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Environmental carcinogenic exposures are major contributors to global disease burden yet how they promote cancer is unclear. Over 70 years ago, the concept of tumour promoting agents driving latent clones to expand was first proposed. In support of this model, recent evidence suggests that human tissue contains a patchwork of mutant clones, some of which harbour oncogenic mutations, and many environmental carcinogens lack a clear mutational signature. We hypothesised that the environmental carcinogen

Intra-tumour genetic heterogeneity (ITH) fuels cancer evolution. The role of clonal diversity and genetic complexity in the progression of clear-cell renal cell carcinomas (ccRCCs) has been characterised, but the ability to predict clinically relevant evolutionary trajectories remains limited. Here, towards enhancing this ability, we investigated spatial features of clonal diversification through a combined computational modelling and experimental analysis in the TRACERx Renal study. We observe through modelling that spatial patterns of tumour growth impact the extent and trajectory of subclonal diversification. Moreover, subpopulations with high clonal diversity, and parallel evolution events, are frequently observed near the tumour margin. In-silico time-course studies further showed that budding structures on the tumour surface could indicate future steps of subclonal evolution. Such structures were evident radiologically in 15 early-stage ccRCCs, raising the possibility that spatially resolved sampling of these regions, when combined with sequencing, may enable identification of evolutionary potential in early-stage tumours.

While the genetic evolutionary features of solid tumour growth are becoming increasingly described, the spatial and physical nature of subclonal growth remains unclear. Here we utilise 102 macroscopic whole tumour images from clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) patients, with matched genetic and phenotypic data from 756 biopsies. Utilising a digital image processing pipeline the boundaries between tumour and normal tissue were marked by a renal pathologist, and positions of boundary line and biopsy regions were extracted to X- and Y-coordinates. The coordinates were then integrated with genomic data to map exact spatial subclone locations, revealing how genetically distinct subclones grow and evolve spatially. A phenotype of advanced and more aggressive subclonal growth was present in the tumour centre, characterised by an elevated burden of somatic copy number alterations, higher necrosis, proliferation rate and Fuhrman grade. Moreover, metastasising subclones were found to preferentially originate from the tumour centre. Collectively these observations suggest a model of accelerated evolution in the tumour interior, with harsh hypoxic environmental conditions leading to heightened cellular turnover and greater opportunity for driver SCNAs to arise and expand due to selective advantage. Tumour subclone growth was found to be predominantly spatially contiguous in nature, with subclone dispersal a rare event found in two cases, which notably was associated with metastasis. In terms of genetic events, the largest subclones spatially were dominated by driver somatic copy number alterations, suggesting a large selective advantage can be conferred to subclones upon acquisition of these alterations. In conclusion, spatial dynamics is strongly associated with genomic alterations and plays an important role in tumour evolution.