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Twin data can provide valuable insight into the relationship between the stages of phenomena such as disease or substance abuse. Initiation of substance use may be caused by factors that are the same as, partially shared with, or completely independent of those that cause progression from use to abuse. Comparison of rates of progression among the cotwins of twins who do vs. do not initiate provides indirect information about the relationship between initiation and progression. Existing models for this relationship have been difficult to extend because they are usually expressed in terms of explicit integrals. In this paper, the problem is overcome by regarding the analysis of twin data on initiation and progression as a special case of missing data, in which individuals who do not initiate are regarded as having missing data on progression measures. Using the general framework for the analysis of ordinal data with missing values available in Mx makes extensions that include other variables much easier. The effects of continuous covariates such as age on initiation and progression becomes simple. Also facilitated are the examination of initiation and progression in two or more substances, and transition models with two or more steps. The methods are illustrated with data on the effects of cohort on liability to cannabis use and abuse, bivariate analysis of tobacco use and dependence and cannabis use and abuse, and the relationships between initiation of smoking, regular smoking and nicotine dependence. Other suitable applications include the relationship between symptoms and diagnosis, such as fears and the progression to phobia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Regular cigarette smoking and cannabis consumption are strongly positively related to each other, yet few studies explore their underlying variation and covariation. We evaluated the genetic and environmental decomposition of variance and covariance of these two traits in twin data from three countries with different social norms and legislation. Data from the Netherlands Twin Register, FinnTwin12/16, and the Minnesota Center for Twin Family Research (total N = 21,617) were analyzed in bivariate threshold models of lifetime regular smoking initiation (RSI) and lifetime cannabis initiation (CI). We ran unstratified models and models stratified by sex and country. Prevalence of RSI was lowest in the Netherlands and prevalence of CI was highest in Minnesota. In the unstratified model, genetic (A) and common environmental factors (C) contributed substantially to the liabilities of RSI (A = 0.47, C = 0.34) and CI (A = 0.28, C = 0.51). The two liabilities were significantly phenotypically (rP = 0.56), genetically (rA = 0.74), and environmentally correlated in the unstratified model (rC = 0.47and rE = 0.48, representing correlations between common and unique environmental factors). The magnitude of phenotypic correlation between liabilities varied by country but not sex (Minnesota rP ~ 0.70, Netherlands rP ~ 0.59, Finland rP ~ 0.45). Comparisons of decomposed correlations could not be reliably tested in the stratified models. The prevalence and association of RSI and CI vary by sex and country. These two behaviors are correlated because there is genetic and environmental overlap between their underlying latent liabilities. There is heterogeneity in the genetic architecture of these traits across country., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Epigenome-wide association studies (EWAS) aim to identify differentially methylated loci associated with complex traits and disorders. EWAS of cigarette smoking shows some of the most widespread DNA methylation (DNAm) associations in blood. However, traditional EWAS cannot differentiate between causation and confounding, leading to ambiguity in etiological interpretations. Here, we apply an integrated approach combining Mendelian Randomization and twin-based Direction-of-Causation analyses (MR-DoC) to examine causality underlying smoking-associated blood DNAm changes in the Netherlands Twin Register (N=2577). Evidence across models suggests that current smoking's causal effects on DNAm likely drive many of the previous EWAS findings, implicating functional pathways relevant to several adverse health outcomes of smoking, including hemopoiesis, cell- and neuro-development, and immune regulation. Additionally, we find evidence of potential reverse causal influences at some DNAm sites, with 17 of these sites enriched for gene regulatory functional elements in the brain. The top three sites with evidence of DNAm's effects on smoking annotate to genes involved in G protein-coupled receptor signaling ( GNG7 , RGS3 ) and innate immune response ( SLC15A4 ), elucidating potential biological risk factors for smoking. This study highlights the utility of integrating genotypic and DNAm measures in twin cohorts to clarify the causal relationships between health behaviors and blood DNAm., Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest Nothing to declare.

Introduction: Although epidemiologic studies suggest low levels of cigarette use among African American adolescents relative to White U.S. adolescents, it is not known whether this may be due to racial differences in the relative contribution of genes and environment to cigarette use initiation and progression to regular use., Methods: Using data from White (n=2665) and African American (n=809) twins and full siblings sampled in the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescents, we fitted age-, sex- and race-specific variance decomposition models to estimate the magnitude of genetic and environmental effects on cigarette use initiation and cigarette use quantity in Whites and African Americans across adolescence and adulthood. We employ a causal-contingent-common pathway model to estimate the amount of variance explained in quantity of cigarettes smoked contingent on cigarette use initiation., Results: African Americans had lower cigarette use prevalence from adolescence through adulthood, and used cigarettes less heavily than Whites. Race-specific causal-contingent-common pathway models indicate that racial differences in genetic and environmental contributions to cigarette use initiation and cigarette use quantities are not present in adolescence but appear in young adulthood. Additive genetic factors were an important risk factor for cigarette use initiation for White but not African American young adults and adults., Conclusions: Genetic and environmental contributions for cigarette use are similar by race in adolescence. In adulthood, genes have a stronger influence for cigarette use among White adolescents while the influence of the environment is minimal. For African Americans, both genetic and environmental influences are important in young adulthood and adulthood., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)