was used to fit the regression models. Results: A total of 166 (IACP) and 664 (non-exposed) patients were analyzed. The mean participant baseline ages were 77.15 ± 7.77 (IACP) and 77.28 ± 7.90 years (unexposed). In univariate analyses, the IACP group demonstrated greater reductions than the unexposed group in the frequency of outpatient visits (-3.16 vs. -1.36, p < 0.001), number of physicians visited (-0.99 vs. -0.17, p < 0.001), diagnostic fees (-1300 New Taiwan Dollar [NTD] vs. -520 NTD, p < 0.001), drug prescription fees (-250 NTD vs. -70 NTD, p < 0.001), and examination fees (-1620 NTD vs. -700 NTD, p = 0.014). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that patients in the IACP group experienced significant reduction in the frequency of outpatient visits (95% CI: -0.357 to -0.181, p < 0.001), number of physicians visited (95% CI: -0.334 to -0.199, p < 0.001), and overall outpatient costs (95% CI: -0.082 to -0.011, p = 0.01). However, emergency department utilization, hospitalization, and costs did not differ significantly. Conclusions: Expanding IACPs may help patients with multimorbidity reduce their use of outpatient clinics at the 6-month follow-up, reduce care fragmentation, and promote sustainability of the healthcare system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Adverse events in fetuses are well researched but studies on the follow-up health outcomes of infants exposed to maternal motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) during pregnancy have yielded inconsistent results. This study aimed to investigate the association of maternal exposure to MVCs during pregnancy with the risk of adverse neonatal outcomes. Methods This population-based cohort study used data from birth notifications in Taiwan. A total of 19 277 offspring with maternal exposure to MVCs during pregnancy and 76 015 randomly selected comparison offspring without such exposure were selected. Neonatal adverse outcomes were identified from National Health Insurance medical claims data. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate the unadjusted and adjusted odds ratios (aORs) of neonatal adverse outcomes. Results Offspring exposed to maternal MVCs during pregnancy had a higher risk of birth defects (aOR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.04–1.41) than offspring without such exposure. This positive association was sustained with exposure to an MVC during the first or second trimester. A dose–response relationship (P  = 0.0023) was observed between the level of injury severity and the risk of birth defects. Conclusions In the early stages of pregnancy, maternal exposure to MVCs may entail a risk of birth defects in the offspring. The potential mechanisms for the associations of maternal exposure to MVCs with birth defects need further investigation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: Little is known regarding the epidemiology of child maltreatment in Asian countries. This study aimed to examine the incidence of hospitalization coded as due to child maltreatment in Taiwan. Methods: We used inpatient claims data of the National Health Insurance for the years 1996 through 2007 for estimation. Hospitalization of children aged 0-12 years with an ICD-9-CM code 995.5 ''maltreatment syndrome'' or E960-E969 ''assault'' in the main or secondary discharge diagnosis in claims data was defined as hospitalization due to child maltreatment. Poisson regression was used to examine the trends. Results: A total of 1,726 children with 1,780 hospitalizations due to child maltreatment were identified during 1996-2007. The averaged annual incidence over 1996-2007 was 13.2/100,000 for infants, 3.5/100,000 for children aged 1-3 years, 2.1/100,000 for children aged 4-6 years and 3.3/100,000 for children aged 7-12 years. The incidence increased most among the infant group, from 4.8/100,000 in 1996-1997 to 25.4/100,000 in 2006-2007, a greater than 5-fold increase. The magnitude of the increase in incidence decreased with age, and no change in incidence was noted among children aged 7-12 years. The drastic increase in incidence in infants since 2003 corresponds with the introduction of use of ICD-9-CM code 995.55 ''shaken infant syndrome'' in Taiwan since 2003. Head injury was the main type of injury in all age groups. Conclusions: The incidence of hospitalization coded as due to child maltreatment in Taiwan differed by age group. Infants had the highest and the largest increase in incidence during the past decade. The increase might be due to improvement in awareness, competence and willingness to diagnose child maltreatment of medical staff in hospitals during the past decade after the revision of Child Welfare Law in 1993 and the new ICD-9-CM code for ''shaken infant syndrome'' being used since 2003. Practice implications: Physicians and nursing staff should be aware of and provide the detailed and specific information needed for proper discharge diagnosis coding, from which valid estimation of the incidence of hospitalization due to child maltreatment can be made. Administrative data should include both the N-code and E-code for each case of child maltreatment hospitalization to provide more complete information. (Contains 1 figure and 5 tables.)

Suicide method used by adolescents was examined to determine if it was the same as that employed by their suicidal parents. Six hundred eighty adolescents completed suicide between 1997 and 2007, of whom 12 had parents who had previously died by suicide. The suicide method used by these adolescents was compared with that employed by their suicidal parent and that of a matched peer control adolescent with no exposure to parental suicide and living in the same area. In 10 of the 12 suicidal parent-adolescent dyads, the same suicide method was employed by parent and adolescent. Of seven adolescents whose age at parental suicide was 15 years or above, six used the same suicide method as their suicidal parent had. On the contrary, of 12 exposure-nonexposure suicidal adolescent dyads, the same method was used in only four. Adolescents exposed to parental suicide are more likely to use the suicide method employed by their suicidal parents than the method used by adolescent peers with no exposure to parental suicide.